January – June 2014 Number 55 ISSN 1026 2881 Journal of the African Elephant, African Rhino and Asian Rhino Specialist Groups January – June 2014 1 Chair reports / Rapports des Présidents 1 African Elephant Specialist Group report / Rapport du Groupe des Spécialistes des Eléphants d’Afrique SpecieS Survival commiSSion Holly T Dublin 6 Editors Dali Mwagore and Helen van Houten Section Editors Deborah Gibson—African elephants Kees Rookmaaker—African and Asian rhinos Editorial Board Julian Blanc Holly T Dublin Richard Emslie Mike Knight Esmond Martin Benson Okita-Ouma Robert Olivier Diane Skinner Bibhab K Talukdar Lucy Vigne No. 55 African Rhino Specialist Group report / Rapport du Groupe des Spécialistes des Rhinocéros d’Afrique Mike Knight 20 Asian Rhino Specialist Group report / Rapport du Groupe des Spécialistes des Rhinocéros d’Asie Bibhab K Talukdar 23 Research 23 The African elephant and food security in Africa: experiences from Baringo District, Kenya Dorothy A Amwata and Kevin Z Mganga 30 Luanda—the largest illegal ivory market in southern Africa Esmond Martin and Lucy Vigne Design and layout Dali Mwagore 38 Illustrations Nelson Otemba Address all correspondence, including enquiries about subscription, to The Editor, Pachyderm PO Box 68200 – 00200 Nairobi, Kenya tel: +254 20 249 3561/65 email: afesg@iucn.org website: http://www.iucn.org/african_elephant http://pachydermjournal.org Reproduction of this publication for educational or other non-commercial purposes is authorized without written permission from the copyright holder provided the source is fully acknowledged. Evaluation of a low-tech method, pepper– grease, for combatting elephant crop-raiding activities in Kakum Conservation Area, Ghana Edward D Wiafe and Moses K Sam 43 43 Management The last chance for the Sumatran rhinoceros? Francesco Nardelli Cover: Angolan authorities rarely inspect the displays of ivory in Mercado do Artesanato in Luanda, resulting in the largest quantity of illegal ivory on sale in southern Africa. Credit: Lucy Vigne Journal of the African Elephant, African Rhino and January – June 2014 54 No. 55 Asian Rhino Specialist Groups Chemical horn infusions—a poaching deterrent or an unnecessary deception? Sam Ferreira, Markus Hofmeyr, Danie Pienaar and Dave Cooper 62 The complex policy issue of elephant ivory stockpile management Michael ’t Sas-Rolfes, Brendan Moyle and Daniel Stiles 78 Rehabilitation of greater one-horned rhinoceros calves in Manas National Park, a World Heritage Site in India Rathin Barman, Bhaskar Choudhury, NVK Ashraf and V Menon 89 Field notes 89 Decay rate of elephant dung in Conkouati-Douli National Park, Republic of Congo Hilde Vanleeuwe and James Probert 92 Cyanide poisoning and African elephant mortality in Hwange National Park, Zimbabwe: a preliminary assessment N Muboko, V Muposhi, T Tarakini, E Gandiwa, S Vengesayi and E Makuwe 95 Three rhinos on maps of India drawn in Faizabad in the 18th century Kees Rookmaaker 97 Social media and the ivory ban: Myanmar and China cross-border trade Vincent Nijman and Chris R Shepherd 100 MIKE / ETIS updates 100 CITES-MIKE Update / Mise à jour de la CITES-MIKE Julian Blanc 104 Progress in implementing the Elephant Trade Information System (ETIS) / Avancement dans la mise en œuvre du Système d’Information sur le Traic des Eléphants (ETIS) Tom Milliken Views expressed in Pachyderm are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily relect those of IUCN, the European Union, the Species Survival Commission or any of the three Specialist Groups responsible for producing Pachyderm (the African Elephant Specialist Group, the African Rhino Specialist Group and the Asian Rhino Specialist Group). Journal of the African Elephant, African Rhino and January – June 2014 No. 55 Asian Rhino Specialist Groups 110 Transition 110 Passing of a conservation icon Mike Knight 112 Book review 112 Polishing off the ivory trade: surveys of Thailand’s ivory market Daniel Stiles 114 Guidelines for contributors Donate to Pachyderm To support the continued publication of Pachyderm and its contribution to the conservation and management of African elephants, African rhinos and Asian rhinos, please click http://goo.gl/P2Czvk to donate. Indicate Pachyderm in the organization ield. Acknowledgements The production of this issue of Pachyderm was possible through contributions from a number of organizations and individuals. In particular, we would like to thank the following: EUROPEAN COMMISSION African Elephant Specialist Group report CHAIR REPORTS African Elephant Specialist Group report Rapport du Groupe des Specialistes des Eléphants d’Afrique Holly T Dublin, Chair/Président IUCN/SSC African Elephant Specialist Group, PO Box 68200 – 00200, Nairobi, Kenya email: holly.dublin@iucn.org Africa’s elephants continue to need our dedicated attention. With the African Elephant Summit concluded, 2014 gave us little time to breathe before the action started! A huge amount of work has been accomplished so far, not only by AfESG but by the many members and organizations out there, on behalf of the African elephant. For the AfESG Secretariat, the dominant focus for the irst half of 2014 has been on developing strategy and action plans for improving the structure and functionality of the African Elephant Database (AED). So, in line with our time commitment to the AED, this report focuses largely on this work. The African Elephant Database (AED) With the current pressures on the African elephant, a huge amount of attention has been coming from all quarters. All these interested parties rely on AfESG for accurate information on the status of the species. Therefore, it is vital that AfESG is enabled to continue to provide reliable and up-to-date information to enable well-informed decisionmaking and actions. Some of the new commitments and initiatives at local, national and international levels rely explicitly on veriiable evidence of the recovery of elephant numbers for inancial assessments to be disbursed. Fully cognizant of this growing need, I have been spending a significant amount of time working to ensure that the AED can meet these expectations, now and into the future. While the Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Les éléphants d’Afrique continuent à avoir besoin de notre attention consciencieuse. Suite à la conclusion du Sommet sur l’éléphant d’Afrique, l’année 2014 nous a donné peu de temps pour respirer avant le commencement de l’action! Une énorme quantité de travail a été accompli jusqu’ici, non seulement par le GSEAf, mais aussi par de nombreux membres et organisations, au nom de l’éléphant d’Afrique. Pour le Secrétariat du GSEAf, notre travail au cours de la première moitié de 2014 était surtout centré sur le développement de la stratégie et des plans d’actions visant à améliorer la structure et la fonctionnalité de la Base de Données sur l’Eléphant d’Afrique (BDEA). Etant donné le temps que nous consacrons à la BDEA, ce rapport se concentre principalement sur ce travail. La Base de Données sur l’Eléphant d’Afrique A cause des pressions actuelles sur l’éléphant d’Afrique, il y a une attention énorme venant de toutes parts. Tous ceux qui s’y intéressent dépendent du GSEAf pour des informations précises sur la situation de l’espèce. Par conséquent, il est essentiel que le GSEAf puisse continuer à fournir des informations iables et actualisées pour permettre la prise de décisions et des actions bien informées. Certains des nouveaux engagements et initiatives aux niveaux local, national et international dépendent explicitement des preuves vérifiables du rétablissement du nombre d’éléphants pour les évaluations inancières. Pleinement consciente de ce besoin croissant, j’ai passé une quantité importante du temps de travail ain de m’assurer que la Base de Données sur les Eléphants 1 Dublin Data Review Working Group (DRWG), which oversees the AED, has never previously had a Chair, I decided that in this critical period it was important that it did so and appointed Dr Chris Thouless to this key role. I know Chris will bring new energy to the AED to progress in meeting the challenges we face. We held a two-day meeting of the DRWG in early May, which was as always, a vibrant and dynamic meeting of minds ready with ideas and innovations for progressing the AED. In addition to a number of technical matters, the DRWG discussed the design and functioning of a process that would hope to bring in a wider group of reviewers to assist with the initial review of survey reports. We hope that this will not only relieve the overall workload on DRWG members but will also encourage a much wider group to gain familiarity with the way in which the AED is structured. Of course, all good things have their challenges and the DRWG agreed that while this may reduce workload on our volunteer members, it will deinitely increase the workload on the Secretariat. As I report below, we are faced with a number of challenges but have initiated a signiicant fundraising push for the AED. The meeting also discussed a number of new and changing survey methods, potential changes to the AED’s analytical framework, our desire to progress further on trend analysis and the technical needs for the next Red List assessment. We also agreed on a set of improvements that are needed to enhance the current web interface of the AED to further its usefulness as a data management, conservation and communications tool. Finally, we discussed the potential addition of other important databases of African species, currently being compiled within the SSC membership, to the AED platform. The DRWG was excited by the prospects and agreed that this could bring considerable synergies—not least of which could potentially be real cost savings on all sides! An immediate action item emanating from the meeting was the appointment of Howard Frederick, one of the most active survey experts in AfESG, to DRWG membership. Howard accepted this appointment and we are pleased to have him on the team. Other gaps were identiied, and we will be issuing a call for nominations from within AfESG to ill those gaps. 2 d’Afrique (BDEA) puisse répondre à ces attentes, maintenant et à l’avenir. Alors que le Groupe de Travail sur la Révision des Données (GTRD), qui supervise la BDEA n’a jamais eu un président auparavant, j’ai décidé que, dans cette période critique, il était important de le faire et j’ai nommé le Dr. Chris Thouless à ce rôle clé. Je sais que Chris va apporter une nouvelle énergie à la BDEA pour relever les déis auxquels nous sommes confrontés. Nous avons tenu une réunion du GTRD de deux jours au début du mois de mai, qui était, comme toujours, une réunion vivante et dynamique des esprits pleins d’idées et d’innovations pour faire progresser la BDEA. En plus de plusieurs questions techniques, le GTRD a discuté de la conception et du fonctionnement d’un processus qui ferait participer un plus grand groupe d’examinateurs à l’examen initial des rapports d’étude. Nous espérons que cela servira non seulement à réduire le travail fait par les membres du GTRD, mais aussi à encourager un groupe de personnes plus large à se familiariser avec la façon dont la BDEA est structurée. Bien sûr, toutes les bonnes choses ont leurs déis et le GTRD s’est mis d’accord que même si ce processus pourrait réduire de travail de ses membres bénévoles, il va certainement augmenter le travail du Secrétariat, et comme je le rapporte ci-dessous, nous sommes confrontés à de nombreux déis, mais nous avons lancé une initiative importante de collecte de fonds pour la BDEA. La réunion a également examiné un certain nombre de nouvelles méthodologies d’étude qui évoluent, des changements potentiels au cadre analytique de la BDEA, notre désir de progresser davantage sur l’analyse des tendances et les besoins techniques pour la prochaine évaluation de la Liste rouge. Nous nous sommes également mis d’accord sur un ensemble de changements qui sont nécessaires à l’amélioration de l’interface actuel du Web de la BDEA pour le rendre plus utile en tant qu’outil de gestion des données, de conservation et de communication. Enin, nous avons parlé de l’ajout éventuel d’autres bases de données importantes des espèces d’Afrique, actuellement en train d’être compilées par les membres de la CSE, à la plate-forme de la BDEA. Le GTRD était impressionné par ces perspectives et a convenu que cela pourrait apporter des synergies considérables, sans parler des vraies économies sur tous les côtés! Un élément d’action immédiate émanant de la réunion a été la nomination de Howard Frederick, l’un des experts en recensement les plus actifs au sein du GSEAf, comme membre du GTRD. Howard a accepté cette nomination et nous sommes heureux de l’avoir dans l’équipe. D’autres lacunes ont été identiiées, et nous publierons un appel de Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 African Elephant Specialist Group report The AED is now one of our highest fundraising priorities. We have no shortage of wonderful ideas for improvements and enhancements, but foremost we desperately need the resources to underpin the Secretariat’s ability to implement them. We currently have only one full-time staff member on the AED—our database oficer, Peter Mwangi. While our multi-talented, multi-tasking programme oficer, Diane Skinner, has been spending a huge amount of time on the AED, this arrangement is not appropriate or sustainable and certainly not commensurate with our aspirations. Therefore, we must secure dedicated funds to allow us to hire a database manager to oversee the AED, including undertaking those infrastructural improvements that have been identiied as essential. We also need to raise funds to publish a full African Elephant Status Report; 2015 is our current target date. An exciting and promising initiative in which we are actively involved this year has been the Pan African Elephant Aerial Survey (PAEAS) (more information at https://greatelephantcensus.com). This survey effort will cover savanna populations throughout much of eastern and southern Africa, as well as some savanna areas in central and West Africa. A number of AfESG members have participated in two different planning meetings for this effort, and we are discussing the participation of our new DRWG Chair on the PAEAS’s Technical Advisory Team, on behalf of AfESG. We are also working to put in place an institutional memorandum of understanding between AfESG and the PAEAS. candidatures au sein du GSEAf pour combler ces lacunes. La BDEA est maintenant l’une de nos priorités de inancement les plus importantes. Nous ne manquons pas d’idées merveilleuses pour des améliorations, mais d’abord et avant tout nous avons désespérément besoin de ressources pour soutenir la capacité du Secrétariat à les mettre en œuvre. Nous avons actuellement un seul employé travaillant à plein temps sur la BDEA - notre chargé de la banque de données, Peter Mwangi. Notre chargé de programme, Diane Skinner, qui est multi-talentueuse et fait plusieurs choses à la fois, passe beaucoup de temps sur la BDEA ; ceci n’est pas approprié ou durable et ne correspond certainement pas à nos aspirations. Par conséquent, il nous faut obtenir des fonds dédiés pour nous permettre d’embaucher un gestionnaire de la base de données pour superviser la BDEA, notamment en faisant ces améliorations d’infrastructure qui ont été identiiées comme étant essentielles. Il faut également mobiliser des fonds pour publier un rapport complet sur la Situation de l’Eléphant d’Afrique: 2015 est notre date cible actuelle. Une initiative très intéressante et prometteuse dans laquelle nous participons activement cette année est l’Etude Aérienne Panafricaine sur l’Eléphant (EAPE) (plus d’informations sur https://greatelephantcensus.com ). Cette étude couvrira les populations de la savane dans une grande partie de l’Afrique orientale et australe, ainsi que des zones de savane en Afrique centrale et en Afrique de l’Ouest. Plusieurs membres du GSEAf ont participé à deux réunions de planiication pour cet effort, et nous discutons de la participation de notre nouveau président du GTRD à l’équipe consultative technique de l’EAPE, pour le compte du GSEAf. Nous travaillons également à mettre en place un protocole d’entente institutionnel entre le GSEAf et l’EAPE. African Elephant Library I wish to draw special attention to the great progress that has been made this year on the African Elephant Library (AEL). Late last year, we hired a short-term information management assistant, Francis Ngesa, to assist us with digitizing the AEL. Francis took on an elephantine amount of work, scanning close to 5,000 references from our dusty collection. Francis also researched a number of different online library solutions to allow us to share this wealth of information with the AfESG membership. With the help of AfESG member Julian Blanc and our partner in this project, Save the Elephants, we inally settled on Zotero, a commonly used online reference management Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Bibliothèque sur l’éléphant d’Afrique Je tiens à attirer votre attention sur les progrès formidables réalisés cette année en ce qui concerne la Bibliothèque sur l’Eléphant d’Afrique (BEAf). L’année dernière, nous avons embauché un assistant en gestion de l’information, Francis Ngesa, à court-terme pour nous aider à la numérisation de la BEAf. Francis a entrepris un travail gigantesque en scannant près de 5000 références dans notre collection poussiéreuse. Francis a également étudié plusieurs solutions de bibliothèque en ligne pour nous permettre de partager cette richesse d’information avec les membres du GSEAf. Avec l’aide de Julian Blanc, membre du GSEAf et notre partenaire dans ce projet, Save the Elephants, nous nous sommes inalement ixés 3 Dublin system. After concerted work to finalize the management protocol, we launched the new AEL to the AfESG membership in May this year. It is an exciting new advance for this incredible resource and I welcome our readership to check it out and put it to work. The AEL can be accessed at https:// zotero.org/groups/ael. I cannot leave the topic of the AEL without taking the opportunity to thank Mary Rigby for her many years of dedicated service. This global asset would never have been possible without her. sur Zotero, un système de gestion de référence en ligne couramment utilisé. Après un travail concerté pour inaliser le protocole de gestion, nous avons lancé la nouvelle BEAf aux membres du GSEAf en mai de cette année. Il s’agit d’une nouvelle avancée passionnante pour cette ressource incroyable et je demande à notre lectorat de la vériier et la mettre à l’œuvre. On peut consulter la BEAf sur https://zotero.org/groups/ael. Je ne peux pas laisser le sujet de la BEAf sans proiter de l’occasion de remercier Mary Rigby pour ses nombreuses années de services dévoués. Cet atout mondial n’aurait jamais été possible sans elle. Human–elephant conflict There is also exciting news on the human–elephant conlict (HEC) front. The HEC Working Group co-Chairs, Noah Sitati and Richard Hoare, have agreed to set up an online network for HEC practitioners within the AfESG to interact, share their experiences and discuss emerging issues. I am hopeful that this will provide the invigoration that we need to get the HEC Working Group moving forward. International attention to the African elephant After the African Elephant Summit last December, attention to the plight of the African elephant has steadily increased. The London conference on the illegal wildlife trade took place in February, and the United Nations Environment Assembly in June, and both resulted in further strong declarations by participating governments to take immediate action. A number of international campaigns are under way to raise awareness; funding and interest continues to surge. We are now gearing up for the next meeting of the CITES Standing Committee in July 2014. As usual, we look forward to providing a report to the AfESG membership on those deliberations. Conflit homme–éléphant Il y a aussi d’excellentes nouvelles en ce qui concerne le conlit homme-éléphant (CHE). Les coprésidents du Groupe de travail sur le CHE, Noé Sitati et Richard Hoare, ont convenu de mettre en place un réseau en ligne pour les praticiens du CHE au sein du GSEAf ain qu’ils puissent interagir, partager leurs expériences et discuter des questions émergentes. J’espère que cela créera la dynamisation dont nous avons besoin pour que le Groupe de travail sur le CHE fasse des progrès. Attention internationale sur l’éléphant d’Afrique Après le Sommet sur l’éléphant d’Afrique en décembre dernier, l’attention sur le sort de l’éléphant d’Afrique a augmenté de façon constante. La conférence de Londres sur le commerce illégal des espèces sauvages a eu lieu en février, et l’Assemblée des Nations Unies sur l’environnement en juin ; toutes ont donné lieu à des déclarations solides par les gouvernements participants de prendre des mesures immédiates. Un certain nombre de campagnes internationales de sensibilisation sont en cours; le inancement et l’intérêt continuent à augmenter. Nous nous préparons maintenant pour la prochaine réunion du Comité permanent de la CITES en juillet 2014. Comme d’habitude, nous sommes impatients de fournir un rapport aux membres du GSEAf sur ces délibérations. Departing Diane And this brings me to the most important challenge facing the AfESG: our much-loved programme oficer, Diane Skinner, will be departing at the end of August. Diane has been an extraordinary colleague, confidante and friend. Saying that 4 Le départ de Diane Et cela m’amène au déi le plus important auquel fait face le GSEAf: le départ de notre chargé de programme bien-aimé, Diane Skinner, à la in d’août. Diane a été une collègue extraordinaire, une conidente et une amie. Dire Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 African Elephant Specialist Group report every one of us will miss her would be a gross understatement. She has demonstrated her professionalism in every way: her attention to detail and content, her unparalleled ability to multi-task, her exceptional interpersonal skills and networking abilities, her never-ending commitment to maintaining dialogue even when there are differing views and opinions—and most importantly for me, her tenacity in teaching me day by day, for the past six years, that there is such a thing as work–life balance. All will know that this is not one of my strengths but even I have made some progress thanks to her dedicated tutelage! While AfESG is losing an indefatigable champion, I know everyone whose life has been touched by Diane joins me in wishing her a welldeserved break and an exciting next chapter. Change can be challenging but always positive in the end and I know I will be supporting her every step of the way. qu’elle va manquer à nous tous serait un euphémisme. Elle a démontré son professionnalisme dans tous les sens: son attention au détail et au contenu, sa capacité inégalée de faire plusieurs tâches à la fois, ses compétences interpersonnelles exceptionnelles et ses capacités de réseautage, son engagement à maintenir le dialogue, même quand il y a des points de vue et des opinions divergents, mais plus important, sa ténacité en m’enseignant jour par jour, pendant les six dernières années, qu’il un équilibre entre le travail et la vie, ce qui, comme vous le savez, n’est pas un de mes points forts, même si j’ai fait des progrès grâce à sa tutelle dédiée! Alors que le GSEAf perd un champion infatigable, je sais que tout le monde dont la vie a été touchée par Diane se joint à moi pour lui souhaiter un repos bien mérité et un prochain chapitre passionnant. Le changement peut être dificile, mais toujours positif à la in et je sais que je vais la soutenir à chaque étape de son chemin. Conclusion En terminant, je demande à nos membres, nos partenaires et nos amis de soutenir mes collègues au Secrétariat du GSEAf et moi-même au cours des quelques mois dificiles de la transition à venir. In ending, I ask for the full backing of our members, partners and friends to support my colleagues in the AfESG Secretariat and me through what promises to be a dificult few months of transitioning ahead. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Conclusion 5 Knight African Rhino Specialist Group report Rapport du Groupe des Spécialistes des Rhinocéros d’Afrique Mike Knight, Chair/Président Park Planning and Development, South African National Parks, PO Box 76693, and Centre for African Conservation Ecology, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University, Port Elizabeth 6013, South Africa email: m.knight@nmmu.ac.za Poaching update Mise à jour sur le braconnage Poaching of rhinos continues at a continental level. A total of 1,107 rhinos were reported poached in 2013, equivalent to a rate of 3.03 rhinos per day (Table 1). Encouragingly, the continental level of poaching in the irst half of 2014 has levelled off. South Africa with the largest share (82%) of Africa’s rhinos continues to experience the greatest losses in absolute terms since 2009. In relation to the 2012 South African population total, the percentage of rhinos lost to poaching between 2013 and 2014 has remained constant at 4.8%. Analysis of the daily poaching rates per quarter for South Africa indicates that poaching appears to have stabilized over the last 15 months (Figure 1). After increasing exponentially since 2007, the recorded average poaching levels in the irst half of 2014 were the same as the 2013 average levels of 3.00 rhinos poached per day. It remains to be seen whether this apparent levelling off in poaching in South Africa (and indeed also continental levelling off) will continue, or whether poaching will once again continue to trend upwards as happened after a period of about a year of relative stability in South Africa in 2010/2011. (Post script: With the loss of 122 rhinos in July 2014, there may be signs that the rate of poaching has increased again in the third quarter in South Africa). Table 1 shows that in relative terms poaching levels in Kenya from 2012 to 2013 approximately doubled, from 2.8% to 5.8% of 2012 population totals respectively. Encouragingly, as in South Africa, poaching in the irst half of 2014 has levelled off at 5.1% of the end 2012 numbers (Table 1). While poaching levels in both Kenya and South Africa are currently still at biologically sustainable levels (i.e. not currently leading to population declines, it may not be from a inancial Le braconnage des rhinocéros se poursuit au niveau continental. On a signalé le braconnage d’un total de 1.107 rhinocéros en 2013, ce qui équivaut à un taux de 3,03 rhinocéros par jour (Tableau 1). Fait encourageant, le niveau continental du braconnage dans la première moitié de l’année 2014 s’est stabilisé. L’Afrique du Sud ayant la plus grande part (82%) des rhinocéros d’Afrique continue de subir les pertes les plus importantes en termes absolus depuis 2009. En ce qui concerne la population totale sud-africaine de 2012, le pourcentage des rhinocéros perdus au braconnage entre 2013 et 2014 est resté constant à 4,8%. L’analyse des taux de braconnage quotidien par trimestre pour l’Afrique du Sud indique que le braconnage semble s’être stabilisé au cours des 15 derniers mois (Figure 1). Après avoir augmenté de façon exponentielle depuis 2007, les niveaux de braconnage moyens enregistrés au cours du premier semestre 2014 étaient les mêmes que les niveaux moyens de 2013 de 3,00 rhinocéros braconnés par jour. Il reste à voir si cette mise à niveau apparente du braconnage en Afrique du Sud (et en effet une mise à niveau continentale) continuera, ou si le braconnage continuera une fois de plus à avoir une tendance à la hausse comme cela s’est produit après une période d’environ une année de relative stabilité en Afrique du Sud en 2010-2011. Post scriptum: Suite à la perte de 122 rhinocéros en juillet 2014, il y a des signes que le taux de braconnage a encore augmenté au cours du troisième trimestre en Afrique du Sud. Le Tableau 1 montre que, en termes relatifs, les niveaux de braconnage au Kenya entre 2012 et 2013 ont approximativement doublé, passant de 2,8% à 5,8% de la population à la in de 2012. Il est encourageant que, comme en Afrique du Sud, le braconnage dans la première moitié de l’année 2014 s’est stabilisé par 5,1% des totaux de la in 2012 (Tableau 1). Alors que les niveaux de braconnage au Kenya et en Afrique du Sud sont actuellement encore à des niveaux biologiquement viables (c’est à dire ne menant 6 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Table 1. Reported numbers of white and black rhinos poached in Africa from 1 Jan 2006 to 30 June 2014 Tableau 1: nombre de rhinocéros blancs et noirs rapportés braconnés en Afrique du 1er janvier 2006 au 30 juin 2014 Country Botswana DR Congo Kenya 2006 – 1 – Mozambique – SA – – 3 Malawi Namibia 2007 – 36 – 9 2008 – – 2 6 21 – – – – Tanzania – – Uganda – Zambia – – 1 – 2010 – – 2011 – 22 15 83 Swaziland – 2 5 13 2009 2 – 25 – 16 – 2 2 333 – 448 2014H 2 – – 59 2 1 16 17 – 16 June – n/a – 23 12 June 52 2 23 June 4 1 (min) 31 Mar 4+ 4 4 189 5 89 2012 1.0 n/a 2.8 7.7 1,600 2013 1.0 n/a 5.8 3.8 1,700 2014 0.0 n/a 5.1 15.4 400 1 6 10 30 June 20 21 0.0 0.3 0.9 668 1,004 496 30 June 1,000 3,203 3.2 4.8 4.8 – 1 23 June 2 3 0.0 0.0 2.0 – 2 23 June 4 7 1.6 0.0 3.1 – – 1– – – – – – – – – – 26 June – – 0.0 0.0 0.0 – – – – – – – 24 June – – 0.0 0.0 0.0 9 400 4.1 2.5 1.3 1,095 3,926 2.9 4.3 4.3 2 Zimbabwe 21 38 164 39 52 35 29 18 4 Total 60 62 262 201 426 520 749 1,107 539 Poached/day 0.16 0.17 Up to Year as % of end 2012 rhino no. – 2 2 2013 – 29 10 122 2012 Simple 2014 projection Country totals 2006– June 2014 0.72 0.55 1.17 1.42 2.05 3.03 3.00 Source: Données du GSRAf de la CSE de l’UICN, TRAFFIC et le Groupe de travail de la CITES sur le Rhinocéros. 3.00 7 African Rhino Specialist Group report Source: Data from IUCN SSC AfRSG, TRAFFIC and CITES Rhino Working Group. 12 June Knight pas actuellement aux déclins de la population, peut-être pas d’un point de vue inancier); les deux 3.00 approchent le point de basculement où le braconnage cessera d’être 2.50 viable et les décès commenceront à dépasser les naissances. 2.00 La perte de quelques animaux de la petite population de 1.50 rhinocéros noir du Malawi rend cette population particulièrement vulnérable à des anomalies 1.00 démographiques (Tableau 1). Alors que le braconnage en Namibie reste 0.50 relativement faible, le Tableau 1 montre de manière inquiétante que 0.00 le braconnage semble maintenant y augmenter. En plus du nombre braconné, des cornes ont également Year and Quarter été retrouvées dans un raid à Figure 1. Reported South African rhino poaching by quarter from Jan 2010 to l’aéroport de Windhoek en 2014. June 2014, with a itted polynomial trend line (South African Department of De manière encourageante, Environmental Affairs/SANParks data) le braconnage au Zimbabwe a Figure 1: Braconnage de rhinocéros d’Afrique du Sud rapporté par trimestre de janvier 2010 à juin 2014, avec une ligne de tendance polynomiale (Données du continué à diminuer depuis 2012 Ministère sud-africain des Affaires environnementales/SANParks ajustées) (Tableau 1). Ceci découle de la mise en œuvre d’un personnel perspective); both are approaching the tipping dévoué, hautement qualiié engagé point where poaching will cease to be sustainable dans des activités anti-braconnage, et dans quelques and deaths will start to exceed births. populations ciblées, avec une surveillance étroite et une The loss of a few animals from the small Malawi bonne relation de travail avec les forces de l’ordre locales. black rhino population makes this population Notez que ces chiffres représentent le nombre minimum particularly vulnerable to demographic anomalies braconné déclaré, et le chiffre réel est probablement plus (Table 1). While poaching in Namibia remains élevé car certaines carcasses n’auront pas été détectées (en relatively low, Table 1 worryingly shows that particulier dans les très grandes aires ou dans le cas de très poaching now appears to be increasing there. In jeunes animaux). Les bébés rhinocéros qui ont disparu ou addition to the number poached, some horns were sont morts après que leurs mères aient été braconnés ou also recovered in a bust at Windhoek airport in blessés et sont morts par la suite sont considérés comme 2014. des décès dus au braconnage. Quelques uns des animaux Encouragingly, poaching in Zimbabwe has immobilisés qui avaient eu leurs cornes amputées ont continued to decline since 2012 (Table 1). This survécu, mais ils ont aussi été comptés comme braconnés. arises from the implementation of dedicated, Les animaux qui traversent la frontière vers le Mozambique highly trained personnel engaged in anti-poaching à partir du Parc national Kruger continuent d’avoir une activities in albeit a few focused populations, with espérance de vie très limitée compte tenu de la pression close monitoring and a good working relationship du braconnage très élevé là-bas. Le braconnage total au with the local law-enforcement agencies. Mozambique aurait aussi été beaucoup plus élevé s’il Note that these igures in Table 1 are the n’y avait pas eu des efforts des défenseurs de la nature minimum number reported poached, and the true locaux et les concessionnaires de chasse au Mozambique, igure is likely to be higher as some carcasses qui ont refoulé de nombreux rhinocéros qui venaient du will not have been detected (especially in very parc Kruger vers la frontière jusqu’en Afrique du Sud. large areas or in the case of very young animals). Les informations sur le braconnage au Mozambique sont Q2 Q1 14 20 Q4 14 20 Q3 13 20 Q2 13 20 Q1 13 20 Q4 13 20 Q3 12 20 Q2 12 20 Q1 12 20 Q4 12 20 Q3 11 20 Q2 11 20 Q1 11 20 Q4 11 20 Q3 10 20 Q2 10 20 10 10 20 8 20 Q1 Rhinos poached/day 3.50 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 African Rhino Specialist Group report Young calves that disappeared or died after their mothers were poached or injured and subsequently died are considered as poaching deaths. A few of the immobilized animals that had horns hacked off have survived but these too have been counted as poached. Animals moving across the border into Mozambique from Kruger National Park continue to have a very low life expectancy given the very high poaching pressure there. The Mozambique poaching total would also have been much higher had it not been for the efforts of local conservationists and hunting concessionaires in Mozambique, who have chased back many rhinos that came in from Kruger Park across the border into South Africa. Poaching information for Mozambique is incomplete and true numbers poached could well be higher. Recent Tanzanian poaching information is also incomplete, especially for the Selous Game Reserve where information is lacking. Responses, meetings and initiatives to address the poaching threat United for Wildlife meeting Between 11 and 12 February 2014 the United for Wildlife (UfW) partnership between international conservation organizations and the Royal Foundation convened a conference at the Zoological Society of London to seek solutions to the international illegal wildlife trade crisis and reduce the demand for illegal wildlife products, seen as the key driver of trade. The meeting was attended by about 250 delegates from about 30 countries (see http://www.unitedforwildlife. org/#!/). The meeting recognized there was a need to strengthen site protection including the commitment to protection and patrolling; encourage local incentives for conservation and use new technologies; expose and suppress illegal wildlife traficking; reduce consumer demand for illegal wildlife products; and make longterm inancial commitment towards sustainable conservation. There was a commitment of actively pursuing these recommendations. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 incomplètes et les vrais chiffres braconnés pourraient bien être plus élevés. Des informations récentes sur le braconnage tanzanien sont également incomplètes, en particulier pour la réserve de Selous où l’on manque d’informations. Réponses, réunions et initiatives de lutte contre la menace du braconnage Réunion de la fondation United for Wildlife (Unis pour la Faune Sauvage) Entre le 11 et le 12 février 2014, United for Wildlife, un partenariat entre les organisations de conservation internationales et la Fondation Royale, a organisé une conférence à la Société Zoologique de Londres pour chercher des solutions à la crise du commerce international illégal de la faune et réduire la demande pour les produits de la faune sauvage, considérée comme le principal moteur du commerce. Environ 250 délégués de 30 pays ont assisté à la réunion (voir http://www.unitedforwildlife.org/#!/ ). La réunion a reconnu qu’il fallait renforcer la protection des sites, y compris l’engagement à la protection et des patrouilles, promouvoir des incitations locales pour la conservation et l’utilisation des nouvelles technologies; exposer et réprimer le traic illicite de la faune sauvage; réduire la demande des consommateurs pour les produits illicites des espèces sauvages; et faire un engagement inancier à long terme en faveur de la conservation viable. Il y a eu un engagement de poursuivre activement ces recommandations. La Conférence internationale sur le commerce illicite de la faune à Londres en février 2014 Cette conférence, qui a immédiatement suivi la réunion de la fondation United for Wildlife, a réuni de hauts représentants de plus de 50 pays et organisations internationales pour qu’ils se mettent d’accord sur des mesures nouvelles et audacieuses pour lutter contre le commerce illégal des espèces sauvages. La déclaration (voir https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/ uploads/attachment_data/ile/281289/london-wildlifeconference-declaration-140213.pdf ) a mis en évidence les quatre actions principales suivantes: • Eradiquer le marché des produits illicites des espèces sauvages • Assurer des cadres juridiques et des dissuasions eficaces 9 Knight International Conference on the Illegal Wildlife Trade (IWT) in London in February 2014 This conference, which immediately followed the UFW meeting, brought together senior representatives of over 50 countries and international organizations to agree on new and bold measures to tackle the illegal wildlife trade. The declaration (see https://www.gov.uk/ government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_ data/file/281289/london-wildlife-conferencedeclaration-140213.pdf) highlighted the following four main actions: • Eradicating the market for illegal wildlife products • Ensuring effective legal frameworks and deterrents • Strengthening law enforcement • Promoting sustainable livelihoods and economic development. It was agreed that to successfully tackle the illegal wildlife trade and its effects, concerted political leadership, community engagement and international cooperation over a sustained period were needed. It was also realized that to support these efforts further research was needed into the scale of the environmental, political, social and economic implications of the trade, as well as an improved understanding of the illegal trade itself and the effect of measures taken to prevent and combat it. Unfortunately, the meeting did not have representation from South Africa and India, the range States that together host the largest populations of three species of rhinos and of tigers, that were a focus of the IWT discussions. A follow-up meeting to review progress on the IWT meeting is planned, to be held in Botswana in March 2015. Rhino legislation and cases We welcome Mozambique’s decision to inally approve new legislation criminalizing rhino crimes with signiicantly increased penalties in April 2014. However, the extent to which this new legislation will be applied and what conviction rates and penalties will be handed down remain to be seen. Concern continues to be expressed 10 • Renforcer l’application de la loi • Encourager des moyens de subsistance durables et le développement économique. Il a été convenu que pour s’attaquer au commerce illégal de la faune et à ses effets avec succès, il fallait un leadership politique concerté, un engagement communautaire et une coopération internationale sur une période prolongée. Il a également été réalisé que pour soutenir ces efforts il fallait davantage de recherche sur l’échelle des conséquences environnementales, politiques, sociales et économiques du commerce, ainsi qu’une meilleure compréhension du commerce illégal lui-même et l’effet des mesures prises pour le prévenir et le combattre. Malheureusement, la réunion n’avait pas de représentation d’Afrique du Sud ou de l’Inde, états de l’aire de répartition qui abritent les plus grandes populations des trois espèces de rhinocéros et de tigres, qui étaient au centre des discussions sur le Commerce illégal de la Faune Sauvage. Une réunion de suivi pour évaluer les progrès de la réunion sur le Commerce illégal de la Faune Sauvage est prévue et elle se tiendra au Botswana en mars 2015. Législation et procès sur le Rhinocéros Nous saluons la décision du Mozambique d’approuver finalement en avril 2014 une nouvelle législation criminalisant les crimes sur les rhinocéros qui comprend une augmentation signiicative des amendes. Toutefois, il reste à voir dans quelle mesure cette nouvelle législation sera appliquée et les condamnations et amendes qui seront prononcées. Nous continuons à nous préoccuper au sujet du relâchement sans procès des suspects arrêtés au Mozambique et de ce qui s’est passé aux armes à feu et aux cornes de rhinocéros prises à des braconniers et remises aux autorités. En outre, des rapports inadéquats et tardifs du Mozambique à la CITES indiquent que très peu d’amendes prononcées par les tribunaux pour les infractions relatives aux rhinocéros ne sont jamais perçues. Cette surveillance insufisante du paiement des amendes va continuer à donner aux criminels des motivations à faire le braconnage et le traic de la corne. Il est aussi probable que les amendes seules représentent une petite taxe sur le chiffre d’affaires des criminels et donc vont cesser d’avoir un effet dissuasif. On aura la preuve réelle du changement d’attitude envers les crimes de rhinocéros par les autorités mozambicaines lorsque plusieurs braconniers et traiquants seront condamnés à des peines d’emprisonnement importantes pour les crimes Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 African Rhino Specialist Group report about arrested suspects in Mozambique being released without trial and what has happened to irearms and rhino horns taken from poachers and handed to authorities. In addition, Mozambique’s inadequate and late reporting to CITES indicates that very few of the ines handed down by the courts for rhino offences were ever collected. Inadequate policing of the payment of ines will continue to give incentive to criminals to poach and trafic horn. Fines alone also are likely to represent a small tax on criminal turnover and therefore cease to be much of a deterrent. The real proof of change in attitude towards rhino crimes by Mozambican authorities will be when multiple poachers and traffickers are given significant custodial sentences for the rhino crimes they commit. Since CoP16, Kenya has also changed its legislation to include stiffer penalties to punish wildlife offenders. Its new Wildlife Conservation and Management Act was passed on 24 December 2013 and includes provision for penalties of life imprisonment or a minimum ine of Kenya shillings 20 million, equivalent to about USD 250,000, for poaching rhinoceros or African elephant (Loxodonta africana) or traficking their parts or derivatives. The clause in the section that contains these new sentences has been considered ambiguous by some. What this means is that the new Wildlife Act, though better than the old one, is unlikely in practice to provide any deterrent to the big dealers. Currently there are deliberate efforts between some NGOs, Kenya Wildlife Service, the Directorate of Public Prosecutions, judicial oficers and legal experts, to amend the Act to operationalize the clause containing these new sentences, Section 92, through a motion in parliament to strengthen it even further. CoP16 Info Doc51 mentioned the trend of increasing arrests of poachers in South Africa in recent years. However, while most of the rhino cases that have been prosecuted have led to convictions (some with signiicant deterrent custodial sentences), concerns remain about the low case completion rate and the time it is taking for cases to come to court. Postscript: In a recent case, a poacher was sentenced to 77 years and was also convicted of murder of a co-poacher who was killed in a contact with ield rangers. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 de rhinocéros qu’ils commettent. Depuis la CdP16, le Kenya a également modiié sa législation pour inclure des peines plus sévères ain de punir les contrevenants de la faune. Sa nouvelle loi sur la Conservation et la Gestion de la faune sauvage a été adoptée le 24 décembre 2013 et comporte des dispositions de peines d’emprisonnement à perpétuité ou une amende minimale de 20 millions de shillings kenyans, équivalant à 250.000 dollars américains, pour le braconnage du rhinocéros ou de l’éléphant d’Afrique (Loxodonta africana) ou le traic de leurs parties ou leurs dérivés. La clause dans la section qui contient ces nouvelles peines a été jugée ambiguë par certains. Qu’est-ce que cela signiie, c’est que la nouvelle loi sur la faune, bien qu’elle soit meilleure que l’ancienne, dans la pratique n’est pas susceptible de fournir un élément dissuasif pour les gros traiquants. Actuellement, il y a des efforts délibérés de certaines ONG, le Service Kenyan de la Faune Sauvage, le Procureur, les magistrats et les experts juridiques, pour modiier la Loi ain d’opérationnaliser la clause contenant ces nouvelles peines, l’article 92, par le biais d’une motion au Parlement pour le renforcer. La CdP16 Infos Doc51 a mentionné la tendance à l’augmentation des arrestations de braconniers en Afrique du Sud au cours des dernières années. Cependant, alors que la plupart des procès concernant les rhinocéros qui ont fait l’objet des poursuites judiciaires ont abouti à des condamnations (certains avec des peines d’emprisonnement dissuasives importantes), des inquiétudes subsistent sur le taux faible d’aboutissement des procès et le temps qu’il faut pour que les procès viennent au tribunal. Postscriptum: Dans une affaire récente, un braconnier a été condamné à 77 ans et il a également été reconnu coupable d’avoir assassiné un co-braconnier qui avait été tué dans un accrochage avec les écogardes sur le terrain. Les Etats-Unis ont changé le statut d’espèce menacée pour le rhinocéros blanc du sud. Ces changements ont été mis en œuvre pour aider les agents de mise en application de la loi aux Etats-Unis à combattre la possession illégale, le mouvement et le traic des cornes de rhinocéros aux Etats-Unis. Les changements, toutefois, ne cherchent pas à empêcher l’importation et la possession de trophées légitimes de chasse sportive comme des souvenirs noncommerciaux d’une chasse. Sur une note positive au Zimbabwe, le taux d’aboutissement des procès s’est amélioré, mais des retards dans la inalisation de certains procès continuent. Un autre problème rapporté est que les criminels de rhinocéros s’enfuient souvent après avoir été libérés sous caution, certains retournant au braconnage de rhinocéros 11 Knight The USA has changed its internal threatened status for southern white rhino. These changes have been implemented to help US law-enforcement oficers deal with illegal rhino horn possession and movement and traficking within the US. The changes, however, do not seek to prevent legal importation and possession of legitimate sport hunting trophies as non-commercial mementoes of a hunt. On a positive note in Zimbabwe, the case completion rate has improved, but delays in inalizing some court cases continue. Another problem that has been reported is that rhino criminals frequently abscond after being granted bail, with some returning to rhino poaching and other crimes. Case management between the high court and the lower magistrate’s courts appears to be a problem. It has been reported that some criminals who have been convicted in a lower court and later freed on bail after iling a successful appeal remain free as their appeals have not yet been heard in the high court due to a backlog of cases or iled papers being lost in the system. Thus it would help if case management between lower and higher courts was improved to ensure appeals are quickly heard in the higher court or bail of convicted rhino criminals was denied. Strategic rhino-focused meetings Second International Rhino Technology and Law Enforcement Meeting During the reporting period, with funding from the US Fish and Wildlife Service’s Rhino and Tiger Conservation Fund, Save the Rhino International, WWF-South Africa and South African National Parks, a second international experts meeting was held to discuss the latest patterns of rhino poaching and to identify tools and techniques to enhance wildlife protection and law enforcement. Wildlife security experts from 13 countries including 8 African rhino range States attended. The meeting allowed for improved cooperation and information sharing, following on from a very useful irst of this series held in Namibia in 2012. The aims of these technology and law-enforcement workshops were to 1) introduce ield practitioners to others facing similar challenges, 2) allow ield people to share knowledge on which techniques and technologies are working and which ones are not under what conditions and circumstances, and 3) provide the opportunity for ield people to brainstorm and problem 12 ou aux autres crimes. La gestion des procès entre la cour d’appel et les tribunaux de première instance semble être un problème. Il a été rapporté que certains criminels qui ont été condamnés par un tribunal de première instance et plus tard libérés sous caution après avoir fait appel restent libres car leurs appels n’ont pas encore été entendus dans la cour d’appel en raison des retards de dossiers ou de la perte de documents déposés dans le système. Ainsi, il serait utile que la gestion des procès entre les juridictions inférieures et supérieures soit améliorée ain de s’assurer que les appels soient rapidement entendus dans la juridiction supérieure ou que la caution soit refusée pour les criminels de rhinocéros. Réunions stratégiques axées sur les rhinocéros Deuxième réunion internationale sur la technologie et l’application de la loi en ce qui concerne le rhinocéros Au cours de la période considérée, grâce au inancement du Fonds du Service de la Pêche et de la Faune Sauvage des Etats-Unis pour la Conservation des Rhinocéros et des Tigres, Save the Rhino International, WWF-Afrique du Sud et les Parcs nationaux sud-africains, une deuxième réunion internationale des experts a été organisée pour discuter des dernières tendances du braconnage de rhinocéros et identiier les outils et les techniques dans le but d’améliorer la protection de la faune et l’application de la loi. Les experts en sécurité de la faune de 13 pays, y compris 8 états africains de l’aire de répartition des rhinocéros y ont participé. La rencontre a permis d’améliorer la coopération et l’échange des informations, à la suite d’une première réunion très utile tenue en Namibie en 2012 sur la technologie ayant rapport au rhinocéros et à l’application de la loi. Les objectifs de ces ateliers sur la technologie et l’application de la loi étaient 1) d’introduire des praticiens de terrain à d’autres personnes confrontées à des déis similaires, 2) de permettre à ceux qui travaillent sur le terrain de partager les idées sur les techniques et les technologies qui marchent et celles qui ne marchent pas et dans quelles conditions et circonstances, et 3) de donner à ceux de terrain l’occasion de faire un remue-méninges et de résoudre les problèmes ensemble en ce qui concerne les besoins des aires de la faune en général, et les besoins Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 African Rhino Specialist Group report solve together in order to troubleshoot needs for wildlife areas in general, and speciic needs for particular rhino areas. In addition, new technologies and tools for protected area security as well as the enhanced use of information to reduce poaching and more effectively combat international traficking in horn were discussed in depth. Technology companies were also invited for one day to demonstrate their products. CITES Rhino Working Group feedback The CITES Rhino Working Group (WG) corresponded intersessionally and produced a report with recommendations for consideration at the CITES Standing Committee meeting held in July 2014. The CITES Secretariat also produced a report on rhinos that also included a suite of recommendations. Postscript: At the CITES Standing Committee (SC) meeting in early July 2014, the Rhino Working Group was, as expected, tasked by the SC Chair to produce a joint set of recommendations for SC to consider. The Rhino WG was ably chaired by the UK’s Michael Sigsworth assisted by the CITES Secretariat’s Ben van Rensburg. It met three times at SC65 to inalize joint recommendations that were then circulated, considered and ultimately approved by the SC. These recommendations maintained a focus on Vietnam and, especially, Mozambique. Speciic deliverables and reporting timelines were set for Mozambique, which was criticized for its previous late and inadequate reporting. The SC also approved a clause mandating the CITES Secretariat, in consultation with the Rhino WG, to draw the attention of the SC intersessionally to any signiicant issues of non-compliance with the rhino recommendations approved at SC65. This then would allow the SC to act without having to wait for the next SC meeting. Shortly before CITES SC65, the International Rhino Foundation and the Environmental Investigation Agency submitted a joint application to the US government requesting it to impose Pelly Amendment sanctions against Mozambique for its failure to date to adequately deal with poaching and rhino horn traficking by its citizens. The Fishermen’s Protective Act allows the US government to prohibit the importation of wildlife and ish products from Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 spéciiques des aires de rhinocéros. En outre, les nouvelles technologies et les outils pour la sécurité des aires protégées et aussi l’utilisation de l’information pour réduire le braconnage et lutter plus eficacement contre le traic international de la corne ont été discutés en profondeur. Les entreprises de technologie ont également été invitées pour une journée ain de démontrer leurs produits. Feedback du Groupe de travail de la CITES sur le Rhinocéros Le Groupe de travail de la CITES sur le Rhinocéros a communiqué entre les sessions et a produit un rapport contenant des recommandations pour examen à la réunion du Comité permanent tenue en juillet 2014.The Secrétariat de la CITES a également produit un rapport sur les rhinocéros qui comprenait aussi une série de recommandations. Post-scriptum: Comme prévu, lors de a réunion du Comité permanent de la CITES au début de juillet 2014, le Groupe de travail sur le Rhinocéros a été chargé par le Président du Comité permanent de produire un ensemble de recommandations conjointes à être examinées par le Comité permanent. Le groupe de travail sur le Rhinocéros a été habilement présidé par Michael Sigsworth du Royaume-Uni appuyé par Ben van Rensburg du Secrétariat de la CITES. Il s’est réuni trois fois au cours de la SC65 pour inaliser les recommandations conjointes qui ont alors été diffusées, examinées et inalement approuvées par le Comité Permanent. Ces recommandations ont focalisé sur le Vietnam et surtout le Mozambique. Des objectifs spéciiques et les dates limites de rapport ont été ixés pour le Mozambique, qui a été critiqué pour son précédent rapport tardif et inadéquat. Le Comité Permanent a également approuvé une clause obligeant le Secrétariat de la CITES, en consultation avec le Groupe de Travail sur le Rhinocéros, d’attirer l’attention du Comité Permanent entre les sessions sur tous les problèmes importants de non-conformité avec les recommandations sur le rhinocéros approuvées à la SC65. Cela permettra alors au Comité Permanent d’agir sans avoir à attendre sa prochaine réunion. Peu de temps avant la SC65 de la CITES, la Fondation Internationale pour le Rhinocéros et l’Agence d’Enquête sur l’environnement ont présenté une demande conjointe au gouvernement américain lui demandant d’imposer des sanctions au titre de l’amendement de Pelly contre le Mozambique pour son échec à ce jour de traiter convenablement le braconnage et le traic de la corne de rhinocéros par ses citoyens. 13 Knight the offending nation. It was previously used to effect positive responses from Taiwan and South Korea to contain the illegal rhino horn trade. In the event that Mozambique’s actions and reporting to CITES continue to be inadequate and considered as ‘signiicantly non-compliant’ by the CITES SC in terms of SC65 recommendations, this could presumably strengthen the case in the US for the imposition of Pelly Amendment sanctions against Mozambique. The full SC65 rhino recommendations that were approved at CITES CoP65 can be found at http://www.cites.org/sites/default/files/eng/ com/sc/65/com/E-SC65-Com-03.pdf. A short AfRSG information document was also prepared for delegates attending the SC65 meeting, which included the updated poaching statistics in Table 1. This information will be posted on the AfRSG webpage, courtesy of the IRF website at http://www.rhinos.org/professional-resources/ iucn-african-rhino-specialist-group. South African Panel of Experts The South African Minister of Environment has established a panel of experts to provide the best available advice, opinions and recommendations on matters associated with the conservation of both rhinos and elephants. This information is to be assessed in preparation for any possible submissions to CITES CoP 17. Namibian law-enforcement meeting A Law Enforcement and Wildlife Crime Prevention workshop organized by the Ministry of Environment (MET) was held in May 2014 in Namibia to urgently discuss the recent escalation in wildlife crime in the country. The meeting was attended by representatives from all the critical government departments, rhino custodians, private land owners, professional hunting organizations, NGOS, and international law enforcement and rhino experts. The urgency of the situation was emphasized, as was the need for a strategic whole Namibian government response to the threat of organized crime and its impact on the country’s wildlife resources. The importance of international cooperation, information sharing and proactive intelligence to disrupt organized 14 L’amendement Pelly de la Loi pour la protection des pêcheurs permet au gouvernement américain d’interdire l’importation des produits de la faune et de la pêche d’une nation contrevenante. Il a déjà été utilisé pour produire une réponse positive du Taiwan et de la Corée du Sud ain d’endiguer le commerce illicite de la corne de rhinocéros. Si les actions et les rapports du Mozambique à la CITES continuent à être inadéquats et considérés par le Comité Permanent de la CITES d’être d’une «non-conformité signiicative» aux termes des recommandations de la SC65, on peut supposer que cela renforcerait le cas aux Etats-Unis pour l’imposition des sanctions au titre de l’Amendement Pelly contre le Mozambique. On peut trouver les recommandations complètes de la SC65 sur le rhinocéros qui ont été approuvées à la CdP65 de la CITES sur http://www.cites.org/sites/default/ iles/eng/com/sc/65/com/E-SC65-Com-03.pdf. Un court document d’information par le GSRAf a également été préparé pour les délégués participant à la réunion de la SC65, qui comprenait les statistiques mises à jour sur le braconnage dans le Tableau 1. Cette information sera afichée sur la page Web du GSRAf, grâce au site de la Fondation Internationale sur le Rhinocéros sur http://www.rhinos.org/professional-Resources/ iucn-african-rhino-spécialist-group. Groupe d’experts sud-africains Le Ministre sud-africain de l’Environnement a mis en place un groupe d’experts pour fournir les meilleurs conseils disponibles, des avis et des recommandations sur les questions liées à la conservation des rhinocéros et des éléphants. Ces informations doivent être évaluées en préparation d’une soumission éventuelle à la CdP 17 de la CITES. Réunion namibienne sur l’application de la loi Un atelier sur l’application de la loi et la prévention du crime de la faune organisé par le Ministère de l’Environnement s’est tenu en mai 2014 en Namibie dans le but de discuter de toute urgence la récente intensiication de la criminalité de la faune dans le pays. La réunion a été suivie par des représentants de tous les ministères importants, les conservateurs des rhinocéros, les propriétaires fonciers privés, les organisations de chasse professionnelle, les ONG et les experts sur l’application de la loi internationale et sur le rhinocéros. L’urgence de la situation a été soulignée, de même que la nécessité d’une réponse stratégique de tout le Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 African Rhino Specialist Group report criminal networks and stop poachers before actual killings was well recognized. Feedback on ‘The viability of legalizing trade in horn in South Africa’ report This report emanated from an identiied need at the South African Minister of Environment’s Rhino Summit held in in October 2010 (see https:// www.environment.gov.za/sites/default/iles/docs/ rhinohorntrade_southafrica_legalisingreport.pdf). A questionnaire survey of 104 rhino experts and rhino owners was undertaken, in addition to an assessment of current literature on the subject. The focus of the study was on the potential impact of the current national moratorium on trade in rhino horn in South Africa and whether it should be lifted. The study aimed to address the following: 1) analyse trends in local (national) trade in rhino horn before the moratorium came into effect in February 2009; 2) analyse trends in incidents of illegal killing before and after the national moratorium was declared; 3) assess the potential national market for rhino horn; 4) determine security risks relating to the lifting of the moratorium; 5) identify measures to be put in place to address the risks identiied above, including a response strategy; 6) recommend systems to be developed and implemented to regulate national trade in rhino horn, including a tracking and monitoring system; 7) identify the legal requirements to be addressed in terms of a national trade system; 8) identify means to ensure rhino horn traded nationally does not enter international trade; 9) analyse similar situations in other countries and advise on best practices and interventions made in those countries. Although there was mixed reaction to the survey, it did recommend that South Africa should not lift the current national moratorium on the trade in horn while an international ban in the trade of rhino horn existed. Although mainly opinion based, the survey indicated that lifting the national moratorium may possibly lead to greater laundering of horn on to the illegal market, tarnishing South Africa’s conservation and compliance image. It was recommended that South Africa should immediately develop a secure national electronic permitting system to bring noncompliance issues under control. This should be Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 gouvernement namibien à la menace du crime organisé et son impact sur les ressources de la faune du pays. On a reconnu l’importance de la coopération internationale, l’échange d’informations et de renseignements proactifs ain de perturber les réseaux criminels organisés et arrêter les braconniers avant les abattages réels. Feedback sur le rapport sur « La viabilité de la légalisation du commerce des cornes en Afrique du Sud » Ce rapport émane d’un besoin identifié au Sommet sur le rhinocéros du Ministre sud-africain de l’environnement qui s’est tenu en octobre 2010 (voir https://www.environment.gov.za/sites/default/iles/docs/ rhinohorntrade_southafrica_legalisingreport.pdf). Une enquête par questionnaire des 104 experts du rhinocéros et des propriétaires de rhinocéros a été entreprise, en plus d’une évaluation de la littérature actuelle sur le sujet. L’objectif de l’étude portait sur l’impact potentiel du moratoire national actuel sur le commerce des cornes de rhinocéros en Afrique du Sud et à savoir s’il devrait être levé. L’étude visait à examiner les questions suivantes: 1) analyser les tendances du commerce local (national) dans la corne de rhinocéros avant le moratoire qui est entré en vigueur en février 2009; 2) analyser les tendances dans les cas d’abattage illégal avant et après que le moratoire national ait été déclaré; 3) évaluer le marché potentiel national pour la corne de rhinocéros; 4) déterminer les risques de sécurité liés à la levée du moratoire; 5) identiier les mesures à mettre en place pour traiter les risques identiiés ci-dessus, y compris une stratégie de réponse; 6) recommander des systèmes à développer et à mettre en œuvre pour réglementer le commerce national de la corne de rhinocéros, y compris un système de suivi et de surveillance; 7) identiier les conditions légales requises en termes d’un système de commerce national; 8) identiier les moyens de s’assurer que la corne de rhinocéros commercialisée à l’échelle nationale n’entre pas dans le commerce international; 9) analyser des situations similaires dans d’autres pays et donner des conseils sur les meilleures pratiques et les interventions réalisées dans ces pays. Bien qu’il y ait eu des réactions mitigées à l’enquête, il a été recommandé que l’Afrique du Sud ne doive pas lever le moratoire national actuel sur le commerce des cornes tandis qu’une interdiction internationale du commerce de la corne de rhinocéros existait. Bien que principalement basée sur l’opinion, l’enquête a indiqué que la levée du moratoire national peut éventuellement conduire à un 15 Knight linked to a rhino database that includes horn stockpile and DNA proile information. Private rhino owners should also be given incentive to continue protecting rhinos during this period. This could be achieved through government’s general willingness to try to ind solutions in support of the private sector concerns, such as offering secure sites to store horn and offering more streamlined permit procedures as an incentive for rhino owners to comply. In addition, it was urged that South Africa must continue to show full compliance with CITES Resolutions and if a proposal for legalizing international trade is to be submitted, a detailed proposal should be made available as soon as possible. Rhino impact bonds The AfRSG Secretariat and other AfRSG members have been working closely with the Zoological Society of London (ZSL), Social Finance and more recently also the AsRSG and other UfW partners to investigate, develop and try a new innovative form of funding of ield conservation action. The Royal Foundation of Princes William and Harry and the Duchess of Cambridge is interested in exploring the possible value impact bonds as a rhino conservation-funding tool. The idea is that each project bond will have a set of measurable target deliverables (such as increasing rhino numbers by x or keeping poaching below y). The concept is that philanthropists provide initial funding for such impact bonds and, if the project is successful in delivering against the measurable objectives set out, the philanthropists will be reimbursed by other participating bodies such as the Global Environment Facility (GEF) or governments. Unlike traditional grant projects, governments only have to pay out on successes and philanthropists are also given incentive to back good projects likely to deliver so they can get their seed funding back and be able to re-invest it to achieve more. Following a meeting in London coinciding with the London IWT Conference, the concept and a draft document jointly prepared by ZSL, Social Finance and AfRSG were presented to potential funders. The idea was welcomed by GEF and an initial Project Identiication Form for USD 2 million to develop and test out the concept was 16 plus grand blanchiment de cornes sur le marché illégal, ternissant l’image de la conservation et de la conformité de l’Afrique du Sud. On a recommandé que l’Afrique du Sud élabore immédiatement un système national de permis électronique sécurisé pour mettre sous contrôle les questions de non-conformité. Il doit être lié à une base de données de rhinocéros qui comprend les stocks de cornes et les informations sur le proil d’ADN. Les propriétaires privés de rhinocéros devraient aussi avoir intérêt à continuer à protéger les rhinocéros au cours de cette période. Cela pourrait se faire par la volonté générale du gouvernement de tenter de trouver des solutions pour répondre aux préoccupations du secteur privé, par exemple en offrant des sites sécurisés pour stocker les cornes et en offrant des procédures de permis plus simpliiées pour motiver les propriétaires de rhinocéros de se conformer. En outre, on a demandé que l’Afrique du Sud continue à montrer un respect intégral pour les résolutions de la CITES et si une proposition de légaliser le commerce international doit être soumise, une proposition détaillée devrait être disponible dès que possible. Impacts des Obligations sur le Rhinocéros Le Secrétariat du GSRAf et d’autres membres du GSRAf travaillent en étroite collaboration avec la Société zoologique de Londres (ZSL), Finance sociale et, plus récemment, le GSRAs et d’autres partenaires de la Fondation Unis pour la Faune pour étudier, développer et essayer une nouvelle forme innovatrice de inancement des actions de conservation sur le terrain. La Fondation royale des Princes William et Harry et la Duchesse de Cambridge s’intéresse à explorer l’impact de la valeur possible des obligations en tant qu’outil de inancement de la conservation des rhinocéros. L’idée est que chaque obligation de projet aura un ensemble d’objectifs cibles mesurables (tels que l’augmentation du nombre de rhinocéros par x ou le maintien du braconnage en-dessous de y). Le concept est que les philanthropes fournissent un inancement initial pour de telles obligations d’impact et, si le projet réussit par rapport aux objectifs mesurables prévus, les philanthropes seront remboursés par d’autres organismes participants tels que le Fonds pour l’Environnement Mondial (FEM) ou les gouvernements. Contrairement aux projets traditionnels de subventions, les gouvernements ne doivent payer que les succès et on donne également aux philanthropes une motivation pour soutenir de bons projets susceptibles de réussir ain qu’ils puissent obtenir leur inancement de démarrage et être en Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 African Rhino Specialist Group report submitted to and approved by GEF. The various cooperating partners are assisting by developing a full GEF proposal and liaising with the Royal Foundation to seek support to boost the initial funding for the demonstration phase of the project up to a total of USD 5 million. If this funding model proves to work in practice the hope is that it could be rolled out on a bigger scale. At this initial stage it has been decided to focus on a few projects relating to a small number of Key black, white and greater one-horned rhino projects in Africa and Asia. At the time of writing those involved are working to review and decide on possible sites to fund. Decline in live white rhino sale turnover in South Africa following upsurge of poaching and its implications The AfRSG’s scientiic oficer has collated live white rhino sale data from the three biggest sellers: Ezemvelo KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) Wildlife, South African National Parks (SANParks) and Vleisscentraal Auctioneers. Figure 2 shows that inlation-adjusted annual turnover has declined considerably in recent years following the upsurge in poaching. After an initial rush to sell rhinos in 2009 soon after poaching had started to increase, turnover has declined considerably. This is primarily because the major conservation agencies have fewer surplus rhinos to sell due to the poaching. Figure 2 shows this signiicant decline in turnover is primarily due to the reduction in number of animals being sold. Fewer live sales have also signiicantly reduced funding for state conservation agencies such as Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife and SANParks. For example, the decline in turnover for these two conservation organizations (adjusted for inflation to 2013 South African rand [ZAR] values) from 2007 (the year before poaching started to escalate) to 2012 was almost ZAR 35.9m (close to US$3.8m at prevailing exchange rates). In addition, the trend of increasing numbers of private sector owners in South Africa getting rid of some or all of their rhinos given increased security costs and risks that have accompanied the upsurge in poaching shows no sign of abating. This may reduce the range available for expanding rhino range and numbers. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 mesure de le réinvestir pour obtenir plus. Suite à une réunion à Londres qui a coïncidé avec la Conférence sur le Commerce International de la Faune Sauvage de Londres, le concept et un projet de document préparé conjointement par la Société Zoologique de Londres, Finance sociale et le GSRAf ont été présentés aux bailleurs de fonds potentiels. L’idée a été bien accueillie par le FEM et un premier PIF de USD2 millions pour développer et tester le concept a été soumis et approuvé par le FEM. Les différents partenaires de coopération aident à développer une proposition complète pour le FEM en liaison avec la Fondation Royale pour chercher un soutien ain de stimuler le inancement initial pour la phase de démonstration du projet jusqu’à un total de USD5 millions. Si ce modèle de inancement marche dans la pratique, l’espoir est qu’il pourra être déployé sur une plus grande échelle. A ce stade initial, il a été décidé de se concentrer sur quelques projets relatifs à un petit nombre de projets clés sur les rhinocéros noirs, blancs et unicornes en Afrique et en Asie. Au moment de la rédaction, ceux qui sont impliqués travaillent à revoir et à décider sur des sites possibles à inancer. Baisse du chiffre d’affaires de la vente des rhinocéros blancs vivants en Afrique du Sud après une recrudescence du braconnage et ses implications Le responsable scientiique du GSRAf a rassemblé des données sur la vente des rhinocéros blancs vivants des trois plus gros vendeurs: Ezemvelo KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) Wildlife, les parcs nationaux sud-africains (SANParks) et le commissaire-priseur Vleisscentraal. La Figure 2 montre que le chiffre d’affaires annuel ajusté à l’inlation a considérablement diminué ces dernières années suite à la recrudescence du braconnage. Après une poussée initiale pour vendre les rhinocéros en 2009 peu de temps après que le braconnage ait commencé à augmenter, le chiffre d’affaires a considérablement diminué. C’est principalement parce que les principaux organismes de conservation ont moins de rhinocéros en surplus à vendre en raison du braconnage. La Figure 2 montre que cette baisse signiicative du chiffre d’affaires est principalement due à la réduction du nombre d’animaux vendus. La réduction de ventes d’animaux vivants a également réduit de manière signiicative le inancement des organismes de conservation de l’Etat tels qu’Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife et SANParks. Par exemple, 17 Knight 400 350 12,000,000 300 10,000,000 250 8,000,000 200 6,000,000 150 4,000,000 100 2,000,000 Total number of white rhino sold by ’Big 3’ Live white rhino turnover (’Big3’ sellers) US$ 2013 values 14,000,000 50 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20141H Year (except 2014 which is for first half of the year only) no. sold Total WR turnover ‘Big3’ sellers: US$ 2013 value Big 3 = Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife, SANParks & Vleisscentraal Auctioneers Figure 2. White rhino live sale turnover in South Africa by the three biggest sellers (based on data supplied by Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife, SANParks and Vleisscentraal auctioneers). The 2014 igure refers only to the irst half of 2014; the total turnover for 2014 will be higher. Figure 2: Le chiffre d’affaires de la vente de rhinocéros blancs vivants en Afrique du Sud par les trois plus gros vendeurs (basé sur les données fournies par Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife, SANParks et les commissaires-priseurs Vleisscentraal). Le chiffre de 2014 ne porte que sur le premier semestre de 2014; le chiffre d’affaires total pour 2014 sera plus élevé. Achievement I congratulate Benson Okita-Ouma (deputy chair) on receiving his PhD from Wageningen University, Netherlands. His dissertation is entitled ‘Population densities of eastern black rhinoceros: unravelling the controls’. Acknowledgements I acknowledge and thank our various sponsors: WWF’s African Rhino Programme (with funding from WWF Netherlands), US Fish and Wildlife’s Rhino and Tiger Conservation Fund, Save the Rhino International, International Rhino Foundation and UK’s Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) for sponsoring the scientific officer’s time. I also thank the Endangered Wildlife Trust for administrative assistance. I thank Dr Richard 18 la baisse du chiffre d’affaires de ces deux organisations de conservation (ajusté pour l’inlation du rand sudafricain à la valeur de 2013) entre 2007 (l’année avant la recrudescence du braconnage) et 2012 était presque 35,9 millions de rands sud-africains (près de USD3,8 millions aux taux de change en vigueur). En outre, la tendance du nombre croissant de propriétaires du secteur privé en Afrique du Sud à se débarrasser de tous leurs rhinocéros ou d’une partie étant donné les coûts accrus de sécurité et les risques qui accompagnent la recrudescence du braconnage ne montre aucun signe de ralentissement. Cela peut réduire l’habitat disponible pour augmenter l’habitat ou le nombre de rhinocéros. Réalisation Je félicite Benson Okita-Ouma (Vice-président) pour avoir reçu son doctorat de l’Université de Wageningen aux Pays-Bas. Sa thèse est intitulée « Les densités de Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 African Rhino Specialist Group report Emslie (scientiic oficer) and Dr Benson OkitaOuma (deputy chair) for their inputs, constant support and advice. I also thank those who provided information towards this report. population de rhinocéros noirs de l’Est: démêler les contrôles ». Remerciements Je reconnais et remercie nos différents sponsors: le Programme du WWF pour les rhinocéros d’Afrique (avec un inancement du WWF Pays-Bas), le Fonds du Service de la Pêche et de la Faune Sauvage pour la Conservation du Rhinocéros et du Tigre, Save the Rhino International, la Fondation Internationale pour le Rhinocéros et le Ministère Britannique de l’Environnement, de l’Alimentation et des Affaires rurales (DEFRA) pour le parrainage du temps du chargé scientiique. Je remercie également le Fonds de la Faune Sauvage menacée d’extinction pour l’assistance administrative. Je remercie le Dr. Richard Emslie (responsable scientiique) et le Dr. Benson Okita-Ouma (Vice-président) pour leur contribution, leur soutien et leurs conseils constants. Je remercie également tous ceux qui ont fourni des informations pour la rédaction de ce rapport. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 19 Talukdar Asian Rhino Specialist Group report Rapport du Groupe des Spécialistes des Rhinocéros d’Asie Bibhab Kumar Talukdar, Chair/Président Aaranyak, 50 Samanwoy Path (Survey), PO Beltola, Guwahati – 781 028, Assam, India email: bibhab@aaranyak.org Second rhino security and monitoring meeting in South Africa 2ème réunion sur la sécurité et la surveillance des rhinocéros en Afrique du Sud I attended a meeting, ‘Using modern technology to protect Africa’s rhinos: security and technology workshop’ held 29 March–1 April 2014 at Mopani Rest Camp in Kruger National Park, South Africa. The meeting was organized by Save the Rhino International and WWF-South Africa, with additional substantial inancial support from US Fish and Wildlife Service and the South African National Parks (SANParks). This was the second such meeting on rhino security; the irst was held in Namibia in 2012. I delivered a paper on dehorning feasibilities in Assam, India, as a measure to protect rhinos from poachers. This meeting deliberated on the effectiveness of rhino horn poisoning, various rhino monitoring and security techniques, and the use of modern tools in rhino research, monitoring and security. The topics discussed at the meeting were useful; some can be replicated in the conservation and protection of rhinos in Asia. J’ai participé à une réunion sur «L’utilisation des technologies modernes pour protéger les rhinocéros d’Afrique: atelier sur la sécurité et la technologie» qui s’est tenue du 29 mars au 1er avril 2014 au Camp de Repos de Mopani dans le parc national Kruger, en Afrique du Sud. La réunion était organisée par Save the Rhino International et WWF-Afrique du Sud, avec un appui financier substantiel supplémentaire du Service de la Pêche et de la Faune Sauvage des Etats-Unis et de SANParks. Il s’agissait de la deuxième réunion sur la sécurité des rhinocéros; la première avait eu lieu en Namibie en 2012. J’ai fait une présentation sur la faisabilité de l’écornage dans l’Assam, en Inde, en tant qu’une mesure visant à protéger les rhinocéros des braconniers. Cette réunion a délibéré sur l’eficacité de l’empoisonnement de la corne de rhinocéros, diverses techniques de surveillance et de sécurité des rhinocéros, et l’utilisation des outils modernes dans la recherche sur les rhinocéros, la surveillance et la sécurité. Les sujets abordés lors de la réunion ont été utiles et certains peuvent être reproduits dans la conservation et la protection des rhinocéros en Asie. Rhino poaching scenario in Asia Poaching of rhinos during the irst six months of 2014 has been reported only from Assam where poachers killed about 20 greater one-horned rhinos: one in Pabitora Wildlife Sanctuary (WLS) and the others in and around Kaziranga National Park (NP). Nepal was successful in achieving zero poaching for almost 15 months. A poacher killed one rhino in the buffer zone of Chitwan NP in early May 2014. There was no report of any poaching of the critically endangered Javan and Sumatran rhinos from Indonesia. Although the rate of rhino poaching in Asia may not be as high as in Africa, the growing rhino horn market in some Asian countries 20 Le scénario du braconnage des rhinocéros en Asie Au cours des six premiers mois de 2014, le braconnage des rhinocéros n’a été rapporté que pour l’Assam où les braconniers ont tué environ 20 grands rhinocéros unicornes: un dans le sanctuaire de la Faune Sauvage de Pabitora et les autres dans le Parc national de Kaziranga et ses alentours. Le Népal a réussi à atteindre le braconnage zéro pendant presque 15 mois. Un braconnier a tué un rhinocéros dans la zone tampon du PN de Chitwan au début de mai 2014. Aucun braconnage des rhinocéros de Java et des rhinocéros de Sumatra en Indonésie, en Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Asian Rhino Specialist Group report is worrying, and small populations of Asian rhino species face great danger from organized poachers and rhino horn traders. Thus, there is a great need to prepare rhino range countries in Asia to strengthen intelligence gathering and effectiveness of ield patrols to unearth rhino poaching attempts and incidents and initiate the necessary steps to check rhino poaching. Progress in India Rhino Vision 2020 India Rhino Vision 2020 was launched in 2005 by the government of Assam along with the International Rhino Foundation, WWF, US Fish and Wildlife Service and Bodoland Territorial Council. Under this programme, since 2008, 18 wild greater one-horned rhinos have been captured from Pabitora WLS and Kaziranga NP and translocated to Manas NP Park. Nine rescued rhinos from other areas have also been rehabilitated in Manas. In the past 2 years, 11 rhinos have been born in Manas although 7 rhinos have been killed by poachers in the same park since 2011. Currently Manas NP has about 31 rhinos. The next phase of translocating rhinos is likely to take place in the coming winter. This time captured rhinos from Kaziranga NP and Pabitora WLS will be translocated to Laokhowa-Burachapori Wildlife Sanctuary in Assam. Likely threats to Chitwan National Park Chitwan NP in Nepal holds the second largest global population of wild greater one-horned rhino (GOH) in South Asia. Chitwan NP—a World Heritage Site—has successfully conserved the GOH rhino over the years and currently holds about 500 rhinos. Currently, two proposed infrastructure projects—the East-West Electric Railway and the Terai Postal Road—have generated signiicant concern on the effect they are likely to have in fragmenting the core wildlife habitat of Chitwan NP. Conservationists anticipate that if built without care, these proposed projects would cause loss of key habitats leading to habitat fragmentation and, maybe, loss of the UNESCO World Heritage Site status, which will result in Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 danger critique d’extinction, n’a été rapporté. Alors que, par rapport à l’Afrique, le taux du braconnage des rhinocéros en Asie n’est pas aussi élevé, la croissance du marché de la corne de rhinocéros dans certains pays d’Asie est préoccupante, et les petites populations d’espèces de rhinocéros d’Asie pourraient faire face à un plus grand danger des braconniers organisés et des commerçants de cornes de rhinocéros. Ainsi, il y a un plus grand besoin de préparer les pays de l’aire de répartition des rhinocéros en Asie ain de renforcer la collecte des renseignements et l’eficacité des patrouilles sur le terrain pour révéler les tentatives et les incidents de braconnage des rhinocéros et prendre les mesures nécessaires pour empêcher le braconnage. Les progrès de la Vision 2020 de l’Inde sur le Rhinocéros La Vision 2020 de l’Inde sur le Rhinocéros a été lancée en 2005 par le gouvernement de l’Assam en partenariat avec la Fondation internationale pour le rhinocéros, WWF, le Service de la Pêche et de la Faune Sauvage des Etats-Unis et le Conseil territorial du Bodoland. Dans ce programme, depuis 2008, 18 grands rhinocéros unicornes sauvages ont été capturés dans le Sanctuaire de la Faune Sauvage de Pabitora et le Parc National de Kaziranga et ils ont été transférés dans le parc national de Manas. Neuf rhinocéros sauvés des autres régions ont également été réhabilités à Manas. Au cours des 2 dernières années, 11 rhinocéros sont nés à Manas bien que 7 rhinocéros aient été tués par des braconniers dans le même parc depuis 2011. Actuellement, il y a environ 31 rhinocéros dans le parc national de Manas. La phase suivante de la translocation des rhinocéros va probablement avoir lieu l’hiver prochain. Cette fois les rhinocéros capturés dans le parc national de Kaziranga et le sanctuaire de la Faune Sauvage de Pabitora seront transférés vers le sanctuaire de la Faune Sauvage de Laokhowa-Burachapori dans l’Assam. Menaces possibles dans le parc national de Chitwan Le parc national de Chitwan au Népal détient la deuxième plus grande population mondiale de grands rhinocéros unicornes sauvages en Asie du Sud. Le parc national de Chitwan - un site du patrimoine mondial - a réussi à conserver le grand rhinocéros unicorne au il des années et détient actuellement environ 500 rhinocéros. Actuellement, 21 Talukdar losses in tourism activity, marketing capacity and a signiicant amount of tourist-based income where both government and local communities are stakeholders. The recently concluded 38th session of the World Heritage Committee meeting held in Doha, Qatar, 15–25 June 2014, expressed concern about these proposed infrastructure projects and considered that if implemented as planned through Chitwan NP-cum-World Heritage Site, they would be a potential danger to its Outstanding Universal Value of a World Heritage Site. As a party to the Convention on Biological Diversity, Nepal has agreed to the strategic plan on biodiversity and its accompanying Aichi Biodiversity Targets. Naturally, appropriate protection and management of Chitwan NP are needed to ensure that by 2020 the extinction of known threatened species, including the greater one-horned rhino, has been prevented and their conservation status improved and sustained. What is needed now is to ind a balance between infrastructure development and conservation of species and landscapes and the communities they support. 22 deux projets d’infrastructure proposés – le chemin de fer électrique est-ouest et la route postale de Teraï – ont suscité une profonde inquiétude concernant l’impact qu’ils sont susceptibles d’avoir sur la fragmentation de l’habitat principal de la faune du parc national de Chitwan. Les écologistes prévoient que s’ils sont construits sans précaution, ces projets proposés entraîneraient des pertes d’habitats clés menant à la fragmentation de l’habitat et, peut-être, la perte du statut de site du patrimoine mondial de l’UNESCO, ce qui se traduira par des pertes dans l’activité touristique, la capacité de commercialisation et les revenus importants provenant du tourisme où le gouvernement et les communautés locales sont parties prenantes. La 38ème session récemment conclue de la réunion du Comité du patrimoine mondial qui s’est tenue à Doha, au Qatar, du 15 au 25 juin 2014, a exprimé sa préoccupation au sujet de ces projets d’infrastructure proposés estimant que s’ils sont réalisés comme prévu à travers le parc national de Chitwan-cum-site du patrimoine mondial, ils seraient un danger potentiel pour la Valeur universelle exceptionnelle d’un site du patrimoine mondial. En tant que partie à la Convention sur la diversité biologique, le Népal a accepté le plan stratégique d’Aichi sur la biodiversité et ses objectifs accompagnateurs de la biodiversité. Naturellement, la protection et la gestion appropriées du parc national de Chitwan sont nécessaires pour faire en sorte que d’ici 2020, l’extinction des espèces menacées connues, y compris le grand rhinocéros unicorne, soit évitée et leur état de conservation amélioré et maintenu. Ce qui est nécessaire maintenant c’est de trouver un équilibre entre le développement des infrastructures et la conservation des espèces et des paysages et les communautés qu’ils soutiennent. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Amwata and Mganga RESEARCH The African elephant and food security in Africa: experiences from Baringo District, Kenya Dorothy A Amwata and Kevin Z Mganga Department of Range and Wildlife Sciences, South Eastern University College, PO Box 170–90200, Kitui, Kenya Corresponding author email: damwata@yahoo.com or damwata@seku.ac.ke Abstract Elephants often impose costs including threats to human life and the destruction of crops and property on the people who share their range. Incidents of human–elephant conlict (HEC), especially crop destruction, are increasing in Africa, undermining efforts towards biodiversity conservation and food security. This study analysed the impact of crop destruction by African elephants on food security in Baringo District, Kenya. The study area was Mochongoi Division, which was stratiied into three blocks: Kamailel, Mochongoi and Kimoriot. Data were collected through administering questionnaires to 40 households per block; 120 respondents were interviewed and data analysed using the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS). Results from this study showed that HEC in the study area had reduced by 15% in 2006, by 20% in 2007, and by 29% in 2008. In addition, HEC was found to reduce household income by 35.1%. The crop most raided by elephants was maize, which accounted for 65.5% of all the HEC losses, next was beans (23.8%), then cabbage and potato. This study establishes that elephant presence in non-protected areas jeopardizes local community efforts to food security and undermines local livelihoods. Conservation agencies need to lobby and support the locals to venture into other income-generating activities, such as curio shops and ecotourism facilities, that are compatible with elephant conservation. Alternatively, Mochongoi elephants could be translocated to parks and reserves earmarked for wildlife conservation. Additional key words: cash income, crop destruction, human–elephant conlict, livelihood, poverty Résumé Les éléphants imposent souvent des coûts, y compris les menaces à la vie humaine et la destruction des cultures et des biens des gens qui partagent leur habitat. Les incidents de conlit homme-éléphant (CHE), en particulier la destruction des cultures, sont en augmentation en Afrique, ce qui compromet les efforts visant à la conservation de la biodiversité et la sécurité alimentaire. Cette étude a analysé l’impact de la destruction des cultures par les éléphants d’Afrique sur la sécurité alimentaire dans le district de Baringo au Kenya. La zone d’étude était la Division de Mochongoi, qui a été stratiiée en trois blocs: Kamailel, Mochongoi et Kimoriot. Les données ont été recueillies en administrant des questionnaires à 40 ménages par bloc; 120 personnes ont été interrogées et les données analysées en utilisant le Logiciel de statistique pour les sciences sociales (SPSS). Les résultats de cette étude ont montré que le CHE dans la zone d’étude s’était réduit de 15% en 2006, de 20% en 2007, et de 29% en 2008. En outre, on a trouvé que le CHE réduisait le revenu des ménages de 35,1%. La culture la plus maraudée par les éléphants était le maïs, qui représente 65,5% de toutes les pertes du CHE, suivi des haricots Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 23 Amwata and Mganga (23,8%), puis les choux et les pommes de terre. Cette étude établit que la présence d’éléphants dans les zones non protégées met en péril les efforts de la communauté locale à la sécurité alimentaire et compromet les moyens de subsistance locaux. Les organismes de conservation doivent faire le plaidoyer auprès des habitants et les encourager à entreprendre d’autres activités génératrices de revenus, tels que les magasins de souvenirs et les services d’écotourisme qui sont compatibles avec la conservation de l’éléphant. Alternativement, on pourrait transférer les éléphants Mochongoi vers les parcs et les réserves destinées à la conservation de la faune. Mots clés supplémentaires: revenus en espèces, destruction des cultures, conlits homme-éléphant, moyens de subsistance, pauvreté Introduction Conflict between humans and wildlife today undoubtedly ranks among the main threat to conservation in Africa. Alongside habitat destruction and commercially motivated hunting of wildlife to satisfy the demand for bush meat, conlict presents a real challenge to local, national and regional governments and non-governmental agencies in conservation (Treves and Karanth 2003). Human– elephant conlict (HEC) has become an important issue for conservationists during the last 30 years (Sarker and Roskaft 2010). HEC is a direct outcome of the excessive changes in land-use patterns and the continued conversion of natural elephant habitat to human use (Nelson et al. 2003). Recorded incidents of HEC, in particular crop raiding, are increasing in rural Africa as intensiication and extension of cultivation lengthens the human–elephant interface (Hedges et al. 2005). In addition, large populations of Kenya’s elephants range outside protected areas and migrate between such areas and their environs as well as between habitats. Elephant movement is inluenced by a number of factors, notably the search for food, water, minerals and in response to disturbance. This movement may be unpredictable and complex in certain situations (Blanc et al. 2003) as elephants tend to shift their movement patterns in response to availability of water and forage. At times the movement may be regular between dry and wet season ranges, in addition to other factors such as human settlement and infrastructure development (Masila 2004). HEC is a growing concern, particularly in Kenya where elephant habitats are rapidly being converted to farmland and settlement, forcing elephants out of their ranges and into fragmented pockets of habitat. Despite this, elephant numbers in Kenya have risen in recent years due to anti-poaching policies enforced by the government (Omondi et al. 2002). As a result, 24 these re-expanding elephant populations frequently come into conlict with humans. HEC has both direct and indirect cost implications for people in many parts of Africa (Graham et al. 2010). Direct costs are relatively straightforward to quantify. However, indirect costs associated with time and money required to avoid HEC, such as the curfews on school-going children due to presence of elephants on roads leading to school, are more dificult to estimate (Hill 2004). Despite the disruption of socio-economic activities, pastoral and agropastoral people living in adjacent park areas are denied access to protected areas but are expected to tolerate the presence of elephants wandering on their private and communal lands. This leads to anger and desperation because these communities have to bear the costs associated with hosting elephants. People often respond to HEC by taking actions such as injuring or killing elephants and other wildlife species or creating conlict with elephant authorities (Woodroffe et al. 2005). Most pastoral communities now weigh the costs of tolerating elephants against the proits to be made from selling their land or converting it to more proitable use (Gadd 2005). Not surprisingly, most pastoralists are now practising agropastoralism or leasing their land for intensive irrigation agriculture, such as is happening in Laikipia County. Despite these problems, many pastoral communities seem to tolerate the elephant menace with the hope that a solution will be found one day (Amwata et al. 2006). Therefore, for people and elephants to live in harmony, the importance of elephants in the study area needs to be evaluated. The elephant situation is particularly problematic because elephants compete with livestock and humans for resources, raid farmers’ crops, and threaten livestock, people and property. For elephants to persist on pastoral rangelands, a costs and beneits analysis and its implications for local livelihoods is fundamental. Past studies have focused on elephant distribution, status, movement, and the nature and extent of conlicts Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Amwata and Mganga (Blanc et al. 2003) and spatial aspects (Sitati et al. 2003). Others have emphasized elephants in relation to agricultural conlicts. Most of these studies have shown the economic losses attributed to elephants, but few quantitatively approximate the monetary losses. These studies have shown limited interaction between elephant damage and household food security status. It was with this concern that we undertook this study to facilitate a better understanding of the nature, degree of conlicts, and how these conlicts impact household food security and wellbeing. Materials and methods Study area Balanites aegyptiaca and Maerua angolensis. The study area is inhabited by Pokot, Tugen and Njemps pastoral communities. The pastoralists in Baringo District are mainly transhumance pastoralists. They exemplify communities in arid and semi-arid lands that depend on livestock for their livelihood (Kaimba et al. 2011). Methodology and data collection Mochongoi Division formed the study area. It was divided into three blocks—Kamailel, Mochongoi and Kimoriot. Primary data were collected by administering questionnaires to 120 households (Figure 2); 40 households were interviewed in each block. Questions were sought on household size in adult equivalents, age composition, sources of livelihood, incidents of human–elephant conflict, household food consumption patterns, types of crops grown, and elephant-related property and crop losses. The questions were dichotomous, multi-choice and open ended to allow ease of capturing the diverse issues under investigation in the necessary detail. Secondary data were obtained from reviewing previous studies, government reports and manuals on land transformation, elephant conservation, land use and food security of the area. The primary data were analysed using the Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS). This study was conducted in Mochongoi Division in Baringo County, one of the arid and semi-arid counties in the Rift Valley Province of Kenya (Figure 1). Mochongoi Division covers approximately 390 km 2 and has three main agro-ecological zones: lowland, medium highland and highland. The lowlands comprise the northern plateau, Lake Baringo and Kerio Valley basins (Lelon et al. 2010). The study area is inluenced by the intertropical convergence zone, giving it a bimodal rainfall pattern with the long rains from March to July, and the short rains from midSeptember to November (Amwata et al. 2006). Average minimum temperature is 20 ºC and the maximum is 35 ºC (Kaimba et al. 2011). Soils are tertiary volcanic in origin, dominated by porous volcanic sandy and clay soils. The soils become soggy and waterlogged in the wet season and rapidly dry and crack during the dry season. The main vegetation type is Acacia woodland dominated by Acacia N tortilis, Acacia reficiens and Boscia coriacea. Other Mochongoi households sampled major plant species include Mochongoi Forest Mochongoi admin boundaries Olea africana, Croton megalocarpus, Juniperus 0 300,000 600,000 900,000 1,200,000 cm p ro c e r a , P o d o c a r p u s gracilor, Cordia sinensis, Figure 1. Location of Mochongoi forest and households sampled in Mochongoi S a l v a d o r a p e r s i c a , Division Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 25 Amwata and Mganga 70 Number of HEC incidents reported Results and discussion 60 No. of HEC incidents reported 50 Results obtained from this study show that 40 HEC in the study 30 area has considerably reduced: by 15% in 20 2006, by 20% in 10 2007, and by 29% in 2008 (Figure 2). This 0 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 reduction could be attributed to improved Year service delivery that was achieved by Figure 2. Trends in HEC in Mochongoi Division from 1996 to 2011. (Source: Modiied from Amwata et al. (2006); KWS (2011)) relocating the Kenya Wi l d l i f e S e r v i c e 60 (KWS) Mochongoi station from Kabarnet to Nyahururu Station. Crops 50 In addition, KWS rangers have Property Human lives been provided with the necessary 40 equipment and facilities, such as 30 motorbikes, spotlights, raincoats and gumboots, which boosted 20 their work morale and motivated them to constantly patrol without 10 waiting for alarm calls from the 0 locals. These regular patrols have 1 0 8 9 7 5 6 3 4 2 0 1 9 6 8 greatly reduced contact between 199 199 199 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 201 201 people and elephants. Year Figure 2 shows that the number Figure 3. Incidence and different types of HEC, 1996–2011. of HEC incidents declined between 2008 and 2011. Results of land-use activities: livestock production, crop from this study suggest that with more motivation and provision of transport facilities, production, small-scale mixed agriculture, and charcoal burning in Mochongoi forest. Charcoal burning was the likelihood is that HEC can be further reduced. From the questionnaire survey and the KWS later banned and the forest is recovering. Additionally, Occurrence Book, the most prevalent types of HEC households living within the forest boundary were were crop destruction, loss of property and threat to relocated. All households interviewed in the study area human life, in descending order. However, in addition to these types of HEC, Amwata et al. (2006) noted practise some form of cultivation. Crops grown, in forms of HEC such as human deaths, disruption of order of preference, were maize, beans, irish potato, school attendance and destruction of water points, cabbage, kale, sorghum, onion, banana, peas and carrot which have ceased to occur in the area. Besides, (Table 1). The contribution and economic loss of the evidence from KWS Occurrence Book for the period most common crop types grown by all households 2006–2011 shows that these forms of HEC were never to total income is shown in Table 2. Maize was the highest contributor to household income; next was reported (Figure 3). Previous research studies in the study area by beans, cabbage and lastly potato. Similarly, maize Amwata et al. (2006) noted four different types experienced the greatest losses due to HEC, leading to a 62.8% reduction in maize income. 26 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Amwata and Mganga Table 1. Distribution of crops grown by different households in the three blocks Crop Kamailel Banana Beans Cabbage Carrot Irish potato Kale Maize Onion Pea Sorghum Kimoriot 2 27 14 0 22 11 40 4 0 9 Mochongoi 1 29 9 4 19 9 40 14 7 5 6 31 18 0 25 16 40 9 2 15 Respondents (n = 120) 9 87 41 4 66 36 120 27 9 29 % of respondents 7.50 72.50 34.17 3.33 55.00 30.00 100.00 22.50 7.50 24.17 Table 2. Estimated contribution of selected crops to household income and associated HEC losses Food type Beans Cabbage Maize Potato Other crops Contribution to household income (%) 13.7 5.1 65.2 8.9 7.1 Loss in household income due to HEC (%) 23.9 4.8 62.8 3.2 5.3 Table 3. Acreage of crops destroyed by elephants in the three blocks Block Kamailel Kimoriot Mochongoi Total Maize (acres) Cultivated Destroyed 192 48.50 140 65.50 126 32.25 458 146.25 Beans (acres) Cultivated Destroyed 72.50 25.50 68.50 40.50 58.50 19.50 199.50 85.50 Cabbage (acres) Cultivated Destroyed 13.50 10.50 7.25 5.00 4.50 2.25 25.25 17.75 Table 4. Estimated value of elephant crop destruction in Kenya shillings (KES) Block Kamailel Kimoriot Mochongoi Total % of total crop loss Maize 2,716,000 3,668,000 1,806,000 8,190,000 65.5 Beans 1,224 000 1,944 000 9,360 000 4,104 000 32.8 Value (KES) Cabbage 126,000 60,000 27,000 213,000 1.7 Total 4,066,000 5,672,000 2,769,000 12,507,000 100.0 USD 1 = KES 85 To estimate the economic implication of elephant destruction, the acreage destroyed for the three major crops: maize, beans and cabbage, was calculated (Table 3). Results from the survey established that average yields of the three major crops were 2,970 kg/acre for maize, 1,440 kg/acre for beans and 1,050 kg/acre for Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 cabbage. Similarly the average market prices per 90kg bag during that season were Kenya shillings (KES) 2,000 for maize, KES 3,000 for beans and KES 800 for cabbage (USD 1 = KES 85). With these estimates, the economic loss associated with elephants in the 2007 March–August season is tabulated in Table 4. 27 Amwata and Mganga The questionnaire survey showed that the economic loss from elephant crop destruction was high. Crop production was the main source of livelihood. In monetary terms these losses were approximately KES 12,507,000 annually for Mochongoi Division. This translates to a 35.1% loss in household income annually for the study area. Kimoriot block had the greatest losses; next was Kamailel. Amwata et al. (2006) estimated HEC losses in Mochongoi Division at approximately 48.6% in income per household annually. This difference in estimating losses is attributed to the fact that current estimates have been based on real market values while previous estimates were based on price approximation. Moreover, the number of incidents of HEC has reduced, implying reduced economic losses. To understand the links between HEC and livelihood, it is critical to understand HEC inluence on food security and household income. To investigate the household food security status in the study area, we established household food consumption as a function of minimum energy requirement (MER). The MER in the study area was taken to be 2,250 kcal per active African man equivalence (AAME) per day (Amwata 2004). Several methods have been used to estimate the economic welfare of households. These include head count ratio, poverty gap index, squared poverty gap index and gini coeficient. Of these, the head count ratio is commonly used in developing countries because it shows details of how poverty is widespread. Also, these countries have a high preference for food nutritional security, which is consistent with the behaviour of poor people. In this study the food poverty incidence (fpi) was used to proxy the household food security status. The fpi of a household refers to the number of individuals in that household who fall below the food poverty line, given to be 2,250 kcal/adult equivalent (Nyariki et al. 2002; Amwata 2004, 2013). Food-poor households are those that do not have access to enough food to supply 2,250 kcal per AAME per day. To calculate the food poverty incidence, we used the following equation: fp = q/n where fp is the food poverty incidence, q the number of households that fall below the food poverty line, and n the total number of sampled households (Amwata 2004, 2013). Mochongoi Division depends on agriculture and local natural resources, and members of the community 28 in this division are unable to meet their basic needs, especially for food security, because of the elephants. All three blocks were food insecure. The overall fpi for Mochongoi Division was 0.2, which implies that only 20% of the households in the study area were food secure. Variations in fpi were noted among the three study blocks: Kamailel had the highest fpi of 0.3, next was Kimoriot with 0.2 while Mochongoi block had the lowest with 0.1. The fpi for the study area was found to lie within the ranges that have been reported from other parts of Kenya. In 1997 the fpi ranged between 18% and 70% with Kiambu District having an fpi of 18% (GOK 2000). However, the fpi for the study area was found to be lower than reported in other arid and semi-arid areas such as Kibwezi (46%) and Kilome (36%) (Nyariki et al. 2002), and Rendille in Marsabit District with an fpi of 61% during the wet season and 86% in the dry season (Sunya 2003). Conclusion Deforestation, increased human population and settlements have greatly reduced the area under forest cover in Mochongoi Division. This has tremendously contributed to the loss of elephant habitat and biodiversity. As a result, HEC incidents increase threats to the survival of communities inhabiting these areas. It is clear that the presence of elephants inlicts costs, leading to a negative attitude towards the elephants. The survival of both elephants and the local community is at stake. To resolve this problem, there is need to protect rural livelihoods and reduce their vulnerability to HEC. Mitigating losses with beneits derived from community-based conservation and natural resource management may be an effective option. Opportunities should include ecotourism ventures such as curio shops, eco-lodges and sportive destinations. The government could market Mochongoi Division as a tourist destination. This would motivate the locals since they could beneit directly and indirectly from elephants through tourism and its related activities such as curios and gate levies. Besides, tourism helps diversify livelihood sources, employment opportunities and income. Acknowledgements This project was supported by the Kenya Wildlife Service through its Elephant Programme and was funded by the Elephant Research Trust Fund. It would Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Amwata and Mganga have been dificult to conduct this study without this inancial support. We are indebted to Patrick Omondi, assistant director, KWS, for guiding and supervising this work. We thank the divisional oficer of Mochongoi Division and the game warden at KWS Nyahururu Station for their enthusiastic support, and our three ield assistants, the six KWS rangers, the driver and all those who contributed to this study in one way or another. References Amwata DA. 2004. Effects of communal and individual land-tenure systems on land use and food security in Kajiado District, Kenya. MSc thesis, Department of Range Management, University of Nairobi, Kenya. Amwata DA. 2013. Inluence of climate variability and change on land use and livelihoods in the southern rangelands of Kenya. PhD thesis, University of Nairobi, Kenya. Amwata DA, Omondi P, Bitok E. 2006. Human– elephant conlict in Mochongoi Forest: a case study of elephants. Pachyderm 41:31–36. Blanc JJ, Thouless CR, Hart JA, Dublin HT, DouglasHamilton I, Craig CG, Barnes RFW. 2003. African elephant status report 2002: an update from the African elephant database. IUCN/SSC African elephant Specialist Group. IUCN, Gland, Switzerland. Gadd ME. 2005. Conservation outside of parks: attitudes of local people in Laikipia, Kenya. Environmental Conservation 32(1):50–63. [GOK] Government of Kenya. 2000. Second report on poverty in Kenya: welfare indicator. A report prepared by the Central Bureau of Statistics and Human Resources and Social Services Department. Government Printer, Nairobi, Kenya. Graham MD, Notter B, Adams WM, Lee PC, Ochieng TN. 2010. Patterns of crop raiding by elephants, Loxodonta africana, in Laikipia, Kenya, and the management of human–elephant conlict. Systematics and Biodiversity 8(4):435–445. Hedges S, Tyson MJ, Sitompul AF, Kinnaird M, Gunaryadi D, Alsan. 2005. Distribution, status and conservation needs of Asian elephants (Elephas maximus) in Lampung Province, Sumatra, Indonesia. Biological Conservation 124:35–48. Hill CM. 2004. Farmers’ perspectives of conlict at the wildlife–agriculture boundary: some lessons learned Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 from African subsistence farmers. Human Dimensions of Wildlife 9:279–286. Kaimba GK, Njehia BK, Guliye AY. 2011. Effects of cattle rustling and household characteristics on migration decisions and herd size amongst pastoralists in Baringo District, Kenya. Pastoralism: Research, Policy and Practice 1:1–16. [KWS] Kenya Wildlife Service. 2011. The Kenya Wildlife Service Occurrence Book for the period 2006–2011. Narok Station, Narok, Kenya. Lelon JK, Jumba IO, Keter JK, Chemuku W, Oduor FDO. 2010. Assessment of physical properties of gum arabic from Acacia senegal varieties in Baringo District, Kenya. African Journal of Plant Science 4(4):95–98. Masila JK. 2004. Spatial and temporal distribution of African elephants Loxodanta africana (Blumenbach) and their interaction with humans in Kuku-Kimana areas of Tsavo–Amboseli ecosystems of Kenya. Kenya Wildlife Service, Nairobi, Kenya. Nelson A, Bidwell P, Sillero-Zubiri C. 2003. A review of human–elephant conlict management strategies. People and Wildlife Initiative, Wildlife Conservation Research Unit, Oxford University. Nyariki DM, Wiggins SL, Imungi JK. 2002. Levels and causes of household food and nutrition insecurity in dryland Kenya. Ecology of Food and Nutrition 41(2):155–167. Omondi P, Bitok E, Kagiri J. 2002. Strategies in managing human–elephant conlict in some ranges in Kenya. Kenya Wildlife Service, Nairobi, Kenya. Sarker AHMR, Roskaft E. 2010. Human attitudes towards conservation of Asian elephants (Elephas maximus) in Bangladesh. International Journal of Biodiversity and Conservation 2(10):316–327. Sitati NW, Walpole MJ, Leader-Williams N. 2003. Predicting spatial aspects of human–elephant conlicts. Journal of Applied Ecology 40:667–677. Sunya O. 2003. Marketing of sheep and goats and its role in food security among pastoral communities in Marsabit District. MSc thesis, University of Nairobi, Kenya. Treves A, Karanth KU. 2003. Human–carnivore conlict and perspectives on carnivore management worldwide. Conservation Biology 17(6):1491–1499. Woodroffe R, Thirgood S, Rabinowitz A, editors. 2005. People and wildlife: conlict or coexistence? Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. 29 Martin and Vigne Luanda—the largest illegal ivory market in southern Africa Esmond Martin and Lucy Vigne PO Box 15510 – 00503, Nairobi, Kenya; email: rhino@wananchi.com Abstract Luanda, the capital of Angola, has the largest illegal retail ivory market in southern Africa today. In early 2014 we surveyed the retail outlets in and around Luanda and counted 10,888 recently carved ivory items without proper documentation, and thus illegal. These pieces had been crafted in central Africa and Angola, mostly from poached forest elephants. The tusks can be obtained wholesale in Luanda for USD 150–250/kg. We estimated 92% of the total worked ivory on display was in Mercardo do Artesanato in Benica in the southern outskirts of Luanda. The vendors there are from the Democratic Republic of Congo, Republic of Congo and Angola. The buyers today are nearly all Chinese. There has been a huge increase in demand for worked ivory since 2005 due to the rising number of Chinese working in Angola, from 25,000 in 2006 to 260,000 in 2012. Items for the Chinese, such as jewellery, name seals, Buddhas and chopsticks, dominate the market. Retail prices can be a tenth of those in China, and construction workers go daily to Benica market for worked ivory to bring back home. Not only is Angola acting as a main conduit for shipments of tusks wholesale to East Asia, but the blatant sale of ivory items in Benica market encourages poaching as well. Angola needs urgently to enforce its domestic ban on ivory sales and the CITES ban. Résumé Luanda, la capitale de l’Angola, a aujourd’hui le plus grand marché de l’ivoire illégal au détail en Afrique australe. Au début de 2014 nous avons étudié les points de vente à Luanda et ses alentours et nous avons compté 10.888 articles en ivoire récemment sculptés sans documentation adéquate, et donc illégaux. Ces pièces avaient été fabriquées en Afrique centrale et en Angola, pour la plupart à partir des éléphants de forêt braconnés. On peut se procurer des défenses en gros à Luanda pour USD 150–250/kg. Nous avons estimé que 92% de tout l’ivoire travaillé sur le marché était dans Mercardo do Artesanato à Benica dans la banlieue sud de Luanda. Les vendeurs là-bas viennent de la République démocratique du Congo, de la République du Congo et d’Angola. Les acheteurs sont aujourd’hui presque tous Chinois. Il y a eu une énorme augmentation de la demande pour l’ivoire travaillé depuis 2005 en raison de l’augmentation du nombre de Chinois qui travaillent en Angola, qui sont passés de 25.000 en 2006 à 260.000 en 2012. Les articles pour les Chinois, tels que les bijoux, les sceaux avec des noms, les bouddhas et les baguettes, dominent le marché. Les prix de détail peuvent être un dixième de ceux de la Chine, et les travailleurs de construction vont quotidiennement sur le marché de Benica pour chercher l’ivoire travaillé à ramener à la maison. Non seulement l’Angola sert de conduit principal pour les cargaisons de défenses de gros vers l’Asie de l’Est, mais la vente lagrante des articles en ivoire sur le marché de Benica encourage aussi le braconnage. De toute urgence, il faut que l’Angola fasse respecter son interdiction nationale sur les ventes d’ivoire et l’interdiction de la CITES. Introduction Angolans have been crafting ivory for centuries. From independence in 1975 to the end of the Angolan civil war in 2002, insecurity prevented any study of Luanda’s ivory markets although large numbers of elephants were reported being killed during those years. TRAFFIC carried out the irst main survey of 30 the domestic ivory trade in Luanda in June 2005. The investigators carried out a two-hour survey in Mercado do Artesanato in Benica (Benica market) and did a partial count of ivory items observed, mainly the larger items. They also counted 568 ivory items in other smaller retail outlets, including at the airport. They estimated 1,573 kg of worked ivory was displayed for sale in Luanda at this time. They also investigated Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Luanda—the largest illegal ivory market in southern Africa Angola’s legislation on the ivory trade, with the help of government oficials (Milliken et al. 2006). In September 2013 scientists in Angola, while surveying the country’s wildlife, conducted another partial count of ivory items in Benica market: 2,056 objects, excluding 30–40% of the smaller items (Svensson et al. 2013; Bersacola et al. 2014). Methods From 26 February to 5 March 2014 we studied the retail ivory trade in Luanda, Angola’s capital. We concentrated our time in Benica market, as it is the most important retail outlet for worked ivory. We spent a morning and afternoon counting all the ivory items on display for retail sale in this market on Thursday, 27 February, and we returned the next day and on Sunday to collect further information. We priced the items and counted the number of stalls that were open on different days, and noted the origin of the ivory and where the items were carved. We also asked vendors—when we could, as often they were suspicious—about the prices of the raw material and about the nationalities of the craftsmen, vendors and customers. We observed, when possible, ivory items and raw tusks stored in metal trunks under the tables, but as these were not on display the items we saw were not counted in order to be consistent with our past survey methods. We visited all Luanda’s main hotels, souvenir shops and stalls and checked the airport for any ivory for sale. We interviewed two Angolan ivory carvers about their business and we learned about the economic boom and development occurring in Luanda and in Angola overall. We interviewed tour operators and souvenir shop vendors to ascertain their views on the ivory trade. Background Luanda, a city of ive million people, has since 2002 become one of the most expensive cities in the world for expatriates. Lack of adequate conservation funds since the end of the civil war had precluded detailed ivory surveys, but some indings showed that Angola’s ivory market was a signiicant problem that needed further investigating. Another deterrent to visiting Angola is the long time it takes to obtain a visa, putting off conservationists, tourists and businessmen alike. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Short history of the Angolan ivory trade The Kongo people in central Africa and Angola have had a long tradition carving ivory. They have been famous in the African art world from the 16th century for producing intricately carved oliphants—musical instruments played as side-blown horns (Bassani and Fagg 1988). They also carved Roman Catholic igures for the Portuguese colonialists. The Pinde people in Angola were well known in the 18th century for carving ivory human igures for their own culture (Manuel Murteira Martins, art historian and antique dealer, Lisbon, pers. comm. to Esmond Martin, 24 September 2008). From 1830 to1975 the Kongo and other tribes in Angola produced carved ivory items in increasing amounts, including carved tusks, to meet the demand of the Portuguese and other Europeans living in the country (Ross 1992; St Aubyn 1987). Tourists visiting Angola in the 1950s and early 1960s were advised to buy worked ivory as souvenirs in the open-air markets in the main cities and towns of Angola (Kane 1961). In the early 1960s rebellions broke out leading to independence from the Portuguese in 1975. The government, a Marxist regime, nationalized many of the businesses and took people’s land and possessions; some Portuguese retaliated by destroying the infrastructure they had developed (Stead and Rorison 2010). Many led Angola after buying up ivory items, especially carved tusks and igures, to take with them to sell in Portugal where ivory was in demand (Martin 2009; Martin and Martin 2009). The Angolan civil war from 1976 to 2002 resulted in massive destruction of the economy and thousands killed. Retail ivory sales in Luanda dwindled but the export of raw ivory was considerable during this time. The economy of Angola In the early 1970s the country’s economy performed reasonably well, based on agriculture (especially coffee exports) and oil products. In 1975 the new independent government nationalized plantations, factories, transport, communications and other sectors of the economy. During the following 27 years of civil war, the agricultural economy almost collapsed. In 2002 when the war ended, the government eased its policy of state ownership and management, and became more lenient to foreign investment. The economy took off with GDP growing at 11% a year 31 from 2001 to 2010, one of the highest in the world (economist 2011). The main exports were oil (50% of GDP and 90% of exports), gas and diamonds. To achieve its economic plan the Angolan government required a skilled workforce to implement large projects, such as high-rise ofice buildings, housing complexes and new roads, quickly and eficiently, at reasonable prices. East Asian contractors, especially Chinese companies, were chosen. The Chinese are known for working hard and long hours, even in the hot months in Luanda, and are transforming the cityscape. The Chinese population in Angola rose from about 500 in 2002, to 25,000 in 2006 and reached 260,000 in 2012 (Sautman and Hairong 2007; Dongye 2013). Two-way trade between China and Angola reached 35 billion dollars in 2013, a 50-fold increase from 2000 (China Daily 2014). Legal aspects of the ivory trade in Angola The export of worked ivory in one’s personal luggage without proper documentation is illegal in Angola (Milliken et al. 2006). This TRAFFIC report stated that the 41 retail outlets in 2005 that sold ivory did not have proper documentation and concluded, ‘there is an urgent need to review and update the substance of Angola’s legislation that relates to wildlife in general and wildlife trade and CITES in particular’. In 2013, according to Svensson et al. (2013), ‘possession and trade of ivory requires special permission’. Svensson et al. (2013) found that no enforcement or regular monitoring is conducted by Angolan authorities. In our survey in 2014 we found no evidence that the vendors possessed oficial documents allowing their trade in ivory. A Chinese man recently visiting Angola had taken photos of mounds of worked ivory for sale and said that one could pay supposedly a dollar for a stamp to ‘legalize’ the export of one’s worked ivory. In December 2013, Angola inally became the 179th member of CITES, which presently forbids commercial imports and exports of elephant ivory. Before this the Angolan government had never reported a single ivory seizure from 1989 to January 2013 to the Elephant Trade Information System (ETIS), a CITES monitoring programme (UNEP et al. 2013; Tom Milliken, ETIS director, pers. comm. April 2014). In 2014, however, there have been oficial seizures of ivory from Angola in other countries. For example, in January oficers in Changi airport in Singapore detected two bags containing about 45 kg of ivory in transit via Dubai and Singapore destined for Lao PDR. 32 © Lucy Vigne Martin and Vigne A typical display of worked ivory for sale in Benica market. The owners of the two bags, Vietnamese nationals, were arrested immediately. One said he had been paid USD 1,000 by an unknown Vietnamese man at a market in Angola to take the ivory to Lao PDR (Channel News Asia 2014a). In February oficers in Siem Reap airport in Cambodia arrested three Vietnamese for smuggling 79.5 kg of tusks. They admitted they bought the tusks in Angola to take to Hanoi, Vietnam (Shanghai Daily 2014). In June, Hong Kong customs seized 790 kg of tusks in 32 pieces of luggage on its way to Cambodia that had originated in Angola; 15 Vietnamese smugglers were arrested. The Hong Kong oficials said it was unusual for such a large consignment of tusks to be carried by air (Channel News Asia 2014b). This last seizure shows how blatant the smuggling of ivory from Angola to Asia has become. Present situation SOURCES OF IVORY AND PRICES OF RAW TUSKS IN THE LUANDA AREA Relatively little of the ivory for sale in Luanda nowadays originates from recently killed elephants in Angola as few elephants are left. The country once had many thousands of elephants but latest published AfESG igures for elephants in Angola are only 818 ‘deinite’, 800 ‘probable’ and ‘851’ possible; savanna elephants are still being poached in the extreme southeast and forest elephants in the northwest of the country (Blanc et al. 2007). Most of the ivory seen in Benica market is from recently killed elephants from central Africa where forest elephants are being poached at accelerating rates. Between 2002 and 2011 their population declined by about 62% (Maisels et Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Luanda—the largest illegal ivory market in southern Africa al. 2013). Milliken et al. (2006) noted that most ivory seen in the TRAFFIC survey in 2005 was from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Svensson et al. (2013) remarked that the shape and size of the tusks on display in Benica market indicated that the ivory originated from forest elephants. Our indings corroborated this. We also found that many of the vendors in the market are French speaking from the DRC and Republic of Congo who bring their ivory from central Africa to sell in this market. A few other retail outlets in the city displayed much smaller numbers of ivory items, some carved earlier by Angolans from elephants poached during the civil war in Angola. Two vendors in Benica market told us separately that the wholesale price for a 1–3-kg tusk was USD 150/ kg and USD 200/kg if slightly larger. In a workshop in central Luanda, an ivory carver told us the wholesale price for a 1–3-kg tusk that he recently bought was USD 250/kg, which is understandably higher due to less competition for raw ivory than in Benica market. The wholesale price of USD 150–250/kg is credible as the retail price for a polished tusk in Benica market averaged USD 433/kg without bargaining. IVORY CRAFTSMEN IN THE LUANDA AREA The carvers of the ivory items in Benica market were from the DRC, Republic of Congo and Angola. Some ivory is carved in central Africa and some in Angola, especially in Zaire Province in the northwest. They produce items that are speciically in demand by the Chinese: Buddhas, chopsticks, dragons, jewellery and name seals. There are few ivory craftsmen in Luanda, according to the Benica vendors. But they said their tusk tips on display could be carved, as requested by customers, into statues of their choice for USD 60–70. In central Luanda we found two ivory craftsmen at their small workshop who produce a variety of items for their nearby shop. One was working on ivory earrings and pendants. They make objects for their main customers, notably the Portuguese who live in Luanda or visit on holiday. Items for sale here included African busts, Christian igures, European igures and a variety of different animals and ish. RETAIL OUTLETS AND PRICES OF IVORY ITEMS IN THE LUANDA AREA simple market had a corrugated iron roof and was on sandy ground, with low or no walls. It consisted of two oblong sections: one with paintings, basketry, cotton material and old masks, the second section with dark wood carvings and worked ivory. The ivory items offered for sale were displayed on the top of robust concrete-block tables, totally open with no glass protection. Under or beside the stalls were metal trunks that contained perhaps a third more ivory items wrapped in cotton sheeting with similar items grouped together in pillow cases. At the end of the day the vendors, all men, returned their ivory into these padlocked trunks. We carried out our count on an average weekday when there were 20 tables displaying ivory for sale. Nearly all these tables sold ivory almost exclusively. We counted 10,026 ivory pieces in this market. Necklaces, bangles and pendants made up 61% of the total (Table 1). Almost all the items on display were of similar designs and newly carved. In general, items were of generous size. There were no antique ivory items, and vendors made no attempt to pretend any worked ivory was old or antique. On the irst day we counted 20 stalls with ivory, the next day we counted 25 stalls, including two small displays among the wood carvings. On the Sunday, when most people have their day off, more vendors had opened their stalls with 30 displays of ivory: about 20 had nearly all ivory, sometimes with a few reptile skin wallets and handbags; 5 displays were half ivory and half jewellery items, often consisting of malachite or wooden-beaded necklaces; and 5 other stalls had smaller selections of fewer than 50 ivory items displayed among other souvenirs. Table 1. Ivory items for retail sale in Benica market in late February 2014 Item Necklace Bangle Pendant Name seal Cigarette holder Ring Figurine Hairpin Chopsticks (pair) Miscellaneous Percentage of total 23 19 19 7 7 6 5 4 3 7 Of all the ivory items surveyed in and around Luanda, 92% were seen in Benica market. This single-storey Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 33 Martin and Vigne The ivory items in this market were fairly Table 2. Retail prices for ivory items seen in Benica market, crudely carved, had a dull light beige tint February/March 2014 and were not polished; they lacked variety in design. The bangles were wide, thick and Item Size (cm) Average price (USD) usually plain; there were also medium- and Jewellery large-beaded bracelets, as well as many Bangle, plain or carved 1 25 medium- and large-beaded necklaces, and 2 100 smaller bead necklaces with a large pendant 4 180 many lying in mounds on the tables. Although Bracelet, 1-cm beads 32 they had fasteners, most necklaces were long 2-cm beads 90 enough to wear directly over one’s head. Hair fastener 8x3 23 Pendants were commonly round or oblong Hairpin 20 22 with a simple carving of Buddha or of animals Necklace, beaded Various 30 from the Chinese zodiac on them, while others Pendant 5 15 were shaped as hearts and tiger claws. 8 25 There were many squat Buddha igurines Ring 0.5 3 and also some thinner, taller Guanyin igures, Figurines but virtually no African igures or busts, and Animal 5 60 almost no European or Christian igures in this 10 177 market. Stalls had a variety of simply carved 15 400 animal igures, especially dragons, rhinos and 20 800 elephants, and more could be produced on 30 1,250 request from the trunks under the tables. Human / religious 10-15 325 While jewellery, cigarette holders, name 25 527 seals and igurines dominated the displays, Tusks sometimes there were other items, such as Bridge 25 375 Chinese chess pieces, Chinese hand balls, Tusk tip 10 60 cocktail sticks, combs (mostly with handles), 15 225 drum sticks, fruit, hair fasteners, key rings, 30 650 pen holders, pipes with dragon designs, tusk Others tips, and walking sticks with dragon handles. Cigarette holder 8 12 In Benica market, vendors gave prices in 13 18 either US dollars or kwanza, as the customer Chopsticks, pair 20 87 preferred (Table 2). No items had a marked Comb 15 47 price. Customers new to the market with little Fruit, lifesize 180 experience were charged higher prices, but Name seal, plain or with bargaining, items could be bought for half partly carved 7x2 60 the price, especially if bought in bulk. Vendors 12 x 5 225 at different stalls varied their initial prices Pipe, plain 16 100 considerably; for example, an ivory walking Pipe, carved 16 150 stick was offered for USD 1,000 at one stall Walking stick, all ivory 90 2,167 and USD 4,000 at another. The prices of a 15cm igurine varied hugely, depending on the USD 1 = 100 kwanza, February–March 2014. These prices were before extensive bargaining. diameter and weight of the ivory. Customers prefer shorter, chunkier carvings; very few and bars; one had 445 items and the other 312 items. igures reached 30 cm. There were also very Two more large souvenir shops, both well established, few bridges and carved tusks. In central Luanda only six retail outlets displayed displayed ivory objects, the bigger one displaying ivory, offering 862 items for sale. Two were outlets 68 objects; the other, with 16 items, was owned by a on Ilha do Cabo, a popular beach area with restaurants Portuguese woman for 60 years. A street vendor who 34 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Luanda—the largest illegal ivory market in southern Africa had for many years sold souvenirs beside a large hotel had 14 ivory pendants. The sixth outlet was in a luxury hotel with just 7 items, the only hotel we found with ivory for sale. There were fewer Chinese-style items in the central Luanda retail outlets and more items attractive to the European market, such as religious igurines. The most common items were jewellery, which made up 74% of the total items (Table 3). The prices for bangles and necklaces were higher in the central Luanda outlets compared with Benica market where often they are sold in bulk. The igurines were less expensive in central Luanda, however, as they were generally thinner in diameter than in Benica market, and the turnover is slow compared with accessories (Table 4). Vendors said small accessories were popular as souvenirs as they were easier to take out of the country. We saw no old or antique ivory items and no vendors tried to sell us ivory as antiques, but a number of items looked dusty and appeared to be old stock. Four outlets had price labels but generally some bargaining was possible. Main customers for worked ivory in the Luanda area In Benica market all the buyers of worked ivory we saw were Chinese. Sometimes Vietnamese or other southeast Asians working in the country buy worked ivory. By far the most items cater to the Chinese; many vendors displayed the same objects, sometimes opening their storage trunks to reveal more, and allowing the Chinese to examine many items while indulging in their bargaining skills. Some Europeans were seen looking at wood carvings but were not generally interested in looking at ivory. There are very few foreign tourists in Angola and most visitors to the market are foreign residents. We were told Angolans do not buy worked ivory for themselves, and we saw no Angolan customers. The vendors all agreed that the Chinese had become their biggest customers, and apart from speaking Portuguese and French, some had learned and spoke luent Chinese as opposed to English, to communicate with their main clients. The Chinese in the market are mostly male contract workers who usually visit in groups of three or four, sometimes accompanied by Chinese women. Some were seen with a piece of paper listing the items they wished to buy. The Chinese are notorious for severe haggling and testing of the ivory. We saw Chinese Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Table 3. Ivory items for retail sale in central Luanda in March 2014 Item Bangle Necklace Figurine Ring Pendant Name seal Miscellaneous Percentage of total 25 25 17 14 10 5 4 Table 4. Retail prices for ivory items seen in central Luanda in March 2014 Item Jewellery Bangle, plain or carved Hair fastener Necklace, beaded Pendant Ring Figurines Animal Tusks Bridge Other Cigarette holder Comb Name seal, plain or partly carved Size (cm) Av. price (USD) 1 2 8x3 various 5 1 103 149 38 68 18 10 5 10–15 25 30 105 138 400 700 40 500 10 15 18 39 7x2 10 x 4 90 225 USD 1 = 100 kwanza, February–March 2014 customers smelling and biting ivory objects, and examining beads very closely in great detail, then walking away with nothing, until they inally would accept a price at a later stage. We sometimes saw groups of Chinese walking back to their vehicles with packages of ivory or wearing bracelets and bangles themselves. Nowhere else did we see anyone wearing ivory while we were in Luanda. In central Luanda the smarter retail souvenir shops cater for Europeans and Americans, with Portuguese being the main customers; after the Chinese the Portuguese are the most numerous expatriates and 35 © Lucy Vigne Martin and Vigne Chinese are by far the main buyers of ivory items in Benica market. main holidaymakers in Angola. They prefer to shop in the comfort of central Luanda where items are clean and neatly laid out, unlike in the untidy market. Most of the Chinese in Luanda do not visit these more expensive souvenir outlets, which sell an array of other African crafts also, as they prefer to concentrate on the much larger displays of ivory and better bargaining possibilities in Benica market. Discussion Benica market is one of the largest retail markets for illegal ivory items in Africa, if not the world. It ranks with the Lekki market in Lagos and the Khartoum and Omdurman outlets that display for sale thousands of recently carved ivory items illegally. Compared with 2005 (Milliken et al. 2006), in 2014 there were relatively more small items and fewer large igures or carved tusks in Luanda. This is because it is easier for the Chinese buyers to smuggle out small items back to China, so these are in greater demand. Most tusks are nowadays smuggled wholesale from Africa to East Asia in their raw form in large consignments to be carved there. The main buyers of worked ivory in the world today are Chinese and this is also the case in Angola. In 2005 the main buyers were southern Europeans, Americans and Asians (Milliken et al. 2006). From 2006 to 2012 there was a tenfold increase in Chinese coming to Angola, largely as contract workers, and they keep looding in as Angola’s development projects expand. 36 The Chinese we saw in Benica market spent much time selecting large pieces of plain jewellery and plain utilitarian objects, such as combs and name seals, rather than carved accessories and igurines, which are roughly made compared with those made in China. There are now few Christian igurines or African busts for sale. Instead, Buddhas, dragons and animals are the main igurines, made especially for the Chinese. In 2005 of all the ivory items estimated by weight in Luanda, Benica market sold 92% (1,428 kg). In 2014 of all the ivory items estimated by number in Luanda, Benica market sold 92% (10,026 items). In 2014, storage trunks under the tables had at least an additional one-third more items, some including whole polished tusks. Thus, including these, the number of ivory items available was considerably higher than our survey count of displayed ivory in 2014. In 2005 small raw tusks sold wholesale in Luanda for USD 35–100/kg (Milliken et al. 2006) compared with USD 150–250/kg in 2014. The wholesale price for raw ivory in 2012 in the cities of Bauchi, Gombe and Jos in Nigeria was USD 110/kg in 2013 (Martin and Vigne 2013), while in Kenya in 2013 poachers received USD 175–190 (informants in Kenya, pers. comm. 2013). Thus, Luanda’s raw ivory is relatively cheap, suggesting the ease of obtaining tusks in the city. In China small tusks sold wholesale for USD 2,100 in 2014, tenfold higher than in Angola (Martin and Vigne 2014). This demonstrates the large proits that can be made smuggling raw ivory. Similarly for worked ivory, the retail prices are at least 10 times more in China in 2014 than in Luanda for similar uncarved objects, such as chopsticks and personal name seals (Martin and Vigne 2014). In 2005 vendors said it was easy to smuggle items out of the country; in 2014 they reiterated this. There has been little effort to reduce the illegal sale of worked ivory, and the vendors were generally fairly relaxed about photographs, compared with vendors in many other cities. The international airport, however, had no ivory for sale, unlike in 2005. Yet compared with countries such as Cameroon, Gabon, Kenya, Rwanda and Tanzania, where you hardly ever see worked ivory for retail sale, there seems little fear of inspections, coniscations or arrests in Luanda. In Benica market other wildlife products were also on open display, including leopard skins, turtle shells and crocodile skins. We saw no signs or notices against ivory or other illegal wildlife in the markets, shops, hotels or airport. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Luanda—the largest illegal ivory market in southern Africa Conclusion All ivory for sale in Luanda without special oficial documentation is illegal, but none of the ivory items for sale that we saw had any such documentation, suggesting no improvement in law enforcement since the 2006 TRAFFIC report (Milliken et al. 2006). On the contrary, the number of newly made ivory items has increased with the rising demand for ivory by the soaring numbers of Chinese residents in Angola. The country has the second largest Chinese population in Africa today, with a tenfold increase since 2005, and no priority is given to or by the Chinese contractors to stop their workers from buying ivory. The open, illegal trade in worked ivory is fuelling demand and putting pressure on the survival of elephants in central Africa. Angola’s laws against the domestic ivory trade have not been enforced, and similarly, tusks continue to be shipped out of Angola to East Asia, as seizures in 2014 in Asia indicate, even though the country inally became a member of CITES in December 2013. Some other African countries with growing numbers of Chinese residents, and also Chinese tourists, have successfully enforced their domestic bans on worked ivory. Angola must take action to follow suit. Acknowledgements Thanks are due to The Aspinall Foundation and Columbus Zoo Conservation Fund for funding our ieldwork. References Bassani E, Fagg W. 1988. Africa and the renaissance: art in Africa. The Center for African Art, Prestel-Verlag, New York and Munich. Bersacola E, Svensson M, Bearder S, Mills M, Nijman V. 2014. Hunted in Angola—surveying the bushmeat trade. Swara 38(1):31–36. Blanc J, Barnes R, Craig G, Dublin H, Thouless C, Douglas-Hamilton I, Hart J. 2007. African elephant status report 2007: an update from the African elephant database. IUCN/SSC African Elephant Specialist Group. IUCN, Gland, Switzerland. Channel News Asia. 2014a. Vietnamese men get 16 months’ jail for smuggling ivory (Angola/Singapore). 22 January 2014. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Channel News Asia. 2014b. Hong Kong customs make US$ 1 million ivory bust. 14 June 2014. China Daily. 2014. Ties: China’s workers pour in. 10 May 2014. Dongye J. 2013. Chinese people in Africa: an inside view into their daily lives (translation) Part 5 – Angola. Rule of Law Weekly. 8 May 2014. Africa’s impressive growth. economist.com/bbgs/ dailychart/2011/01daily. 6 January 2011. Kane R. 1961. Africa A–Z: a guide for travellers— armchair and actual. Doubleday & Company, Garden City, New York. Maisels F, Strindberg S, Wittemyer G, et al. 2013. Devastating decline of forest elephants in central Africa. PLOS ONE 8(3)1–13. Martin E. 2009. African ivory—the Luanda–Lisbon axis. Swara 32(3):39–41. Martin E, Martin C. 2009. Portugal’s long association with African ivory. Pachyderm 46:35–46. Martin E, Vigne L. 2013. Lagos, Nigeria: one of the largest retail centres for illegal ivory surveyed to date. TRAFFIC Bulletin 25(1)35–40. Martin E, Vigne L. 2014. Findings on the lourishing ivory trade in Angola’s capital, Luanda. TRAFFIC Bulletin 26(2):4-6 (in press). Milliken T, Pole A, Huongo A. 2006. No peace for elephants: unregulated domestic ivory markets in Angola and Mozambique. TRAFFIC International, Cambridge, UK. Ross D. 1992. Loango ivories. In: Ross D, editor. Elephant: the animal and its ivory in African culture. University of California Press, Los Angeles. Sautman B, Hairong Y. 2007. Trends and interests: China’s distinctive links with Africa. African Studies Review 50(3)75–114. Shanghai Daily. 2014. Cambodia seizes 263 kg of ivory tusks near Vietnam border. 21 March 2014. St Aubyn F, editor. 1987. Ivory: an international history and illustrated survey. Harry N Abrams Inc., New York. Stead M, Rorison S. 2010. Angola. Bradt Travel Guides Ltd, Chalfont St Peter, England. Svensson M, Bersacola E, Bearder S, Nijman V, Mills M. 2013. Open sale of elephant ivory in Luanda, Angola. Oryx 48(1):13–14. UNEP, CITES, IUCN, TRAFFIC. 2013. Elephants in the dust—the African elephant crisis. A rapid response assessment. UNEP, Nairobi. 37 Wiafe and Sam Evaluation of a low-tech method, pepper–grease, for combatting elephant crop-raiding activities in Kakum Conservation Area, Ghana Edward D Wiafe1* and Moses K Sam2 1 Department of Environmental and Natural Resources Management, Presbyterian University College, PO Box 393, Akropong Akuapem, Ghana 2 Wildlife Division of Forestry Commission, Western Regional Ofice, Takoradi, Ghana * corresponding author email: edward.wiafe@presbyuniversity.edu.gh Abstract A low-tech method for preventing elephants from destroying farms around Kakum Conservation Area in Ghana was assessed to evaluate its eficacy in warding off marauding elephants. Sixty fenced and 60 unfenced farms located at the peripheries of the protected area were selected and each inspected regularly for 12 months. One hundred twenty farmers were interviewed on the use of the pepper–grease fence to determine their level of knowledge of the eficacy of the method. In 75% of the fenced farms, elephants came close to the fence but never crossed it; they never visited 20% of these farms and only 5% attempted to break through or enter. Of the farms that were not fenced at all, elephants raided 75% completely. Most of the respondents (76.7%) had good knowledge of the pepper fence. Their major sources of information were the staff of the Wildlife Division and agricultural extension agents (54.5%); 31.1% had heard about it from other farmers. Only 14.4% got their knowledge from observing other farmers. In practice, 26.7% said they used it effectively, 22.2% partially, and 51.1% did not practise the method at all. Cost and dificulty of acquiring materials were the main issues affecting lack of adoption. The results support the recommendation that government and non-governmental agencies supply inputs to farmers consistently. Résumé On a examiné une méthode de technologie élémentaire pour empêcher les éléphants de détruire les fermes autour de la zone de conservation de Kakum ain d’évaluer son eficacité d’écarter les éléphants en maraude. Soixante fermes clôturées et soixante fermes non clôturées situées à la périphérie de la zone protégée ont été sélectionnées et chacune inspectée régulièrement pendant 12 mois. On a également interrogé cent vingt agriculteurs sur l’utilisation des clôtures enduites de graisse de poivre pour voir leur niveau de connaissance de l’eficacité de la méthode. Sur 75% des fermes clôturées, les éléphants se sont approchés de la clôture, mais ne l’ont jamais traversée; ils n’ont jamais visité 20% de ces fermes, mais ils ont tenté d’enfoncer ou d’entrer dans 5% d’entre elles. Parmi les fermes qui n’étaient pas du tout clôturées, les éléphants ont complètement maraudé 75% d’entre elles. La plupart des sondés (76,7%) avaient une bonne connaissance de la clôture de poivre. Leur principale source d’informations était le personnel de la Division de la faune et les vulgarisateurs agricoles (54,5%), alors que 31,1% en avaient entendu parler par d’autres agriculteurs. Seulement 14,4% ont obtenu leur connaissance en observant d’autres agriculteurs. En pratique, 26,7% ont dit qu’ils pratiquaient cette méthode effectivement, 22,2% partiellement et 51,1% ne l’avaient pas pratiqué du tout. Le coût et la dificulté d’acquisition du matériel étaient les principaux problèmes qui affectaient le taux d’adoption. Les résultats appuient la recommandation que le gouvernement et les organisations non gouvernementales doivent fournir des intrants aux agriculteurs de manière cohérente. 38 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Evaluation of the pepper-grease method in Kakum Conservation Area, Ghana Introduction Human–elephant conlict occurs wherever elephants and people share the same habitat. This situation is no different in Kakum Conservation Area (KCA), where many farms are cultivated near the area’s boundary (Thouless 1994; Kangwana 1995; Barnes 1996; Barnes et al. 2005). The increasing number of crop-raiding incidents, and hence human–elephant conlict, is manifest in the increase in reported cases and complaints from farmers whose farms are located at the frontiers of the park boundaries (Oppong et al. 2008; Monney et al. 2010). Consequently, various efforts and methods have been used over the years to reduce this conlict generated by elephant crop raiding. First, the culling system. Whenever a cropraiding incident was reported, the wildlife authority unit (Game Control Unit, Goaso) was asked to kill the problem animal and give the meat to the local people to placate them. As a result, between June 1987 and August 1988 (a 16-month period), six elephants were culled in KCA after crop-raiding incidents that were estimated to cost USD 1,920.23 (Parren and de Graaf 1995). The deiciencies of this method were untimely delivery, expense, and threat to the elephant population as well as it being a post-mortem solution to the raiding problem. Moreover, often the problem animal was not identiied but rather any individual conveniently near the site was killed to satisfy the demand for action and revenge by the aggrieved community (AWF 2005) and to provide meat as compensation for crop damage. Disturbance shooting followed after it was realized that culling was not yielding any long-lasting solution to the problem. The disturbance method involves iring guns over the heads of crop-raiding elephants. But they became habituated to hearing the gunshots and were no longer getting scared off. This was coupled with logistical constraints and the long response time on the part of the wildlife guards who were mandated to carry out that activity (Azika SA, pers. comm.; Osborn and Parker 2003). In an attempt to reduce the level of elephant crop damage and to further inspire the local community to co-exist with elephants, the Wildlife Division initiated a project ‘Improve food security and farmers’ livelihood’ around KCA in December 2003. The project involved installing the pepper fence. Elephants are known not to eat the fruits of the chilli pepper plant as it is thought to irritate their sensitive nasal tissue. Once confronted Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 with a chilli experience, the combined smell from the oil, chilli and the fence rope becomes a psychological barrier. The project was supported by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), the World Bank’s High Forest Biodiversity Project and the International Fund for Animal Welfare (IFAW) in series. Phase 1 of the project was supported by FAO, phase 2 by the Global Environment Fund’s High Forest Biodiversity Project and phase 3 by IFAW. The objectives of the study were to evaluate 1) the eficacy of the pepper fence to ward off elephants from entering into adjacent farms to raid, and 2) the adoption rate by the farmers. Study area Kakum Conservation Area is made up of two adjoining wildlife reserves: Kakum National Park and Assin Attandaso Resource Reserve located between longitudes 1°30′W–1°51′W and latitudes 5°20′N–5°40′N (Figure 1). Rainfall distribution shows a bimodal pattern with an annual average between 1,500 and 1,750 mm (Wildlife Department 1996). Fifty-two communities border KCA and it is estimated that at least 36,620 people are living there. The structure of the population shows it is quite dependent, with persons aged less than 15 years forming 45% and those aged 65+ forming 4.6% of the total KCA population. The literacy rate among adults is high (Monney et al. 2010). The main occupation of the people living around KCA is farming and the area is thus surrounded by agricultural crops. The main crops cultivated are cassava, cocoa, maize and plantain (Wildlife Department 1996). Materials and methods Installing the fence requires these materials: wooden poles to peg around an entire farm, nylon rope tied to the pegged poles, hot dried pepper, grease or dirty oil (a used lubricant) and rags. The dry pepper is ground to a ine powder and mixed with old engine grease. If no grease is available palm oil residue or used car oil will work just as well. The pepper–grease or dirty oil mixture is smeared on bits of cloth or rags and hung on the fence; it is also smeared on the rope itself. The pepper deters elephants from touching the fence. When the elephants encounter the ropes, they either are repelled or walk round them (Parker et al. 2007). 39 Wiafe and Sam Results and discussion Elephant reactions towards pepper-fenced farms Fenced farms. Elephants came close to 75% of the fences but never crossed them; they attempted to break through or enter 5% of these farms through different routes; they did not visit 20% of the farms. Farms not fenced at all. Elephants raided 75% of these farms completely; they visited 16% but did not consume anything; they did not raid crops on 9% of these farms. Farms with partial protection. Elephants raided 62%; they came close to 20% but did not enter or destroy anything; no elephant presence was registered on 18% of these farms. Farmer attitude towards the pepper fence Knowledge of the pepper fence method. Most of the respondents (76.7%) had good knowledge of the pepper fence; 23.3% had Figure 1. Kakum Conservation Area showing the implementation phases of the pepper fence. heard about it but had scant knowledge. The major source of the information was from the Wildlife Division staff, from Evaluation of farms where 37.8% of the respondents said they got the Sixty fenced and 60 unfenced farms located at KCA message; 16.7% said they heard about the pepper fence peripheries were selected and each inspected regularly from agricultural extension agents; 31.1% heard about for 12 months. One hundred twenty farmers were also it from other farmers; only 14.4% got their knowledge interviewed on the use of the pepper–grease fences from observing other farmers. Of the farmers who practised the method, 26.7% to ind out their level of knowledge on the eficacy said they practised it effectively and 22.2% practised it of the method. partially. However, 51.1% did not practise the method Three categories of farms were identiied: • farms where best practices are being applied, for at all. Factors facilitating adoption of pepper fence. example, use of required proportions of pepper and Three main issues emerged as factors that facilitate grease, good fence with regular maintenance, etc. • farms that partially applied the method, for adoption of the pepper fence: 55.6% of the respondents example, use of less pepper and more grease, poor said acquiring materials was easy and that motivated them to adopt; 23.3% said it was dificult so they felt fence, etc. reluctant to adopt; 21.1% attributed the poor rate of • farms with no pepper fence deterrent Thirty selected farms in each category were adoption of the method to the high cost of buying visited and observed to see whether after the fence materials. Evaluating the inluence of source of information was constructed elephants had visited the farm, had come close to the fence, and had destroyed any part on adoption rate. Of the 34 (37.7%) respondents who received information on the pepper fence from the of the fence. 40 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Evaluation of the pepper-grease method in Kakum Conservation Area, Ghana Count Wildlife Division staff, 44.0% practised the method the government, 22.2% did not believe that the method while 66% did not. Of the 15 respondents (16%) who deterred elephants, 26.7% said it was very costly for received the message from agricultural extension them, and 30% said the method required extra labour. officers, 33.3% practised it effectively, 33.3% Table 2 provides details of how reasons for reluctance partially and 33.3% did not practise it at all. Out of to adopt the pepper fence inluenced the farmers who 28 (31.1%) farmers who received the knowledge from practised the pepper fence method. other farmers, 14.8% practised it effectively, 32.2% did not practise it while 53.6% practised it partially. Conclusions and recommendations In addition, the source of information was found signiicant in positively inluencing the effectiveness If well constructed and maintained regularly, the of practising the pepper fence method (ρ = 0.33, p = pepper–grease fence has proved to be effective in 0.00) (Figure 2). warding off elephants from entering farms adjacent to Reasons for adopting the pepper fence method. 31.1% of the respondents said Farmers who practise their farm produce was safe from elephant 20 pepper fence method raiding; 24.4% said acquiring materials yes no was relatively easy, 20.0% practised it partially because of its ability to deter elephants, and 15 24.4% adopted the method because of the fence’s subsequent effect of improving crop harvests, which means their farm produce 10 was safe and their harvests assured. Table 1 provides details of how the various reasons inluence the adoption of the pepper fence 5 method. Spearman’s correlation indicated a signiicant relationship and explains about 45% of the model (ρ = 0.45, p = 0 0.00). Wildlife Division Agric extension Other farmers Observed from Reasons for farmer reluctance to adopt staff agents other farmers the pepper fence. 21.1% of the respondents Source of information about pepper fence blamed their reluctance to adopt the Figure 2. Inluence of source of information on practice of pepper pepper fence on lack of subsidies from fence. Table 1. Reasons for adopting the pepper fence method that inluenced farmers who practised the method Farmers who practised pepper fence method Reasons for adopting the method All farm products are secured Easy to acquire materials Able to deter elephants Improves crop harvest Inluenced 13 4 4 3 Not inluenced 15 14 10 7 Partly inluenced 0 4 4 12 Table 2. Reasons for reluctance to adopt the pepper fence method that inluenced farmers who did not practise it Reasons for reluctance No support from government Don’t believe it deters elephants Costly Extra labour Farmers who did not practise pepper fence method Inluenced Not inluenced Partly inluenced 7 8 4 0 15 5 7 9 8 10 14 3 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 41 Wiafe and Sam References Wildlife staff demonstrate how to construct a pepper fence. KCA. Massive destruction was recorded on farms that did not use this method. The resultant beneits were factors that motivated farmers to adopt the method, but lack of encouragement and support in supplying equipment and materials was a disincentive. Respondents who received information on the pepper fence from wildlife oficers and agricultural extension oficers used the fence more effectively than those who received their information from other farmers, or where farmers observed the practice on their own. Much as the respondents appreciated that using the pepper fence was beneicial to their crops and economy, they incurred extra costs than did other farmers in areas where there were no elephants. Hence they were not ready to adopt the pepper fence quickly or easily. The Wildlife Division staff must be well resourced to educate farmers on the proper construction and use of the pepper fence. It is recommended that the KCA authority construct the pepper fence around the forest and manage it regularly to keep elephants in the forest. [AWF] African Wildlife Foundation. 2005. Human– wildlife conlict: lessons learned from AWF’s African heartlands. AWF working papers. www.awf.org Barnes R. 1996. The conlict between humans and elephants in central African forests. Mammal Review 26:67–80. Barnes RFW, Hema EM, Nandjui A, Manford M, Dubiure UF, Danquah E, Boafo Y. 2005. Risk of crop-raiding elephants around the Kakum Conservation Area, Ghana. Pachyderm 39:19–25. Kangwana K. 1995. Human–elephant conflict: the challenges ahead. Pachyderm 19:11–14. Monney KA, Dakwa KB, Wiafe ED. 2010. Assessment of crop-raiding situation by elephants (Loxodonta africana cyclotis) in farms around Kakum Conservation Area in Ghana. International Journal of Biodiversity Conservation 2(9):243–249. Oppong SK, Danquah E, Sam MK. 2008. An update on crop raiding by elephants in Bia Conservation Area, Ghana, from 2004 to 2006. Pachyderm 44:59–64. Osborn FV, Parker G. 2003. Towards an integrated approach for reducing the conlict between elephants and people: a review of current research. Oryx 37:80– 84. Parker GE, Osborn FV, Hoare RE, Niskanen LS, editors. 2007. Human–elephant conlict mitigation: a training course for community-based approaches in Africa. Participant’s manual. Elephant Pepper Development Trust, Livingstone, Zambia. Parren MPE, de Graaf NR. 1995. The quest for natural forest management in Ghana, Cote d’Ivoire and Liberia. Tropenbos series 13. The Tropenbos Foundation, Wageningen. Thouless C. 1994. Conlict between humans and elephants on private land in northern Kenya. Oryx 28:119–127. Wildlife Department. 1996. Kakum National Park and Assin Attandanso Resource Reserve: the management plan. Ghana Wildlife Department, Accra. p. 76. Acknowledgements Thanks to the manager and staff of Kakum Conservation Area for their assistance during data collection. We also thank the Presbyterian University College for inancial assistance. 42 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 The last chance for the Sumatran rhinoceros? MANAGEMENT The last chance for the Sumatran rhinoceros? Francesco Nardelli Patron, Save the Rhino International, 16 Winchester Walk, London SE1 9AQ, UK; and Member, IUCN/SSC Asian Rhino Specialist Group, 219c Huntingdon Road, Cambridge CB2 0DL, UK Abstract The Sumatran rhino (Dicerorhinus sumatrensis) is very close to extinction in Indonesia. Three major ad hoc meetings, not two as generally reported, to discuss ways to save the Sumatran rhino were held in 1984, 1993 and 2013. Their targets have never been achieved. Despite the great efforts of the participants and other parties, the world population of D. sumatrensis has collapsed during the last 30 years from over 800 to fewer than 100. Besides worldwide phenomena like habitat loss and poaching, other speciic causes lie behind this tragedy. The status of the Sumatran rhino has been optimistically overestimated. Precious time is being wasted in inding theoretical solutions rather than implementing the recommendations of these meetings. Political will to save the habitat and protect the species is lacking. After carefully evaluating the present Sumatran rhino conservation status, a breeding project greater than those so far managed has to go ahead as soon as possible to support the ongoing in situ programme and form a viable population in controlled environments for future reintroductions into the wild. Résumé Le rhinocéros de Sumatra (Dicerorhinus sumatrensis) est très proche de l’extinction en Indonésie. Il y a eu trois grandes réunions ad hoc et pas deux comme on l’a généralement signalé, organisées en 1984, 1993 et 2013 ain de discuter les voies et moyens pour sauver le rhinocéros de Sumatra. Leurs objectifs n’ont jamais été atteints. Malgré les efforts des participants et d’autres parties, la population mondiale de D. sumatrensis s’est effondrée à partir de plus de 800 rhinocéros à moins de 100 rhinocéros au cours des 30 dernières années. Outre les phénomènes à travers le monde comme la perte de l’habitat et le braconnage, il existe d’autres causes spéciiques derrière cette tragédie. La situation du rhinocéros de Sumatra a été surestimée avec optimisme. On gaspille un temps précieux dans la recherche des solutions théoriques plutôt que dans la mise en œuvre des recommandations de ces réunions. La volonté politique de sauver l’habitat et de protéger l’espèce fait défaut. Après avoir soigneusement évalué l’état actuel de la conservation du rhinocéros de Sumatra, un projet de reproduction plus grand que ceux gérés jusqu’ici doit être mis en place dès que possible pour soutenir le programme in situ déjà en cours et former une population viable dans des environnements contrôlés en vue des réintroductions futures dans la nature. Introduction This paper focuses on the plight of the Sumatran rhinoceros (Dicerorhinus sumatrensis) in Indonesia. I hope to show that only immediate action will save this Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 rhino species from extinction, and that a large-scale capture operation of isolated animals is feasible with existing expertise, and presently is the only course of action with a chance of success. 43 Nardelli © Cincinnati Zoo ex situ environments. This process should be considered as the best available (possibly temporary) solution, rather than risking to end up with no Sumatran rhino at all. Ex situ promoters are not to be blamed, though someone could say that there is a risk that the result would be to end up with Sumatran rhinos in captivity only and none in the wild. Ongoing in situ protective measures have to be continued and reinforced. Only nine Sumatran rhinos are kept ex situ in large, natural fenced areas— ive in Indonesia, three in Sabah and one Andalas, the irst-ever conceived and captive-bred Sumatran rhino, in an appropriate enclosure in the USA Cincinnati Zoo, 13 September 2001. (Cincinnati Zoo)—where they can be carefully monitored and protected. Three The importance of ex situ conservation next to offspring have been born (2001, 2004, in situ preservation continues to be controversial: a 2007) so far in Cincinnati Zoo and one (2012) at Way number of conservationists completely oppose the Kambas Rhino Sanctuary (Roth 2013), improving former, while others concede that removing animals the skill of both Indonesian and American personnel from their habitat should be the ‘last resource’. Some involved. NGOs afirm that the animals need massive in situ Extinction is imminent. According to Martin et investments and that if you take them into captivity al. (2012): ‘1) informed, empowered, and responsive (ex situ) you lose the argument for habitat protection. governance and leadership is essential, 2) processes Their concern is correct but remains unsubstantiated. that ensure institutional accountability must be in As far as the Sumatran rhino is concerned, much place, and 3) decisions must be made while there is funding was made available for in situ conservation an opportunity to act. The bottom line is that unless during the period 1984–1993 of the irst project aimed responsive and accountable institutional processes are to establish an ex situ metapopulation (Rabinowitz in place, decisions will be delayed and extinction will 1995), and more funding continues to be raised occur.’ It is a matter of months, because it may simply especially for in situ projects (rhino protection become too costly to locate and collect remaining units, patrolling vehicles and boats, etc.). New ex individuals. Time is running out fast and time has come situ programmes have to be funded by new speciic for all committed parties to take full responsibility, not subscriptions. to avoid it, if not for mere future liability (Brechin et What happens in ‘emergency situations’ when the al. 2002). decline of a species is so rapid as to require inal decisions and immediate action? Dalton (2000) Status of D. sumatrensis in suggested that rapid responses, ‘emergency rooms’, in Indonesia many cases need to be the policy norm rather than the exception. The last 30 years witnessed the extinction The present small Sumatran rhino population in of several Sumatran rhino populations. In Indonesia, Indonesia is fragmented in pockets found throughout the situation is rapidly declining, and more advanced Sumatra with a total estimate of 90–100 individuals, ield technologies demonstrate that both wild and and possibly in Kalimantan, the Indonesian part of captive populations have reached a deep crisis and call Borneo. (For safety reasons these data are not disclosed for major interventions (Ahmad et al. 2013; Pusparini further.) Estimates on the number of D. sumatrensis et al. 2013). vary considerably and this uncertainty is of great In the course of the last 30 years I have personally concern. experienced the tragic decline of the Sumatran rhino. I The total number of Sumatran rhinos in Bukit believe that the only remaining chance for the species Barisan Selatan National Park (150,000 ha, MoF is to promptly move all isolated in situ survivors into 2007) was estimated to be 250–390 in 1993 (Pusparini 44 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 The last chance for the Sumatran rhinoceros? et al. 2013), which had Sumatra dwindled to 147–220 in Former distribution 2007 (MoF 2007) or even Central Aceh 60–70 (Rubianto et al. Present distribution Gunung Leuser 2008; Talukdar et al. 2010). Viable population National Park Non-viable population Using the Royle/Nichols heterogeneity model, Pusparini et al. (2013) estimated the presence of EQUATOR 21 rhinoceros, fragmented in three distinct populations: Sukaraja, Way Ngaras and Kubu Perahu areas—just Way Kambas Barisan Selatan 32% of suitable rhino habitat. National Park Despite the government’s good intention to achieve a 30% rhino population Figure 1. Sumatran rhino Dicerorhinus sumatrensis distribution (Nardelli 2014). growth (MoF 2007), the isolated circumstances could be ‘ghosts’ or doomed development of an asphalt road crossing rhino core areas is likley to bring in if not ascertained, and abandoned to their fate. The addition of such rhinos can only make sense once they human disturbance and jeopardize the target. The population of rhinos in Way Kambas NP are physically transferred into the viable populations (50,000 ha) was 15–25 rhinos (MoF 2007). A current or to ex situ facilities via operative conservation igure indicates 30–35 animals (Widodo, pers. comm. programmes. at the 2013 Singapore Summit) . There were 60–80 rhinos in Gunung Leuser NP First meeting on Sumatran rhino (80,000 ha) in 2007 (MoF 2007). Hopes are that a conservation in 1984 good number of D. sumatrensis not isolated remain in Gunung Leuser NP, but lack of information and even Three major meetings in 1984, 1993 and 2013 have hostility by local people have not made it possible to marked the recent history of the Sumatran rhino; all were ascertain their actual number (Widodo 2012, pers. convened by the International Union for Conservation comm.). However, Hadiansyah Putra (2013) states of Nature and Natural Resources (IUCN). The irst that 50 rhinos thrive in the core area and 10–20 in the was an ad hoc Sumatran rhinoceros meeting held surrounding forest. Once veriied, this information 3–4 October 1984 in Singapore. At this convention, would change the general in situ status considerably, aptly termed ‘ad hoc’, 20 participants gathered to evaluate the already complex status of D. sumatrensis. and hence a ield survey is valuable now. These igures suggest that there are about 50–55 In situ conservation was the primary objective and Sumatran rhinos left in Bukit Barasan Selatan NP proposals for improvements were presented and and Way Kambas NP, while the population in Gunung discussed among government representatives of Leuser needs further veriication (Figure 1). Delegates Indonesia, Malaysia and Sabah as well as committed at the Sumatran Rhino Summit in Singapore in 2013 NGOs and specialists. The option of ex situ breeding suggested a total of 100 Sumatran rhinos on the island. was debated for the irst time in depth. The majority I suggest that it is realistic to consider that 75 rhinos decided in favour of a coordinated ex situ breeding are available for in situ conservation in Sumatra. project (Foose 1984; Nardelli 1984). Two surveys This number represents the two distinct, identiied to locate isolated (doomed) individuals in Sumatra viable populations in Bukit Barisan Selatan and Way preceded the meeting: one carried out by WWF ield Kambas, let’s say at 25 animals each. The status in specialist Raleigh Blouch in the Torgamba area, Riau Gunung Leuser is too poorly known to suppose that Province, and the other by Perlindungan Hutan dan more than 25 animals would be available for in situ Pelestarian Alam (PHPA) oficial, Widodo Ramono, conservation. Other rhinos living in tiny groups or in the Gunung Patah area, Bengkulu Province. Since Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 45 Nardelli © A Compost Data about the ecology and conservation of D. sumatrensis were found in two theses by Markus Borner (1979) and by Nico van Strien (1985b). These authors presented much information on feeding habits and other ecological parameters, even though direct observations of individuals, most no longer than a few seconds, could be counted on the ingers of one hand due to the wellknown elusiveness of the species. There was little or no information about procedures that would assist in ex situ breeding. Rookmaaker (1998) made available a list of all instances in which Sumatran rhinos Base camp of the irst Sumatran Rhino Project in Torgamba. On were kept in captivity. the left are the rhino shelters. The paddocks in the foreground were Due to the scarcity of data, the Sumatran constructed under trees to keep the animals shaded and cool. rhino was considered to be a browser and Blouch stressed the urgency to rescue the rhinos in treated accordingly by all the people involved Torgamba, literally surrounded by palm oil plantations, in ex situ projects (author included) both in the ield it was determined to start the capture in that locality and in zoos, regrettably for several years (Dierenfeld (Strien 1985a). et al. 1994). However, this rhino is a megafolivore As a direct outcome of the meeting, two agreements that, like langurs and colugo, belongs among those were signed: the irst in 1985 between the Indonesian species feeding almost exclusively on foliage, with government and Howletts & Port Lympne Wildlife approximate percentages of leaves and twigs at 90%, Parks (H&PL), UK, and the second in 1986 between and fruit and grasses at 10% (Nardelli 2013). the Indonesian government and the Sumatran Rhino The capture of doomed rhinos in Torgamba forest Trust, USA, the latter a consortium of four major in Riau Province, Sumatra, was carefully planned in American zoological institutions (New York Zoo, San cooperation with Tony Parkinson, world renowned Diego Zoo, Los Angeles Zoo and Cincinnati Zoo). For expert in catching wildlife, who directed the ield various (undisclosed) reasons, Malaysia and Sabah operations, and Raleigh Blouch, WWF representative. started separate programmes for capturing rhinos During my stay in Indonesia from 1985 to 1992, we within their territories. Hence the irst ever captive managed to capture 18 D. sumatrensis safely. All breeding projects were set in motion. At the same arrived at their destinations in perfect condition, time, substantial funding was made available to the already used to a browser diet. Indonesian government for in situ protection of the The continuous presence of a qualiied veterinarian, viable D. sumatrensis populations identiied in Gunung either from the USA or the UK, at the base camp in Leuser NP, Kerinci-Seblat NP and Bukit Barisan Torgamba proved particularly useful as four of the Selatan NP, to accommodate 400–500 Sumatran rhinos captured rhinos had infected lesions from wire snares (Nardelli 1986a,b; Khan 1989). deeply embedded in their legs. These animals were Subsequent to the Singapore meeting of 1984, literally saved ‘at the very last moment’ by the wellbetween 1984 and 1986, I was involved as negotiator equipped and experienced veterinarians on duty. At of both agreements between the various parties, acting the base camp six trained people were collecting fresh as executive director of H&PL and the Sumatran Rhino leaves for the animals, watering them and properly Trust until 1992 (Nardelli 1984, 1985). While the cleaning the paddocks daily. outcome of the project has been assessed by Rabinowitz The experience gained during these operations (1995), Zair et al. (2010), Ahmad et al. (2013) and provided much-needed expertise on the transfer, care others, their analyses have been somehow one-sided. and breeding of D. sumatrensis. In fact, through ex situ A more balanced view was given in a short note by breeding it has been ascertained that, unlike other rhino Sumardja (1995). Therefore, it is useful to present a species, Sumatran rhino females ovulate only if and short description of that operation in this paper. when induced by males (Roth et al. 1998; Roth 1999). 46 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 The last chance for the Sumatran rhinoceros? © A Compost ultimately precipitate into an extinction vortex. A typical example of a species sensitive to AAE is an obligate cooperative breeding species like D. sumatrensis. This rhino species is an induced ovulator; reproduction fails to be eficient when their numbers drop to such a low level that males and females simply don’t meet each other anymore, leading to tumours of the uterus and probable too-low activity of the sperm (Hermes et al. 2006; Agil et al. 2008). The AAE problem remains unsolved and it is likely to become the major threat to wild and captive populations of D. sumatrensis. Holding pen in the forest, attached to the trap, for rhino adaptation No doubt a number of both males and lasting 15–20 days. females were already infertile at the time of their capture due to those pathologies, as My experiences while with the project convinced autopsy revealed. Although today we could me that two missteps were made in the absence of data. assess the medium-term probable survival of species Both revealed critical consequences after the rhinos using population viability analysis, we will never looked well adapted to their diet and settled in their determine the consequences of stochastic phenomena inal accommodations. like AAE (Lee 2013). First, as a megafolivorous mammal, D. sumatrensis is strictly linked to rainforest food supply (Nardelli Second meeting on Sumatran Rhino 2013), with a digestive system comparable to that of Conservation, 1993 other leaf-eating mammals. As it was unanimously considered to be an undemanding browser in 1985, A Sumatran rhino population and habitat viability the animals were fed an unsuitable diet similar to the analysis workshop was held 11–13 November 1993 one fed to the black rhino, Diceros bicornis, a typical in Bandar Lampung, Indonesia, attended by about browser. Although Radcliffe et al. (2004) were close 50 delegates. Considering the high mortality rate of to a complete solution on the optimum diet for D. the captured Sumatran rhinos in some of the zoos, sumatrensis, it was the staff in charge of Cincinnati it was decided to discontinue the capture of isolated Zoo who solved this vital crisis, supplying ad libitum (or doomed) rhinos (Tilson 1993). Hence, we need to fresh icus leaves acquired from San Diego (Romo understand why capture of doomed animals was never 2011)—just in time for three D. sumatrensis to breed resumed for 21 years (1993–2014). Have we allowed successfully (Roth 2013)! too much time to waste? This problem is solved. However, two major achievements were Second, the Sumatran rhino suffers from an implemented as a direct result of the workshop. First, anthropogenic Allee effect (AAE), which was not the Sumatran Rhino Sanctuary was constructed within properly recognized at the time. In many animal and Way Kambas NP, in Lampung Province, Sumatra, plant species, individual reproduction and survival for semi-ex situ breeding D. sumatrensis in very are diminished in small populations through various large enclosures (Foose et al. 1995). Second, in situ mechanisms including mate shortage, failure to protection was much strengthened with the institution optimize the environment, or lack of conspeciic of special Rhino Protection Units , formed by dedicated cooperation. When populations are enduring human armed guards to control rhino areas (Foose et al. 1997). exploitation, this can be called anthropogenic Allee The management was handed over to the Indonesian effect (Courchamp et al. 2006). AEE may exhibit Government. negative population growth rates at low densities, which drives them to even lower densities and Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 47 © Way Kambas NP Nardelli © A Compost D. sumatrensis mother Ratu with male Andatu, born in Way Kambas on 23 June 2012, the irst birth ever in Indonesia,the seventh in captivity. Male D. sumatrensis Rokan, in the pit trap. Third meeting on Sumatran Rhino Conservation, 2013 The Sumatran Rhino Crisis Summit (SRCS) was convened 31 March–4 April 2013, again in Singapore, gathering over 100 specialists from different governments, NGOs, institutions and independent conservationists. Among various topics, managed breeding was examined in depth. Summarizing the discussions on population modelling, Putnam (2013) showed that ‘the best scenario would be with two groups; bring in 2.2 animals within 10 years per group, breeding every three years, and the probability of extinction drops to 7%. If things go on as they are, the captive population will be extinct within 50 years—100% probability.’ This conclusion is similar to one reached in 1984 at the irst Sumatran rhino meeting (Strien 1985a). 48 Action followed the irst and second meetings, more pondering the third (Crosbie 2013; Ellis 2013; Goossens et al. 2013; Hegener 2013; Payne 2013; Roth 2013; Brook et al. 2014; Hance 2014b,c; Ip 2014; Kolbert 2014; McDonnell 2014; Vaz 2014; among others). Since its conclusion, two outcomes were publicized: the female Iman falling into a pit trap in Sabah on 20 March 2014 and safely moved to facilities in the Borneo Rhino Sanctuary (Hance 2014a), and the signing of the Bandar Lampung Declaration in October 2013 (IUCN 2013) by the respective ministers of Bhutan, India, Indonesia, Malaysia and Nepal at the First Asian Rhino Range States meeting. This event was marked by its promising goal: The populations of the Indian, Javan, and Sumatran rhinos will each be managed for an annual growth rate of at least 3%. Discussion It’s time to go by phases and priorities. The three meetings of 1984, 1993 and 2013, in my opinion, should have taken place in a reverse order to justify the quantity of recommendations: in 1984, with population igures around 800 rhinos, there would have been time to put into practice several of the actions proposed in 2013 at the SRCS. In 2013, or today, with a population of 75 viable animals, we have time only to execute a few rapid schemes (e.g. listed in the 1984 ad hoc meeting). We cannot afford to implement all conservation methods eficiently as we all would like, unless all resources increase 10-fold. We still have before our eyes the saga of the Nile rhino or northern white rhino (Ceratotherium cottoni or Ceratotherium simum cottoni): common just a century ago, down to a few dozen in the 1980s, four in 2006, extinct today in the wild despite millions spent for their protection. Seven, likely not reproductive individuals, can still be seen in captivity or in similar condition— four in Ol Pejeta Conservancy in Kenya, one in Dvur Kralove Zoo in Czech Republic and two in San Diego Zoo in the USA—and most of these are candidates to hybridize with southern white rhinos (Ol Pejeta Conservancy 2014). As rightly stated by Hermes et al. (2006): ‘Intensive efforts to propagate speciically the northern white rhinoceros have been very limited. The dismal outlook for this subspecies in the wild makes successful ex situ breeding programmes paramount.’ Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 The last chance for the Sumatran rhinoceros? © Tom Foose progression: 1. Negotiate and sign long-term bi- or multilateral agreement(s) between the Indonesian government and conservation institution(s). This is to call a halt to meetings and transform their existing relevant conclusions into action. 2. Capture isolated rhinos, following the successful 1984 protocol and logistics, to enhance semi-ex situ breeding programmes, first in Way Kambas. Semi-ex situ breeding, sometime wrongly termed in situ breeding, is proving to be the optimal solution, not only for D. sumatrensis. For instance, the Javan rhino or the Saola could beneit too. The advantages are evident: food, temperature, humidity are natural and low workforce costs. 3. Allow regular movements between closely monitored managed populations, as the need is urgent to expand present facilities and construct new ones in Bukit Barisan Selatan NP. At the meeting in Singapore in 2013, Indonesian representatives declared that a facility similar to Way Kambas Sanctuary is in their progress schedule to be realized in the southern part of Bukit Barisan Selatan (now almost cut off from the northern part), where a few isolated Sumatran rhinos still exist. Most participants supported the plan. 4. Complete—preferably within 10 years—two facilities in Indonesia, one in Sabah and one in the USA, holding between them possibly 20 viable pairs (Foose in Khan 1989) or at least 26 viable individuals (Putnam 2013). 5. Move part of future progeny, in unrelated pairs, to selected zoos that can afford a new management and breeding protocol to fulil requirements speciic for D. sumatrensis (Dierenfeld et al. 2000; Radcliffe et al. 2004; McNeely 2005; Nardelli 2013). 6. Create large fenced areas (> 1000 hectares) in well-protected rainforest. Such pre-reintroduction areas would allow the rhinos to breed in complete natural conditions, prior to their release in wellprotected national parks. 7. Fence Way Kambas NP to keep people outside and rhinos inside. This is not relevant for ex situ breeding but it is essential to preserve the integrity of at least one national park for in situ medium- to long-term conservation of one viable rhino population. Managed migration among populations of rhino. We may have personal ideas as far as conservation problems are concerned, with possible inaccuracies arising when a speciic action is considered the only possible one. The results of ‘unfortunate’ initiatives have made today’s governments (not only the Indonesian) reluctant to take decisions. The 1984 project was declared a failure by major NGOs. In 1995, with a population of a little more than 300 individuals left, Rabinowitz (1995) wrote that ‘captive breeding would have led to extinction.’ Which government will take the initiative after such statements by prominent NGOs and outstanding specialists? Recommendations Today with, in my opinion, a total population of only 75 viable D. sumatrensis left, there are action plans, proceedings, papers, etc., concluding that the species can still be saved. However, in my estimation such a goal cannot be achieved unless a new rescue project starts off immediately. Simply, in situ control has proved to be inadequate on its own. A programme giving priority to artiicial propagation to save D. sumatrensis would be to keep our eyes ‘wide shut’, ignoring the scarce successes this practice has so far achieved, although it should be kept high in consideration to support natural breeding. In Sabah, for example, where Sumatran rhino numbers are so low—three in captivity and a few more in the wild—artiicial insemination is the best option to increase their number. I propose a strategy of seven practical steps to achieve a major objective: save the Sumatran rhino. Based on my experience, I suggest we restrict our aim, at present, to the following undertakings and in this Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 49 © Way Kambas NP © WWF-Greater Mekong /PA/AP Nardelli Which is going to be the inal result? Sumatran rhino birthday party (above)…or more photos like: The last known Javan rhino poached in Vietnam (right). Managing this species requires a significant amount of time. Pairing individuals, pregnancies and inter-calving periods are just some of the longtime processes. Whichever the approach, breeding Sumatran rhinos is a lengthy course of action, so time is of the essence (Martin et al. 2012). To emphasize the positive effects to manage the rhinos as a single population (Ellis et al. 2011), it is necessary to ensure the possibility of fast cross-border movement of rhinos with existing international protocols, to achieve a truly luid captive metapopulation. Indispensable arrangements and agreements between governments related to ownership of adults or offspring and their transfer should be agreed upon now to ensure future population lexibility. It is essential that the eficiency of the whole process is enhanced by political will, know-how and experience. The speciic status that the Sumatran rhino suffers today warns that only a collaborative and resolute ex situ conservation programme will keep the species from extinction. Brook et al.’s (2014) paper on the last days of Rhinoceros sondaicus annamiticus spells out clear deiciencies of management, and there is a disappointing similitude to D. sumatrensis state of affairs: ‘The failure at the site level to protect the rhinoceros population ultimately resulted in its demise. Low political will to take decisions required to recover the species and inadequate focus from the conservation and donor community further contributed to the subspecies’s extinction, in part due to a lack of knowledge on population status. Lessons from this example should 50 inform the conservation of other very threatened large vertebrates, particularly in Southeast Asia.’ And NOW? We do risk saying farewell forever to the Sumatran rhino! Acknowledgements I am particularly grateful to Dr Kees Rookmaaker for corrections to the manuscript and his invaluable work in keeping the outstanding Rhino Resource Center a mine of data. 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Now or never: what will it take to save the Sumatran rhinoceros Dicerorhinus sumatrensis from extinction? Oryx 45(2):225–233. http://eprints.ums.edu.my/5256/ 53 Ferreira et al. Chemical horn infusions: a poaching deterrent or an unnecessary deception? Sam Ferreira,1* Markus Hofmeyr,2 Danie Pienaar1 and Dave Cooper3 1 Scientiic Services, South Africa National Parks (SANParks), Skukuza Veterinary Wildlife Services, SANParks, Skukuza 3 Veterinary Wildlife Services, Ezemvelo KwaZulu–Natal, Hluhluwe *corresponding author email: sam.ferreira@sanparks.org 2 Abstract Poaching for horn remains a signiicant threat to rhinos. Conservationists use various approaches to deal with the threat. One method advocated is infusing rhino horns with chemicals and dye. Promoters of this method claim the procedure renders the horn useless and that ingesting poisoned horn carries potential risk to the end-user. We visually examined white rhino horn that had been treated; we examined available literature; and we obtained expert opinion to assess several assumptions and risks associated with the approach. We found the information on which the assumptions are based to be weak, and refute claims that discolouring horns is a viable method. Our assessment contests the eficacy of this technique on conceptual and logistical grounds, especially when dealing with relatively large populations. We argue that conservationists should not use this technique to deal with the rhino poaching threat. Résumé Le braconnage pour la corne reste une menace importante pour les rhinocéros. Les écologistes utilisent différentes approches pour faire face à la menace. Une des méthodes préconisées est l’infusion des cornes de rhinocéros avec des produits chimiques et des colorants. Les partisans de cette méthode afirment que cette procédure rend la corne inutile. Cependant, elle comporte également un risque potentiel à l›utilisateur inal quand il ingère la corne empoisonnée. Nous avons examiné visuellement la corne de rhinocéros blanc qui avait été traitée, et nous avons examiné la documentation disponible et obtenu l›avis des experts pour évaluer plusieurs hypothèses et les risques associés à la démarche. Nous avons trouvé que l›information sur laquelle les hypothèses sont fondées n’était pas correcte, et nous réfutons les allégations selon lesquelles la décoloration des cornes est une méthode viable. Notre évaluation conteste l’eficacité de cette technique pour des raisons conceptuelles et logistiques, surtout lorsqu’il s’agit de populations relativement importantes. Nous soutenons que les écologistes ne doivent pas utiliser cette technique lorsqu’ils sont confrontés à la menace du braconnage de rhinocéros. Introduction Poaching continues to threaten rhinos despite intensified anti-poaching campaigns (Ferreira et al. 2012). Evaluation of multi-pronged approaches that include reducing demand, providing horn and eliminating poaching through intensiied anti-poaching campaigns (Ferreira and Okita-Ouma 2012) illustrates that integrating approaches carries the largest beneits for a suite of conservation outcomes (Ferreira et al. 2014). Some options, such as providing horn through legalized trade, are, however, not available at present (Child 2012; Biggs et al. 2013). 54 The international call for intensiied protection of rhinos through traditional anti-poaching measures may fail to curb illegal killing because the incentives of inancial beneits outweigh the disincentives (see Ferreira et al. 2014). Rangers’ efforts require matching initiatives directed at disrupting transnational crime networks, at a scale conservationists have never before faced (Dalberg 2012). Authorities may also reduce supply through approaches such as treating live rhino horn chemically to make it unit for human consumption (Rhino Rescue Project 2013). Typically, horn treatment is infusing a compound or a combination of compounds into the horn of a live rhino. The most Pachyderm No. 55 January–July 2014 Chemical horn infusions—a poaching deterrent or an unnecessary deception? common infusion comprises an indelible dye and a deposit of ectoparasiticides (Rhino Rescue Project 2013). The effectiveness of horn treatment as an added disincentive for rhino poaching is unknown. Here we consider the strategic context and conceptual basis for reducing poaching through direct deterrence by the chemical itself, or indirect deterrence of making poachers believe that the horn has no value, through publicizing horn infusions. Second, we highlight legal and ethical challenges. Third, we focus on the scientiic basis of the potential of chemical deterrence, and the eficiency and maintenance of its application. We also consider the logistical requirements of infusing a large number of rhinos in a population. Reduction in poaching rates, however, is the ultimate measure of success. We check whether this occurs. Conceptual challenges The concept of infusing chemical substances into rhino horns in an attempt to reduce poaching is based on a number of assumptions. It presupposes that the infused chemicals provide discomfort to an end-user consuming the treated horn (Rhino Rescue Project 2013). Where infusions comprise indelible dye as well, proponents predict the horn will be considered as worthless for ornamental use. The belief behind such chemical treatments is that it devalues the horn and thus makes it unmarketable. A key element as part of such an initiative is the assumption that wide-scale publicity of chemical treatment of horn will deter poachers. Prices paid to poachers for horn provide signiicant inancial incentive (Ferreira et al. 2014), which relates to the demand and supply that sets commodity prices at a particular time. Anti-poaching programmes, dehorning (Lindsey and Taylor 2011) or chemical treatments (Rhino Rescue Project 2013) aim to provide equal or higher disincentives. Infusionists assume that poachers will not be able to sell the treated horns to end-users as they would be considered unsuitable, thus reducing the demand for them and thus reducing their inancial value. Removing the inancial incentive would result in disincentives outweighing incentives and poaching rates would therefore decline (Ferreira et al. 2014). A key challenge arises, however, because infusing would create two rhino horn commodities—treated and untreated horn. Increasing the supply of treated horn (or horn perceived to be treated), assumed to have no value and thus no demand for them, reduces the supply of untreated horn (whether real or perceived), causing a Pachyderm No. 55 January–July 2014 growth in demand (Milliken and Shaw 2012). Reducing the supply of untreated horn will escalate prices and simultaneously increase poaching incentives. It implies a threshold requirement of a proportion of treated horn in a population large enough to make it not viable for poachers to seek untreated horn. Such a threshold should eliminate the supply of untreated horn, real or perceived. If there is no supply of untreated horn even though demand remains, economic dynamics predict no price. Completely removing the supply of untreated horn is highly unlikely because lingering demand will likely generate illegal suppliers to design innovative ways of providing horn (e.g. high-pressure chemical washing of horns). The pet trade experienced this innovation dynamic with cybercrime becoming a key element of wildlife traficking in response to enforcement of CITES resolutions (e.g. Izzo 2010). The example illustrates the potential of illegal supply innovation to derail the market disruption strategy. Demand and supply interactions predict rapidly escalating prices for untreated horn and consequently, increased poaching incentives (Jain 2006). It is likely that there will be no effect on poaching rates because poachers ignore, or are not aware of, the difference between treated and untreated rhino horn, and additionally because poachers are not the end-users. Therefore, there is no reason for treated horn not to be sold, especially if the chemicals are not visible. In addition, corrupt sellers abound in the horn trade—many fake horns are in circulation and knowingly sold at high prices (Milliken and Shaw 2012). Typically, suppliers seek to sell their product at the highest price and the illegal market does not follow processes based on honest and true facts (Natarajan and Hough 2000). This situation, however, has no effect on supply-and-demand dynamics (Jain 2006) and hence no effect on price incentives for poaching. Supply-and-demand dynamics (Jain 2006) predict a similar outcome as above if poachers are unaware of chemically treated horn. Publicity that convinces poachers that a whole population comprises only treated rhinos can potentially counteract this outcome. Such an approach is likely to achieve some degree of success on small reserves, but less so in large areas. Even if poachers are aware of infusions, they may not be able to recognize chemically treated horn. For instance, blood, skin, mud and normal wear of the horn may make it dificult for a poacher to recognize a compromised product. Some of these consequences are easy to mitigate when focusing on one small reserve, in isolation from 55 Ferreira et al. the broader context of the complete rhino population. Demand–supply models (Jain 2006) predict that a new supplier or an existing supplier replaces the product missing after an established supplier is removed, if demand is high enough. This dynamic may explain why daily poaching rates in South Africa increased after pseudo-hunting (non-bona ide hunters hunting rhinos as sport hunters, South African Department of Environmental Affairs, unpublished data) was abolished. Outcomes for small reserves disregarding wider implications may thus actually stimulate poaching in other areas. These varied consequences challenge the assumption that horn treatments reduce demand because it disrupts the supply. Reduction in demand for unspoiled products does not result because of spoiled end-user products (Jain 2006). None of the demandreduction theories proposed was tested before being implemented, including the effect of infused horn on humans. This effect will be dificult to ascertain; because the use of rhino horn is not legal in enduser countries (Milliken and Shaw 2012), it would be dificult to obtain reliable information on the health outcomes of horn use. The underlying assumptions and subsequent consequences of horn infusions thus introduce complexity that carries uncertainty for curbing rhino poaching. Horn infusions only rearrange the supply axes, but the demand remains. Legal and ethical challenges A key legal risk is whether third parties suffer harm, loss or injury resulting from using treated horn. However, the single known existing legal opinion in this regard (available from the Rhino Rescue Project 2013) indicates no criminal or civil implications. The opinion makes use of rules of exception to the par delictum rule (the plaintiff cannot be successful in a claim when the plaintiff’s own actions were unlawful) and argues that the action to treat the rhino horn is not unlawful because it is primarily aimed at the health and wellbeing of the animal. We could ind no published scientific support for this statement. In addition, poaching and most trading in rhino horn are illegal in most countries (CITES 2010, 2011), but whether it is illegal to consume it is uncertain. If authorities allowed legal poisoning of illegal substances, widespread application to reduce worldwide illegal drug trades should result—an outcome never realized. The end consumers would most likely become the plaintiffs, 56 some of whom received horns as gifts or bought them legally as traditional Eastern medicine (Milliken and Shaw 2012). This introduces uncertainty that could remove the par delictum rule exceptions and introduce criminal or civil liability. Cultural rights dilemmas may also be associated with horn infusions. Key stakeholders within the countries with the highest number of consumers have expectations that the global community respects speciic cultural traditions. Treating horn chemically may act as customary rights discrimination (e.g. Fougere 2006), a risk that directly contrasts with several CITES resolutions at recent Conferences of Parties (Cooney and Abensperg-Traun 2013). In contrast, stakeholders living in rhino range States expect that authorities will protect rhinos and effectively ight crime. Infusing horns as a poaching deterrent may thus contribute to expectations of having a society with limited crime (Knight 2011), even if it only translates into illustrating a response. In such a case, the value would be temporary because range State stakeholders would also expect poaching rates to be reduced. Animal welfare is also an important consideration (e.g. Bonier et al. 2004). Horn infusions use highpressure systems (9-bar) to permeate the chemicals into the horn (Andrew Parker, pers. comm.1). Welfare consequences are notoriously dificult to evaluate and typically rely on behavioural indicators such as displacement activities and repetitive behaviours (e.g. Carlstead et al. 1993). We could ind no formal evidence of behavioural assessment of either pretreatment vs. post-treatment, or control vs. experimental comparisons. An immediate health risk to the rhino is associated with immobilizing the animals, with anaesthesia procedures resulting in at least one white rhino dying during the horn infusion process (Beeld 2013). Experience of immobilizing rhinos to notch ears, translocate or treat injuries suggests that the typical 30 minutes to complete the process (Rhino Rescue Project 2013) would be considered long (personal observation). In addition, it does not include effects of chasing rhinos during the actual darting. At least one study illustrated that immobilizing rhinos for translocation introduced elevated levels of stress (Linklater et al. 2010). In rhino-holding facilities, 5–10% of rhinos fail to adapt to boma conditions 1 Andrew Parker, former chief executive oficer, Sabi Sand Game Reserve, ceo@sabisand.co.za Pachyderm No. 55 January–July 2014 Chemical horn infusions—a poaching deterrent or an unnecessary deception? following capture (South African National Parks [SANParks], unpublished data2). Multiple captures of rhinos, particularly young rhinos, may carry chronic stress consequences given requirements of retreatment every 3–4 years (Rhino Rescue Project 2013). Horn infusionists anecdotally reported no detrimental effects on rhino health following capture for treatment (Rhino Rescue Project 2013), but no formal evidence is available. A key concern is contamination of growth tissue at the base of the horn. The procedure uses a highpressure system to force chemicals into hard horn; infusing the soft tissue would be simpler but may result in damage to the growing tissue. We could ind no literature as to the effect on it. Neither could we ind literature that described health beneits from infusing as an ectoparasiticide treatment, although topical application of medication has been used for wound treatments on hooves. Effectiveness of such treatment is still debated in the veterinary ield (Johan Marais, pers. comm.3). Given that the infusion with ectoparasiticides focuses on the internal horn tissue, it is unlikely that there will be any noticeable health beneits to the rhino. Even so, conservationists need several clinical trials to evaluate its effectiveness on rhino health. Such an evaluation should include the consequences of disrupting parasite–host interactions. We could ind no evidence of such evaluation before or after the commercial launching of the infusion product. Science challenges Conservationists strive to adhere to a philosophy of strategic adaptive management (Roux and Foxcroft 2011) and place great value on robust science-based decisions (Roux et al. 2012). Some of the scientiic assumptions that infusionists make warrant evaluation. Chemical deterrence potential Hazard identification of the composition of the most common treatment (i.e. combination of ectoparasiticides and indelible dye) highlighted that the dye may cause eye, skin and respiratory tract irritation and could be harmful if swallowed, inhaled or absorbed through the skin (document provided by 2 Available from Dr Markus Hofmeyr, Veterinary Wildlife Services, Skukuza, markus.hofmeyr@sanparks.org 3 Dr Johan Marais, Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Pretoria Pachyderm No. 55 January–July 2014 Peace Parks Foundation4). It is unclear what quantities end-users need to consume before the effects become acute. We could ind no evaluation associated with the depository of ectoparasiticides. These comprise freely available over-the-counter antiparasitic drugs used to treat ectoparasitic infestations where parasitic organisms primarily live on the surface of the host (deined by Rhino Rescue Project 2013). The exact ectoparasiticide combinations are unknown, with no human health risks deined. Most commercially available ectoparasiticide products are relativity safe to humans and unlikely to have any serious health consequences for end-users in the quantities ingested from known rhino horn products (Johan Marais5 and Gerhard Steenkamp6, pers. comm.). Although the chemical combination may carry discomfort, we could not ind literature that indicates some part of an animal infused by similar compounds (usually used for treating horse hoofs, Johan Marais, pers. comm.6) is toxic to humans. Drugs used to treat animals followed by subsequent consumption of meat with residual hormonal and medical drug residues resulted in affecting a small percentage of persons (US Board of Agriculture 1999). It is unlikely that end-users will notice an acute effect, because rhino horn for medicinal purposes comprises only small doses mixed with other substances. In addition, it is assumed that people will not refrain from consuming something if they perceive it to have medicinal or delicatessen value, even if it is potentially highly toxic. Fugu, or the puffer ish, are highly poisonous and contain tetrodotoxin, a potent neurotoxin (Tsang and Tang 2007). Yet it is a highly valued delicacy in China and Japan, even though a number of people eating it die every year (Bingbin 2012). Application efficiency Rhino horn is essentially papillary corniied epidermis (Hieronymus et al. 2006); it comprises a composite material with tubules of keratinocytes forming ibres embedded in a resin-like matrix of varying composition. Calcium phosphate salts, most likely hydroxyapatite or octocalcium phosphate, and melanin 4 Werner Myburgh, Peace Parks Foundation 5 Dr Johan Marais, Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Pretoria 6 Dr Gerhard Steenkamp, Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Pretoria 57 Ferreira et al. characterize matrix composition (Hieronymus et al. 2006). Rhino horn has a density of 1.26 g/cm–3 (Pienaar and Hall-Martin 1993) with the horn tip slightly denser than the base. When sliced, a polished rhino horn resembles perspex, or poly-methyl-methacrylate, which has a density of 1.18 g/cm–3 (makeitfrom.com 2009). More heavily melanin-pigmented corniied epidermal tissue occurs in the central longitudinal core of the horn (Figure 1). Most importantly, the variations in melanin content and calciication result in differential wear, the key mechanism for horn shape (Hieronymus et al. 2006). Infusing rhino horn is not complex. Veterinarians immobilize a rhino using standard veterinary techniques (Standard operating procedures for capture, handling and transport of wild animals,SANParks7). After the rhino is successfully immobilized, holes (~10 mm in diameter) are drilled into the centre of the horn and an applicator is inserted. A compressor itted to the applicator infuses the chemical combination under 9-bar pressure for 20 minutes (Andrew Parker, pers. comm.8). After the procedure, the applicator is removed, the hole plugged with a resin, and veterinarians administer an antidote to the rhino to recover from an anaesthetic drug. We could ind no literature assessing the eficiency of this procedure in distributing chemical compounds evenly through the corniied epidermal tissue of horn. Horn structure suggests differential resistance to wear (Hieronymus et al. 2006), which predicts differential distribution of the chemical compounds following infusion. Neither could we ind literature on high infusion pressure that could damage keratinocyte tubules with consequences for the future strength of the horn. Even so, higher core melanin concentration (Hieronymus et al. 2006) predicts weaker treatment penetration in the longitudinal centre of the horn. There is thus some chance that suitable core areas remain and are still available for human consumption. When queried on this issue, the Rhino Rescue Project indicated that they had not cut through a treated horn to ascertain if the coloured dye actually infused through the horn as they claimed. Samples from ive sets of white rhino horns retrieved after horn infusion with indelible dye combined with ectoparasiticides (SANParks: 1 anterior and 1 posterior 7 Available from Dr Markus Hofmeyr, Veterinary Wildlife Services, SANParks, markus.hofmeyr@sanparks.org 8 Andrew Parker, former chief executive oficer, Sabi Sand Game Reserve, ceo@sabisand.co.za 58 Figure 1. Polished back-lit cross slice through an anterior horn of a white rhino showing the more heavily melaninpigmented corniied epidermal tissue in the core of the horn. transverse cut; Sabi Sand Game Reserve: 1 anterior and 1 posterior transverse cut; Ezemvelo KZN: 3 anterior and 3 posterior drilled samples 1 month after infusion9) noted no visible discoloration through the papillary corniied epidermis of the horn (Figure 2). Even if there is not a formal test for ectoparasiticides or their metabolic derivatives in the papillary corniied epidermis, they are unlikely to be present given the chemical mixture of ectoparasiticides with indelible dye as part of the application procedure, and the fact that the indelible dye did not penetrate into the horns. All evidence indicates wide-scale failure of the application. Maintaining deterrence effectiveness Even if one disregards application eficiency, maintaining deterrence effectiveness may be challenging. Rhino horn continually grows (Pienaar et al. 1991; Rachlow and Berger 1997; Hieronymus and Witmer 2004) at a near-constant rate throughout the areal extent (Hieronymus et al. 2006). This means that new corniied epidermis is laid down continuously at the base of the horn. Anterior (nasal) horns grow at 5–6 cm per year (Pienaar et al. 1991; Rachlow and Berger 1997) while posterior horns (i.e. the small horn behind the nasal horn) grow at 2 cm per year (Rachlow and Berger 1997). Infusionists advocate treatment effectiveness for 9 Data provided by Dave Cooper, Ezemvelo KZN, dcooper@ kznwildlife.com Pachyderm No. 55 January–July 2014 Chemical horn infusions—a poaching deterrent or an unnecessary deception? Figure 2. Transverse cut through a recovered posterior horn after infusion with a mixture of indelible dye (shown with arrow) and ectoparasiticides illustrating failure of the procedure to distribute the dye evenly throughout the papillary corniied epidermis of a white rhino horn. This result is characteristic of all horns sampled after the infusion treatment. 3–4 years (Rhino Rescue Project 2013). Horn growth adds new horn each year (Pienaar et al. 1991; Rachlow and Berger 1997; Hieronymus and Witmer 2004). Horn structure with hardness provided by calciication in melanized corniied epidermis (Hieronymus et al. 2006) suggests that the new corniied epidermis is unlikely to be affected by passive diffusion of the chemical compounds. In addition, horn wear determines horn shape and size (Boas 1931) with the higher concentration of melanin and calcium salts in the centre of horn determining the overall conical shape of rhino horn (Hieronymus et al. 2006). A full horn growth cycle is thus likely to be variable and impose uncertainty in the planning and requirements of repeat treatments to sustain apparent eficiency. Furthermore, the interactions between new corniied epidermis being continuously added and wearing rates being higher for treated parts of the horn suggest that untreated corniied epidermis will comprise larger and larger fractions of the horn. This means that over time, attractiveness of the horn will increase, which could inluence incentives for poachers. Logistical challenges Considering how incentives and disincentives inluence a person’s decision to poach suggests a critical mass of horn must be treated in a population to deter poachers. Theoretically, fractions larger than 50% introduce probabilities that a poacher more often Pachyderm No. 55 January–July 2014 than not will encounter rhinos with treated horns, disregarding publicity effects. A poacher will not be able to tell a treated horn from an untreated one on sight and will at best discover the status while removing the horn. Treated horns recovered from poachers showed that it is unlikely that a poacher will notice the pink drilling hole given that poached horns are often covered in mud and blood, and that poaching often happens in low light conditions to make escape easier. Poaching may continue until poachers ind suitable horn. Ultimately though, more often than not, the chance of getting treated horn may be a large enough disincentive to overcome price incentives. The number of rhinos living on an individual private property is usually small, making complete treatment of the population possible. Approximately 150 white rhinos on private property have been treated (Rhino Rescue Project 2013). Logistical requirements increase when the size of areas and populations increase. Recently, Sabi Sand Game Reserve treated about 15% of the white rhinos present, while Ezemvelo KZN treated approximately 65% of the rhinos in Ndumu Game Reserve and Tembe Elephant Park along the Mozambique border. Costs amount to USD 1,000 per rhino, inclusive of helicopter time and vehicles but excluding costs of drugs and veterinary expertise (Andrew Parker, pers. comm.10). The infusion procedure takes at least 30 minutes per rhino (Rhino Rescue Project 2013). Together with searching, immobilizing, treating, reversing, and preparing drugs and equipment, a team can expect 90 minutes to complete treatment of one rhino, allowing a maximum of four rhinos a day if the area is large and inding rhinos is dificult. In addition to such logistical requirements, a key challenge will be to identify and separate treated rhinos from untreated ones, extending the periods of operations in large areas and populations. Permanent marking of treated rhinos will be necessary. This poses additional challenges in that no permanent visible external markers are available. Most commonly used permanent markers are gum tattoos or microchip insertions, neither of which are visible in free-range wild animals. Invasive techniques like ear notching or tagging are the only alternative; they are effective in small populations but become dificult to impose on larger populations. Given these logistical challenges, the dye approach is feasible only in small and isolated populations. 10 Andrew Parker, former chief executive oficer, Sabi Sand Game Reserve, ceo@sabisand.co.za 59 Ferreira et al. Reduction of poaching The conceptual challenges of chemically treating rhino horn, as highlighted earlier, predict variable effects on poaching rates. By 25 April 2013, infusionists have treated 230 rhinos with 4 of these subsequently poached (Rhino Rescue Project 2013). The poaching rate of treated rhinos of 1.74% (95% CI: 0.03–3.45%) is lower than the 2013 national poaching rate of 4.79% (95% CI: 0.23–9.37%), but confidence intervals overlap. In Sabi Sand Nature Reserve, we know of 3 rhinos with infused horns being killed since the inception of infusion during March 2013 and December 2013. During that period, we also know of 37 other rhinos killed in the same area (SANParks, unpublished data11), clearly challenging the deterrence value of horn treatment to poachers. Before horns were infused, poachers killed nine rhinos in Ndumo Game Reserve and Tembe Elephant Park combined. Here, incursion rates also decreased dramatically, with 29 illegal entries by poachers recorded for the 3 months before the infusions, and 5 for the 3 months after treatment. Just before the infusions, however, law enforcers confronted and fatally shot an armed poacher and subsequently recovered a number of illegal weapons from the surrounding area. Sustained poaching pressure over the preceding months had also substantially reduced the number of rhinos present in both reserves and subsequently poaching pressure seemed to shift to other rhino populations farther south of the Mozambique border (personal observations). It is thus dificult to conclude that a chemical deterrent caused the reduction in poaching. Conclusion Our assessment highlights key laws in the assumptions that treating rhino horn will lead to decline in poaching incidents. We propose that human ethical and legal risks arise from assumptions for which we could not ind any evidence. Consequences on animal welfare and health also carry large uncertainties. Many of the above concerns emanate from the information base being primarily speculative. This was most evident when we assessed requirements associated with the procedure itself. Evidence indicates that at least one of the compounds in the most commonly used treatment is harmful to humans. Also, the structure 11 Ken Maggs, SANParks, ken.maggs@sanparks.org 60 and growth dynamics of rhino horn suggest that the eficiency of applying and maintaining the treatment may vary considerably. Claims by infusionists that the dye permeates the whole horn and is visible at the base of the horn when poachers remove it simply were not true. To be successful, a critical number of rhinos need to be treated, with more demanding logistical requirements when areas and population sizes increase. This situation imposes several logistical challenges with potentially high costs to authorities. These concerns highlight that authorities may carry substantial risks and have high uncertainty if they attempt to reduce poaching rates by infusing horns with chemicals as deterrents for end-users. This activity will detract authorities from achieving other conservation mandates. Relying on publicity to deter poachers also relies on managers being convinced that publicity on the chemical treatment of horns through infusion will secure rhinos. Poachers will beneit and managers will lose when the bluff of horn treatment fails. Chemical horn infusion is thus not a poaching deterrent but an ineffective deception. References Beeld. 2013. Renoster plan eindig tragies. http://www. beeld.com/Suid-Afrika/Nuus/Renoster-plan-eindigtragies-20120209. Accessed 4 May 2013. Biggs D, Courchamp F, Martin R, Possingham HP. 2013. Legal trade of Africa’s rhino horns. Science 339:1038–1039. Bingbin H. 2012. 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The complex policy issue of elephant ivory stockpile management Michael ’t Sas-Rolfes,1 Brendan Moyle2 and Daniel Stiles3* 1 Independent wildlife trade economist School of Economics and Finance, College of Business, Massey University, PB 102 904, Auckland 0745, New Zealand 3 Ol Pejeta Conservancy, Private Bag, Nanyuki 10400, Kenya *corresponding author email: kenyadan@icloud.com 2 Abstract Recent elephant poaching levels are a serious concern for conservationists. Opinions differ over how to deal with the upsurge and associated illegal ivory trade. Following the CITES-imposed international trade ban voted in 1989, limited legal trade has been permitted in two one-off sales. Opinions are divided on what effect this has had on poaching. Opinions are now also divided over whether trade in ivory products should be outlawed worldwide, both between and within countries. In the midst of this debate is the question of what government agencies should do with existing stockpiles of collected legal and coniscated illegal ivory. Governments of some countries have destroyed their stockpiles with the claimed intent of reducing poaching, and there are calls for others to follow suit. We review the academic literature and available relevant data and ind that under current circumstances, stockpile destruction violates the precautionary principle because the outcome is unknown; it is therefore not recommended. Credible evidence suggests that speculation may drive the current high poaching rates more than consumer demand for carvings. Legal stockpiles provide an option to curtail speculative behaviour of criminals. We recommend that governments move closer towards consensus on a long-term vision for elephant and ivory management before undertaking measures such as large-scale stockpile destruction. In the meantime they should continue to retain existing ivory stockpiles securely to reduce incentives for criminal speculation with illegally accumulated stockpiles. We recommend that research be carried out to understand better the dynamics of the current legal and illegal ivory trade systems in order to formulate evidence-based policy. Additional keywords: poaching, seizure, speculation Résumé Les niveaux récents de braconnage des éléphants sont une préoccupation sérieuse pour les écologistes. Les opinions divergent sur la façon de faire face à la recrudescence du braconnage et le commerce illégal de l’ivoire y associé. Suite à l’interdiction du commerce international imposé par la CITES et voté en 1989, le commerce légal limité a été autorisé lors de deux ventes exceptionnelles. Les opinions sont divisées sur l’effet que cela a eu sur le braconnage. Les opinions sont actuellement divisées aussi quant à savoir si le commerce des produits en ivoire devrait être interdit dans le monde entier, entre et à l’intérieur des pays. Dans ce débat se trouve la question de savoir ce que les organismes gouvernementaux devraient faire avec les stocks existants d’ivoire légal collecté et d’ivoire illégal conisqué. Les gouvernements de certains pays ont détruit leurs stocks avec l’intention déclarée de réduire le braconnage, et il y a des appels pour que les autres suivent cet exemple. Nous passons en revue la littérature académique et les données disponibles pertinentes et nous trouvons que sous les circonstances actuelles, la destruction des stocks viole le principe de précaution puisque le résultat est inconnu; donc elle n’est pas recommandée. Des preuves crédibles suggèrent que la spéculation peut être la cause des taux actuels élevés de braconnage plus que la demande des consommateurs pour les sculptures. Les stocks légaux fournissent une possibilité de réduire le comportement spéculatif des criminels. Nous recommandons que les gouvernements se rapprochent d’un consensus sur une vision à long 62 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 The complex policy issue of elephant ivory stockpile management terme pour la gestion de l’éléphant et de l’ivoire avant d’entreprendre des mesures telles que la destruction à grande échelle des stocks. En attendant, ils doivent continuer à conserver les stocks d’ivoire existants en toute sécurité pour réduire les incitations à la spéculation criminelle occasionnée par les stocks accumulés illégalement. Nous recommandons qu’une recherche soit effectuée pour mieux comprendre la dynamique des systèmes actuels du commerce légal et illégal de l’ivoire, ain de formuler des politiques basées sur des preuves. Mots clés supplémentaires: braconnage, saisie, spéculation Introduction In November 2013, the US Fish and Wildlife Service destroyed approximately 5.4 tonnes of coniscated ivory. In January 2014, China also destroyed some 6.1 tonnes; in February France followed suit with 3 tonnes and Chad with 1.1 tonnes; and in April Belgium destroyed 1.5 tonnes (CITES 2013a; Chan 2014; Guardian 2014a; Cronin 2014; Russo 2014). Hong Kong started destruction of almost 30 tonnes of its stockpile in May with the incineration of about 1 tonne of ivory (Guardian 2014b) and in late June the Thai government said it would decide by 8 July whether to destroy its more than 5 tonnes of illegal ivory (Thai PBS 2014). The decision has not been announced. The material destroyed includes raw and carved whole tusks, smaller carvings, and other elephant ivory items amassed by government authorities as a result of enforcement efforts. The stated purpose of these events was to send a clear message to criminals that poaching and ivory traficking will not be tolerated (USFWS 2013; Lau 2014). The US government has called on all countries to destroy stocks of illegal, coniscated ivory (IFAW 2013). Previous stockpile destruction through burning or crushing took place in Kenya in 1989, in Zambia, Taiwan, Japan, the UAE and China in the 1990s, Kenya again in 2011, Gabon in 2012 and the Philippines in 2013 (Stiles 2013; Orenstein 2013). The total quantity of ivory destroyed so far is estimated to be over 65 tonnes. All of this stockpile destruction aims to deter consumer demand and illegal ivory trade and, by extension, elephant poaching. As a result of an upsurge in elephant poaching beginning in the mid-2000s (UNEP et al. 2013; CITES 2014; Wittmeyer et al. 2014), calls have been increasing to destroy all ivory stockpiles and ban all trade in ivory worldwide, both between and within countries (Wasser et al. 2010; Burntheivory 2013; EIA 2013; Douglas-Hamilton 2013; Christy 2013; Bennett 2014). These actions would, in the Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 opinion of its proponents, save the elephant by making ivory valueless. There continues to be disagreement about this approach succeeding in reducing elephant poaching for ivory (Stiles 2009a, 2011a, 2013, 2014; Walker and Stiles 2010; Conrad 2012; Bandow 2013, 2014; MacMillan 2013; Challender and MacMillan 2014; Moyle and Stiles 2014). The issue of ivory stockpiles was discussed at the 65th CITES Standing Committee meeting in July 2014. CITES Resolution Conf. 10.10 (Rev. CoP16) urges Parties involved with elephant ivory to ‘maintain an inventory of government-held stockpiles of ivory and, where possible, of signiicant privately held stockpiles of ivory within their territory’. The resolution also directs the CITES Secretariat to ‘support, where requested, the security and registration of governmentheld ivory stockpiles’. CITES does not recommend stockpile destruction. However, Chad and the Philippines submitted SC65 Doc. 42.7 at the 65th Standing Committee meeting, which sought to have CITES endorse destroying ivory stockpiles and for it to encourage and assist Parties with such events. The proposal gained limited support, but some countries stated they opposed destroying legal ivory. The Standing Committee did not endorse the proposal, but the issue will be discussed further at CoP17 in South Africa in 2016 (IISD 2014). We review the potential consequences on elephant poaching levels from policies to either maintain or destroy ivory stockpiles. This debate is not new. It was raised during the run-up to the irst CITESpermitted experimental one-off sale of ivory from three southern African countries to Japan, which was held in 1999 (’t Sas-Rolfes 1997). At that point the author concluded in part that ‘the ivory trade ban is likely to prove unsustainable and even counterproductive in the longer term’ and that ‘it is important to deal with existing oficial ivory stockpiles in an appropriate way: destroying them probably makes little conservation sense’. 63 ’t Sas-Rolfes et al. In the light of 17 years of experience since then and two CITES-approved experimental ivory sales from southern Africa, what, if anything, has been learned that would assist CITES and national governments in taking action on ivory stockpiles that will further elephant conservation? through 2012. Figure 3 depicts relative (not absolute) values for the quantity of ivory being traded illegally, based on reported coniscations of smuggled ivory. Here, the pattern rather than the comparative weights is what is signiicant. There is relative stability in the quantity of ivory in illegal trade through 2007, Table 1. African elephant population estimates, rounded to the nearest 10, 1989–2013 Trends in elephant numbers, poaching rates and ivory trafficking Year 1989 1995 2002 2007 2013 Minimum 608,030 387,520 461,090 554,970 515,860 Maximum 608,030 581,180 660,210 689,670 675,000 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.2 Estimated PIKE 0.8 0.0 Estimating elephant numbers is problematic. The IUCN/SSC African Elephant Specialist Group, which maintains the African Elephant Database, advises that comparisons of database igures should be made with great caution because of data deiciencies (CITES Source: Cobb (1989) and http://www.elephantdatabase.org 2014). Given that caveat, Table 1 shows the estimates by African subregions since 1989, the year the ivory trade moratorium was voted. The minimum number is made up of the Deinite and Probable classes and the maximum is with the addition of the Possible and Speculative classes. Notwithstanding the database igures, recent trends in poaching rates, as reported by the CITES programme of Monitoring the Illegal Killing of Elephants (MIKE), are disturbing. MIKE evaluates relative poaching levels based on the Proportion of Illegally Killed Elephants (PIKE), which is calculated as the number of illegally killed elephants found divided by the total number of elephant carcasses encountered by patrols or other means, aggregated by year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20010 2011 2012 2013 for each of 60 monitoring sites in Africa. Year Coupled with estimates of population size and natural mortality rates, PIKE can be used Figure 1. The estimated Proportion of Illegally Killed Elephants (PIKE) for all subregions of Africa combined. Source: CITES 2014. to estimate numbers of elephants killed and absolute poaching rates (CITES et al. 2013). 14 Figure 1 shows PIKE levels from 2002 through 12 2013. Figures 1 and 2 show that poaching rates accelerated after 2009, peaking in 2011. From 10 2010 to the present, 50% or more of elephant 8 carcasses found are thought to have been 6 illegally killed. 4 The Elephant Trade Information System 2 (ETIS) implemented by TRAFFIC is the 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 CITES programme for monitoring ivory traficking that is the counterpart to MIKE. Years Figure 3 shows the estimate of the mean weight Figure 2. Estimated poaching rates. (The dotted line represents the of illegal ivory trade combining all weight normal average elephant population growth rate (5%).) Source: UNEP classes by ivory types, per year from 1996 (2013). 64 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 The complex policy issue of elephant ivory stockpile management Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 200 150 100 Tusks (kg) Tusks (no.) 0 50 Relative weight 250 300 but thereafter a fairly sharp upward worked 100 kg+ climb is seen, despite a drop indicated worked 10-100 kg in 2012. This pattern is similar to the worked <10 MIKE poaching trend. The 100+ kg raw 100 kg+ raw 10-100 kg raw ivory class contributes the most raw <10 to the weight index. This signiies that large-scale ivory seizures are driving the upward trend in the ivory trade. TRAFFIC interprets the trend for larger-scale ivory shipments as indicative of the presence of organized crime in the illicit ivory trade (CITES et al. 2013). Larger shipments could also be evidence of increased demand for the purpose of speculative 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 stockpiling. There is evidence that Year the larger shipments were not due to a requirement for larger raw ivory supply Figure 3. Estimate of the mean weight of illegal ivory trade combining all weight classes by raw or worked ivory, 1996–2012. Source: UNEP et al. 2013.. to meet increased production needs. One source of evidence is the legal 300 2,400 market. It is reasonable to assume that no. the demand for legal carvings would weight (kg) 250 2,000 follow similar (but not identical) trends as the illegal. Rising incomes in China 200 1,600 should lead to demand in both markets 150 1,200 increasing. This statement does not mean they will rise at the same rate or 100 800 to the same levels. There are points of difference. The legal market appears 50 400 to specialize in larger pieces while 0 0 the illegal market handles smaller II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV pieces (Moyle and Conrad 2014). This 2010 2011 2012 2013 specialization, however, is not perfect. Year and Allocation For instance, legal carving factories do Figure 4. Throughput of tusks in Chinese factories, 2009–2013. make small carvings. About 80% of the carvings in 2013 weighed less than Production and consumption quantities of illegal 100 g, but these carvings made up only 5% of the total by weight (Moyle and Conrad 2014). ivory are unknown, but if the consumer demand Nonetheless, legal demand since 2009 appears pattern observed with legal ivory is similar, it would relatively lat. First, only 13.78 tonnes of the 18 tonnes seem there has not been an increase large enough to allocated by 2013 had been used by legal carvers (Yu account for the huge alleged increase in illegal raw 2013; Moyle 2014). This is supported by analysis ivory imports over the past ive years or so. Speculative stockpiling would be carried out of nearly 1,300 tusks that have gone through the legal factory system since the irst allocation in 2009 by ivory dealers that supply ivory factories, some (Figure 4). This suggests that retail consumer demand of whom probably have interests in ivory factories in general has been largely lat over this period. It also themselves. An example of this occurring is Hong corroborates that the throughput of ivory is less than Kong, where ivory dealers still have over 100 tonnes the government allocations in the legal ivory market of ivory in stock 24 years after the CITES ivory trade ban (Hong Kong Government 2014). As long as ivory sector. 65 ’t Sas-Rolfes et al. rises in value suficiently year-on-year, it remains proitable to stockpile and sell only small quantities, at great proit, as needed. Clearly, something occurred in the 2008–2009 period that triggered the increased elephant killing and ivory seizure pattern seen since 2009. A widely held view is that the cause was the 2008 CITESapproved auctions of ivory stockpiles in four southern African countries to China and Japan (EIA 2012; Rice 2012; IFAW 2012). According to this line of thought, ‘the sale approved by CITES in 2008 spurred production and trade of ivory products in China and stimulated the demand for ivory from a growing class of wealthy consumers’ (IFAW 2012). This rise in demand, ‘combined with an uncontrollable legal ivory market which provides cover for illegal trade, makes a lethal combination that is decimating wild elephant populations.’ The claims by IFAW and EIA have been repeated by countless other NGOs, media outlets and prominent individuals. The same arguments were made regarding the irst CITES-approved ivory sales to Japan held in 1999 (EIA 2002). Stiles (2012) disagrees with the view that legal raw ivory sales in Africa stimulated consumer demand for worked ivory in China, even if the imported legal ivory did result in the availability of more worked ivory. First, the average consumer in China was totally unaware of the CITES one-off sales, so how could they have inluenced consumer decisions to buy ivory? Second, to the extent that consumer demand for ivory increased after 2008, this coincided with a general and well-documented rise in Chinese consumer demand for all luxury products. Ivory, along with jade, works of art, gold, etc., became investment vehicles and prestige items of social display (Fischer 2011; IFAW 2012; Gao and Clark in review). Ivory consumption most likely rode the same wave. Third, consumer demand for ivory was stimulated by a Chinese government campaign to promote cultural heritage. Several government declarations and China’s adherence to UNESCO’s Convention for the Safeguarding of Intangible Cultural Heritage in 2005 publicized Chinese cultural arts. The ivory industry took advantage of the campaign to promote ivory carving in exhibitions, the media and on the internet. In May 2006, Beijing and Guangzhou ivory carving was included in the irst National List of Intangible Cultural Heritages (Gao and Clark in review). This piqued interest in ivory as an aesthetic and culturally desirable commodity to acquire. The MIKE and ETIS programmes were established 66 under CITES as a result of CITES Resolution Conf. 10.10, which included a call to assess to what extent observed trends of illegal elephant killing or ivory trading are a result of decisions taken by the Conference of the Parties to CITES, in particular CITES-approved sales of legal ivory. ETIS (TRAFFIC International 2013) found that, after analysing ivory seizure data, ‘Over the 16year period examined, an uninterrupted progression of Chinese involvement in illegal ivory trade is demonstrated. … China’s involvement in illicit ivory trade transactions is 46 times greater in 2011 than it was in 1996. The increasing pattern of growth in illicit trade in ivory for China was well established long before the one-off sale under CITES commenced and certainly, for the period 1996–2008, was clearly driven by other factors … independently of the CITES ivory sale event.’ MIKE (CITES 2013b) concluded after analysing the PIKE and associated data, ‘The MIKE analysis has therefore not found any evidence to suggest that illegal killing of elephants increased or decreased as a direct result of the CoP decisions. If the decisions had any effect on poaching levels, that effect was not discernible from the available data.’ Earlier analyses of available data, using different methods, could also ind no causal relationship between the 1999 CITES one-off sales and ivory market activity or elephant mortality (Stiles 2004; Bulte et al. 2007). Pro-ban supporters use the 1999 and 2008 sales to underpin the claim that a legal, regulated trade would stimulate ivory demand and drive elephant poaching to catastrophic proportions. The call for ivory stockpile destruction derives from this claim, based on the assumption that if there is no ivory to sell or otherwise leak onto the market, there would be no trade to stimulate elephant poaching. This simplistic argument has a supericial logic and emotional appeal, but it does not it the empirical evidence or stand up to economic analysis, as we aim to demonstrate. Raw ivory price trends Data on raw ivory prices in various parts of the world are confusing and conlicting. For a review of methodological issues affecting the collection of raw ivory prices and a sample of prices see Stiles et al. (2011). Raw ivory prices are rarely collected and reported accurately by researchers and the media. In spite of deicient data, it is safe to say that raw illegal Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 The complex policy issue of elephant ivory stockpile management ivory prices have been rising between about 2000 to 2014 in Africa and eastern Asia. It is unclear since 2012 what direction prices have taken in China, the most signiicant market for ivory. Table 2 presents prices from 1999 to 2014 in selected countries. Table 2 shows that the prices for smaller, 1–5 kg tusks in urban areas in Cameroon (Douala and Yaounde) and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC—Kinshasa and Kisangani) have not risen in real USD terms between 1999 and 2010. The prices for >5 kg tusks have risen, however, from an average of USD 56/kg in Cameroon in 1999 to USD 91/kg and in DRC from a minimum of USD 70/kg to an average of USD 112/kg. Martin and Vigne (2013) report raw ivory prices in smaller urban areas of Nigeria in 2012 for 1–5 kg tusks, obtained from a secondary source, of USD 110/kg and Vigne and Martin (in press) report the average price for tusks of 1–3 kg in Luanda, Angola, in 2014 as USD 150–250/kg, most of them originating in the DRC. This would imply the price in the DRC in 2014 would be less than USD 150–250/kg, because transport and markup costs would have been added to those in Luanda. The available raw ivory African prices appear consistent and show a clear pattern of a steady rise in prices from 1999 to the present for the larger tusk weights, but not for smaller tusks. Japan shows a modest rise in inlation-adjusted prices for >5 kg tusks for the period 2002–2009 while Thailand experienced a much larger price rise between 2002 and 2008 of average prices of less than USD 200/ kg to USD 387/kg—approximately double (Martin and Stiles 2002, 2003; Vigne and Martin 2009; Stiles 2009b). TRAFFIC recently carried out an ivory survey in Bangkok but unfortunately did not collect price data (Doak 2014). Prices in China are less well understood. There appear to be two different ivory markets and sets of prices: the legal market and the illegal (black) market. In 2002, the black market inlation-adjusted prices for >5 kg tusks in China ranged from USD 155 to 220/kg. There were no legal raw ivory prices in 2002 because legal ivory was not being traded due to scarcity (Martin and Stiles 2003). By early 2011, the inlation-adjusted price for 1–5 kg illegal tusks in Fuzhou had risen to USD 777/kg, 350–500% more expensive than larger tusks in 2002. The government, legal inlation-adjusted price for 1–5 kg tusks was an average of only USD 471/kg in 2011, 40% less than the black market price (Martin and Vigne 2011). Larger >5 kg illegal tusk prices had risen in southern China to an inlation-adjusted USD 930/kg (Martin and Vigne 2011), four to six times more expensive than in 2002 for that size. The black market price appears to have skyrocketed in 2014 to an average of USD 2,100/kg for small <5 kg tusks in Beijing (AFP 2014a; E Martin, pers. comm. to D Stiles 2014), implying that larger tusks would be even more expensive. However, prices for black market carvings (necklaces and bracelets) do not show the same trend. Moyle and Conrad (2014) report that these black market pieces are systematically lower in Beijing and Fuzhou than the legal prices. Legal government-owned raw ivory prices had risen much less from the 2011 USD 471/kg average, ranging USD 483–613/kg for >5 kg tusks in Fuzhou Table 2. Middleman raw ivory pricesa in USD, 1999–2014 Country Year Weight (kg) Price/kg (USD) Year Weight (kg) c Price/kg (USD) Cameroon Cameroon DRC DRC China China China Japan b 1999 1999b 1999b 1999b 2002e 2011g 2011g 2002j 1–5 >5 1–5 >5 1–5 1–5 >5 >5 38–53 42–70 42–70 >70 155–220 471–777 930 181–311 2010 2010c 2010d 2010d 2014f 2014h 2014i 2009j 1–5 >5 1–5 >5 1–4 >5 >5 >5 43 53–128 32–53 64–160 2,100 660–1100 484–613 302–362 Thailand 2002k 1–5 30–236 2008l 1–5 387 a Pre-2014 prices have been converted to 2013 USD prices to take into account inlation using the ‘real price’ conversion for a commodity available from http://www.measuringworth.com/; b Martin and Stiles (2000); c Randolph and Stiles (2011); d Stiles (2011b); e Martin and Stiles (2003); f AFP (2014a) and Esmond Martin, pers. comm. 2014; g Martin and Vigne (2011); h T Esmail, in litt. to D Stiles 2014; i B Moyle and K Conrad, ield research 2014; j Vigne and Martin (2009); k Martin and Stiles (2002); l Stiles (2009b). Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 67 and Beijing (B Moyle, ield research). In 2014, DaXin Ivory Carving Factory in Guangzhou offered USD 660/kg for three pairs of tusks weighing an average of 36 kg each (Figure 5). These were accompanied by CITES permits that would allow legal export from Canada and import to China. In response to a reference by the seller to a USD 1,300/pound (USD 2,860/kg) price purportedly paid in China in 2013 (Levin 2013), DaXin replied it was untrue. A private dealer in China offered USD 1,100/kg for the tusks (T Esmail in litt. to D Stiles). It is dificult to explain the large difference between legal and illegal raw ivory prices. Chinese government prices for >5 kg tusks are in the USD 480–660/kg range. These prices are supported by a legal raw ivory auction in France in July 2014, in which 50 tusks of 20 kg average weight were sold for about USD 630/kg to Chinese buyers (AFP 2014b). Much smaller illegal tusks are reportedly selling for an average of USD 2,100/kg (AFP 2014a). The high illegal price receives support from Gao and Clark (in review), who report prices in 2014 for illegal ivory sold online between private parties ranging from USD 1,700/kg to USD 2,890/kg. These pieces were quite small (0.5–1.9 kg) tusk tips and cut tusk sections. Further research is called for to understand the ivory market dynamics that explain these price indicators. However, it is simple to understand the incentives for elephant poaching when tusks can be purchased in Africa for less than USD 150/kg and sold in China for well over 10 times that amount. Theories of elephant conservation, ivory trade and stockpile management Contemporary threats to wild elephant populations are essentially economic by nature; they include habitat loss, conlict with humans and poaching. The two essential drivers for these are competition with other forms of land use by humans (and their constituent species) and the demand for elephant products, principally ivory. Elephant poaching is undertaken because it is a proitable economic activity. Some of these economic aspects have been outlined in the economic literature from Barbier et al. (1990) through to Mason et al. (2012). Major challenges to understanding the economics of the black market in ivory are two. The irst is that the participants do not willingly reveal their business plans 68 ©T Esmail ’t Sas-Rolfes et al. Figure 5. Legal tusks ranging in weight from 5.5 to 55 kg (average 36 kg). Prices offered in China to purchase them in March 2014 were USD 660–1,100/kg. and activity to authorities or researchers; the trade is mostly unobservable. For example, smugglers do not ill out compulsory statistical returns on trade and so the prices and quantities of ivory sold are unclear. Incomplete or inaccurate information is a hindrance to understanding the scale and organization of illegal activity. The second challenge is that many factors inluence black market activity. For instance, the steady growth in afluence in China has created an upward impetus in demand (Underwood et al. 2013; Gao and Clark in review). A milieu of interacting factors have short- or long-term effects on the market. For example, in a 2013 visit by Conrad and Moyle (2013) to factory owners in Guangzhou, they stated that the 1997 Asian inancial crisis caused demand for carvings from Taiwan to drop coincident with a new system of ivory management in Taiwan that had prohibited ivory manufacture there (Phipps and Chen 1997). If demand for worked ivory destined for Taiwan from Guangzhou factories dropped at the same time that Taiwan stopped producing its own ivory carvings, the drop in consumer demand in 1997 must have been substantial. Vigne and Martin (2011) reported that demand for worked ivory in South China was variable in 2010. It had risen in Guangzhou, where economic prosperity had grown, but remained low in Fuzhou, where economic growth was much less. It is dificult to identify all of the factors that drive this global black market. It is a dynamic system, changing over time, and it is a complex system, with many interactions not fully understood. It is outside the scope of this paper to describe the global black market in ivory. The challenges stated Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 above mean that our understanding must adapt as new information is acquired, and that while general tendencies can be described, they should not be treated as emphatic predictions. In complex systems, confounding shocks generated by other variables are likely. The focus of this paper is poaching and its interaction with stockpiles. In discussing stockpiles, we can distinguish between different categories. The most important distinction is between those held illegally and those held legally. Illegal stockpiles are privately held and clandestine—their location and extent is not known, but we assume that they consist mostly of raw ivory. This assumption is based on the dominance by weight observed of raw ivory being smuggled to Asia in seizures. Legally held stockpiles consist of both raw and worked ivory (carvings) and are mostly owned by governments, having been sourced from natural mortality and culls in range States or from coniscations of illegal ivory in range, transit or consumer countries. The illegal trade in ivory has three important economic features. First, the major consumer markets in Asia and sources of ivory in Africa are separate. This makes it a trade mediated by many parties between poachers and consumers (Underwood et al. 2013; Bennett 2014). This also means that many strategic interactions occur along the supply chain. Participants in the illegal trade are not passive. They anticipate enforcement effort (by, for example, concealment strategies or bribing oficials). Second, raw ivory is used mostly as input to produce carvings. It is usually not consumed in retail sales in its raw form. Third, ivory is durable and can be stored (Figure 6). This gives criminals the option of storing ivory for many years to be used later. Is it possible to identify the factors causing stockpiling to occur or not? The following economic theory identiies two important motivations for acquiring raw ivory. The irst is that ivory is poached and smuggled for immediate use as an input for carvings. The second motivation is speculation, i.e. stockpiling for anticipated future demand, either by carvers or by intermediaries (Kremer and Morcom 2000; Mason et al. 2012). The drivers for these two differ. When discussing the issue of stockpiles, therefore, it is important to be clear whether they relate to the immediate market for carvings or the future market as speculators perceive them. The economic theory also afirms that stockpiles are essentially a supply-side issue, and its effects on Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 © B Moyle The complex policy issue of elephant ivory stockpile management Figure 6. Tusks from an ivory factory in China. Ivory has little ongoing storage costs. buyer’s demand are uncertain. Price elasticity for carvings will also inluence the effectiveness of trade restrictions. If buyers are relatively insensitive to higher prices and tend to sustain their consumption, demand is price inelastic and trade bans face signiicant hurdles. Even a small reduction in supply will lead to correspondingly larger increases in price. Such market circumstances nurture the development of criminal cartels and present signiicant challenges for enforcement (Becker et al. 2006). Conversely, if demand is highly elastic, increasing legal supply may have little effect on prices or levels of illegal exploitation. The price elasticity of demand for carvings needs to be understood and not conlated with income increases that also affect demand. We discuss several papers relevant to these issues. They are not intended to be full descriptions of the illegal market and all the factors at play but simply highlight the relationship between poachers and stockpiles. Their point is that they are abstractions of the real market. They are speciic to wildlife with storable parts—in most cases, elephants. Bergstrom (1990) specifically addresses the issue of ivory stockpiled from coniscations. These coniscations or seizures can have two negative effects on poaching levels. The irst is that poachers kill additional animals to replace tusks lost in seizures to authorities or otherwise. The CITES Secretariat (2010, n24) observes that seizures are a plausible motivation for some of the recent poaching, as criminals attempt to recoup their losses to authorities. The second effect is that removing this ivory from the market can reduce the supply of ivory as an input. This in turn may cause higher prices for raw ivory that factories have to pay and, as a knock-on effect, higher prices in the consumer 69 ’t Sas-Rolfes et al. market (all else being equal). These higher prices may offer a greater incentive for poaching effort. Bergstrom (1990) afirms that changes to supply through coniscating and destroying ivory will affect the illegal market. This does not necessarily affect ivory demand, but it does reduce the potential supply and potentially generates a new condition with a combination of higher prices and lower quantity demanded in the market for carvings. Bergstrom thus concludes that destroying legally held stockpiles exacerbates rather than reduces poaching levels, all else being equal. The act of coniscating the ivory reduces the supply—destroying it then ‘seals the deal’. In terms of poaching levels it makes no difference if the government sells ivory from the legally held stockpile or if criminals steal ivory from the stockpile to sell. This only affects who gets the revenue from the sales. While we prefer that criminals do not beneit from the sales, the conservation beneits are similar. Adding to raw ivory supply from whatever source should reduce incentive to poach, as long as demand levels remain constant. Kremer and Morcom (2000) revisit the stockpile issue a decade after the CITES ban. A key element of this paper is that governments and criminals both have stockpiles. Criminal sellers accumulate their stockpiles both by poaching elephants and by theft or leakage from legal stockpiles. Their motive for doing so is their expectation of higher returns on ivory in the future. This point deserves emphasis. It is not the current market for carvings that is driving criminals to stockpile their own ivory. It is what they expect is going to happen in the future—up to many years hence. Traders are willing to hold large stocks of ivory if storage costs are low and they expect the price of ivory to increase. Examples are ivory traders and owners in Hong Kong, Japan, the USA and France who have held on to raw tusks for many years, even decades, and have sold or plan to sell at great proit. As stated by Bergstrom (1990), legal stockpiles affect the ivory market by changing the behaviour of sellers. The effect now however is felt not only through the market for carvings. It is a longer-term interaction based on the value attributed by criminals to their illegal stockpiles. Kremer and Morcom (2000) thus argue that governments should ideally retain legally held stockpiles for the purpose of threatening to dump them on the market as a deterrent for illegal speculation. Mason et al. (2012) revisit the issue of speculative 70 stockpiling as ‘banking on extinction’. They examine hypothetical instances of speculators with market power whose strategy is to drive certain species to extinction. Extinction would concentrate further market power in their hands as they hold most of the stock, enabling them to inlate prices and earn supernormal proits. Elephants are currently a poor it to this model with a multitude of competing conspiracies, making it unlikely that a dominant seller will emerge. Given that the wild population would likely still take decades to reach extinction (CITES et al. 2013; Wittmeyer et al. 2014), ‘banking on extinction’ does not yet appear to be an economic option. Nonetheless, Mason et al. (2012) again highlight that stockpile accumulation is a forward-looking strategic issue subject to manipulation by speculators. Furthermore, even competing illegal stockpilers will proit from reduced elephant numbers and ivory stocks as the relative scarcity and value of their own stock increases. They will therefore all beneit from maximum levels of poaching and work together in an inadvertent conspiracy to deplete elephant populations. The clear policy implication here is that it is risky to enable the concentration of market power in the illegal market. The above analysis suggests that legally held stockpiles have two signiicant effects on poaching. The irst is to inluence the supply of ivory available as an input for carvings. The second is to inluence sellers’ expectations of the future. Stockpile-holding policy can cause illegal agents to change poaching rates to manipulate criminal stocks of ivory. The demand curve of buyers is effectively stationary and buyers respond to changes in the supply curve. The effect of legal stockpiles is predicated on legal sales potentially or actually occurring (although thefts are an unoficial transmission mechanism from such stockpiles to the black market). This introduces the issue of trade policy. The current regime consists of an international trade ban in ivory. Exceptions have been granted to a small number of parties as one-off sales. A literature survey shows that the ban is an ambiguous policy. It resolves some extinction risks but also creates other risks. Direct economic analysis of the irst one-off sale (Bulte et al. 2007) indicates that it produced mixed results and does not resolve the issue of whether the ban is optimal. The common risk associated with legal trade is laundering (Khanna and Harford 1996; Bulte and Van Kooten 1999). Illegal ivory has a long history of being laundered as legal and concealed within the legal trade. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 The complex policy issue of elephant ivory stockpile management Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 LIBOR 3 months interest rate Shipping cost index (base = 1,000) Ivory seizures (kg) Seizures (kg) Another conjecture is that legal trade results in lowered its weight and distance between range States and enforcement effort or makes enforcement less eficient consumer countries. Note that this does not mean (Bulte and van Kooten 1999). Proponents of a blanket that these are the only relevant costs, rather that ban advance this argument on all domestic ivory trade. the preference for shipping containers is consistent Following this principle, the US president’s Advisory with this. Figure 8 shows that shipping costs have Council on Wildlife Traficking recommended a total also recently collapsed. Changes in freight costs and domestic ban on ivory. The US White House has interest rates are consistent with the economic theory subsequently announced a trade ban on almost all and of a magnitude that matches the surge in poaching types of elephant ivory (US White House 2014). (assuming that the hypothesis of ivory being mostly Fischer (2004) is the irst to discuss the demand side stockpiled by criminal speculators holds). effects of trade and notes a potential ‘stigma effect’. Rising Chinese consumer afluence appears to be She posits a consumer-type termed ‘law-abiding’ who driving increased demand for ivory carvings (IFAW drops out of the market if the product is illegal (or 2012; Underwood et al. 2013). However, this demand swamped by illegal products). This is because the has not kept up with the sudden changes seen in commodity is stigmatized for that consumer. Other poaching rates, interest rates or transport costs. To consumers stay in the market. If a ban (or other factors) illustrate, suppose there is a 20% seizure rate and stigmatizes ivory, demand falls. This effect has to 30–40 tonnes of raw ivory are being seized. This be shown to be present in some markets, and if it would mean an extra 150 to 200 tonnes of raw ivory dominates the adverse supply-related effects of the being fed into the carving market every year. To see ban, it is an appropriate regime. However, it is also possible that an opposite effect exists LIBOR total raw ivory 7 32,000 in some Asian markets: if, for example, some 6 28,000 consumers seek possession and consumption of illicit products as a means to acquire and 5 24,000 demonstrate social status by being beyond 4 20,000 the reach of the law. Kremer and Morcom (2000) identify 3 16,000 a number of variables that should affect 2 12,000 stockpiling. One is interest rates. Stockpiling 1 8,000 ought to increase with low interest rates, all else being equal, because of the higher 0 4,000 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 potential for relative return on investment. Year For instance, if criminal speculators expect Figure 7. Interest rates versus raw ivory seizures. Sources: ETIS the price of ivory to increase 10% per year (TRAFFIC International 2013) for ivory seizures, Bloomberg (2013a) for and interest rates decrease from 6% to 3%, interest rates. then they would prefer to hold more ivory and less of the inancial assets. Note that 36,000 9,000 LIBOR total raw ivory speculators typically hold assets with low 32,000 8,000 returns when these assets also have lower 28,000 7,000 risk. Figure 7 shows that global interest rates 24,000 6,000 have collapsed since the global inancial 20,000 5,000 crisis. This is consistent with speculators 16,000 4,000 wanting more raw ivory for stockpiling. The 3,000 12,000 correlation statistic with raw ivory seizures 8,000 2,000 is –0.455, which means when interest rates 1,000 4,000 drop, seizures increase and vice-versa. We are assuming seizure levels are an indicator 0 0 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 of illegal ivory trading scale. Year A second factor is costs. Freight costs (air and shipping) matter for ivory, given Figure 8. Freight costs versus raw ivory seizures. 71 ’t Sas-Rolfes et al. Index (base = 100) price increases in ivory as seen in China and Thailand explicitly rule out a large increase in illegal sales, but (Table 2) with the high volumes being smuggled in, in combination they make the stockpiling explanation at such low global transport costs, requires a massive credible. offsetting increase in demand. However, there is little It is important to identify the destination of the evidence to support this. The CITES Secretariat smuggled ivory because this implies stockpile (2010) has highlighted that reported demand in Asia destruction will have an effect in different ways. If is not commensurate with the inlux of ivory, veriied the ivory being smuggled into Asia is largely being by Wang Shan, secretary general of the China Arts and stockpiled for speculation, destruction will have Crafts Association (Ma 2013) and supported by legal little immediate effect on the market for carvings. turnover of tusks shown in Figure 4. There appears to Any changes to the market observed in the wake of be a gap between estimated illegal raw ivory imports the announced intent to destroy ivory and its follow and worked ivory output. This gap is also supported through will likely be the result of other factors. by recent reports of a drop in demand in China for Measures of consumer demand in China have been luxury goods (Baldwin 2014; Wendlandt 2014). softening through 2013 into 2014. One such measure Converting the dramatic increase of poached is Chinese consumer conidence. This metric is apt as it raw ivory into carvings for rapid sale implies great homes in on Chinese households. This makes it a better lexibility in adjusting manufacturing volume. This measure than say, GDP, which includes non-household would be evidenced by excess productive capacity expenditures, such as those coming from industrial and, in this industry, a very large number of under- growth or exports. This measure has softened again. For employed or unemployed carvers to take up the instance, through 2013 Chinese consumer conidence extra carving requirements instigated by this ivory has declined (Figure 9). A softening in demand for inlux. This can be partly ameliorated by making carvings thus appears plausible irrespective of the smaller pieces, which require less time and skill. The stockpile destruction. trade-off is that the pieces are smaller, which puts downward pressure on throughput. To illustrate, the Discussion approximately 15,000 carvings of less than 100 g made in the legal factories in 2013 represented about The economic literature describes a complex system of 80% of the number of pieces made, but only about 5% interactions between stockpiles, poaching, prices and of the weight of ivory used (Moyle and Conrad 2014). expectations. Poaching levels have multiple potential The number of ivory carvers is also limited (Moyle trajectories and can switch among them (Kremer and and Conrad 2014), and to make carvings is time- Morcom 2000). An important feature of ivory is that it consuming because production is largely artisanal can be stored for years. Illegal stockpiles accumulate (Stiles 2004). Indeed, Vigne and Martin (2011) report (via increased poaching or leakage) to buffer black factories in South China closing because of lack of carvers. Many carvers left ivory to go 116 into wood carving, which they found more proitable. Production evidence implies that 112 illegal factories face a signiicant obstacle in trying to absorb the volumes of smuggled 108 ivory. It does not appear that this obstacle has been overcome. 104 The evidence for black market stockpiling is still circumstantial. Nonetheless it aligns 100 with many of the observations about the market while the explanation of increased 96 worked ivory sales does not. Interest rates 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 are low. Sales do not appear to have risen by Year a magnitude to absorb the inlux of illegal raw ivory. Carving capacity is hindered by a Figure 9. Chinese consumer conidence. Index from Bloomberg lack of artisans. None of these explanations (2013b). 72 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 The complex policy issue of elephant ivory stockpile management market sellers against volatile ivory supply, in expectation of future price increases and possibly to manipulate prices. Poaching levels thus respond partly in anticipation of future market conditions. They are not merely a product of current conditions. The fact that CITES seems unlikely to approve further legal sales for the foreseeable future may create incentives for criminal speculators to accumulate stockpiles. Legal stockpiles act as a counterweight to these illegal stockpiles, and a threat of future legal sales (or even leakage by theft) may deter some poaching. There is no theoretical rationale for destroying legal stockpiles for conservation purposes. Indeed, destroying them concentrates market power with speculators holding illegal stocks and, if demand for ivory persists, makes extinction trajectories more likely (Bulte et al. 2003; Mason et al. 2012). The future demand for ivory is a crucial issue that lacks proper analysis. With the exception of Fischer (2004), the literature assumes that demand for ivory will be maintained, if not accelerated. Trade bans and stockpile destructions are primarily supply oriented. Their demand effects are unclear. There is also an important conlict in perceptions between speculators amassing ivory illegally and organizations supporting stockpile destruction. Such speculators must be conident that demand will persist and prices will keep rising (Kremer and Morcom 2000). They do not consider efforts to reduce ivory demand to be credible. By contrast, advocates of stockpile destruction are assuming that such actions will cause demand to decline. If the speculators are correct, demand for ivory will resist these measures. Cultures with a long history of ivory use have a record of maintaining demand despite external pressure (Walker 2009). The conlict in perceptions extends to the diverse values elephants have for various peoples. Numerous cultures throughout Africa, the Middle East, Europe, North America and Asia have long-standing traditions of ivory use (Walker 2009). Some of these same cultures now have groups strongly opposed to any use of ivory. This conlict in values has wider dimensions. It motivates some parties favouring narrow conservation to adhere to a strict preservationist approach. A narrow policy can also generate a social justice dimension where some cultures’ values are discounted completely or external economic costs are imposed upon them (Harris 2013). Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 The current dilemma is the conflict between demand and supply measures to reduce poaching. Existing attempts to change consumer behaviour (and therefore reduce ivory prices) employ both coercion (trade bans) and moral suasion (demand reduction campaigns). However, reducing supply via bans and stockpile destruction may exert upward pressure on prices, thereby offsetting gains from demand reduction. Attempting to reduce supply and demand at the same time is akin to simultaneously turning up the heating and turning on air-conditioning; it does not make good sense. Demand reduction alone may make short-term sense, but it ought to precede supply reduction to preempt the conlict. Decisions to destroy coniscated and other legally held ivory stockpiles do not conform to policy aimed to deter illegal raw ivory hoarding. Instead, the economic literature supports the holding of legal stockpiles as an insurance policy that will lessen the beneits to hoarders of concentrating ivory stocks that gain in value from the decline in elephants. The claimed effect that stockpile destruction has on demand is based on rhetoric and assertions about ivory demand that lack coherence or empirical evidence. The rapid increase in poaching and the scale of it in recent years deies a simple explanation and a simple solution. We postulate that criminal organizations and other speculators may have determined that stockpiling ivory is a viable investment. This is where research needs to be focused. It is also a warning that these speculators do not perceive ivory destruction to be a threat. It would be frightening to discover that concentrating market power in the hands of criminals through policies like ivory destruction is actually encouraging them further. Conclusions The recent stockpile destructions in the USA, China, France and Hong Kong amounted to relatively small proportions of the known legally held stockpiles. Nonetheless, there are reports by ivory vendors in Beijing and Hong Kong, and by a non-government organization in Hong Kong, that the price of worked ivory did in fact increase after the China crush (Moore 2014; ITV 2014; NPR 2014). Table 2 and the section on price above demonstrate that illegal raw ivory prices have shot up since 2011, when the current round of stockpile destruction began with Kenya. The planned further destructions in Hong Kong and 73 ’t Sas-Rolfes et al. possibly Tanzania and Thailand amount to a much higher proportion of legal stocks and consequently a greater potential risk of driving up the price of illegal ivory even more. The decision to destroy legal stockpiles of ivory should be driven by sound policymaking, backed up by a robust economic rationale supported by compelling evidence. This evidence should include data on demand elasticities. Any stockpile destruction should be a credible signal to black market participants that ivory will become less valuable. Any rationale for destruction must address concerns that the signal will perversely increase the perceived value of illegal stockpiles. There should also be a monitoring system in place beforehand to assess whether these destructions are meeting their aims. Current moves to destroy stockpiles do not satisfy these conditions. The economic literature on ivory trade, stockpile management and related issues provides no theoretical support for a policy of stockpile destruction. Trade legalization may have undesirable consequences, but the extent to which stigma is generated by bans is an unsettled empirical issue. The persistence of ivory demand in markets with long cultural traditions of use does suggest this type of market is not always readily or entirely amenable to stigmatization. It has not yet been convincingly demonstrated to what extent underlying demand is sensitive to stigma in the important markets of China and Thailand. The argument that existing legally held ivory stockpiles pose a threat to elephants is supported neither by economic theory nor by empirical evidence. The only circumstance under which existing, securely held stockpiles would pose a threat is if they are primarily held by illegal speculators. Such agents beneit from large declines or extinction threats of elephants because they would drive up the rarity value of their stock. This is a further argument in support of governments retaining legal stockpiles, as a potential competitive buffer to such an outcome. Ivory stockpiles are not a threat to wild elephant populations, but destroying them may be, as it reduces potential future supply; it may increase perception of scarcity value and thus drive up black market prices for ivory and therefore future levels of poaching. Ivory stockpile destruction does not meet the precautionary principle criteria, because the outcome is unknown. Having policy options in an uncertain environment is precautionary. 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Rehabilitation of greater one-horned rhinoceros calves in Manas National Park, a World Heritage Site in India Rathin Barman,1* Bhaskar Choudhury,2 NVK Ashraf 3 and V Menon 3 1 Centre for Wildlife Rehabilitation and Conservation, Borjuri, Kaziranga National Park, Bokakhat 786512, Assam, India 2 Field Ofice, Wildlife Trust of India, Bansbari, Manas National Park, c/o Ofice of FDTP, Manas Tiger Reserve, Barpeta Road, Assam, India 3 Wildlife Trust of India, F-13, Sector-8, Noida, Uttar Pradesh 201301, India *corresponding author email: rathin@wti.org.in Abstract For the irst time in the history of rhino conservation in India, three rescued orphan greater one-horned rhinoceros calves have been rehabilitated in an area that in the recent past was a good habitat for rhinos. The calves were rescued in Kaziranga National Park (NP) when they were about one to ive months old when they were swept away by lood waters. The calves were hand reared and nursed at the Centre for Wildlife Rehabilitation and Conservation (CWRC) with the aim of releasing them into their natural habitat. They were fed human milk formula until they reached two years of age, and then with concentrates and greens in paddocks in CWRC. At the age of about three years the calves were translocated to Manas NP, about 500 km away from Kaziranga, and placed in a pre-release area measuring 600 acres. This pre-release area is enclosed with an electric fence and the calves were free to roam and forage within it. After spending about two years in this area the calves were released into Manas NP. The calves were radio monitored for two years; they all survived and created their own home ranges. Résumé Pour la première fois dans l’histoire de la conservation des rhinocéros en Inde, trois orphelins du grand rhinocéros unicorne sauvés ont été réhabilités dans un autre habitat qui avait été une zone abritant les rhinocéros dans un passé récent,. Les bébés rhinocéros ont été sauvés dans le parc national de Kaziranga (PN), quand ils étaient âgés d’entre un et cinq mois quand ils avaient été emportés par les inondations. Les bébés étaient nourris au biberon et soignés au Centre de Récupération et de Conservation des Animaux Sauvages (CRCAS) dans le but de les réhabiliter dans leur habitat naturel. Les bébés ont été nourris à la formule du lait humain jusqu’à ce qu’ils atteignent deux ans, puis avec des concentrés et de l’herbe dans les paddocks au CRCAS. A l’âge d’environ trois ans, ils ont été transférés au PN de Manas, à environ 500 km de Kaziranga, et placés dans une zone de pré-relâchement mesurant 600 hectares. Cette zone de pré-relâchement est entourée d’une clôture électrique et les jeunes rhinocéros sont libres de se déplacer et de fourrager. Après avoir passé environ deux ans dans cette zone de pré-relâchement, ils ont été libérés dans le PN de Manas. Ils ont été suivis par radio pendant deux ans ; ils ont tous survécu et on a constaté qu’ils créaient leurs propres habitats vitaux. Introduction Rehabilitated animals are now seen as useful scientiic resources not limited to the classical theories of individual animal welfare or endangered species conservation (Robinson 2005). When a population 78 is threatened, either globally or locally, released rehabilitated individuals can have a positive effect on the population. Until the early nineties, Rhinoceros unicornis had a healthy population in Manas National Park (NP) (26°30′N–27°00′N to 90°50′E–92°00′E), a World Heritage Site in India (Figure 1). Assam Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Rehabilitation of greater one-horned rhinoceros calves in India Forest Department (2001) revealed in their internal documents that this population was, however, wiped out due to civil unrest during the late nineties. The civil unrest ended in 2004 following political agreements that led to the formation of the Bodoland Territorial Council (BTC). Thanks to the efforts of BTC and the local autonomous civil administration authority and support from communities around Manas, this important global biodiversity hot spot has regained its protection status. BTC proposed adding an area measuring 950 km2 to the eastern boundary of Manas NP. The legislative council has endorsed the proposal and this much larger landscape is to be called the Greater Manas; it awaits inal endorsement by the State Board of Wildlife, Assam, a statutory body of the government of Assam. This new conservation initiative in Manas is banking on community conservation efforts, a new approach in India. With civil societies collaborating to protect these rhinos, conservation communities asked for them to be urgently reintroduced in Manas NP. Kaziranga NP (26°33′N–26°45′N and 93°9′E–93°36′E), another World Heritage Site in the northeast Indian state of Assam, has a population of about 2,000 wild greater one-horned rhinos: more than two-thirds of their global population (Figure 1). As Kaziranga NP is situated on the bank of River Brahmaputra, looding is a natural phenomenon and almost every year about 90% of the park is under lood (Vasu 2003). During each lood, a number of wild animals are dispersed, separated from their mother populations and their land in civil areas. These animals are injured or killed in different circumstances such as in road accidents, by humans or by poachers. To minimize mortality and to have a proper scientiic rescue and rehabilitation programme, the Assam Forest Department in collaboration with the Wildlife Trust of India (WTI) and the International Fund for Animal Welfare (IFAW) established the Centre for Wildlife Rehabilitation and Conservation (CWRC) in 2002 at Kaziranga. With 2 biologists, 2 veterinarians and 12 animal keepers, CWRC has been providing all rescue and rehabilitation needs of wild animals in distress in Kaziranga for the last 12 years. In the last 10 years, CWRC has handled more than 3,500 animal rescue cases; more than 50% of these animals were successfully released into the wild. CWRC is a major facility for hand-raising orphaned large Kaziranga Manas Figure 1. State of Assam showing Manas and Kaziranga NPs. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 79 Barman et al. wild mammals, especially Age/duration Stage Place Features rhino, elephant and wild buffalo calves in northeast If reunion with mother fails India. At this centre, orphan animals spend their To CWRC for hand for hand raising time in different housing facilities from nursery to Duration: STABILIZATION Stabilization Emergency relief to the calf in distress big paddocks, depending Nursery 2 months PHASE Choice of appropriate milk formula (110 sq. m) on their age at rescue. They Protection from extremes of weather are bottle-fed human baby milk formula until they are Moved on foot to paddock weaned at different ages, depending on the species. In 2002 and 2004 three Paddock Ex situ Age: 5-24 Feeding of fodder and concentrates (>1000 sq m) months rehabilitation rhino calves aged less than Mixing with conspecifics of same age ive months were rescued Weaning by 18 month of age in Kaziranga NP after they were separated from their Transported in Truck mothers by high flood waters. They were shifted Boma to CWRC for further IN SITU Site selected in the distribution range Age: 25 In the wild ACCLIMATIZATION months to care and treatment. These Supplementary feeding till required Not < 3acres 3-4 years animals were later released Monitoring animal behaviour into Manas NP. This is the Let open in the wild irst time in the history of rhino conservation in India Release site that rescued rhino calves Radio collar before release RELEASE TO THE Age: After Outside boma WILD 3-4 years have been rehabilitated and reintroduced into a natural Monitor for a period of one year habitat. Before that, all Figure 2. Rhino rehabilitation protocol low chart. rescued calves were placed in a zoo and many died WTI–IFAW team and incorporated expert inputs. while being hand-raised in captivity (pers. comm., Ofice of the Park Director, This protocol to rehabilitate large mammals in Assam (Ashraf et al. 2005) was later adopted by the Assam Kaziranga NP). Forest Department–WTI–IFAW-run CWRC. It was tested with the rhino calves rescued and admitted at The process CWRC that were later released in Manas NP. Wildlife rehabilitation is still in its infancy (Holcomb 1995) and a professional and scientific wildlife Rhino calves admitted to CWRC rescue and rehabilitation programme is lacking in India (Ashraf and Menon 2005). The best way to The irst rhino calf was rescued in July 2002 after it reintroduce a hand-raised rhino to the wild is still was separated from its mother during the loods. It was debated and doing so needs consultation and inputs weak and less than a month old. Two calves estimated from various experts. A wildlife rehabilitation to be less than six months old were rescued in July consultative workshop was organized at CWRC in 2004 in similar conditions. CWRC rescued 21 other 2005 to get expert suggestions and inputs, to share rhino calves under various circumstances. Flooding Africa’s experiences, and to formulate a protocol is the major cause of displacement of rhino calves in for reintroducing these rescued rhino calves (Figure Kaziranga NP. In a few cases, calves were found alone 2). This forum discussed a protocol drafted by a in the forest for unknown reasons; a few were orphans th 80 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Rehabilitation of greater one-horned rhinoceros calves in India after poachers killed their mothers, others were failed predation attempts. CRWC took in all these rhinos for treatment and care. While 5 of the 24 rhinos brought to the CWRC were injured, due largely to predation, 4 cases could be attributed solely to loods. Interestingly, almost all the rhino calves with serious injuries were encountered outside the peak monsoon season (July– September). In spite of medical care, all calves that survived predation died from the serious injuries. Critics consider ‘rescuing’ such calves as disrupting normal ecological processes. Field staff in the park realized that these cases were predation attempts only after taking the animals captive. Park authorities have been advised to adopt a wait-and-watch policy when they encounter rhino calves as they could be cases of predation attempts. Of the 10 calves that died, 6 died within 48 hours of admission, 3 within two weeks and 1 inside the boma at Manas. CWRC veterinarians have found it much easier to hand-raise rhino calves than elephant calves; however, their condition on arrival determines whether they will survive. A healthy rhino calf, even when very young, has greater survival chances than an elephant calf of the same age group. Besides the four rhinos that were relocated to Manas in 2006, 2007 and 2008, CWRC at present has ive rhino calves, all males (Table 1). At CWRC, the calves were placed in a nursery enclosure (~5 m x 5 m), observed for injuries and stabilized. Generally, calves are accompanied round the clock by an animal keeper. Calves were fed diluted human baby milk formula that was available in the market (brand name: Nestogen, make: Néstle) with a special 2-litre bottle with a long rubber nipple. For the irst three to four days, they were given milk at one-hour intervals, although this frequency was reduced during the night. Once they were accustomed to drinking this milk, were less stressed and had stabilized, they were allowed to use a paddock (~10 m x 10 m) next to the nursery. After three to four months, varying with the individual, the calves were fed concentrates with mineral supplements and vitamins. From the age of 6 months, they were introduced to fresh greens, mainly grass, and continued with concentrates and milk. They were weaned at two years and fed a diet of greens from then on. Veterinary doctors treated the calves and prescribed appropriate medicines for injuries. At any time, there were two vets at CWRC, ready to handle any emergency with medical interventions. While the calves were being hand raised at CWRC, procedures had started to select sites where they could Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 be rehabilitated. Though Kukrakata near Kaziranga NP was identiied as a possible site for release, the CWRC governing council recommended moving them to Manas NP for rehabilitation and release. Rehabilitation is isolated from the holistic conservation effort when it is not linked to an active conservation programme. Here was an opportunity to link rehabilitation efforts with an active conservation programme. Using rehabilitated animals in reintroduction programmes for establishing new free-ranging populations has greater conservation value than releasing them in areas like Kaziranga where there is already a healthy rhino population. Two important issues were considered while selecting Manas as the release site. The IUCN Guidelines on re-introduction (1998) stipulate that the reintroduction area should have assured long-term protection, and the causes of the species’ decline should be identiied and eliminated or reduced to a signiicant level. Cessation of political unrest in the region, formation of the autonomous BTC and resumption of park protection and management activities assured that the project had political support and that poaching in the park has been reduced to insigniicant levels. Following the governing council’s recommendation, a site selection committee visited Kokilabari and Bansbari areas in 2005 to assess the area. This committee consisted of the chief wildlife warden of Assam, the directors of Manas and Kaziranga NPs, all range oficers of Manas NP and representatives from WTI. Site selection criteria were developed based on the IUCN (1998) guidelines on re-introduction that had the following set of suitability criteria: the site falling within the rhino distribution range; availability of adequate cover, food and water; minimal presence of human settlements in the area; reports of minimal livestock grazing and human trespassing; habitat suitability in terms of vegetation composition; accessibility of the site for monitoring; reports of livestock diseases reported from the area; how prone the site is to looding during the monsoon; and availability of reports of hunting, poaching and insurgency in the area. Three sites within Manas were selected: Kuribeel, Uchila and Kokilabari. The committee considered the advantages and disadvantages of each site, and the Kuribeel area of Bansbari Range in Manas NP was chosen as the site in which to establish the rehabilitation station. Kokilabari has less grassland area, few perennial water bodies and high human intervention; Uchia is located deep in the 81 Barman et al. Table 1. List of rhino calves admitted at CWRC for various reasons since 2002 Sl no. 1 Date of admission 21/01/2013 Place of rescue Kaziranga 2 23/09/2012 Haldibari 3 01/07/2012 Baghmari 4 27/10/2011 Burapahar 5 10/03/2011 Hathikhuli 6 15/02/2011 Karetapu 7 19/12/2010 Agoratuli 8 08/03/2010 9 10/09/2009 10 21/08/2009 Kathpora, Kohora Baghmari, Baguri Haldibari 11 13/03/2009 12 09/02/2009 Baruntika Camp, Baguri Bokhpora 13 31/01/2008 Gerakati, Baguri Infant male 14 22/09/2007 Hatikuli, Kohara 15 11/09/2007 Deopani, Baguri Neonate female Infant male 16 16/10/2006 Japoripothar 17 20/06/2005 Baguri 18 09/01/2005 Ajagar camp 19 09/12/2004 Dumjan 20 22/07/2004 Harmoti, Baguri 21 14/07/2004 Baghmari, 22 06/03/2003 Kaziranga 23 06/08/2002 Kaziranga 24 28/07/2002 Kaziranga 82 Stage/sex Infant female Neonate female Infant male Infant female Neonate male Infant female Neonate male Infant female Infant male Neonate male Infant male Infant male Neonate male Neonate female Infant female Infant male Infant female Infant female Infant male Infant female Infant female Cause of displacement unknown (found alone) lood/river induced unknown (found alone) unknown (found alone) injury (unknown) unknown (found alone) orphan (parent killed) stuck in mud unknown (found alone) unknown (found alone) unknown (found alone) orphan (parent killed) unknown (found alone) orphan (parent killed) injury (unknown) injury (predation) injury (unknown) unknown (found alone) injury (predation) lood/river induced lood/river induced injury (predation) lood/river induced lood/river induced Outcome died in captivity Date of outcome 31/01/2013 died in captivity 19/11/2012 alive N/A died in captivity 27/10/2012 died in captivity 22/03/2011 died in captivity 04/03/2011 alive N/A died in captivity 15/03/2010 alive N/A alive N/A alive N/A alive N/A alive N/A died in captivity 06/10/2008 died in captivity 12/09/2007 died in captivity 16/10/2006 died in captivity 20/06/2005 died in captivity 27/01/2005 died in captivity 28/12/2004 released 27/11/2008 released 27/11/2008 died in captivity 06/03/2003 died in captivity 07/08/2002 released 27/11/2008 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Rehabilitation of greater one-horned rhinoceros calves in India park and it was likely there would be problems with regular monitoring of the area. The presence of a few watchtowers around Kuribeel area ensured 24-hour rhino security. As the plan was to move the rhinos in trucks, it was also important to have the pre-release area located along an existing forest camp road. its existing size. Accordingly, 19 acres were added as compartment C in January 2008, just before the fourth rhino was relocated. All three compartments together measure 33.35 ha and were suficient to accommodate the four rhinos until they were released. Relocating rhinos to Manas NP The boma: pre-release area Early in 2006 WTI partnered with BTC to reintroduce The pre-release area in Kuribeel—called a ‘boma’, as rhinos into Manas NP from Kaziranga. IUCN this is what a similar enclosure is called in Africa—was guidelines (Emslie et al. 2009; Suwal and Shakya surrounded by a solar-powered electric fence. It had 2002) were used to plan and translocate the handthree compartments: compartment A was ready when raised rhinos. The irst rhino, a three and a half-yearthe irst rhino was moved, and as soon as compartment old female christened Maino by BTC, was moved to B was completed, the rhino was allowed to use both the boma on 21 February 2006. Maino thus got the areas (Figure 3). The boma also included part of a distinction of being the irst rhino to reach Manas after perennial stream because rhinos need water bodies to the resident population of rhinos had been wiped out wallow in during the hot hours of the day. Hume pipes during the decade of political instability in the region. (large cemented pipes) were placed below the fence On 28 January 2007, two more female rhinos, Rose to facilitate the free low of stream water through the and Manasi, were relocated from CWRC to the same boma. The nine-strand power fence had a twin role: to boma. After a month of habituation at CWRC the keep the rhinos conined in a large area for at least two rhinos were each lured into a crate, and a long-acting years and at the same time keep away wild elephants tranquilizer, Azaperon (Stressnil), was administered and large carnivores like tigers. A corridor measuring intramuscularly to reduce aggression and minimize 20 m x 70 m was created between sections A and B damage to the crate. With the use of a crane the crates in case the rhinos needed to be conined for medical were loaded onto individual trucks that travelled by intervention. Two more rhinos were relocated to the road overnight for about 400 km. On 23 February 2008 a female rhino calf about two boma in 2006 and another rhino calf was rescued in years old was translocated from CWRC to Manas NP, September 2007. The boma was expanded to double raising to four the number of rhinos inside the boma. Gate to be open for release This rhino had been rescued 400m 5m wide gate from Hatikhuli Tea Estate Temporary near Kohora after poachers Mahout camp killed its mother. While the rhinos that had been moved C 200m to Manas earlier were all hand raised, this calf was 220m already two years old and 5m wide gate Lowland was therefore considered to 100m 5m wide gate have been already weaned off milk. Consequently, luring this calf into the Wetland transportation crate was not 150m considered an appropriate B A option for trapping it. We used a combination 250m of Meditomidine and Ketamine hydrochlorides Figure 3. Schematic diagram of the boma used for rhino rehabilitation. to restrain it before placing Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 83 Barman et al. A calf under rehabilitation at CWRC is bottle-fed milk. it on the sledge and dragging it into the crate. To give the rhinos a sense of familiarity to the new area, bags of their fresh and old dung had been taken to Manas from CWRC the previous day and scattered on the ground. The next morning after the trucks reached Manas, the young rhinos were let out of their crates into the boma. All four rhinos have been radio-collared to enable post-release monitoring. Within two months of relocating the fourth rhino to Manas, two male rhinos from Pabitora Wildlife Sanctuary (WLS) were hard-released (caught in the wild and directly released in Manas without using a pre-release boma) in Manas as part of the Indian Rhino Vision 2020 (IRV 2020) rhino translocation programme of the government of Assam. The female rhinos translocated from CWRC to Manas have a chance to choose mates while they are rehabilitating in Manas NP. Rhinos at the boma The rhino calves admitted to CWRC were hand-raised for about 18 months. Unlike elephant calves, they were held in large stockades at the centre until they were considered it enough to be relocated to the boma at the release site. Since rhino calves begin nibbling grass blades by the age of 2–3 months, grass and browse were made available to them by the time they were four months old. A ‘soft-release’ strategy was adopted after holding the rhinos in captivity at the release site for two to four years, depending on the age of the rhino at the time of its relocation. All rhinos were given supplementary feeding, a concentrate mix, for a week following their relocation. Supplementary feeding stopped as soon 84 as they became accustomed to the grazing area inside the boma. The fourth rhino was much younger and she was held initially in a small paddock specially created within compartment A, before she was allowed free access to the entire compartment. The plan was to restrict the calf to this compartment until the other three adult or subadult rhinos occupying compartments B and C were released. However, one of the male IRV 2020 rhinos strayed more than 100 km from Manas, creating panic among people, and had to be captured and released into the boma. The second male rhino, possibly lured by the three females inside, had already forced his way into the boma by disrupting the power fence on 10 June 2008. Fortunately, this happened on the side harbouring compartments B and C where the adult rhinos were held and not in compartment A. However, releasing the straying rhino into the boma through compartment A had serious consequences. The standard operating procedures were overlooked and the calf was left among adult and subadult rhinos with all compartments interconnected. On 14 September 2008 the young female calf was found dead. The carcass was discovered only after a couple of days by which time putrefaction had started and scavengers had devoured the carcass considerably. Mandibular fracture and other circumstantial evidence pointed to death due to traumatic injury caused by the adult rhinos. Though ingers were pointed at the wild captured rhinos, there was no clear evidence to support this. Data were collected on rhinos’ use of habitat within the boma, and rhino behaviour towards caretakers, strangers, conspeciics and other wildlife was recorded anecdotally. Initially, the animals were seen following the caretaker whenever he inspected the fence for repairs. A month later the monsoon set in and tall grass grew inside the boma that soon cut down the visibility of the rhinos from outside. Three months after they were released, the rhinos showed little concern for people patrolling around the fence, though they were at times heard vocalizing on noticing human presence. The tall grass was cut to encourage the growth of fresh blades of grass. The rhinos were moved from one compartment to another and the grass was trimmed close to the ground. Burning the grass would have been a better option but was not done as the ire might have gone out of control and spread into the other compartments holding the rhinos. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Rehabilitation of greater one-horned rhinoceros calves in India Release and post-release monitoring On 27 November 2008, the park authority and WTI representatives visited the pre-release site at Bansbari to assess whether it was feasible to release three female rhinos from the boma. The Rhino Task Force meeting of the government of Assam held in September 2008 had proposed that these rhinos be released. The team found all conditions favourable and released the rhinos from the pre-release site. On 27 November 2008, the gate of the boma at the northern-most boundary was opened and two female rhinos came out immediately. The third female rhino only ventured out the next Female (rehabilitated) and male (hard release) rhinos graze day. At the time of release, one of the females was in Manas National Park. over six years old and the other two nearly ive years. Meanwhile, the two male rhinos continued being held tear. The collar stopped functioning, but not before in the boma till 3 May 2009 when the younger forced providing the tracking team with information on her his way out, once again by breaking through the power movement patterns for more than a year. All rhinos fence. The reason was said to be persecution by the were intensively monitored till 31 March 2010. other male inside. Once part of the southern boundary Radio-tracking was done largely using a vehicle, of the park was power fenced, the other male rhino was but sometimes on foot and rarely on elephant back. also let out, on 25 November 2009. This was exactly Temporary watchtowers were erected at strategic one year after the three rehabilitated rhinos had been locations, especially near the southern park boundary released from the boma. Soon, the male and female towards the village site, to facilitate easy tracking. rhinos were seen grazing together, often occupying Having been held in captivity in the boma for more the same habitat. than two years, the rhinos had developed site idelity The rehabilitation protocol emphasized that the and as a result did not wander long distances after their rhinos be monitored intensively for one year post- release, unlike the hard-released males. Tracking these release (Ashraf et al. 2005; Emslie et al. 2009). But the animals was therefore much easier as they rarely went rhinos were monitored for more than this designated period. In spite of collaring them as early as 2006 and 2007 respectively, the collars continued to give signals till the end of 2009 and beginning of 2010. Collars therefore provided range-use data for more than the stipulated period of one year post-release. Manasi’s collar fell in October 2009, and Maino’s in February 2010. Rose’s collar is on the verge of falling Figure 4. Home range of rehabilitated rhinos in Manas National Park. due to normal wear and Key: solid line = Maino; broken line = Manasi and Rose Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 85 Barman et al. beyond the coverage area of the radio-transmitter. As they were also habituated to the caretakers, watching them from close quarters did not hamper their normal behaviour. However, they were never seen to approach humans as was the case during the irst six months of being released into the boma in 2006 and 2007 respectively. Range extension and habitat use: first six months post-release rhinos, Maino’s range use often coincided with the movement pattern of the males. As a result, she also strayed out of the park repeatedly during the day and up to four or ive times during May 2009. By placing an animal tracker solely for guarding against this at the Palsiguri beat of the southern boundary of the park, the situation could be brought under control. However, after the power fence was erected on the Bansbari side of the southern boundary, incidents of straying have not been reported. Maino avoided the tall grasslands being routinely burned in January 2010 and instead used swampy grasslands more. As soon as new blades of grass emerged in the burnt areas, the rhino began frequenting these patches. In January, Maino was associated with one of the IRV 2020 male rhinos and both disappeared from the scene for nearly a week. With no signal being received from Maino for ive days, intensive search led to her being spotted in the Tower camp, northeast of the boma. The rhinos did not have a chance to re-enter the boma as the gates had to be closed for the two male rhinos to be held captive till the southern boundary of the park was power-fenced. However, true to the nature of softreleased animals, the initial range utilization of all the three rhinos had a close association with the boma. The two younger females (Rose and Manasi) were conined to the perimeter of the power fence for the irst two months after their release. Within six months, Maino had established a home range of about 15 km2 and Rose and Manasi a considerably small home range of Range extension and habitat use: 7–8 km2 (Figure 4). Maino extended her range towards the last six months (October 2009– the south and southeast of the boma up to the fringe March 2010) areas of the southern boundary. The farthest distance she travelled from the park boundary was 1.5 km up By March 2010, Maino had extended her range further to Barengabari village. From the boma the northern to the northeast of the boma (Figure 5). The animal limit was 2.5 km and movement towards east during was no longer sighted frequently in and around antithe irst six months of release varied from 2 to 5 km. poaching camps. This could be because short grasses It was apparent that the movement to the south and and aquatic vegetation were abundant everywhere. southeast of the boma was for the aquatic vegetation The rhinos in Manas most frequented areas with short on the Giati River and short grassland in the fringe grass and aquatic vegetation. Unlike Rose and Manasi, areas where livestock grazing and other biotic pressure Maino explored newer areas that are also used by the is high. In May 2009, her movement pattern almost coincided with that of the male rhino that had escaped from the boma on 3 May 2009. By September 2009, all three rhinos not only showed a general increase in their range use, but also a shift in habitat use pattern, which was possibly determined by the physiognomic changes in ground vegetation. Because of her frequent association with the male Figure 5. Shift of home ranges in different seasons. 86 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Rehabilitation of greater one-horned rhinoceros calves in India Releasing a rhino from CRWC into Manas National Park. adult male rhinos. For instance in March, she was sighted with a male rhino in Bangale Hatdhua area, long after her collar had dropped. While Maino had her own range-use pattern, often associating with the males, Rose and Manasi were always found moving together. In March 2010, both rhinos were seen using the elephant training camp, boma and Bathan areas. However, it was not uncommon to see all three in one location for a brief period. The one year of radiotracking rehabilitated rhinos ended, and intensive tracking formally came to an end on 31 March 2010. The rhinos are still physically tracked and their GPS locations, habitat use, association with conspeciics and activity recorded anecdotally. By April 2010, the home ranges of Maino and the other two females were almost equal, each occupying 15–20 km2. It will be interesting to compare the home ranges of these rhinos with those of the wild-caught males hard-released in Manas. Lessons for the future Transportation age: All three rhinos (except the fourth, which died in the boma) were relocated to Manas when they were about three and a half to four years of age. It would be better to move them much earlier, say by two years, as this would shorten the time caretakers would be needed at CSRC. It is also much easier to move younger rhinos. Protecting offspring: Experience in Dudhwa NP has shown that reintroduced rhinos have little chance of protecting their calves from tiger attacks. In Kaziranga NP, rhinos lose a considerable number Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 of their calves to tigers. The 2,000 odd rhinos in Kaziranga can withstand this occasional removal of individuals from the population, but this may not be the case in Manas. The rhinos with newly born calves may have to be conined to the boma to protect their calves till they are about two years old. Relocating the boma: In a soft-release programme, animals tend to establish their home range close to the area of their acclimatization. To spread out the distribution of the rhinos in the park and to reduce pressure on the southern boundary, future releases might have to be deep inside the park in areas like Uchila and beyond. The boma might have to be relocated to ensure that this happens next time when orphan rhinos are moved to Manas. Time of collaring rhinos: Since a considerable amount of battery life is lost by collaring the rhinos before their relocation, in future the animals should be collared only when they are about to be released from the boma. Experience has shown that the rehabilitated rhinos do not break the fence and venture outside. They can always be captured and returned to the boma should an emergency of this sort happen. From rescue to release: the success of rehabilitation The successful rehabilitation of rhinos in Manas NP can be recapitulated in the following stages: 1. Rescuing the calf from distress: When attempts to reunite calf with mother fail, the calf is taken to CWRC for hand-raising. In the last 10 years of experience at Kaziranga NP, not a single rhino calf has been reunited with the mother. This is in contrast to elephants wherein at least seven calves have been successfully reunited. 2. Hand-raising: All calves are stabilized upon arrival in captivity. Depending upon their hydration levels, luid therapy is given where necessary. A standard milk formula is employed. The calves are weaned by 18 months of age and unlike elephant calves, rhino calves begin nibbling blades of grass even before they turn two months of age. 3. Translocating: Weaned calves spend another one year held in a 2–3-acre bamboo paddock reinforced with live wire at CWRC. Husbandry practices include providing adequate fodder (largely grass) and a suitable concentrate mix of gram, cereal, vitamins and mineral supplements. At the time of translocating them, they are either habituated to a crate or chemically restrained 87 Barman et al. and dragged into it, and moved to the release site in a truck after their radio collars have been placed. 4. Acclimatizing to the release site: Following translocation, the rhinos are held in the boma for a minimum of two years to acclimatize to the local conditions. Apart from managing the habitat within the enclosure, no other husbandry practice is followed here. Such a soft-release programme also helps the animals become loyal to the site. 5. Release and monitoring: The boma gates are opened and the rhinos released into the wild after the period of acclimatization is over. They are then radiotracked for one year post-release and valuable data on their habitat use, range extension, social interactions with conspeciics is collected. The collars either drop on their own or are made to drop using a preprogrammed device. Conclusions The project has demonstrated that hand-raised rhinos can successfully contribute to the reintroduction of rhinos to Manas NP. With ive more orphaned rhino calves waiting to be moved to Manas in the next two years and more wild rhinos being planned for addition to Manas as part of the IRV 2020 programme, the conservation scenario looks bright as far as the return of rhinos to the park is concerned. All IUCN guidelines have been adhered to, not only in formulating the rhino rehabilitation protocol (Ashraf et al. 2005; Emslie et al. 2009), but also during the implementation of the project. All the required permissions from the chief wildlife warden of the state, from the Ministry of Environment and Forests and from the Central Zoo Authority were obtained in advance. All rhinos were also screened for infectious diseases before they were moved to Manas NP following the appropriate protocol (Woodford 2001). The rehabilitated rhinos have contributed to the return of this species to the once-renowned Manas National Park. 88 References Ashraf NVK, Barman R, Mainkar K, Menon V. 2005. The principles of rehabilitation of large mammals (Asian elephant, Asiatic wild buffalo, Asiatic black bear and greater one-horned rhinoceros). In: Back to the wild: studies in wildlife rehabilitation. Wildlife Trust of India. pp 91–103. Ashraf NVK, Menon V. 2005. Problems and prospects of rehabilitating wildlife displaced due to man-wildlife conlict and the wildlife trade in India. In: Back to the wild: studies in wildlife rehabilitation. Wildlife Trust of India. pp 34–44. Assam Forest Department. 2001. Reports from the ield director, Manas National Park. Internal reports. Emslie RH, Amin R, Kock R, editors. 2009. Guidelines for the in situ re-introduction and translocation of African and Asian rhinoceros. IUCN, Gland, Switzerland. vi + 115 pp. Holcomb J. 1995. The ethics of wildlife rehabilitation. In: Penzhorn BL, editor, Proceedings of the SASOL symposium on wildlife rehabilitation. Wildlife Group, South African Veterinary Association and Annual Rehabilitation Centre. pp. 112–118. IUCN. 1998. IUCN guidelines for re-introductions. Prepared by the IUCN/SSC Re-introduction Specialist Group. IUCN, Gland, Switzerland. Robinson I. 2005. Wildlife rehabilitation as a conservation and welfare prerogative. In: Back to the wild: studies in wildlife rehabilitation. Wildlife Trust of India. pp. 22–28. Suwal RN, Shakya MM. 2000. Greater one-horned rhinoceros translocation. Nepal Forum of Environmental Journalists. 48 pp. Vasu NK. 2003. Management plan of Kaziranga National Park (2003/2013). Forest Department, Assam. Woodford MH. 2001. Quarantine and health screening protocols for wildlife prior to translocation and release into the wild. IUCN, Paris. 99 pp. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Decay rate of elephant dung, Republic of Congo FIELD NOTES Decay rate of elephant dung in Conkouati-Douli National Park, Republic of Congo Hilde Vanleeuwe1* and James Probert2 1 Wildlife Conservation Society, CDNP director Wildlife Conservation Society, Research associate * corresponding author email: hvanleeuwe@wcs.org 2 Introduction Dung surveys are commonly used to monitor elephant (Loxodonta africana cyclotis, Blumenbach, 1797) populations in forest environments. To estimate elephant density from dung density two parameters are required: 1) the dung deposition rate, and 2) the rate of dung decay (Barnes and Jensen 1987; Barnes 1996; Theuerkauf and Gula 2010; Vanleeuwe 2010). The rate at which elephant dung decays is non-linear and is affected by numerous variables including environmental factors such as rainfall, exposure to sunlight, and temperature, and biological factors such as elephant diet and the action of decomposers, particularly fungi and insects but also small mammals foraging for seeds. These complex interactions result in seasonal, inter-site and intra-site variation in decay rates (White 1995; Barnes 1996; Barnes et al. 1997; Breuer and Hockemba 2007; Theuerkauf et al. 2009). For this reason it is recommended that researchers conduct their own studies of dung decay rates to ensure accurate population estimates (Hedges and Lawson 2006). Study site Conkouati-Douli National Park is located on the southern coast of the Republic of Congo, along the border with Gabon. The park covers an area of 5,050 km2; approximately 76% (3,850 km2) of it is terrestrial and the remaining 24% (1,200 km2) forms the Republic of Congo’s only marine protected area. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Conkouati-Douli is the most biodiverse protected area in Congo, encompassing a wide variety of habitats and species. The park is classiied as a RAMSAR site for its important wetlands birdlife; it is a listed candidate to become a UNESCO World Heritage Site and is a high priority site for great apes in the IUCN Great Ape Conservation Action Plan due to its large number of Central African chimpanzees (Vanleeuwe and Morgan 2012). Methods Seasonal movement patterns result in a large variation in elephant numbers. To control for this variation, dung counts are ideally conducted at the end of a season, ensuring that dung piles recorded during the count were deposited in the elapsed season. Dung decay studies are therefore best conducted during the same season that dung counts are conducted. In ConkouatiDouli, onset of the rains renders the terrain dificult to access and dung counts are therefore conducted at the end of the dry season, before onset of the rains. The elephant dung decay study therefore took place during the dry season to make the results pertinent for elephant monitoring in Conkouati-Douli. A large herd of elephants was spotted around the park headquarters at the onset of the dry season, allowing us to tag 57 dung piles that were all less than 24 hours old at the start of the study. Dung piles were marked and the habitat, canopy cover and slope were recorded for each pile. Canopy cover was classiied into four categories as 0) no 89 Vanleeuwe and Probert Table 1. Stages of decay as per Barnes and Jensen, 1987 Stage A B C1 C2 D E Condition of dung pile pile intact, very fresh, moist, with odour pile intact, fresh but dry, no odour more than 50% of the pile is distinguishable, some has disintegrated less than 50% of the pile is distinguishable, the rest has disintegrated pile completely disintegrated, forms a lat mass decayed to the stage where it would be impossible to detect at 2-m range in the undergrowth, and it would not be seen unless directly underfoot canopy, 1) 0–25% cover, 2) 25–50% cover, and 3) 50%+ cover. Slope was classiied as: 0) no slope, 1) 0–25% incline, 2) 25–50% incline, and 3) 50%+ incline. Dung piles were monitored weekly and their stages of decay classiied according to Barnes and Jensen (1987). Dung piles were considered fully decayed when they reached stage E (Table 1). As the exact number of days between the inal observation of dung as stage D and its transition to stage E was unknown, a random number between one and seven was added to calculate survival time and decay rate (Barnes et al. 1997; Breuer and Hockemba 2007). Results A total of 57 dung piles were monitored from March to September 2005. The majority (75.4%, n = 43) were found in forest habitat with 12% (n = 7) in scrub, 10% (n = 6) in savanna grasslands and 1.8% (n = 1) in farmland. Mean survival time of dung piles was 158.3 days (SD ± 12.6, 95% CI 1551–61); the mean rate of decay was 0.00637 per day (SD ± 0.0007, 95% CI 0.0618–0.0656). Dung survival ranged from 89 days to 174 days; however, all but one of the dung piles survived for a minimum of 147 days. There was no signiicant difference in the survival time of dung piles by habitat type (Kruskal-Wallis, X2 = 1.616, df = 3, p = 0.656), canopy cover (Kruskal-Wallis, X2 = 5.839, df = 2, p = 0.054) or slope (Kruskal-Wallis, X2 = 2.212, df = 2, p = 0.331). Conclusions Investigating dung decay rates across a large landscape can be a laborious undertaking involving signiicant commitment to time and resources (Kuehl et al. 2007). By opportunistically targeting a large herd near the 90 research station, we ensured that all dung was less than 24 hours old at the start of the study, which minimized the effort needed to monitor the dung piles. The study was carried out entirely during the dry season to ensure dung decay rates were relevant to elephant monitoring in Conkouati-Douli, which takes place at the end of the dry season. The survival time of dung piles in Conkouati-Douli is one of the longest reported in the literature. Variation in survival time was also low relative to similar studies. These differences may be partly due to many studies reporting combined igures for wet and dry seasons (e.g. Breuer and Hockemba 2007; Olivier et al. 2009). While we did not detect any effect of habitat type, canopy cover or slope on dung pile survival time it is likely that this was due to the small sample size and low variability in survival time. Further study is needed to fully understand the factors affecting the decay rate of elephant dung piles in Conkouati-Douli. Nevertheless, this study provides a site-speciic decay rate for Conkouati-Douli, which has been used to calculate the elephant population in 2005, 2008, 2010 and 2013. Acknowledgments We thank the Ministère du Développement, de l’Economie Forestiere et de l’Environnement of the Republic of the Congo for their collaboration and support in all studies conducted by the Wildlife Conservation Society in Conkouati-Douli National Park. We also thank Abdon Bitsindou, Richard Mboumba and Justin Thonio, the research assistants who contributed in collecting the decay data. References Barnes RFW. 1996. Estimating forest elephant abundance by dung counts. In: Kangwana K, ed., Studying Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Decay rate of elephant dung, Republic of Congo elephants. AWF Technical Handbook no. 7. African Wildlife Foundation, Nairobi. p. 33–48. Barnes RFW, Asamoah-Boateng B, Naada Majam J, Agyei-Ohemeng J. 1997. Rainfall and the population dynamics of elephant dung piles in the forests of southern Ghana. African Journal of Ecology 35:39–52. Barnes RFW, Jensen K. 1987. How to count elephants in forests. IUCN African Elephant and Rhino Specialist Group Technical Bulletin 1:1–6. Breuer T, Hockemba MN. 2007. Forest elephant dung decay in Ndoki Forest, northern Congo. Pachyderm 43:43–51. Hedges S, Lawson D. 2006. Dung survey standards for the MIKE Programme. CITES MIKE Programme, Nairobi. Kuehl HS, Todd L, Boesch C, Walsh PD. 2007. Manipulating decay time for eficient large mammal density estimation: gorillas and dung height. Ecological Applications 17(8):2403–2414. Olivier PI, Ferreira SM, van Aarde RJ. 2009. Dung survey bias and elephant population estimates in southern Mozambique. African Journal of Ecology 47:202–2013. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Theuerkauf J, Gula R. 2010. Towards standardisation of population estimates: defecation rates of elephants should be assessed using a rainfall model. Annales Zoologici Fennici 47:398–402. Theuerkauf J, Rouys S, van Berge Henegouwen AL, Krell, FT, Mazur S, Muhlenberg M. 2009. Colonization of forest elephant dung by invertebrates in the Bossematie Forest Reserve, Ivory Coast. Zoological Studies 48(3):343–350. Vanleeuwe H. 2010. Predictive mapping of season distributions of large mammals using GPS: an application to elephant on Mount Kenya. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 1(2):212–220. Vanleeuwe H, Morgan D. 2012. Great ape research for better protection in Conkouati-Douli National Park. US Fish and Wildlife Service Final Report GA 962000-G071, Washington. White LJT. 1995. Factors affecting the duration of elephant dung piles in rain forest in the Lope Reserve, Gabon. African Journal of Ecology 33:142–15. 91 Muboko et al. Cyanide poisoning and African elephant mortality in Hwange National Park, Zimbabwe: a preliminary assessment N Muboko,1* V Muposhi,1 T Tarakini,1 E Gandiwa,1 S Vengesayi2 and E Makuwe 3 1 School of Wildlife, Ecology and Conservation, Chinhoyi University of Technology, P Bag 7724, Chinhoyi, Zimbabwe 2 School of Hospitality and Tourism, Chinhoyi University of Technology, P Bag 7724, Chinhoyi, Zimbabwe 3 Hwange National Park Main Camp, Zimbabwe Parks and Wildlife Management Authority, P Bag DT 5776, Dete, Zimbabwe *corresponding author email: nmbok@yahoo.co.uk Introduction Hwange National Park (NP) is the largest national park in Zimbabwe. Covering 14,651 km2, it is located between 18°30′–19°50′S and 25°45′–27°30′E. Hwange NP is characterized by semi-arid conditions with an annual mean rainfall of about 634 mm (Hubbard and Haynes 2012). It has more than 100 mammal species, 19 of which are large herbivores and 8, large carnivores, and more than 400 bird species (ZPWMA 2012). Hwange NP is largely dominated and characterized by deep Kalahari sands (Rogers 1993) and has no perennial river system. Water-dependent animals rely on pumped water boreholes; the irst boreholes were drilled in the 1930s (Mukwashi et al. 2012) and now over 80 boreholes are known to exist in the park. During 2013, media reports of elephant (Loxodonta africana) deaths in Hwange NP due to chemical poisoning sent shock waves across the conservation ield. Media framing of the incident portrayed different igures of elephant deaths and manner of poisoning. For example, the headline of The Telegraph of 20 October 2013 read ‘Poachers kill 300 Zimbabwe elephants with cyanide’, the International Business Times of 21 October 2013 also reported more than 300 elephant deaths, while the Zimbabwe Standard of 20 October 2013 reported over 500 elephant deaths. Still others reported different igures. This article reports the irst attempt at a rigorous and systematic study of chemical poisoning of wildlife in Hwange NP prompted by the 2013 cyanide poisoning of elephant and other animal species. The objectives of the study were to: 1) identify the species and quantify the animals affected by cyanide poisoning in Hwange NP and its environs, and 2) assess the opinions of 92 people directly affected by this incident, both socially and ecologically. The assessment conducted in October 2013 included two ield visits to the main sites of elephant poisoning, personal interviews with ive Parks oficials based at Hwange NP and three Forest Commission representatives based at Ngamo Forest Field Station, and a review of aerial survey reports. Effects of cyanide poisoning on elephants and other animal species Extensive aerial survey reports and personal observation put the total elephant deaths through poisoning at 105 inside the park and 30 outside. However, our igures are inconsistent with those from Zimbabwe Parks and Wildlife Management Authority (ZPWMA), which stand at 115. This difference may be explained by a disparity in identifying the cause of death of some carcasses found. A total of 40 cyanidecontaminated sites were recorded (E Makuwe, pers. comm., 11 October 2013); their distribution is shown in Figure 1. Elephant carcasses were discovered either at or close to saltpans. In Josivanini we observed that some elephant carcasses were located between a minimum distance of less than 5 m and a mean maximum distance of 1 km from a licked poisoned saltpan, suggesting that some of the affected elephants quickly succumbed to poisoning. Other species were also affected (Table 1). The number of predators affected is low, but the actual extent of the impact to other wildlife was not ascertained. Ivory was removed from many of the adult elephant carcasses seen, indicating a sign of organized poaching. For example, of the reported 87 elephant carcasses identiied as at 26 September 2013, Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Cyanide poisoning and African elephant mortality in Zimbabwe Zimbabwe Hwange Legend communal settlements poisoned carcasses inside park Sikumi Forest Botswana poisoned carcasses outside park Hwange National Park Ngamo Forest administrative wards sites contaminated Figure 1. Distribution of cyanide poisoning sites in and outside Hwange NP. (Three different localities were poisoned— two inside and one outside the part, i.e Josivanini [1] and Ngamo Forest area [2]) and Guvalala pan [3].) authorities recovered only 51 tusks leaving 123 tusks in the hands of poachers (ZPWMA 2013). The reasons for mass poaching of elephants using cyanide were varied and included issues of poverty, disgruntlement over skewed distribution of Communal Area Management Programme for Indigenous Resources (CAMPFIRE) proceeds, land contests, external inluence, particularly from markets, retaliation for crop raiding and outright subversion of the law. Similar issues have been linked to poaching incidents in other areas (Gandiwa et al. 2013; Muboko and Murindagomo 2014). Despite this unfortunate incident, the impact on elephant population is non-signiicant considering that Hwange NP already has an elephant problem: an elephant population of over 45,000 (Foggin 2003; Mukwashi et al. 2012) has exceeded the threshold of potential concern, as illustrated by unsustainable vegetation damage. Interviewed oficials had mixed perceptions on the effects of cyanide on natural ecological systems. Concerns focused on the persistence of cyanide in the Table 1. Number and distribution of animal species killed by cyanide poisoning in three sites Species African elephant (Loxodonta africana) Josivanini Ngamo Forest Guvalala Total 94 30 11 135 African buffalo (Syncerus caffer) 2 – – 2 Giraffe (Giraffa camelopardalis) 1 – – 1 1 Lion (Panthera leo) 1 – – Spotted hyena (Crocuta crocuta) 1 – – 1 African wild dog (Lycaon pictus) 2 – – 2 Greater kudu (Tragelaphus strepsiceros) 1 – – 1 – – White-backed vulture (Gyps africanus)* Hooded vulture (Necrosyrtes monachus) 3 3 Lappet-faced vulture (Torgos tracheliotos) * Source: Interviews and ield observations (2013) – numbers could not be ascertained due to the state of carcass decomposition * no carcasses observed Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 93 Muboko et al. environment, its reaction after exposure to open, hot and dry conditions, and its effect on water systems either through surface contamination or underground seepage. Recommendations It is important to re-enforce law-enforcement efforts, review workforce levels and conduct further detailed studies on the impact of chemical use on wildlife ecology. While long-term socio-ecological studies are critical, policymakers and researchers can also focus on the following research themes to underpin future research: mammal studies (especially on distribution, movement patterns), water supply, saltpans and ornithological studies, parks–community relations, human–wildlife conlict and effectiveness of community-based conservation initiatives. Acknowledgements We thank the executive and staff of Chinhoyi University of Technology for supporting this preliminary assessment. We also thank the management at ZPWMA Head Office, Hwange NP and Ngamo Forest for not only giving us permission to conduct the study, but also for providing support in the form of accommodation and staff assistance during ield visits. References Zimbabwe: can there be any alternative to culling? Wildlife Veterinary Unit, Harare, Zimbabwe. Gandiwa E, Heitkönig IMA, Lokhorst AM, Prins HHT, Leeuwis C. 2013. CAMPFIRE and human–wildlife conlicts in communities adjacent to the northern Gonarezhou National Park, Zimbabwe. Ecology and Society 18:7. http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-05817180407. Hubbard P, Haynes G. 2012. Mtoa Ruins, Hwange National Park, Zimbabwe. Zimbabwean Prehistory 30:25–33. Available online http://www.unr.edu/ documents/. Accessed 7 January 2014. Muboko N, Murindagomo F. 2014. Wildlife control, access and utilization: lessons from legislation, policy evolution and implementation in Zimbabwe. Journal for Nature Conservation 22(3):206–211. Mukwashi K, Gandiwa E, Kativu S. 2012. Impact of African elephants on Baikiaea plurijuga woodland around natural and artiicial watering points in northern Hwange National Park, Zimbabwe. International Journal of Environmental Sciences 2(3):1355–1368. Rogers CML. 1993. A woody vegetation survey of Hwange National Park. Department of National Parks and Wildlife Management, Harare, Zimbabwe. [ZPWMA] Zimbabwe Parks and Wildlife Management Authority. 2012. Hwange National Park. Available online http://www.zimparks.org/index.php/parksoverview/national/hwange. Accessed 22 July 2014. ———. 2013. Hwange National Park elephant cyanide poisoning report. ZPWMA, Harare, Zimbabwe. Foggin CM. 2003. The elephant population problem in 94 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Rhinoceros on 18th century maps of India Three rhinos on maps of India drawn in Faizabad in the 18th century Kees Rookmaaker Editor, Rhino Resource Center (www.rhinoresourcecenter.com), and Senior Research Fellow, Department of Biological Sciences, National University of Singapore, 14 Science Drive 4, Singapore 117543 email: rhino@rookmaaker.freeserve.co.uk In an Atlas of India produced in 1770 at the court of Oudh, there are three illustrations of a rhinoceros inserted on the maps. These were the work of Indian artists, and do not appear to rely on earlier representations of the animals. The Atlas was based on the investigations of Colonel Jean-Baptiste-Joseph Gentil (1726–1799), a French military oficer who lived and worked in India for 25 years in the second half of the 18th century, from 1752 to 1777. He spent the last 10 years as the oficial French agent at the Court of Oudh (Awadh), which at the time of the ruler Shuja-ud-daula (1732–1775) was located at Faizabad, Uttar Pradesh, India, on the banks of River Ghaghra. While Gentil was at the court, he had time and leisure to collect data on the history and geography of India, which he compiled in a number of manuscripts which largely remained unpublished during his lifetime. By studying the Ain-i-Akbari written in the 16th century for the Mughal emperor Akbar, Gentil was able to develop new maps of the different parts of India. He employed a number of Indian artists, whose identity has been lost in time, but may have included Nevasi Lal and Mohan Singh. All maps were embellished with little drawings of scenery, people, plants and several animals, both within the cartographic part and around the borders. The three images of a rhinoceros are found on the maps of ‘Bengale’ (Bengal; Figure 1), ‘Bear’ (Bihar; Figure 2) and ‘Avadh’ (Oudh, Uttar Pradesh; Figure 3). It might be argued that the little igures on the maps were entirely decorative. At the same time it is remarkable that the animals appear only on maps of regions where at one time the rhinoceros would have occurred, maybe even were still present when Gentil was in the country (Rookmaaker 1984). In the map of Bengal the rhinoceros is seen just outside the north-eastern border of the state, in Bihar near the Himalayan foothills, and in Oudh in the northern parts Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Figure 1. Rhinoceros and elephant on the map of ‘Bengale’ in the Atlas produced for Jean-Baptiste-Joseph Gentil in Faizabad in 1770. British Library, London. Figure 2. Rhinoceros on the map of ‘Bear’ (Bihar, India) in Gentil’s Atlas. British Library, London. which would now be in the area between Balrampur and Gorakhpur. The igures show that all rhinos were single-horned, but at the same time they differ in small details. I don’t believe that this in any way signiies that the artists had any intention to indicate the presence of different types of rhinos, it is more likely that these were merely different ways to depict the animal. Although the drawings do not lend themselves to strict naturalistic determination, they all must show the Indian (greater one-horned) Rhinoceros unicornis. 95 Rookmaaker Gentil had two copies of his Atlas, but only the principal one includes the animal drawings. This document is now in the India Ofice Library of the British Library, London. The Atlas was introduced, annotated and reproduced by Gole (1988), but has not been noticed in the zoological literature. References Figure 3. Rhinoceroses (mother and young?) on the map of ‘Avadh’ (Oudh) in the Atlas produced by Jean-BaptisteJoseph Gentil and dated 1770. British Library, London. The drawings are remarkable for the early age and for the fact that they were made by Indian artists, as very few similar representations are known. There is no information where the artists might have seen the animals, or earlier drawings of them. However, the court of Oudh had a special passion to keep and exhibit rhinos, certainly in later years, but maybe even in the 1770s although details are absent (Rookmaaker 1998: 90). 96 Gentil JBJ. 1770. Empire Mogol divisé en 21 soubas ou Gouvernements tiré de differents écrivains du pais à Faisabad MDCCLXX. Single copy preserved in the British Library, India Ofice Library, London. Gole S. 1988. Maps of Mughal India: Drawn by Colonel Jean-Baptiste-Joseph Gentil, agent for the French Government to the Court of Shuja-ud-daula at Faizabad, in 1770. Delhi, Manohar. Rookmaaker LC. 1984. The former distribution of the Indian rhinoceros (Rhinoceros unicornis) in India and Pakistan. Journal of the Bombay Natural History Society 80(3):555–563. Rookmaaker LC. 1998. The rhinoceros in captivity: a list of 2439 rhinoceroses kept from Roman times to 1994 [with special assistance by Marvin L Jones, HeinzGeorg Klos, Richard J Reynolds III]. The Hague, SPB Academic Publishing. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Field Notes Social media and the ivory ban: Myanmar and China cross-border trade Vincent Nijman and Chris R Shepherd Oxford Wildlife Trade Research Group, Oxford UK and TRAFFIC Southeast Asia, Petaling Jaya, Malaysia email: vnijman@brookes.ac.uk From 31 December 2013 to 2 January 2014, we conducted a survey of the ivory trade in the town of Mong La, Myanmar, on the border with China. We counted 3,300 pieces of carved ivory and 49 whole tusks. Mong La is situated in the autonomously controlled Special Region 4, which has a strong cross-border trade. While Mong La is situated in Myanmar its population is largely Chinese, so is its currency, the Chinese yuan, its mobile phone and electricity network, and it operates at Beijing time (1.5 hours ahead of the rest of Myanmar). We wrote a short report on our indings that was uploaded on 13 January 2014 on the TRAFFIC webpage and sent out to media contacts. The story was covered well by the media, and sparked several original reports in various outlets. An error was introduced by the Associated Press on 14 January, reporting that 30 instead of 49 tusks were observed, and this was taken over by other media sources. On 16 January 2014 a petition was uploaded on the Care2 petition website demanding that Myanmar and China instigate a crackdown on the sale of ivory to save the elephants. The author of the petition was Sue Lee, someone we do not know and have not been in contact with. The text of the petition is shown on page 98. Note that more errors were introduced, including that Mong La and the eastern Shan State are now situated in China. Myanmar does indeed hold the second largest population of Asian elephants but not of all elephants, and some sweeping statements ‘… no form of government control to stop the sale of ivory throughout China and other Asian countries’, could do with a bit more nuance, but overall the statement described correctly the current situation concerning ivory trade in the Myanmar–China border area. On 4 February 2014, we extracted the names of the irst 50,000 signatories of this petition. Care2 allows the author of a petition to determine the end point of the petition and the option to download details of the petition including a list of all the signatories. We did not have this option available to us. However, Care2 allows any reader to scroll down to see the signatures. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 This allowed us to copy them and, in batches of ~500, to paste them into a database. The name, country, date, time (Paciic Standard Time – this is followed here) and number are transferred as one string and the comments, if any, in another. When signing the petition one can choose to not disclose their name, but the other details (country, date, etc.) remain visible. One must include a preix (Mr, Mrs, Ms, Dr). Searches were done using wildcards where appropriate (China would be searched using Chin* — this retrieves China but also Chinese) or alternative names (Myanmar vs Burma) and checked manually (thus excluding Mrs. Roshchina from Russia when searching for China). The irst signatory signed on 16 January at 14:25 hours and that same day another 139 people signed, at a rate of ~15 persons/hour. This increased slightly to ~20 persons/hour the following day, and then gradually started decreasing to 5 and 1 person/hour the next two days. From 21 to 24 January inclusive, less than 10 people signed the petition per day, and this continued to 25 January when only 2 people signed the petition in the early hours of the day. By that time 1,019 people had signed the petition. Then at 21:04 hours the petition went viral through postings on Twitter and Facebook (all with links to the petition site) and within 10 minutes over 200 additional people had signed. The following days between 5 and 15 people signed the petition every minute, lowering to 1 signing every three minutes until on 4 February signature there were 50,000 signatures. For 1,865 (3.7% of total) signatories the names were not disclosed. Some 1,472 (2.9% of total) had a doctorate; of the 93.3% petitioners that disclosed their sex 34,341 (73.6%) were female. It was not possible to quantify the countries from where the signatories originated as they were part of a string, but by manually scrolling through it we tallied more than 130 countries (34 on the irst day alone). All but one (Bhutan) of the Asian elephant range States were included on the list as well as 19/37 African range countries (the absentees 97 Nijman and Shepherd 98 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Field Notes were mostly francophone elephant range countries). It is worth noting that 51 signatories were from China, 73 from Hong Kong, 8 from Macao and 47 from Taiwan (combined this represents 0.4% of the total); 4 were from Myanmar. Some 2,852 (5.7%) signatories added a comment, ranging from a series of exclamation marks to 500word essays. Twice as many commenters referred to China than they did to Myanmar or Burma (405 vs 172). In terms of species, 25 comments refer speciically to African elephants (or elephants in Kenya, Tanzania) whereas only 10 refer speciically to Asian (or Indian) elephants; many more simply mentioned elephants. Thirty-seven commenters linked the ivory trade to the trade in rhino horn. With reference to what needs to be done or solutions to curb the trade, 3.9% noted a need for better regulation of banning the trade altogether: 81 people recommended a (global) ban on wildlife trade, with an additional 12 referring to CITES and 14 to policing or increased regulation. Furthermore, 24 recommend the destruction (or crushing or burning) of stockpiles and 13 commenters refer to virtues of tourism as an alternative source of income. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 No fewer than 229 (0.5%) mention the need for better law enforcement or increased legislation, pointing out that the act of selling ivory is criminal and therefore effective prosecution is needed. A minority pointed to the need to boycott products from countries trading in ivory, 16 times in speciic reference to China or Chinese products and 5 times in reference to Myanmar. Tackling the illegal trade in ivory in Asia, Africa and, indeed, elsewhere is a complicated issue and one that is unlikely to be addressed by simply signing an online petition, but observing the large number of people that feel compelled to do something and reading through the comments, we found it evident that this is an issue that goes to the heart of biodiversity conservation and people’s idea of what is just in an increasingly globalized world. We for one were surprised to see this emerging response to one of our ivory surveys and hope that the combined efforts of many will lead to positive results. 99 Blanc MIKE–ETIS UPDATES CITES-MIKE update Mise à jour de la CITES-MIKE Julian Blanc Acting Coordinator and Data Analyst, CITES-MIKE, UNEP/DELC, United Nations Compound T-36, UN Avenue Gigiri, Nairobi; email: Julian.Blanc@unep.org Update on the MIKES project Mise à jour sur le projet de MIKES As reported in Pachyderm 54, the European Commission announced in December 2013 the award of a €12 million grant to the CITES Secretariat to implement a new project entitled Minimizing the Illegal Killing of Elephants and other Endangered Species (MIKES). I am pleased to report that the European Commission signed the MIKES Contribution Agreement in June, paving the way for the project to start. In anticipation of this exciting new project, an internal meeting was held at the CITES Secretariat in January to discuss the project in detail and to determine next steps and necessary preparations. In addition to all the activities normally undertaken by the MIKE programme, several of which will be strengthened and streamlined, the MIKES project includes a host of new activities, as described in Pachyderm 54. Some of the activities to be undertaken before the project can run at full steam include developing benchmarks to assess lawenforcement capacity at participating sites and countries; developing criteria and mechanisms for identifying focal sites, countries and partners for enhanced law-enforcement support; and developing partner agreements. These matters were consulted with the MIKE and ETIS (Elephant Trade Information System) Technical Advisory Group (TAG) at its 12th meeting, which was held in Nairobi in April (and more on which below), and proposed approaches to handle these matters were submitted to the MIKE ETIS Comme indiqué dans le numéro 54 de Pachyderme, la Commission européenne a annoncé en décembre 2013 l’attribution d’une subvention de 12 millions d’€ au Secrétariat de la CITES pour mettre en œuvre un nouveau projet intitulé « Réduire le braconnage des éléphants et d’autres espèces menacées d’extinction (MIKES) ». Je suis heureux d’annoncer que la Commission européenne a signé l’accord de contribution à MIKES en juin, ouvrant la voie au lancement du projet. En prévision de ce nouveau projet passionnant, une réunion interne a eu lieu au Secrétariat de la CITES en janvier pour discuter en détail du projet et déterminer les prochaines étapes et les préparatifs nécessaires. En plus de toutes les activités normalement menées par le programme MIKE, dont plusieurs seront renforcées et rationalisées, le projet MIKES comprend une série de nouvelles activités, comme décrit dans le numéro 54 de Pachyderme. Certaines activités à entreprendre avant que le projet puisse fonctionner d’aplomb comprennent le développement des «repères» pour évaluer la capacité d’application de la loi sur les sites et dans les pays participants; l’élaboration de critères et des mécanismes permettant d’identiier les sites focaux, les pays et les partenaires pour un soutien accru de l’application de la loi; et l’élaboration des accords de partenariat. Ces questions ont été discutées avec le Groupe Consultatif Technique (GCT) de MIKE et ETIS (Système d’information sur le commerce des éléphants) à sa 2ème réunion, qui s’est tenue à Nairobi en avril (des détails supplémentaires ci-dessous), et les approches proposées pour traiter ces questions ont été soumises au sous-groupe de MIKE-ETIS 100 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 CITES-MIKE update subgroup for approval at the 65th meeting of the CITES Standing Committee (Geneva, July 2014). Furthermore, these and other issues relating to MIKES, such as the roles of MIKE subregional support oficers, national oficers and site oficers, will be the subject of additional consultations to be held with African elephant range States during meetings to launch MIKES scheduled for September and October this year. pour approbation lors de la 65ème réunion du Comité permanent de la CITES à Genève en juillet 2014. En outre, ces approches et d’autres questions relatives à MIKES, telles que les rôles des agents de soutien sous-régionaux de MIKE, les responsables nationaux et les dirigeants du site, feront l’objet de consultations supplémentaires qui se tiendront avec les Etats de l’aire de répartition de l’éléphant d’Afrique au cours des réunions pour le lancement de MIKES prévu pour septembre et octobre cette année. MIKE analysis for SC65 Elephants were prominent on the agenda for the 65th meeting of the CITES Standing Committee (Geneva, July 2014). In preparation for that meeting, and as was done for the SC61 and SC62, the MIKE programme prepared an updated analysis of MIKE data for incorporation into a report jointly authored by the CITES Secretariat (through its MIKE programme), the IUCN/SSC African and Asian Elephant Specialist Groups, TRAFFIC, the UNEP’ World Conservation Monitoring Centre and the African Elephant Fund Steering Committee. The MIKE analysis, which was reviewed by the TAG before it was submitted, was based on 12,073 records of elephant carcasses found between 2002 and the end of 2013 at 53 MIKE sites in 29 range States in Africa, representing a total of 446 site years. It is worth noting that 51 sites submitted data in 2013—the greatest-ever level of participation recorded in the history of the MIKE programme. As in previous MIKE reports, the analysis shows steady increase in levels of illegal killing of elephants starting in 2006, with 2011 displaying the highest levels of poaching since MIKE records began in 2002. The latest analysis shows that poaching levels began to level off or even decline thereafter, reaching in 2013 similar levels to those recorded in 2010. In addition, the decline in PIKE (Proportion of Illegally Killed Elephants) between 2011 and 2013 is statistically signiicant, with the odds of 108 to 1 in favour of a real decline. However, this is merely an overall decline across the 39 MIKE sites reporting in both 2011 and 2013. Reported PIKE actually increased in 13, or 33%, of those sites, declined in 18 sites (46%) and did not change in the remaining 8 (21%). Despite the decline since 2011, poaching levels overall remain alarmingly high, with Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Analyse MIKE pour la SC65 Les éléphants occupaient une place importante sur l’ordre du jour de la 65ème réunion du Comité permanent de la CITES à Genève en juillet 2014. En préparation à cette réunion, et comme cela a été fait pour la SC61 et la SC62, le programme MIKE a préparé une analyse actualisée des données de MIKE pour l’incorporer dans un rapport rédigé conjointement par le Secrétariat de la CITES (à travers son programme MIKE), les Groupes de Spécialistes de l’Eléphant d’Afrique et d’Asie de la CSE de l’UICN, TRAFFIC, le Centre Mondial du Suivi de la Conservation et le Comité directeur du Fonds pour l’éléphant d’Afrique. L’analyse de MIKE, qui a été examinée par le GCT avant la soumission, était basée sur 12.073 dossiers sur les carcasses des éléphants trouvées entre 2002 et la in de 2013 dans 53 sites de MIKE dans 29 Etats de l’aire de répartition en Afrique, ce qui représente un total de 446 sites en années. Il est à noter que 51 sites ont soumis les données en 2013, le plus haut niveau de participation jamais enregistré dans l’histoire du programme MIKE. Comme dans les rapports précédents de MIKE, l’analyse montre une augmentation régulière des niveaux d’abattage illégal des éléphants à partir de 2006, avec 2011 afichant les plus hauts niveaux de braconnage depuis que les enregistrements de MIKE ont commencé en 2002. La dernière analyse montre que les niveaux de braconnage ont commencé à se stabiliser, voire diminuer par la suite, pour atteindre en 2013 des niveaux similaires à ceux enregistrés en 2010. En outre, la baisse de PIKE (Proportion d’Eléphants abattus illégalement) entre 2011 et 2013 est statistiquement signiicative, avec une chance de 108 sur 1 en faveur d’un réel déclin. Cependant, ce n’est qu’une baisse globale dans 39 sites MIKE ayant soumis des rapports en 2011 et 2013. Le niveau PIKE rapporté a augmenté dans 13 de ces sites ou 33%, a diminué dans 18 sites (46%) et n’a pas changé dans les 8 autres (21%). 101 Blanc nearly two-thirds of dead elephants found in 2013 deemed to have been illegally killed. Overall, the elephant population at MIKE sites is likely to have continued to decline in 2013, as poaching rates exceed likely intrinsic population growth rates. In some areas, a decline in PIKE may be the result of a substantial decline in the elephant population, making it more dificult for poachers to ind suitable targets in such areas. However, without recent and reliable elephant population estimates from such areas, it is dificult to verify the impact of poaching on such populations. The SC65 report also includes an analysis of factors associated with levels of elephant poaching at MIKE sites. As in previous occasions, poverty and enforcement capacity at the site, governance at the national level and global demand were found to be the strongest predictors of poaching trends. Interestingly, we found that declared import prices of mammoth ivory in China and Hong Kong (which together import most of the nearly 100 tonnes being exported by Russia in recent years) are a better predictor of PIKE than the Chinese household consumption variable used in previous analyses. More details can be found in CITES document SC65 Doc. 42.1 report, which is available from cites.org/sites/default/ iles/eng/com/sc/65/E-SC65-42-01_2.pdf, while the carcass data used in the analysis can be found in Table C1 of document SC65 Inf. 1 (cites.org/ sites/default/files/eng/com/sc/65/Inf/E-SC65Inf-01.pdf) TAG 12 The 12th meeting of the MIKE and ETIS TAG was held 7–8 April in Nairobi. In addition to considering a number of administrative matters, reviewing the MIKE analysis for SC65 and providing guidance on the development of the MIKES benchmarks, the TAG considered issues relating to the validation of PIKE-based inference. In particular, the TAG discussed the problems associated with differential detection probabilities between naturally dead and illegally killed elephants, especially in forest sites, as well as with estimating natural mortality rates, which are needed for converting PIKE into estimated poaching rates and numbers of elephants killed. To address these issues, an intersessional working 102 Malgré la baisse depuis 2011, les niveaux de braconnage restent globalement alarmants, avec près de deux tiers des éléphants trouvés morts en 2013 comme ayant été tués illégalement. Dans l’ensemble, la population des éléphants sur les sites MIKE est susceptible d’avoir continué à baisser en 2013, car les taux de braconnage dépassent les taux probables de croissance intrinsèque de la population. Dans certaines régions, la baisse de PIKE peut être le résultat d’une baisse importante de la population d’éléphants, ce qui fait que c’est plus dificile pour les braconniers de trouver des cibles appropriées dans ces zones. Cependant, sans estimations récentes et iables des populations d’éléphants issues de ces zones, il est dificile de vériier l’impact du braconnage sur ces populations. Le rapport de la SC65 comprend également une analyse des facteurs associés à des niveaux de braconnage d’éléphants sur les sites MIKE. Comme précédemment, on a jugé que la pauvreté et la capacité d’appliquer la loi sur le site, la gouvernance au niveau national et la demande mondiale sont les meilleurs prédicteurs de l’évolution du braconnage. Fait intéressant, nous avons constaté que les prix des importations déclarées de l’ivoire de mammouth en Chine et à Hong Kong (qui importent ensemble la plupart des quelques 100 tonnes exportées par la Russie au cours des dernières années) est un meilleur prédicteur de PIKE que la consommation variable des ménages chinois utilisée dans les analyses précédentes. On peut trouver plus de détails dans le document de la CITES du rapport de la SC65 Doc. 42.1, qui est disponible à partir du site cites.org/sites/default/iles/eng/com/sc/65/ESC65-42-01_2.pdf, alors qu’on peut trouver les données sur les carcasses utilisées dans l’analyse dans le tableau C1 du document de la SC65 Inf. 1 (cites.org/sites/default/ iles/eng/com/sc/65/Inf/E-SC65-Inf-01.pdf) GCT 12 La 12ème réunion du GCT de MIKE et ETIS a eu lieu le 7 et le 8 avril à Nairobi. En plus de l’examen d’un certain nombre de questions administratives, la revue de l’analyse MIKE pour la SC65 et la provision des conseils sur l’élaboration des repères MIKES, le GCT a examiné les questions relatives à la validation de l’inférence basée sur PIKE. En particulier, le GCT a examiné les problèmes liés à la probabilité de détection différentielle entre les éléphants morts naturellement et ceux abattus illégalement, en particulier dans les sites forestiers, ainsi que l’estimation du taux de mortalité naturelle, qui sont nécessaires pour convertir PIKE en un taux de braconnage Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 CITES-MIKE update group chaired by Simon Hedges was created with the tasks of compiling a list of all PIKE validation issues so far identiied, and to assess the practicality of solving each of the issues identified, suggesting possible analyses and pitfalls. It is anticipated that some of these issues will be more thoroughly researched as part of the MIKES project. estimé et un nombre d’éléphants tués. Pour répondre à ces questions, un groupe de travail d’intersessions, présidé par Simon Hedges a été créé avec les tâches de dresser une liste de toutes les questions de validation de PIKE identiiées à ce jour, évaluer la faisabilité de la résolution de chacun des problèmes identiiés, et suggérer des analyses et des obstacles possibles. Il est prévu que certaines de ces questions feront l’objet d’une recherche approfondie dans le cadre du projet MIKES. Subregional update The introduction of SMART (Spatial Monitoring, Analysis and Reporting Technology) at MIKE sites by the MIKE subregional support units is progressing well. The system has been introduced by MIKE staff to Chewore (Zimbabwe), Nyaminyami (Zimbabwe), South Luangwa (Zambia), Waza (Cameroon), WAPO (Benin, Burkina Faso and Niger), Nazinga (Burkina Faso), Mole and Kakum (Ghana), Gourma (Mali) as well as to two non-MIKE sites—Bouba Ndjidah in Cameroon and Sena Oura in Chad. To complement the site-level training efforts as well as to promote the uptake and institutionalization of the SMART approach, the SMART partnership convened, with funding from the MIKE 3.0 project, a training course speciically geared to African wildlife training institutions. The training was held 16–19 June at the Southern Africa Wildlife College (SAWC) in Hoedspruit, South Africa; participating were directors of studies and lecturers from SAWC, Mweka and Garoua, as well as of several national wildlife training colleges from southern and eastern Africa. The training session provided an overview of the adaptive management approach as well as an introduction to the SMART approach with the intention of eventually integrating these approaches into programme curricula at these centres. The workshop was led by trainers with extensive experience with SMART, wildlife conservation, law-enforcement monitoring and protected-area management. The training was well received by participants, and we look forward to continuing to engage with these training colleges to make the deployment of sound monitoring routines more sustainable in the long run. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Mise à jour sous-régionale L’introduction de SMART (Technologie de contrôle spatiale, d’analyse et de reportage) dans les sites MIKE par les unités de soutien sous-régional de MIKE progresse bien. Le système a été mis en place par le personnel de MIKE à Chewore, Nyaminyami, South Luangwa Waza, WAPO, Nazinga, Mole et Kakum (Ghana), Gourma (Mali) ainsi que dans deux sites qui ne sont pas de MIKE – Bouba Ndjidah au Cameroun et Sena Oura au Tchad. Pour compléter les efforts de formation au niveau du site, ainsi que pour promouvoir l’adoption et l’institutionnalisation de l’approche SMART, le partenariat SMART a convoqué, avec le inancement du projet de MIKE 3.0, une formation spéciiquement adaptée aux établissements de formation sur la faune africaine. La formation a eu lieu du 16 au 19 juin à l’Ecole de la Conservation de la Faune et de la Flore d’Afrique australe (SAWC) à Hoedspruit en Afrique du Sud, et comprenait les directeurs d’études et les professeurs de la SAWC, Mweka et Garoua, ainsi que ceux de plusieurs écoles nationales de formation de la faune en Afrique australe et orientale. La formation a donné un aperçu sur l’approche de gestion adaptative ainsi qu’une introduction à l’approche SMART avec l’intention de inalement intégrer ces approches dans les programmes de formation dans ces centres. L’atelier était animé par des formateurs ayant une vaste expérience avec SMART, la conservation de la faune, la surveillance de l’application des lois et la gestion des aires protégées. La formation a été bien accueillie par les participants, et nous avons l’intention de continuer à collaborer avec ces instituts de formation pour rendre l’utilisation des routines robustes de contrôle plus durable sur le long terme. 103 Milliken Progress in implementing the Elephant Trade Information System (ETIS) Avancement dans la mise en œuvre du Système d’Information sur le Trafic des Eléphants (ETIS) Tom Milliken Elephant & Rhino Programme Coordinator, TRAFFIC, PO Box CY 1409, Causeway, Harare, Zimbawe email: tom.milliken@trafic.org ETIS continues to grow. Currently there are 21,065 ivory seizure records in the database, but major data sets for 2013 have yet to be received from some key countries. TRAFFIC aims to undertake another major analysis later this year to examine the illegal trade trend through 2013. A call to all CITES Parties to submit outstanding ivory seizure data for that year to ETIS will soon be issued through the CITES Secretariat. As reported in the last ETIS update, a record quantity of ivory was seized globally in 2013, in the context of large-scale ivory seizures—important law-enforcement actions that result in 500 kg or more of ivory being seized at a single time. Since then, three more such seizures in 2013 have been reported to ETIS, pushing the total quantity of ivory seized in these transactions to over 49.5 tonnes, the highest quantity in 25 years of data (Table 1). Whether this record high represents a major improvement in law enforcement since the 16th meeting of the CITES Conference of Parties (CoP16) (Bangkok, Thailand, in March 2013) or a further worsening of global trade in elephant ivory should become much clearer following the upcoming trends analysis. ETIS continue à croître. Actuellement, il y a 21.065 dossiers de saisie d’ivoire dans la base de données, mais certains grands ensembles de données en provenance des pays clés pour 2013 n’ont pas encore été reçus. TRAFFIC a pour but d’entreprendre une nouvelle analyse approfondie plus tard cette année pour étudier l’évolution du commerce illicite en 2013. Un appel à toutes les Parties à la CITES de soumettre des données de saisies exceptionnelles d’ivoire pour cette année à ETIS sera bientôt publié par le Secrétariat de la CITES. Comme indiqué dans la dernière mise à jour d’ETIS, une quantité record d’ivoire a été saisie dans le monde en 2013 dans le cadre des saisies d’ivoire à grande échelle, ces importantes mesures de mise en application de la loi ayant saisi 500 kg d’ivoire ou plus à la fois. Depuis lors, trois autres saisies en 2013 ont été signalées à ETIS, poussant la quantité totale d’ivoire saisi dans ces opérations à plus de 49.5 tonnes, la plus grande quantité en 25 ans de données (Tableau 1). Si ce grand record représente une amélioration de l’application de la loi depuis la 16ème réunion de la Conférence des Parties à la CITES (CdP16) (Bangkok, Thaïlande en mars 2013) ou une aggravation du commerce mondial de l’ivoire d’éléphant devrait être beaucoup plus clair après la prochaine analyse des tendances. Table 1. Number and weight of large-scale (>500 kg) ivory seizures and mode of transport, 2013 and 2014 (ETIS, 10 July 2014) Tableau 1. Nombre et poids des saisies d’ivoire à grande échelle (> 500 kg) et mode de transport, 2013 et 2014 (ETIS, le 10 juillet 2014) Year/ Année 2013 1 (4) Air Weight / poids (kg) 797 (2) 2014 2 2,713 No. Sea / Mer Weight/ poids (kg) 14 (64) 36,831 (74) Land / Terre Weight/ poids (kg) 7 (32) 11,942 (24) 22 (100) 5 2 9 No. 8,824 No. 2,833 No. Total Weight/poids (kg) 49,570 (100) 14,370 Numbers in brackets are percentages of the total 2013 seizures. Some weights may involve estimates and worked ivory weights are given as raw ivory Certains poids peuvent nécessiter des estimations et les poids de l’ivoire travaillé sont donnés à titre d’équivalent d’ivoire brut. 104 Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 ETIS update Interestingly, for the irst time since 2007, African countries made more seizures in terms of number and quantity of ivory apprehended than Asian countries (Table 2). It is also signiicant to note that 17 of the 22 large-scale ivory seizures in 2013 were made by Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Hong Kong SAR, Vietnam and China, all of which are part of the CITES oversight process on illegal trade in ivory agreed at the 64th meeting of the CITES Standing Committee (SC64) in March 2013. As previously reported, these countries and territory, together with Thailand, Philippines and Malaysia, were mandated to develop and implement action plans for addressing illegal ivory trade within or through their jurisdictions, or face potential sanctions under CITES. It is clear that the ‘action plan’ countries are now in the forefront of those nations making major ivory seizures: some measure of improved law-enforcement engagement appears to be driving a better record of performance. Based on incomplete data, the number and weight of large ivory seizures seem to have dropped appreciably in 2014, but half a year still remains to be assessed, as does the important issue of law-enforcement effort, so optimism concerning real change for the better may yet prove illusive (Table 1). Regardless, both trade routes and methods of illegal transport used by the criminal traders illegally moving ivory between Africa and Asia may also be adapting in the face of concerted CITES interventions to curtail illicit trade. For example, following a routine inspection in June 2014, Hong Kong SAR Customs arrested 16 passengers in transit from Angola with 790 kg of raw and worked ivory between them in check-in baggage. All the ivory smugglers were Vietnamese citizens who had lown to Hong Kong from Angola via Ethiopia and were poised to travel onward to Cambodia using a circuitous route through South Korea to mask their original departure from Africa. This case, together with other recent examples of raw ivory being moved by air as personal effects, could highlight the emergence of new criminal tactics with a shift to air travel and the use of teams of human ‘mules’ to move large quantities of ivory concealed in check-in or carry-on baggage. The characteristics of this case are a clear departure from the typical movement of large quantities of Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Fait intéressant, pour la première fois depuis 2007, les pays africains ont fait plus de saisies en termes du nombre et de la quantité d’ivoire appréhendé que les pays asiatiques (Tableau 2). Il est également important de noter que 17 des 22 grandes saisies d’ivoire en 2013 ont été faites par le Kenya, la Tanzanie, l’Ouganda, Hong Kong, le Vietnam et la Chine, qui font partie du processus de surveillance du commerce illégal de l’ivoire de la CITES convenu lors de la 64ème réunion du Comité permanent de la CITES (SC64) en mars 2013. Comme indiqué précédemment, ces pays et territoires, avec la Thaïlande, les Philippines et la Malaisie, ont été mandatés de développer et mettre en œuvre des plans d’action pour lutter contre le commerce illégal de l’ivoire à l’intérieur ou à travers leurs juridictions, ou faire face à d’éventuelles sanctions de la CITES. Il est clair que les pays du «plan d’action» sont maintenant au premier plan des nations qui font d’importantes saisies d’ivoire: une certaine mesure d’amélioration de l’application de la loi semble conduire à une meilleure performance. En se basant sur des données incomplètes, le nombre et le poids des grandes saisies d’ivoire semblent avoir sensiblement baissé en 2014, mais une demi-année reste encore à être évaluée, de même que la question importante de l’effort de l’application de la loi, de sorte que l’optimisme concernant un véritable changement pour le mieux peut encore s’avérer illusoire (Tableau 1). Quoiqu’il en soit, les routes commerciales et les méthodes de transport illégal utilisées par les commerçants criminels pour déplacer illégalement l’ivoire entre l’Afrique et l’Asie peuvent également être en train de s’adapter malgré les interventions concertées de la CITES pour réduire le commerce illicite. Par exemple, suite à une inspection de routine en juin 2014, les douanes de la Région Administrative Spéciale de Hong Kong ont arrêté 16 passagers en transit d’Angola avec 790 kg d’ivoire brut et travaillé dans les bagages en soute. Tous les contrebandiers d’ivoire étaient des citoyens vietnamiens qui avaient pris l’avion pour Hong Kong à partir d’Angola en passant par l’Ethiopie, et qui étaient sur le point de se rendre au Cambodge en utilisant un détour par la Corée du Sud pour masquer leur départ initial d’Afrique. Cette affaire, ainsi que d’autres exemples récents d’ivoire brut étant transporté par voie aérienne comme des effets personnels, pourrait mettre en lumière l’émergence de nouvelles tactiques criminelles et un changement vers le voyage par avion et l’utilisation des équipes de «mules» humaines pour déplacer de grandes quantités d’ivoire dissimulées dans les bagages à soute et les bagages à cabine. Les caractéristiques de cette affaire constituent clairement une 105 Milliken Table 2. Number and weight of large-scale (> 500 kg) ivory seizures by country of seizure, 2013 (ETIS, 10 July 2014) Tableau 2. Nombre et poids des saisies d’ivoire à grande échelle (> 500 kg) par pays de saisie, 2013 (ETIS, le 10 juillet 2014) Country of seizure / Pays de saisie Africa Kenya* Tanzania* Uganda* Malawi Togo Subtotal Asia Vietnam* Hong Kong SAR* United Arab Emirates China* Singapore Subtotal Total No. Quantity (kg) 5 3 2 1 1 12 13,540 5,898 4,048 2,640 700 26,826 3 3 2 1 1 10 22 6,975 5,736 3,731 4,464 1,838 22,744 49,570 * Countries or territories that are part of the CITES ivory trade action plan process * Pays/territoires qui font partie du processus du plan d’action du commerce de l’ivoire de la CITES ivory in containerized shipments through seaports and possibly signal a new front in the illicit ivory trade globally. The worked ivory in the haul comprised carved name seals, bangles and prayer beads. With Luanda, Angola, harbouring one of the world’s largest unregulated illegal ivory markets, these products are likely to have been mass-produced there, but the ivory itself probably originated in Central Africa [Editor: see related story in this issue]. Hopefully, questions of origin will be solved through forensic examination for large ivory seizures now mandated by the Convention. The ultimate destination of this contraband remains unclear as the local ivory market in Cambodia appears to be declining (Martin and Martin 2013). In fact, Cambodia could be emerging as a ‘backdoor’ entry point to important ivory markets in neighbouring Thailand, Lao People’s Democratic Republic (Lao PDR) or Vietnam, or even more distant China. Both the trade route and the modus operandi in this case represent something not previously captured 106 rupture avec le mouvement typique de grandes quantités d’ivoire dans les cargaisons de conteneurs par les ports maritimes et signalent peut-être un nouveau front dans le commerce illicite de l’ivoire à l’échelle mondiale. L’ivoire travaillé dans la saisie était composé de seaux sculptés, des bracelets et des perles de prière. Avec Luanda, en Angola, abritant d’un des plus grands marchés illicites d’ivoire non réglementés dans le monde, ces produits y auraient été probablement produits en masse, mais l’ivoire pourrait venir d’Afrique centrale (éditeur: voir l’article dans ce numéro). Heureusement, les questions d’origine seront résolues par un examen médico-légal maintenant mandaté par la Convention pour les grandes saisies d’ivoire. La destination inale de cette contrebande n’est pas claire car le marché local de l’ivoire au Cambodge semble être en déclin (Martin et Martin 2013). En fait, le Cambodge pourrait être en train de devenir un point d’entrée par la «porte dérobée » sur les marchés d’ivoire importantes en Thaïlande voisin, en République Démocratique Populaire du Laos, au Vietnam, ou même en Chine plus lointaine. La route commerciale et le modus operandi dans ce cas représentent quelque chose qui n’a pas été capturé auparavant dans les données de saisie d’ETIS, ce qui indique que la situation du commerce illicite de l’ivoire reste très dynamique et variable. Mais la CITES s’adapte également et met plus de force derrière les interventions visant à réduire le commerce illégal de l’ivoire. A la SC65 à Genève en Suisse, du 7 au 11 juillet 2014, l’examen de la mise en œuvre du processus du plan d’action de la CITES par le Comité permanent et des décisions sur le commerce de l’ivoire prises à la CdP16 ont conduit à un certain nombre de développements importants. La Thaïlande, en particulier, a été remarquée pour avoir échoué à faire des progrès signiicatifs sur une gamme de situations qui continuent de permettre un marché illicite de l’ivoire sans entrave à prospérer dans le pays au-delà de la portée de l’application de la loi. Avant la réunion du Comité permanent, le suivi mensuel de TRAFFIC du marché intérieur de l’ivoire de Bangkok a révélé un quasi triplement du nombre de produits en ivoire en vente et une forte augmentation du nombre de points de vente qui vendent l’ivoire depuis que la Thaïlande a accueilli la Conférence des Parties à la CITES 15 mois auparavant. L’étude de TRAFFIC, publiée juste avant la SC65, a documenté le fait que le nombre de produits en ivoire travaillé est passé de 5865 en janvier 2013 à 14.512 en mai 2014, alors qu’entre janvier et décembre 2013, le nombre de points de vente d’ivoire est passé de 61 à 105. Ces conclusions remettent en question l’engagement du gouvernement thaïlandais Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 ETIS update in ETIS seizure data, indicating that the illegal ivory trade situation remains highly dynamic and variable. But CITES is adapting too and putting more force behind interventions to curtail illegal trade in ivory. At SC65 in Geneva, Switzerland, 7–11 July 2014, the Standing Committee’s review of implementation of the CITES action plan process and the ivory trade decisions taken at CoP16 led to a number of signiicant developments. Thailand, in particular, was singled out for failing to make meaningful progress on a range of issues that continue to allow an unfettered illicit ivory market to lourish in the country, beyond the reach of law enforcement. Prior to the Standing Committee meeting, TRAFFIC’s monthly monitoring of Bangkok’s domestic ivory market revealed a near trebling of the number of ivory products for sale and a steep rise in the number of retail outlets selling ivory since Thailand hosted the CITES Conference of Parties some 15 months earlier. The TRAFFIC study, released just prior to SC65, documented that the number of worked ivory products rose from 5,865 in January 2013 to 14,512 by May 2014, while between January and December 2013, the number of ivory retail outlets increased from 61 to 105. These indings called into question the Thai government’s commitment to end domestic ivory trade made by then Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra in front of some 170 world governments during the opening ceremony of CITES CoP16. Analysis of ivory market survey data has consistently found that Thailand hosts one of the world’s largest unregulated ivory markets and the lack of tangible progress led to increased CITES oversight pressure on the country. At SC65, Thailand was given until 30 September 2014 to submit a revised national ivory trade action plan, and until 31 March 2015 to implement a number of key issues, including verbatim: • the enactment of appropriate legislative or regulatory provisions (such as the inclusion of the African elephant as a ‘protected species’ under the Wildlife Act) that allow for the effective control of domestic trade and possession of elephant ivory and provide for strict penalties in case of illegal possession or illegal domestic trade of ivory; • the enactment of legislative or regulatory Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 de mettre in au commerce intérieur de l’ivoire fait par le Premier ministre Yingluck Shinawatra devant quelques 170 gouvernements du monde lors de la cérémonie d’ouverture de la CdP16 de la CITES. L’analyse des données de l’étude du marché d’ivoire a toujours trouvé que la Thaïlande est le théâtre de l’un des plus grands marchés d’ivoire non réglementés du monde et l’absence de progrès tangible a conduit à une augmentation de la pression de contrôle de la CITES sur le pays. A la SC65, l’on a accordé à la Thaïlande jusqu’au 30 septembre 2014 pour présenter un plan d’action national révisé sur le commerce de l’ivoire, et jusqu’au 31 mars 2015 pour mettre en œuvre un certain nombre de mesures clés, y compris: • l’adoption de dispositions législatives ou réglementaires appropriées (telles que l’inclusion de l’éléphant d’Afrique comme une «espèce protégée» en vertu de la Loi sur la faune) qui permettent le contrôle effectif du commerce intérieur et de la possession de l’ivoire d’éléphant prévoyant des sanctions sévères en cas de possession illégale ou de commerce intérieur illégal de l’ivoire; • l’adoption de contrôles législatifs ou réglementaires créant (i) un système d’enregistrement complet de l’ivoire et (ii) un système eficace d’enregistrement et d’autorisation des commerçants d’ivoire (y compris l’application de la loi et la pénalisation en cas d’infraction); et • un effort accru sur la surveillance et le contrôle des commerçants d’ivoire et des données d’ivoire, ainsi qu’aux efforts d’application de la loi contre le commerce illégal de l’ivoire, y compris des indicateurs sur la façon dont ces efforts seront mesurés. Le Comité permanent s’attend à ce que la Thaïlande présente des rapports sur les mesures prises pour mettre en œuvre le plan d’action d’ici le 15 janvier 2015 et le 31 mars 2015 pour permettre l’évaluation des progrès accomplis par le Secrétariat de la CITES. S’il n’est pas satisfait, le Secrétariat est prié de commencer une procédure par correspondance avec les membres du Comité permanent qui pourrait mener à la suspension du commerce des spécimens d’une ou plusieurs espèces inscrites sur la liste de la CITES conformément au paragraphe 30 de la Résolution Conf. 14.3 sur les procédures de conformité de la CITES. L’impact de la suspension du commerce sur toutes les espèces inscrites à la liste de la CITES pourrait produire de graves répercussions sur l’économie nationale de la Thaïlande ; par exemple, les exportations lucratives d’orchidées par le secteur de l’horticulture 107 Milliken controls establishing (i) a comprehensive registration system for domestic ivory and (ii) an effective system for registration and licensing of ivory traders (including enforcement and penalisation in case of offences); and • increased effort on the monitoring and control of ivory traders and ivory data, as well as for law enforcement efforts against illegal ivory trade, including indicators on how those efforts will be measured. The Standing Committee expects Thailand to submit reports on any measures taken to implement the action plan by 15 January 2015 and 31 March 2015 to allow assessment of progress by the CITES Secretariat. If not satisied, the Secretariat is requested to commence a postal procedure with Standing Committee members that could lead to the suspension of trade in specimens of one or more CITES-listed species in accordance with paragraph 30 of Resolution Conf. 14.3 on CITES compliance procedures. The effect of a trade suspension on all CITESlisted species could produce a serious impact on Thailand’s national economy as, for example, lucrative exports of orchids by the horticultural sector would effectively be disrupted, affecting an export industry that was valued at USD 80 million in 2013. Beyond Thailand, the eight other countries or territories in the ivory action plan process were requested to report on further measures taken to implement their national plans to the Secretariat by 15 May 2015. In other SC65 developments, the countries that had been identiied in the CoP16 ETIS analysis as ‘countries of secondary concern’ and were addressed in Decision 16.79, Cameroon, Congo, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, Gabon, Mozambique and Nigeria, were instructed to develop national ivory trade action plans with clear actions, time frames and milestones by 31 October 2014, and then to press forward with measures to ensure proper implementation prior to SC66. These countries must submit comprehensive reports to the Secretariat by 15 May 2015 so that progress can be evaluated. Similarly, Angola, Cambodia and the Lao PDR, part of the ‘countries to watch’ identiied in the last ETIS analysis and subsequently addressed in Decision 16.80, were 108 seraient effectivement perturbées, affectant une industrie d’exportation qui représentait une valeur de USD 80 en 2013. A part la Thaïlande, les huit autres pays ou territoires dans le processus du plan d’action de l’ivoire ont été priés de faire rapport sur les nouvelles mesures prises pour mettre en œuvre leurs plans nationaux au Secrétariat avant le 15 mai 2015. En d’autres développements de la SC65, les pays qui avaient été identiiés dans l’analyse d’ETIS à la CdP16 comme « pays d’intérêt secondaire » et ont été mentionnés dans la Décision 16.79 ; le Cameroun, le Congo, la République démocratique du Congo, l’Egypte, l’Ethiopie, le Gabon, le Mozambique et le Nigeria, ont été chargés d’élaborer des plans d’action nationaux de commerce de l’ivoire, y compris des mesures claires, les délais et les étapes d’ici le 31 octobre 2014, puis procéder avec des mesures ain d’assurer une mise en œuvre correcte avant la SC66. Ces pays doivent soumettre des rapports complets au Secrétariat avant le 15 mai 2015 ain que les progrès puissent être évalués. De même, l’Angola, le Cambodge et la RDP du Laos, quelques uns des «pays à surveiller» identiiés dans la dernière analyse d’ETIS et ensuite mentionnés dans la décision 16.80, ont également été obligés de inaliser l’élaboration des plans d’action nationaux du commerce de l’ivoire avec les mêmes dates limites des rapports. La plupart de ces pays semblent jouer un rôle plus important dans le commerce illégal de l’ivoire, en particulier l’Angola et le Cambodge, comme indiqué dans le cas ci-dessus, ainsi que la République démocratique populaire du Laos, le Mozambique et le Nigeria. Enin, le Japon, le Qatar et les Emirats arabes unis, également notés comme des « pays à surveiller » dans la Décision 16.80 ont été invités à présenter des rapports au Secrétariat sur la mise en œuvre des dispositions de la CITES relatives au contrôle du commerce de l’ivoire d’éléphant et les marchés d’ivoire avant le 15 mai 2015. Dans l’entretemps, le Secrétariat, par le biais de MIKE et d’ETIS, a été invité à identiier les Parties de « préoccupation principale », de « préoccupation secondaire » ou « importantes à surveiller » pour examen par le Comité permanent à la SC67, en se basant sur une analyse de toutes les données des cinq dernières années disponibles à MIKE et ETIS et en utilisant des méthodes scientiiques et claires. Il est profondément encourageant de constater que le Comité permanent de la CITES a soutenu l’attitude «ferme » contre le commerce illégal de l’ivoire d’éléphant démontrée pour la première fois par les Parties à la CITES lors de la CdP16. Tenir les Pays responsables et augmenter progressivement la pression sur les pays Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 ETIS update also required to inalize the development of national ivory trade action plans with the same reporting time deadlines. Many of these countries appear to be playing more prominent roles in the illegal ivory trade, especially Angola and Cambodia, as indicated in the case above, and Lao PDR, Mozambique and Nigeria. Finally, Japan, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, also noted as ‘countries to watch’ in Decision 16.80, were asked to submit reports to the Secretariat on their implementation of CITES provisions concerning control of trade in elephant ivory and ivory markets by 15 May 2015. In the meantime, the Secretariat, through MIKE and ETIS, was requested to identify Parties of ‘primary concern’, ‘secondary concern’ or ‘important to watch’ for consideration by the Standing Committee at SC67, based on an analysis of all data in the last ive years available to MIKE and ETIS and using scientiic and clear methods. It is deeply encouraging to report that the CITES Standing Committee has sustained the ‘get tough’ attitude against illegal trade in elephant ivory irst exhibited by the CITES Parties at CoP16. Holding countries accountable and progressively ratcheting up pressure on those nations that perennially fail to address fundamental issues that give rise to illegal trade and drive high levels of elephant killing is a critical part of the solution. So far, the CITES ivory trade action plan appears to be yielding good results and the Parties are unwavering in their desire to see real progress. Hopefully, this desire is being complemented with on-the-ground actions that enhance effective anti-poaching activities in elephant range States, support collaborative law enforcement along the entire trade chain that disrupts and eliminates key smuggling networks, and promote demand reduction in end-use markets. SC65 ended with an increasing number of countries required to direct their attention to illegal ivory trade matters. Let’s hope these interventions deliver an imminent downturn in elephant poaching and ivory traficking. qui ne parviennent jamais à résoudre les situations fondamentales qui donnent lieu au commerce illégal et conduisent à des niveaux élevés d’abattage d’éléphant est une partie essentielle de la solution. Jusqu’à présent, le processus du plan d’action du commerce de l’ivoire d’éléphant de la CITES semble produire de bons résultats et les Parties sont inébranlables dans leur désir de voir de réels progrès. Espérons que cela soit complété par des actions sur le terrain qui améliorent la lutte eficace contre le braconnage dans les Etats de l’aire de répartition, appuient l’application collaborative de la loi le long de toute la chaîne du commerce ain de perturber et éliminer les réseaux de la contrebande, et encouragent la réduction de la demande dans les marchés d’utilisation inale. La SC65 s’est terminée par l’obligation faite à un nombre croissant de pays de diriger leur attention sur les questions du commerce illégal de l’ivoire. Espérons que ces interventions produiront un ralentissement imminent du braconnage des éléphants et du traic de l’ivoire. Reference Martin E, Martin C. 2013. The decline in Cambodia’s ivory trade. TRAFFIC Bulletin 25(2):43–45. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 109 Rookmaaker TRANSITION Passing of a conservation icon Mike Knight Chair, African Rhino Specialist Group, and Park Planning and Development, South African National Parks, PO Box 76693, and Centre for African Conservation Ecology, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University, Port Elizabeth 6013, South Africa; email: m.knight@nmmu.ac.za Dr Anthony Hall-Martin, aged 68, died on 21 May 2014 after a ight with cancer. He leaves a considerable conservation legacy in his wake. Armed with separate postgraduate degrees in botany, wildlife management and zoology, Anthony was well trained for his life in conservation. His career commenced in the then Department of Forestry and Game in Malawi in 1969, with a particular focus on the vegetation of Nyika National Park. His continued links to Malawi and its conservation efforts remained till the end of his career. Only when he joined South African National Parks did his engagement and interest in pachyderms lourish. He started with important individual recognition studies and vegetation effects of the black rhinos and elephants in the small Addo Elephant National Park—his vegetation plots are being used to this day! With his move to Kruger National Park in the early 1980s, he continued his work on elephants and rhinos, becoming SANParks expert and spokesperson on these two species. He was also one of the early members of the IUCN SSC African Elephant and Rhino Specialist Group, joining it 1976, and a founding member of the African Rhino Specialist Group—so began two decades of involvement with these groups. Anthony contributed signiicantly in arguing the case for African elephants on the international arena, and greatly contributed to South Africa’s request to CITES to sell ivory for conservation purposes. Anthony published extensively, authoring 10 books and numerous scientiic papers. Notable titles include Elephants of Africa and Cats of Africa, co-authored with the artist Paul Bosman. Anthony climbed rapidly through the ranks in SANParks to become Director of Research and 110 Dr Anthony Hall-Martin. Development in 1995. So began another quest— expanding the national parks system. In the period from 1990 till he retired from SANParks in the early 2000s, he was instrumental in adding six new national parks, and in expanding numerous others to the tune of about 400,000 ha. This effort was driven by his desire to include under-represented ecological biomes in the protected areas system, to expand the parks to larger more viable ecological units and to offer ecotourism opportunities to provide the essential revenue to SANParks to fulil its conservation mandate. Not only did this see more and bigger homes for his beloved black rhinos and elephants, it also introduced new models of private ownership in the expanding SANParks system. Clive Walker, one of Anthony’s long-term friends, aptly said that ‘the nation’s wild Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Rhinos on 18th century maps of India heritage is immeasurably larger, safer, and richer as a result of Anthony’s vision’. In recognition of his contribution to conservation he received a number of awards including the British Council for Zoology Award, the Bruno H Schubert Prize in Germany, the Senior Captain Scott Medal from the South African Academy of Science, and the National Geographic Society Award. After his retirement from SANParks, together with Paul van Vlissingen (1941–2006), he was instrumental in establishing the non-proit organization African Parks. Here he continued the mission of securing the protected areas footprint but now in an Africa-wide landscape. The plan was to secure cash-strapped struggling national parks and game reserves in Africa and develop them into self-sustaining parks with Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 vibrant ecotourism products. As Conservation and Development Director for African Parks, Anthony championed the organization’s successful entry into the conservation environment of Malawi, Rwanda, Ethiopia and Zambia. He worked till his last day. Anthony stands out in the African conservation ield by dedicating his life to his vision of conserving Africa’s unique landscapes, along with its magniicent mega fauna. ‘Pachyderms everywhere have reason to be grateful for Anthony’s outstanding life’s work’, according to Professor Nigel Leader-Williams. He could not have achieved this success without the support of his wife, Catherina, and their daughters, Vega and Cate. Bayete Nkhosi, lala khale, siya hlangana ngo lina langa (Peter Hitchins) 111 Stiles BOOK REVIEW Daniel Stiles Ol Pejeta Conservancy, Private Bag, Nanyuki 10400, Kenya; email: kenyadan@icloud.com Polishing off the ivory trade: surveys of Thailand’s ivory market Naomi Doak, 2014 TRAFFIC International, Cambridge, UK A current survey of Thailand’s ivory market is certainly needed, because Thailand has what is probably the second largest illegal ivory market in the world after China, and the country has been under intense scrutiny and criticism by CITES. The 65th CITES Standing Committee meeting held in July 2014 gave Thailand until 30 September 2014 to submit a revised National Ivory Action Plan, the original being deemed deicient, which should include a list of actions to be achieved by 31 March 2015 to regulate domestic ivory trade. It also requested that a progress report on these actions should be submitted by 15 January 2015. Failing this, Thailand could face a CITES trade suspension, which would be catastrophic for the country’s economy. It is surprising, therefore, that TRAFFIC published a report that is so deicient in so many respects. First, the title is misleading. The report only concerns Bangkok. The important ivory manufacturing and worked ivory supply centres in central Thailand were not visited, nor were Chiang Mai and Mae Sai in the north, traditionally important ivory selling centres because of their high tourism proile. Previous published reports on Thailand’s ivory market (Martin and Stiles 2002; Stiles 2004; Stiles 2009) included crucial raw and worked ivory price data, counts and proportions of the different worked ivory types, numbers of ivory workshops and craftsmen, sources of raw ivory, and nationalities of the principal buyers. None of these scale and trend indicator variables were collected, which limits the value of the TRAFFIC report substantially. TRAFFIC explained to me that this report was not intended to be a comprehensive study covering most aspects of the ivory industry in Thailand, but rather, 112 ‘It was our initial intention to assess ivory turnover in key locations in Bangkok, thus the reason for repeated monthly surveys in key markets’ (TRAFFIC, in litt., August 2014). In addition, TRAFFIC explained that, ‘…the Thai government has articulated policy commitments to CITES concerning the future of ivory trade in their country and our report was focused upon examining that commitment since it was made at the last Conference of the Parties in terms of retail availability of ivory in Bangkok, which we feel is representative of general ivory trade and market patterns across the country.’None of the objectives communicated to me by TRAFFIC are contained in the report itself, but with TRAFFIC’s clariication my apparently misplaced criticisms above should be disregarded. The data collected were the number of outlets selling ivory, the number of pieces displayed, and the number of bangles counted in 12 survey periods between January 2013 and May 2014. The report stated that data on all carving types were collected, but they were not presented in the report. The data analysis concluded that there was a signiicant overall increase in the number of outlets selling ivory and the number of ivory items for sale over the course of the 17-month survey period. Table 1, which according to the heading presents the ‘Number of surveyed Bangkok retail outlets and surveyed retail outlets selling ivory’ is, according to my communications with TRAFFIC, incorrect. The table does not include the hundreds of outlets that actually were visited. There is also an incorrect statement in the Methods section: ‘Initial surveys focused on 119 shops from ten general locations around Bangkok identiied in previous work…’ In fact, in the irst survey period (January 2013) only 71 of these 119 shops could be found. The table shows that 61 ivory outlets were found in total, but they were a combination of outlets on record as having ivory from previous surveys Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 Book review made between 2004 and 2008 (the 71 in black in the table), and new outlets found during the January 2013 survey (i.e., the 61 in red in the table includes both). It cannot be ascertained from the report how many of the 119 were ever found, because new outlets found in previous surveys were added to the ‘Outlets with ivory’ category in each subsequent survey, if I understood TRAFFIC’s explanation correctly. Table 1 gives the impression, if read and analyzed according to what is stated in the report, that the increase in number of ivory outlets and pieces is largely a function of inding more of the previously known outlets containing ivory. TRAFFIC assures that this is not the case, and that sampling coverage remained consistent over the course of the entire survey period. The report concludes that the increase in ivory outlets and pieces ‘is strongly indicative of a growing market’. It is, in fact, an unprecedented growth never seen before in any repeated ivory survey reports on record. In less than a year and a half, the ivory market grew from over 5,700 pieces to over 13,200 pieces. January 2013 must have represented a serious slump in market activity for some reason, which is not explained in the report. Martin and Stiles (2002) reported 38,510 ivory pieces in Bangkok in 2001 and Stiles (2009) found over 12,500 items in 2006/7. The trend was downwards until January 2013, with less than half the number of ivory pieces and only 40% of the outlets seen six years earlier. Suddenly, in February 2013 the market jumped in scale and continued its upward trend in growth to May 2014. No explanation is given in the report for this extraordinary growth over a relatively short period. Oddly, the Market Research: Results section concludes, ‘Results from the latest surveys were similar to those from earlier work (Martin and Stiles in 2001, and Stiles in 2006–2007 and 2008), with 167 individual locations identiied in total but with an increase in the number of locations across the duration of the surveys.’ The massive growth rate is not similar to results found by Martin and Stiles. Pachyderm No. 55 January–June 2014 An important inding was that there are many more ivory outlets in Bangkok than the 39 that are registered with the government, as the law requires. The number of outlets found selling ivory in any one survey varied from 61 to 120, up to three times the legal number. In the Discussion, there is no clear comparison of the current data with the same variables seen in previous surveys. How does 2013–2014 compare with 2007–2008 (Stiles 2009)? A table would have been useful. Other deiciencies: a number of source citations are given in the report, but there is no References section. A few acronyms are presented, but there is no acronyms section to decipher them (what is WARPA?). TRAFFIC admitted that these were oversights, a result of efforts to complete the report in time for release at the CITES 65th Standing Committee meeting. Overall, this is a disappointing report. However, even with the methodological problems, the TRAFFIC survey of Bangkok’s ivory market demonstrated that Thailand is not complying with CITES resolutions or living up to commitments it has made to control its domestic ivory market. Thailand still faces a CITES trade sanction if it does not address the unregulated ivory market, and calls for domestic ivory trade in the country to be closed entirely look increasingly justiied. References Martin E, Stiles D. 2002. The South and South East Asian ivory markets. Save the Elephants, London and Nairobi. Stiles D. 2004. Update on the ivory industry in Thailand, Myanmar and Viet Nam. TRAFFIC Bulletin 20(1):39– 43. Stiles D. 2009. The elephant and ivory trade in Thailand. TRAFFIC Southeast Asia, Petaling Jaya, Malaysia. 113 Guidelines for contributors GUIDELINES FOR CONTRIBUTORS Aim and scope Pachyderm publishes papers and notes concerning all aspects of the African elephant, the African rhino and the Asian rhino with a focus on the conservation and management of these species in the wild. At the same time, the journal is a platform for disseminating information concerning the activities of the African Elephant, the African Rhino, and the Asian Rhino Specialist Groups of the IUCN Species Survival Commission. Results, 7) Discussion, 8) Conclusions, if appropriate, 9) Acknowledgements (optional, brief), 10) References (no more than 25), 11) Tables, 12) Figure and photo captions, 13) Figures and photos. Papers may be reports of original biology research or they may focus more on the socio-economic aspects of conservation, including market surveys. Field notes The journal welcomes notes from the ield. They may contain igures and tables but should be < 2,500 words. Submission of manuscripts Review papers All manuscripts should be submitted online at: http://pachydermjournal.org If there are any questions or concerns regarding the submission process, please send an email to: afesg@iucn.org or otherwise contact by post or telephone: Review papers, which are unbiased reviews of all the existing knowledge on a speciic topic, are welcomed. Length should be < 6,000 words. The Editor, Pachyderm IUCN/SSC AfESG PO Box 68200 – 00200 Nairobi, Kenya telephone: +254 20 249 3561/65 fax: +254 20 249 3570 Manuscripts are accepted in both English and French. Where possible, the abstract should be provided in both languages. Pachyderm’s Editorial Board categorizes material received into the following sections: Research and management papers These should be not more than 5,000 words and be structured as follows: 1) Title, 2) Abstract of not more than 250 words (informative type, outlining information from the Introduction, Materials and methods, Results, Discussion, but not detailed results), 3) additional key words (if any), not appearing in the title, 4) Introduction, 5) Materials and methods, 6) 114 Book reviews Pachyderm invites reviews of newly published books, which should be < 1500 words. Letters to the editor Letters should be addressed to the relevant Specialist Group Chair, and should be < 1,000 words. Letters are welcome that comment on articles published in Pachyderm or on any other issue relating to elephant and rhino conservation in the wild. Preparation of manuscripts Images, figures and maps Preferably provide igures and maps in their original form, for example, charts and data in Excel iles, maps as EPS and images in the highest quality possible, such as TIF (600 dpi). Indicate clearly the author or source of igures, maps and photographs. Title and authors The title should contain as many of the key words as possible but should not be more than 25 words Pachyderm No. 54 July–December 2013 Guidelines for Contributors long. Follow with the name(s) of the author(s) with institutional afiliation and full postal and email address of the corresponding author, to whom proofs and editorial comments will be sent. Journal conventions Nomenclature Use common names of animals and plants, giving scientiic names in italics on irst mention. Generally refer to animals in the plural form (i.e. rhinos, elephants). Spelling Use British spelling, following the latest edition of the Concise Oxford dictionary or the Oxford English Dictionary, using ‘z’ instead of ‘s’ in words like ‘recognize’, ‘organization’, ‘immobilized’; but ‘analyse’, ‘paralyse’. The dictionary is available online at http://oed.com. Numbers Use the International System of Units for measurement (m, km, g, ha, h) with a space between the numeral and the unit of measurement. Give measurements in igures, for example 12 mm, 1 km, 3 ha, except at the beginning of a sentence. Spell out numbers under 10 if not a unit of measurement unless the number is part of a series containing numbers 10 or over, for example: 14 adult males, 23 adult females and 3 juveniles. In the text, use a comma as the separator for igures four digits or more: 1,750 and 11,750. The separator will be a full stop in French papers. References We use the name-year method of citing and listing references. The punctuation and typographic style are as advocated by the internationally recognized Council of Science Editors in its Scientiic style and format, 7th edition. In the text, cite a single author: ‘(X 2005) or ‘X (2005); cite two authors: ‘(X and Y 2005)’ or ‘X and Y (2005)’; cite more than two authors ‘(X et al. 2007)’ or ‘X et al. (2007)’. Note that there is no comma between the author(s) and the year. If multiple works are being cited, separate them by a semicolon, listing them in chronological order: (X et al. 1998; B 2002; Z 2010). Pachyderm No. 54 July–December 2013 In the reference list, punctuation is minimized. Examples are drawn from previous issues of Pachyderm: Article in a journal or periodical Barnes RFW, Barnes KI, Alers MPT, Blom A. 1991. Man determines the distribution of elephants in the rain forests of northeastern Gabon. African Journal of Ecology 29:54–63. Book Smithers RHN. 1983. Mammals of the southern African sub-region. 2nd ed. Pretoria University, Pretoria White I, Edwards A, eds. 2000. Conservation research in the African rain forests: a technical handbook. Wildlife Conservation Society, New York. Chapter in a book Barnes RFW. 1996. Estimating forest elephant abundance by dung counts. In: Kangwana K, ed. Studying elephants. AWF Technical Handbook no. 7. African Wildlife Foundation, Nairobi. p. 33–48. Unpublished material Blake S 2002. The ecology of forest elephant distribution and its implications for conservation. PhD thesis. Institute of Cell, Animal and Population Biology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh. Adcock K. 2006. Estimates of black rhino carrying capacity at Ol Pejeta’s new rhino area. Kenya Wildlife Service, Nairobi. Unpublished. Electronic site Elephants of Cameroon. 2000. Saving Africa’s vanishing giants, the elephants of Cameroon. http://www.nczooeletrack.org/project/index.htm. Accessed 25 February 2000. [AfESG] African Elephant Specialist Group. 2000. Fencing and other barriers against problem elephants. AfESG Technical Brief Series. IUCN African Elephant Specialist Group, Human– Elephant Conlict Working Group (author: Richard Hoare). Available at: http://www.african-elephant. org/hec/pdfs/hecfencen.pdf. Payne J, Ahmed AH. 2012. A comment on ‘sex and the single rhinoceros’ by Henry Nichols. http://www. borneorhinoalliance.org. 115