Professional Documents
Culture Documents
IV. Intentional Racial Discrimination and Racial Vote Dilution Claims ....................... 187
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2. A District-by-District Analysis of Racial Vote Dilution Is Not
Necessary ............................................................................................193
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9. Power to Draw Congressional Districts. ............................................221
B. The Constitutional Provisions Plaintiffs Claim Have Been Violated ........... 222
1. The Enacted Maps Do Not Violate the Free Elections Clause ..........225
III. Intentional Racial Discrimination and Racial Vote Dilution Claims ....................... 249
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INTRODUCTION
These consolidated cases present this Court with the unique challenge of balancing
the competing interests of fairness, the role of the judiciary, statutory and constitutional
construction, the interpretation of prior court rulings, and good old fashion common sense.
Sometimes, courts are required to make decisions that are not popular, but because judges
take an oath to uphold the law, those rulings are mandated. And sometimes, redress of a
perceived wrong does not lie with the judiciary, but rather, with one of the other co-equal
branches of government.
All of Plaintiffs' claims in these lawsuits, in essence, stem from the basic argument
that the 2021 redistricting maps passed by the North Carolina General Assembly are
unconstitutional under the North Carolina Constitution. We have taken great lengths to
examine that document. At the end of the day, after carefully and fully conducting our
analysis, it is clear that Plaintiffs’ claims must fail. Judges, just like many of the citizens
they serve, do not always like the results they reach. That fact notwithstanding, judges have
a solemn duty to uphold the law. We have done our best to perform that duty, regardless of
the consequences. Our complete ruling is more fully set forth in the following Findings of
FINDINGS OF FACT
Michaux, Jr.; Dandrielle Lewis; Timothy Chartier; Talia Fernos; Katherine Newhall; R.
Jason Parsley; Edna Scott; Roberta Scott; Yvette Roberts; Jereann King Johnson; Reverend
Reginald Wells; Yarbrough Williams, Jr.; Reverend Deloris L. Jerman; Viola Ryals Figueroa;
and Cosmos George (hereinafter “NCLCV Plaintiffs”) filed their Complaint (Civil Action No.
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Rules 7(b) and 65 of the North Carolina Rules of Civil Procedure on November 16, 2021. The
NCLCV Plaintiffs’ Complaint alleges that the 2021 districting plans for Congress, the North
Carolina Senate, and the North Carolina House of Representatives violate the North
Elections Clause, Art. I, § 10, the Equal Protection Clause, Art. I, § 19, and the Freedom of
Speech and Assembly Clauses, Art. I, §§ 12, 14; by engaging in racial vote dilution in violation
of the Free Elections Clause, Art. I, § 10, and the Equal Protection Clause, Art. I, § 19; and
2. Plaintiffs Rebecca Harper; Amy Clare Oseroff; Donald Rumph; John Anthony
Balla; Richard R. Crews; Lily Nicole Quick; Gettys Cohen Jr.; Shawn Rush; Mark S. Peters;
Kathleen Barnes; Virginia Walters Brien; Eileen Stephens; Barbara Proffitt; Mary Elizabeth
Voss; Chenita Barber Johnson; Sarah Taber; Joshua Perry Brown; Laureen Floor; Donald M.
MacKinnon; Ron Osborne; Ann Butzner; Sondra Stein; Bobby Jones; Kristiann Herring; and
David Dwight Brown (hereinafter “Harper Plaintiffs”) filed their Complaint (Civil Action No.
21 CVS 500085) on November 18, 20211, and a Motion for Preliminary Injunction pursuant
to Rule 65 and N.C.G.S. § 1-485 on November 30, 2021. Harper Plaintiffs amended their
Complaint on December 13, 2021, and the Harper Plaintiffs’ operative Complaint alleges that
the 2021 districting plans for Congress, the North Carolina Senate, and the North Carolina
House of Representatives violate the North Carolina Constitution—namely its Free Elections
Clause, Art. I, § 10; its Equal Protection Clause, Art. I, § 19; and its Freedom of Speech and
1 Plaintiffs Eileen Stephens, Barbara Proffitt, Mary Elizabeth Voss, Chenita Barber Johnson,
Sarah Taber, Joshua Perry Brown, Laureen Flood, Donald M. MacKinnon, Ron Osborne, Ann
Butzner, Sondra Stein, Bobby Jones, and Kristiann Herring were added as Plaintiffs upon the filing
of Harper Plaintiffs’ Amended Complaint.
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3. On November 19, 2021, and November 22, 2021, the NCLCV and Harper
actions, respectively, were assigned to the undersigned three-judge panel of Superior Court,
pursuant to Rule 42 of the North Carolina Rules of Civil Procedure and heard NCLCV
Plaintiffs’ and Harper Plaintiffs’ Motions for Preliminary Injunction. On December 3, 2021,
after considering the extensive briefing and oral arguments on the motions, the undersigned
denied NCLCV Plaintiffs’ and Harper Plaintiffs’ Motions for Preliminary Injunction.
5. NCLCV Plaintiffs and Harper Plaintiffs thereafter filed a notice of appeal with
the North Carolina Court of Appeals. After initially partially granting a temporary stay of
the candidate filing period for the 2022 elections, the North Carolina Court of Appeals denied
for Discretionary Review Prior to Determination by the Court of Appeals, Motion to Suspend
Appellate Rules to Expedite a Decision, and Motion to Suspend Appellate Rules and Expedite
Schedule, the Supreme Court of North Carolina granted a preliminary injunction and
temporarily stayed the candidate filing period “until such time as a final judgment on the
merits of plaintiffs’ claims, including any appeals, is entered and remedy, if any is required,
has been ordered.” SCONC order on Pls motion p. 3. The Order further directed this Court to
hold proceedings on the merits of NCLCV Plaintiffs’ and Harper Plaintiffs’ claims and provide
litigation in our state courts, including the Common Cause v. Lewis action in 2019 in which
a final judgment was not entered until almost a year after the filing of the plaintiffs’
complaint and an extensive discovery period culminated in a two-week trial, this Court
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entered a scheduling order on December 13, 2021, expediting discovery and scheduling trial
to commence on January 3, 2022. This Case Scheduling Order was thereafter supplemented
Assembly to create and enact the state legislative and congressional districts as a product of
intentional racial discrimination undertaken for the purpose of racial vote dilution and to
further the legislature’s partisan gerrymandering goals. On December 15, 2021, this Court
granted Common Cause’s motion to intervene as a plaintiff in these consolidated cases, and
Plaintiff-Intervenor Common Cause filed its Complaint on December 16, 2021.2 Plaintiff
Common Cause’s Complaint alleges that the 2021 districting plans for Congress, the North
Carolina Senate, and the North Carolina House of Representatives violate the North
Carolina Constitution—namely its Equal Protection Clause, Art. I, § 19; its Free Elections
Clause, Art. I, § 10; and its Freedom of Speech and Freedom of Assembly Clauses, Art. I, §§
12, 14—and seeks, among other relief, a declaratory ruling under the Declaratory Judgment
Act.
include Senate Districts 1, 2, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 21, 26, 27, 28, 31, 32, 37, 38, 39, 40,
collectively include House Districts 2, 4, 8, 9, 10, 11, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 29, 30, 31,
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33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 49, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 71, 72, 74, 75, 88, 91,
92, 98, 99, 100, 101, 102, 103, 104, 105, 106, 107, 112, 114, 115, and 116.
12. On December 15, 2021, this Court entered a Protective Order to govern the
production and exchange of the parties’ documents, and any testimony at deposition relating
13. On December 17, 2021, Defendants Representative Destin Hall, in his official
Hise, Jr., Warren Daniel, Paul Newton, in their official capacities as Co-Chairmen of the
Senate Committee on Redistricting and Elections; Philip E. Berger, in his official capacity as
President Pro Tempore of the North Carolina Senate; Timothy K. Moore, in his official
affirmative defenses.
14. Affirmative defenses raised by Legislative Defendants include inter alia that
granting the requested relief will violate the Voting Rights Act and the United States
Constitution; that granting the requested relief will violate the rights of Legislative
Defendants, Republican voters, and Republican candidates under the United States and
North Carolina Constitutions; that the court cannot lawfully prevent the General Assembly
from considering partisan advantage and incumbency protection; that Plaintiffs seek to
require districts where Democratic candidates are elected where such candidates are not
currently elected; that Plaintiffs’ claims are barred by the doctrine of laches; that Plaintiffs
have failed to state claims upon which relief can be granted; that Plaintiffs seek a theory of
liability that will act to impose a judicial amendment to the North Carolina Constitution;
that the only limitations on redistricting legislation are found in Article II, Sections 2, 3, 4,
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and 5 of the North Carolina Constitution; that Plaintiffs’ request for a court-designed
redistricting plan violates the separation of powers doctrine; that Plaintiffs’ claims are non-
justiciable and fail to provide judicially manageable standards; that Plaintiffs lack standing;
and, that Plaintiffs have unclean hands and therefore are not entitled to equitable relief.
15. Defendant Ralph E. Hise, Jr. is a Republican member of the North Carolina
Senate, representing Senate District 47, and the Chairman of the Senate Standing
Committee on Redistricting and Elections. Defendant Hise is sued in his official capacity
only. Defendant Hise resides in Senate District 47 in the 2021 districting plan.
Senate, representing Senate District 46, and the Chairman of the Senate Standing
Committee on Redistricting and Elections. Defendant Daniel is sued in his official capacity
only. Defendant Daniel resides in Senate District 46 in the 2021 districting plan.
17. Defendant Paul Newton is a Republican member of the North Carolina Senate,
representing Senate District 36, and the Chairman of the Senate Standing Committee on
Redistricting and Elections. Defendant Newton is sued in his official capacity only. Defendant
18. Representative Destin Hall is Republican member of the North Carolina House
of Representatives, representing House District 87, and the Chairman of the House Standing
Committee on Redistricting. Defendant Hall is sued in his official capacity only. Defendant
19. Defendant Timothy K. Moore is a Republican member and the Speaker of the
North Carolina House of Representatives, representing House District 111. Defendant Moore
is sued in his official capacity only. Defendant Moore resides in House District 111 in the
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20. Defendant Philip E. Berger is a Republican member and the President Pro
Tempore of the North Carolina Senate, representing Senate District 30. Defendant Berger is
sued in his official capacity only. Defendant Berger resides in Senate District 26 in the 2021
districting plan.
21. On December 17, 2021, Defendants North Carolina State Board of Elections
and its members Damon Circosta, in his official capacity as Chairman of the Board of
Elections; Stella Anderson, in her official capacity as Secretary of the Board of Elections; and
Jeff Carmon III, Stacy Eggers IV, and Tommy Tucker, in their official capacities as Members
of the Board of Elections filed their Answer to Harper Plaintiffs’ Amended Complaint. Also
on December 17, 2021, these same Defendants along with Defendant State of North Carolina
and Defendant Karen Brinson Bell, in her official capacity as Executive Director of the North
Carolina State Board of Elections filed their Answer to NCLCV Plaintiffs’ Complaint.3
22. Legislative Defendants and State Defendants did not file an answer to Plaintiff
Common Cause’s Complaint. Pursuant to this Court’s order granting Common Cause’s
intervention, however, the allegations and requested relief in Plaintiff Common Cause’s
reserved for discovery, the parties filed and the Court expeditiously ruled upon over ten
discovery-related motions—a number far exceeding the number of such motions filed in
Common Cause v. Lewis, in which discovery spanned a period of over five months.
24. Pursuant to the Court’s Case Scheduling Order, pre-trial submissions began
with the exchange and submission of initial expert reports on December 23, 2021. Plaintiffs
3 For simplicity, unless specifically designated otherwise in the remainder of this Judgment,
“State Defendants” refers to the State Board of Elections-related Defendants as well as Defendant
State of North Carolina.
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collectively designated eight individuals as expert witnesses and submitted accompanying
submitted accompanying reports. The initial reports and accompanying materials submitted
on behalf of the expert witnesses for all parties exceeded a collective 900 pages of materials.
25. Rebuttal expert reports were exchanged and submitted on December 28, 2021.
three rebuttal reports. The rebuttal reports and accompanying materials submitted on behalf
of the expert witnesses for all parties exceeded a collective 100 pages of materials.
26. The discovery period closed on December 31, 2021—the date upon which all
fact and expert witness depositions were to be conducted pursuant to the Case Scheduling
Order. The parties thereafter submitted, in lieu of pre-trial briefs, an initial stipulation of
facts and initial proposed findings of fact and conclusions of law. The parties collectively
day trial, receiving testimony from numerous fact and expert witnesses and receiving
approximately 1,000 exhibits into evidence. The following findings of fact are made upon this
voluminous record.4
28. Following each decennial census, the North Carolina General Assembly must
redraw the districts for the North Carolina House of Representatives, the North Carolina
4 Due to the time limitations between the conclusion of trial and the entry of this Final
Judgment, and to avoid confusion when reviewing the finalized trial transcript, citations to the trial
transcript are only to a specific day on which a witness testified and are denominated as “Trial Tr.
[Date of Testimony].”
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29. In North Carolina, legislative redistricting is performed exclusively by the
General Assembly. The Governor of North Carolina has no power to veto redistricting bills.
30. The State Constitution specifically enumerates four limitations upon the
31. Between 1870 and 2010, the Democratic Party at all times controlled one or
32. After the 2010 election, for the first time since 1870, Republicans constituted
a majority of both the North Carolina House of Representatives and the North Carolina
Senate.
33. Republicans have constituted a majority in both the North Carolina House of
Representatives and the North Carolina Senate from 2010 to present day and have therefore
34. On February 12, 2021, the U.S. Census Bureau announced that its release of
P.L. 94-171 redistricting data would be delayed by the COVID-19 pandemic, and would not
be released until the fall of 2021, and specifically that it would deliver the Public Law 94-171
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35. On March 15, 2021, the United States Census Bureau announced that it would
release a “legacy” format summary redistricting data file to all states by mid-to-late August
2021, in addition to the “tabulated” P.L. 94-171 block-level data released before September
30, 2021, “[i]n recognition of the difficulties this timeline creates for states with redistricting
36. On April 26, 2021, the United States Census Bureau released data indicating
that North Carolina’s population increased from 9,535,483 residents in 2010 to 10,439,388
residents in 2020. PX142; PX133; PX143. This 9.5 percent population increase resulted in
North Carolina being given an additional Congressional seat following the 2020 Census,
PX144.
37. On August 12, 2021, the U.S. Census Bureau released the 2020 Census
Redistricting Data (Public Law 94-171) Summary File for all states, including North
38. On February 24, 2021, after the U.S. Census Bureau announced that its
release of P.L. 94-171 redistricting data would be delayed, the North Carolina State Board of
Elections Executive Director Karen Brinson Bell presented recommendations to the House
Elections Law and Campaign Finance Reform Committee to move the 2022 primary to a May
39. When Senator Hise received Director Bell’s recommendations, he had “no idea”
how long the redistricting process would take. PX146 Hise. Dep. 155:3-18. Nonetheless, he
and his co-chairs did not follow the Board’s recommendations to delay the primaries and
provide more time for the redistricting cycle. Id. at 140:18-25. Senator Hise did, however, co-
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sponsor a senate bill that modified the deadline for municipalities similarly impacted by the
40. Legislative Defendants were aware that the delay in the release of Census
Data would shorten the amount of time available to pass new state Legislative and
Congressional maps before relevant deadlines, including the one-year residency deadline
that state Legislative candidates would have to meet and the candidate-filing deadline on
December 6, 2021, for all 2022 general election candidates. PX146 Hise Dep. 149:23-150:5.
Nonetheless, they chose not to convene the Senate and House Redistricting Committees
earlier to plan for the process, PX146 Hise Dep. 143:8-22, and chose not to propose or set
forth a schedule for the redistricting process that would have allowed the public or their
Democratic colleagues to prepare for the steps that would be taken before final enactment of
state Legislative and Congressional plans. PX146 Hise Dep. 153:7-13. The Chairs of the
Redistricting Committees had the general authority to make such decisions and set forth a
predictable schedule but chose not to. PX146 Hise Dep. 143:12-19.
Redistricting and Elections convened a Joint Meeting of the Senate Redistricting and
Elections Committee and the House Redistricting Committee to begin discussion on the
42. Following this meeting, staff member Erika Churchill distributed to the joint
committee members the legislative redistricting criteria ordered by the North Carolina
Superior Court for Wake County in its September 3, 2019, Judgment in the matter Common
Cause v. Lewis, No. 18 CVS 014001, 2019 N.C. Super. LEXIS 56 (the “2019 Criteria”).
Clauses in Article I, Sections 3 and 5, the 2019 Criteria set forth by the court in Common
Cause specifically required that new maps comply with the VRA and other federal
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requirements concerning the racial composition of districts, and required the parties to
submit briefing and expert analysis on whether VRA districts were required within 14 days
of the order, including consideration of whether the minimum Black Voting Age Population
(“BVAP”) thresholds were met to implicate the VRA. Common Cause v. Lewis, No. 18 CVS
014001, 2019 N.C. Super. LEXIS 56, at *417 (N.C. Super. Ct. Sept. 3, 2019).
43. On Monday, August 9, 2021, the redistricting chairs of the joint committees
44. The Joint Redistricting Committees received in-person public comment on the
45. At that public comment period, Plaintiff Common Cause’s Counsel Allison
Riggs urged legislators to change the criterion providing that “Data identifying the race of
individuals or voters shall not be used in the construction or consideration of districts in the
2021 Congressional, House and Senate plans,” PX33, stating the following:
PX1487.
46. On Thursday, August 12, 2021, the Joint Redistricting Committees convened
to debate and vote on the 2021 Joint Redistricting Committee Proposed Criteria.
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The second question I want to address is the decision to exclude racial data
from being used by this committee in the drawing of districts; of course we
understand that North Carolina is obligated to comply with Section 2 of the
Voting Rights Act when drawing districts in the 2021 Congressional, House,
and Senate plans, but during the last decade the Supreme Court told us that
there is not sufficient evidence of racially polarized voting in North Carolina to
justify the consideration of race when drawing districts. If you have new
evidence or new studies of racially polarized voting in North Carolina, we
would be willing to examine that evidence, and nothing in this criteria prevents
any member from bringing forward such evidence during this process.
48. In response, Senator Dan Blue stated that the Supreme Court of North
Carolina held in Stephenson v. Bartlett that legislators were first required to determine
whether districts are required to comply with the VRA. PX77 at 15 (8/12/2021 Transcript).
Senator Blue queried how this would be possible without the use of racial data, stating, “I
think that Stephenson makes it relatively clear that before you consider clustering or
groupings, you have to make that VRA determination.” PX77 at 15 (8/12/2021 Transcript).
49. Senator Newton replied, “The chairs have considered the various options and
we will comply with the law and the methodology we used in 2019 [sic] passed muster and
50. Senator Warren Daniel then proposed that the Joint Committees add a
sentence under the criteria stating, “The Committee will draw districts that comply with the
Voting Rights Act.” PX77 at 15 (8/12/2021 Transcript). The amendment was adopted into the
51. After Senator Daniel proposed his amendment, Senator Blue proposed an
amendment titled “Voting Rights Act.” This amendment provided: “As condemned by the
United States Supreme Court in Cooper v. Harris and Covington v. State of North Carolina,
African-Americans shall not be packed into any grouping or district to give partisan
advantage to any political party.” PX77 at 53-55 (8/12/2021 Transcript); PX73 (proposed
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amendment). During debate on this amendment, Senator Blue offered the following comment
on the amendment:
The amendment is sort of self-explanatory. I simply say that for the four
decades since the 1980s redistricting, starting with Gingles v. Edmisten, and
through Shaw v. Reno, and through the series of cases at the early part of this
century, and the cases in the last redistricting cycle, North Carolina has
basically been the state with the chin out before the Supreme Court to get our
redistricting plans struck down. And we’ve spent tens of millions of dollars over
that time period, from the 80s forward, to have the Supreme Court basically
say no to all of those efforts that we’ve done. So this is an effort to make sure
that we make an effort to try and save the taxpayers what now is collectively
more than 50 million dollars in efforts and futility, by setting forth that related
to Senator Daniel’s earlier amendment, that we know what the Voting Rights
Act requires, we know what the Supreme Court has said, and this is the
language that they have used with respect to, in both Cooper v. Harris and
Covington v. North Carolina, what you’ve got to do to comply with the Voting
Rights Act. I just offer the amendment so that it’s constantly before us, so that
we don’t get tempted to sort of skirt to the edge again and cost the taxpayers
another 10 to 20 million dollars defending this thing back up through the Court
of Appeals or the Supreme Court, or a three-judge panel and the Supreme
Court. So, I move for the adoption of the amendment.
52. During debate on the amendment, Senator Clark raised concerns about how
North Carolina could comply with the VRA without considering racial data: “How do we
intend to comply with the Voting Rights Act if we don’t use the racial data that is required to
comply with it?” PX77 at 56 (8/12/2021 Transcript). In response, Defendant Daniel expressed
the view that prior case law in North Carolina did not require the use of racial data:
Just as Senator Newton explained at the beginning of the meeting, in the event
that evidence is presented to the committee that there’s racially polarized
voting in North Carolina then that might be something the committee would
need to address. At this point, the courts in 2019 and even the Democrats’ own
expert have said that there is not racially polarized voting in North Carolina,
and so that’s sort of where we think we’re at.
53. PX77 at 56-57 (8/12/2021 Transcript). Senator Clark then responded: “Given
that the Stephenson requirement is there, that we do VRA districts first, is it not incumbent
upon the General Assembly itself to perform racially polarized studies in order to make that
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determination that, as we are here today, that there is no racial polarization in North
responded by saying, “We don’t feel that that is necessary at this point at the outset of the
We’re agreeing – or at least we’re proposing in this criteria not to use racial
data at all in the drawing of these maps, but as Senator Daniel has said,
members of the committee and members of the public are welcome to gather
whatever evidence and put forth evidence that might fall under Section 2 of
the Voting Rights Act, that that may require some use of racial data. And, of
course, that will be up to this body, to this committee, and ultimately two
bodies of the two chambers as to whether to consider that and how to do that.
But at this point, none of that evidence has been put forth.
54. On August 12, 2021, the Joint Redistricting Committees adopted the final
Equal Population. The Committees will use the 2020 federal decennial
census data as the sole basis of population for the establishment of districts in
the 2021 Congressional, House, and Senate plans. The number of persons in
each legislative district shall be within plus or minus 5% of the ideal district
population, as determined under the most recent federal decennial census. The
number of persons in each congressional district shall be as nearly as equal as
practicable, as determined under the most recent federal decennial census.
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Division of counties in the 2021 Congressional plan shall only be made for
reasons of equalizing population and consideration of double bunking. If a
county is of sufficient population size to contain an entire congressional district
within the county’s boundaries, the Committees shall construct a district
entirely within that county.
Racial Data. Data identifying the race of individuals or voters shall not be
used in the construction or consideration of districts in the 2021 Congressional,
House, and Senate plans. The Committees will draw districts that comply with
the Voting Rights Act.
Election Data. Partisan considerations and election results data shall not be
used in the drawing of districts in the 2021 Congressional, House, and Senate
plans.
PX34; LDTX15.
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D. Establishing the District Lines in the 2021 Enacted Plans
announced a Joint Public Hearing Schedule, that would consist of 13 public hearings held
56. The 13 public hearings listed in the Joint Public Hearing Schedule were as
follows:
PX86.
Elections and the House Committee on Redistricting each convened separately. The General
https://www.ncleg.gov/documentsites/committees/House2021-182/2021/Public%20Hearing
%20Schedule.pdf
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Assembly’s members were tasked with creating State House districts containing between
82,645 and 91,345 people; that is 86,995 plus or minus 5% from the ideal population. PX79
12:25–13:4 (Oct. 5, 2021). Members were tasked with creating Senate districts containing
between 198,348 and 219,227 people; that is 208,788 people plus or minus 5% from the ideal
groupings described in the academic paper N.C. General Assembly County Clusterings from
the 2020 Census (the “Duke Academic Paper”), published on the Duke University website
Gerrymandering). These groupings were then verified by non-partisan staff. PX79 8:4-7 (Oct.
5, 2021).
59. The Duke Academic Paper states that “[t]he one part of Stephenson v. Bartlett
which this analysis does not reflect is compliance with the Voting Rights Act,” PX70
(Quantifying Gerrymandering), a fact that was known to the Redistricting Chairs and
announced publicly in both the House and Senate Redistricting Committee Meetings. PX80
Redistricting Transcript).
Defendant Hise provided the set of sixteen possible Senate cluster options, based upon the
Duke Academic Paper, that constituted the set of options eligible for adoption (the “Duke
61. In this meeting, Senator Blue asked how leadership had ensured compliance
with the VRA, as required under the North Carolina Constitution, in the mandated clusters
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Transcript). Senator Marcus stated the committee needed to conduct a Racial Polarization
Redistricting Transcript). Chair Hise confirmed the Chairs’ views that no demographic data
was legally required, and that there was no directive to staff to order any RPV analysis or
provide racial data to members drawing maps. PX80 at 26-27 (10/5/2021 Senate Redistricting
Transcript); PX80 at 24:16-24 (10/5/2021 Senate Redistricting Transcript); PX146 Hise Dep.
185:14-22. Defendant Hise also said “this committee is still open to consider any information
Transcript), and that “if information does come forward regarding racially polarized voting,
provided the set of eight possible House cluster options, based upon the Duke Academic
Paper, that constituted the set of options eligible for adoption (the “Duke House Clusters”).
committee would comply with the VRA, as the Duke Academic Paper stated its analysis did
not reflect compliance with the VRA as required by Stephenson. PX79 at 36 (10/5/2021 House
Redistricting Transcript). Representative Reives inquired about the obligations under the
VRA and how to comply with them. PX79 at 75 (10/5/2021 House Redistricting Transcript).
Chair Hall stated the committees made a decision not to use racial data, contrary to
redistricting criteria used in the previous two sessions, which Chair Hall alleged to be “the
best way” to ensure compliance with the VRA as well as other state and federal law. PX79 at
Allison J. Riggs, current counsel for Plaintiff Common Cause, concerning the county
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clustering option maps introduced on Tuesday, October 5, 2021. PX1412. Representative Hall
chose not to read this letter, and Sen. Hise took no action after receiving this letter. PX146
65. On Monday, October 25, 2021, Legislative Defendants received a second letter
from Allison J. Riggs, current counsel for Plaintiff Common Cause, concerning draft Senate
map, “SST-4,” and its chosen grouping “Duke Senate 02.” PX1413. No action was taken in
commission any racially polarized voting study for the 2021 redistricting cycle. PX146 Hise
Dep. 135:19-25. Plaintiffs evidence, however, fails to sufficiently show that any of the districts
were required to be VRA districts and, to the extent Stephenson requires this determination
67. At the October 5, 2021, meetings, the House and Senate Chairs of the
Redistricting Committees announced in their respective committee meetings that they would
make computer stations available to legislators to draw maps, beginning the morning of
October 6, 2021. PX1468 Daye Aff. ¶ 6. There would be four stations available to the House
in Room 643 of the Legislative Office Building, and there would be four stations available to
the Senate in Room 544 of the Legislative Office Building. Id. The stations would be open
during business hours, and both the rooms and the screens of the station computers would
legislators to draw and submit maps using software on computer terminals in the
redistricting committee hearing rooms. PX79 at 3:1-20 (statement of Rep. Destin Hall,
Chairman, H. Comm. on Redistricting) (Oct. 5, 2021, H. Redistricting Comm. Hr’g Tr.). That
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software did not include political data, and the House and Senate Committees would only
69. According to Representative Hall, the Committee and “the House as a whole”
would “only consider maps that are drawn in this committee room, on one of the four
stations.” PX79 at 4:15-19. “So, if a map is not drawn on one of these four stations, in this
committee room, during those committee hours that the committee is open, then those maps
will not be considered for a vote by this committee, and of course, will not be considered for a
vote by the House.” Id. at 4:19-24. Legislators could ensure that was the case, Representative
Hall asserted, because “when you put a map into one of these computers, that becomes a
matter of public record, and we can tell which were drawn on these computers. It has to be
drawn in this committee room.” Id. at 4:25-5:4. Representative Hall assured the public that
this process would be fundamentally different from “what’s happened in the past,” where
“some outside entity, a consultant, goes and they draw the map behind closed doors”; in 2021,
we “will literally be drawing on the stations that you see.” Id. at 41:23-42:13.
70. The Committees chose this method to draw the maps on their own accord—not
because the law required them to. See, e.g., PX79 34:17–35:4 (Oct. 5, 2021). The Committees
took “the unprecedented step of being as transparent” as they possible could. PX79. 35:21–
24 (Oct. 5, 2021).
71. The Committees chose not to take racial data into account in selecting county
groupings because they did not take into account in 2017 and 2019, and courts approved the
2017 and 2019 plans. PX79 37:17–25 (Oct. 5, 2021). This gave them “confidence that, without
using racial data, [they would] comply with the Voting Rights Act.” PX79 39:3–5 (Oct. 5,
2021). Further, they took into account the fact plaintiffs’ experts in previous cases “all said
that there is no legally significant racially polarized voting in North Carolina.” PX79 37:10-
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72. Representative Hall testified that he personally drew nearly all of the House
map enacted as House Bill 976, and that he did so over multiple days at an official computer
terminal. PX145 at 110:4-9, 116:11-15, 120:5-24; Trial Tr. 01/05/2022. Representative Hall
also testified that, between his sessions at the public terminal, he met with his then-General
Counsel, Dylan Reel, and others about the map-drawing in a private room adjacent to the
73. While the four computer terminals in the committee hearing room did not
themselves have election data loaded onto them, the House and Senate Committees did not
actively prevent legislators and their staff from relying on pre-drawn maps created using
Representative Hall and Senator Ralph E. Hise, Jr., one of the Chairs of the Senate
Redistricting Committee, confirmed that no restrictions on the use of outside maps were ever
74. A placeholder version of the state House Map was filed on Thursday, October
28, 2021, as House Bill 976 (“HB976”) where it passed its first reading. A committee
substitute (“HBK-14”) received a favorable review and, after one amendment, passed its
second and third readings on the House and its first reading in the Senate on November 2,
2021. It received a favorable report from the Senate Redistricting Committee on November
3, 2021, without alteration and passed its second and third readings on November 4, 2021.
75. HB976 was ratified into law on November 4, 2021, as S.L. 2021-175. S.L. 2021-
DECENNIAL CENSUS” and re-writes N.C.G.S. § 120-2(a) to divide the State of North
Carolina into one-hundred-twenty (120) districts, with each district electing one
26
Representative, “[f]or the purpose of nominating and electing members of the North Carolina
House of Representatives in 2022 and periodically thereafter.” 2021 N.C. Sess. Laws 175, §
1.
76. A proposed version of the state Senate map (“SST-13”) was filed on Friday,
October 29, 2021, as Senate Bill 739 (“SB739”) and received its first reading in the Senate
that day. It was then referred to the Senate Redistricting Committee on November 1 where
the Redistricting Committee adopted a substitute along party lines (“SBK-7”). On November
Committee.6 Senator Clark also offered an amendment entitled “SCGAmend-3” to the Senate
Redistricting Committee.7 Both amendments were adopted and included in the final version
of SB739. The bill then passed its second and third readings in the Senate on November 3
along party lines and passed all three readings and the House Redistricting Committee
77. SB739 was ratified into law on November 4, 2021, as S.L. 2021-173. S.L. 2021-
173 is entitled “AN ACT TO REALIGN THE DISTRICTS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
CENSUS” and re-writes N.C.G.S. § 120-1(a) to establish the composition of the fifty (50)
senatorial districts in the State of North Carolina, and apportion seats among those districts
with each district electing one senator, “[f]or the purpose of nominating and electing members
of the Senate in 2022 and periodically thereafter.” 2021 N.C. Sess. Laws 173, § 1.
6https://www.ncleg.gov/documentsites/committees/Senate2021-154/2021/11-02-
2021/Adopted%20Amendments/S739-ATU-40.printing.pdf
7 https://www.ncleg.gov/documentsites/committees/Senate2021-154/2021/11-02-
2021/Adopted%20Amendments/S739-ABA-40.printing.pdf
27
78. A proposed Congressional map (“CST-13”) was filed on October 29, 2021, as
Senate Bill 740 (“SB740”) and passed its first reading and received a favorable report from
its second and third readings in the Senate and its first reading in the House on November
2, received a favorable report from the House Redistricting Committee on November 3, and
proceeded unaltered through its second and third readings in the House on November 4,
2021.
79. SB740 was ratified into law on November 4, 2021, as S.L. 2021-174. S.L. 2021-
THE RETURN OF THE 2020 FEDERAL DECENNIAL CENSUS” and re-writes N.C.G.S. §
163-201(a) to divide the State of North Carolina into fourteen (14) districts “[f]or purposes of
nominating and electing members of the House of Representatives of the Congress of the
United States in 2022 and periodically thereafter[.]” 2021 N.C. Sess. Laws 174, § 1.
80. The State House, State Senate and Congressional Maps all passed along party
lines.
81. The State House map, HB976, passed the House on a strict party line vote,
HB976 also passed the Senate on a strict party line vote, with 25 Republican Senators in
82. The State Senate map, SB739, passed the Senate on a strict party line vote,
with 26 Republican Senators in favor and 19 Democratic Senators opposed. SB739 also
passed the House on a strict party line vote, with 65 Republican Representatives in favor and
83. The Congressional map, SB740, passed the Senate on a strict party line vote,
with 27 Republican Senators in favor and 22 Democratic Senators opposed. SB740 also
28
passed the House on a strict party line vote, with 65 Republican Representatives in favor and
N.C. Sess. Laws 2021-174 (hereinafter “S.L. 2021-174” or “S.B. 740”), N.C. Sess. Laws 2021-
173 (hereinafter “S.L. 2021-173” or “S.B. 739”), and N.C. Sess. Laws 2021-174 (hereinafter
1. Direct Evidence
85. There is no express language showing partisan intent within the text of the
86. The Adopted Criteria expressly forbade partisan considerations and election
results data from being used in drawing districts in the Enacted Plans.
87. No elections have been conducted under the Enacted Plans to provide direct
evidence of partisan effects that could be attributed as a result of the Enacted Plans.
88. The 2021 Congressional Plan was passed on strict party-line votes in the House
on November 4 and the Senate on November 2. No member of the Democratic party in either
89. The General Assembly enacted the 2021 House Plan, on strict party-line votes,
on November 4. No member of the Democratic party in either chamber voted for the plan.
90. The General Assembly enacted the 2021 Senate Plan, on strict party-line votes,
on November 4. No member of the Democratic party in either chamber voted for the plan.
29
2. Circumstantial Evidence
91. The General Assembly’s intentional redistricting for partisan advantage has
been subject to judicial review in multiple cases over the past decade.
92. First, in Rucho v. Common Cause, 139 S. Ct. 2484 (2019), the plaintiffs
Republican legislators leading the redistricting effort instructed their mapmaker to use
political data to draw a map that would produce a congressional delegation of ten republicans
and three democrats. Common Cause v. Rucho, 318 F. Supp. 3d 777, 807-808 (M.D.N.C.
2018).
93. The federal district court concluded that all but one of the districts in North
Carolina’s 2016 Congressional Plan violated the Equal Protection Clause by intentionally
diluting the voting strength of Democrats. In examining intent, effects, and causation, the
concern was that such a degree of vote dilution meant the elected representatives would feel
free to ignore the concerns of the supporters of the minority party. Id. at 867. The district
court also found partisan gerrymandering claims justiciable under the First Amendment. Id.
at 929. Despite the undisputed findings of partisan intent in drawing the challenged districts,
the Supreme Court of the United States held that partisan gerrymandering claims present
political questions beyond the reach of the federal courts. 139 S. Ct. at 2506-07.
94. Then, in Common Cause v. Lewis, 18 CVS 14001 (N.C. Super. Ct. Sep. 03,
2019), the plaintiffs challenged North Carolina’s legislative maps in state court as
unconstitutional partisan gerrymanders. After a federal court had struck down certain
districts as unconstitutional racial gerrymanders, Id. at 13-14, and in 2017, the Senate
30
Redistricting Committee and the House Select Committee on Redistricting met to enact new
plans where leaders stated that they would again employ the same mapmaker to draw these
new plans and the adopted criteria allowed for political considerations and the use of election
data results, id. at 14-16. While Republican legislators did not publicly state that they drew
the maps for partisan advantage, there was meaningful dispute that this was the case. Id. at
23.
95. Prior to final judicial approval of the 2019 remedial maps, the court in Common
Cause determined that the 2017 legislative maps at issue were the result of extreme partisan
gerrymandering, and ordered those maps to be remedied to the extent necessary to cure that
defect—in other words, to redraw the 2017 legislative maps so that the partisan
gerrymandering would not be classified as “extreme.” To the extent the 2021 redistricting
committees sought to retain the district lines of the 2019 maps, partisan bias, although not
96. The three-judge panel concluded that 14 of the House district county groupings
and 7 of the Senate district county groupings violated the North Carolina Constitution by
operating through vote dilution such that an election would not reflect the will of the people,
Id. at 302, by seeking to diminish the electoral power of supporters of a disfavored party, id.
at 307, and by burdening the protected expression and association of voting, banding together
in a political party, and spending on elections. Id. at 320. Unlike the federal court, however,
the three-judge panel found that these claims were justiciable and the standards for
97. Finally, in Harper v. Lewis, 19 CVS 12667 (N.C. Super. Ct. Oct. 28, 2019), the
plaintiffs sought a declaration that the 2016 congressional districts, as challenged in Rucho
v. Common Cause, violated the rights of Democratic voters in North Carolina under the North
31
Carolina Constitution’s Free Elections Clause, Equal Protection Clause, and Freedom of
Speech and Freedom of Assembly Clauses. Id. at 1. The three-judge panel agreed with the
ruling in Common Cause v. Lewis that extreme partisan gerrymandering is violative of the
North Carolina Constitution and presented justiciable issues. See Harper v. Lewis generally.
Noting that “the 2016 congressional districts have already been the subject of years-long
litigation in federal court arising from challenges to the districts on partisan gerrymandering
grounds,” the Court found that there was a detailed record of the partisan intent and effects
of the 2016 congressional plan. The Court held that the Plaintiffs had shown a likelihood of
success on the merits and granted the preliminary injunction, enjoining the use of the 2016
98. Redistricting for political gain occurred well before these most recent
instances, but it has not been forbidden by the people of North Carolina through a
99. Since the 2000 Census, there has been several proposed redistricting bills in
both the House and Senate of the General Assembly. The most prominent proposed
100. In all the various iterations of proposed bills, this commission would be tasked
with either the redistricting process in its entirety, removing this power from the General
Assembly, or with introducing plans to the General Assembly. In all these proposed bills, the
voting data from previous elections, location of incumbents’ residences, or demographic data
outside of that provided by the U.S. Census Bureau. None of these bills passed, or even
crossed over. With few exceptions, when Democrats have controlled the House and Senate,
32
Republicans have introduced these bills; and when Republicans have controlled the House
101. From 2001-2010, the Democratic Party had control of the General Assembly.
A version of the independent redistricting commission was proposed and, with the exception
of the 2005-2006 session where a Democrat was the primary sponsor of the bill, Republican
members of the legislature were the primary sponsors of these bills. These bills were
introduced at least once during each session. H.B. 318, 2001 Leg., 144th Sess. (N.C. 2001);
S.B. 283, 2001 Leg., 144th Sess. (N.C. 2001); S.B. 285, 2001 Leg., 144th Sess. (N.C. 2001);
S.B. 1437, 2001 Leg., 144th Sess. (N.C. 2001); H.B. 1060, 2003 Leg., 145th Sess. (N.C. 2003);
H.B. 1090, 2003 Leg., 145th Sess. (N.C. 2003); S.B. 650, 2003 Leg., 145th Sess. (N.C. 2003);
S.B. 651, 2003 Leg., 145th Sess. (N.C. 2003); H.B. 1425, 2005 Leg., 146th Sess. (N.C. 2005);
H.B. 1448, 2005 Leg., 146th Sess. (N.C. 2005); S.B. 430, 2005 Leg., 146th Sess. (N.C. 2005);
H.B. 76, 2007 Leg., 147th Sess., (N.C. 2007); S.B. 1122, 2007 Leg., 147th Sess., (N.C. 2007);
H.B. 252, 2009 Leg., 148th Sess., (N.C. 2009); S.B. 25, 2009 Leg., 148th Sess., (N.C. 2009);
102. Similarly, from 2011-present, Republicans have had control over the General
Assembly, and a version of this bill has had a Democratic primary sponsor; however, in the
2011-2012, 2013-2014, 2015-2016, 2016 Extra Session 4, and 2017-2018 sessions, at least one
Republican was a primary sponsor of these bills. Since Republican control, Democrats have
been the prominent sponsor of these bills in both the House and Senate. H.B. 783, 2011 Leg.,
149th Sess., (N.C. 2011); S.B. 591, 2011 Leg., 149th Sess., (N.C. 2011); H.B. 824, 2011 Leg.,
149th Sess., (N.C. 2011); H.B. 606, 2013 Leg., 150th Sess., (N.C. 2013); H.B. 910, 2013 Leg.,
150th Sess., (N.C. 2013); S.B. 155, 2013 Leg., 150th Sess., (N.C. 2013); S.B. 722, 2013 Leg.,
150th Sess., (N.C. 2013); H.B. 49, 2015 Leg., 152nd Sess., (N.C. 2015); S.B. 28, 2015 Leg.,
152nd Sess., (N.C. 2015); H.B. 92, 2015 Leg., 152nd Sess., (N.C. 2015); H.B. 6, 2015 Leg.,
33
152nd Sess., (N.C. 2015); H.B. 200, 2017 Leg., 153rd Sess., (N.C. 2017); S.B. 209, 2017 Leg.,
153rd Sess., (N.C. 2017); H.B. 674, 2017 Leg., 153rd Sess., (N.C. 2017); S.B. 702, 2017 Leg.,
153rd Sess., (N.C. 2017); S.B. 800, 2017 Leg., 153rd Sess., (N.C. 2017); H.B. 69, 2019 Leg.,
154th Sess., (N.C. 2019); H.B. 574, 2019 Leg., 154th Sess., (N.C. 2019); S.B. 641, 2019 Leg.,
154th Sess., (N.C. 2019); H.B. 648, 2019 Leg., 154th Sess., (N.C. 2019); H.B. 827, 2019 Leg.,
154th Sess., (N.C. 2019); S.B. 673, 2019 Leg., 154th Sess., (N.C. 2019); H.B. 436, 2021 Leg.,
155th Sess., (N.C. 2021); H.B. 437, 2021 Leg., 155th Sess., (N.C. 2021); H.B. 542, 2021 Leg.,
155th Sess., (N.C. 2021); S.B. 716, 2021 Leg., 155th Sess., (N.C. 2021).
103. The General Assembly established a detailed record of the stated purposes of
104. The legislative record shows that stated goals achieved by the 2021
c. CD3 was configured to keep mostly rural counties in southeastern North Carolina
near the coast within the same district and to improve the compactness of the prior
district. Input from a public hearing in New Hanover was incorporated, including
that Cape Fear River Basin be kept in one district, that New Hanover and
Brunswick Counties be kept together, and that Bladen and Columbus Counties be
maintained in single district. LDTX78 Senate Tr. 4:16–5:11 (Nov. 1, 2021).
34
d. CD4 was configured to be a four-county district south of Raleigh. These counties
were chosen because they have similar geography, industry, and proximity to
population base in the region in Fayetteville and Raleigh. An online comment
requested that Cumberland, Harnett, and Sampson Counties be kept together in
a congressional district, and this was accomplished by adding population in
Johnston and one precinct in Wayne County. The district is highly compact and
splits no municipalities. LDTX78 Senate Tr. 5:12–6:7 (Nov. 1, 2021).
f. CD6 was configured to include Durham and Orange Counties and a portion of
Wake County that contains Apex, Cary, and Morrisville, which were all viewed as
a coherent community of interest, and to match the configuration of this district
that has existed in this region, in roughly the same form, for decades. No
municipalities were split. LDTX78 Senate Tr. 6:21–7:11 (Nov. 1, 2021).
g. CD7 runs from the Triangle west through the Central Piedmont region
encompassing four whole counties, to include Alamance, Chatham, Lee, and
Randolph; parts of Davidson, Guilford, and Harnett Counties and a portion of
Wake County to bring together rural areas and smaller cities and towns. VTDs
were only split for the purpose of equalizing population or keeping cities together.
LDTX78 Senate Tr. 7:12–25 (Nov. 1, 2021).
h. CD8 is rooted in the Sandhill region of North Carolina including eight whole
counties and a portion of Mecklenburg County. The configuration was created in
part based on a comment by the Moore County Democratic Chair, who suggested
that Sandhills counties including Moore, Scotland, and Hoke to be kept together
in a Sandhills district. LDTX78 Senate Tr. 8:3–22 (Nov. 1, 2021).
i. CD9 constitutes the General Assembly’s effort to keep the City of Charlotte
together in one district, given its cohesive community. This was not strictly
possible, given that Charlotte is too large for one congressional district, but the
adopted configuration succeeded in keeping 83% of Charlotte in one district that,
in turn, is 97% composed of Charlotte. LDTX78 Senate Tr. 8:23–9:5 (Nov. 1, 2021).
j. CD10 is composed of suburban and exurban areas that stretch between the
population centers of Charlotte and the Triad region, which constitute a
community of interest. The district keeps all of the City of High Point in a single
district, based on a comment at a public hearing in Forsyth. There is one split
municipality in Greensboro. LDTX78 Senate Tr. 9:6–20 (Nov. 1, 2021).
k. CD11 is based in the northwest corner of North Carolina, containing eight whole
counties and two partial counties. This was done out of a desire to maintain the
incumbent in the district. Another key goal was maintaining Greensboro as much
35
as possible in the district, and the goal was achieved with more than 90% of
Greensboro included. LDTX78 Senate Tr. 9:21–10:6 (Nov. 1, 2021).
l. CD12 was configured to join suburbs outside Charlotte to an area in and around
Winston-Salem, which was achieved by incorporating four whole counties and one
partial county. No municipalities were split. LDTX78 Senate Tr. 10:7–16 (Nov. 1,
2021).
m. CD13 contains municipalities and towns to the west and north of Charlotte based
on an online comment suggesting that towns in North Mecklenburg, including
Cornelius, Huntersville, and Davidson, be joined into a single district. LDTX78
Senate Tr. 10:17–11:5 (Nov. 1, 2021).
105. The Committees concluded that the congressional map satisfies the adopted
criteria. LDTX78 Senate Tr. 11:22–12:16 (Nov. 1, 2021). All districts were drawn to zero
population deviation or to one person less than ideal. There was no point contiguity used in
the map and districts are compact. LDTX78 Senate Tr. 11:22–25; 12:10-11 (Nov. 1, 2021).
County, VTD, and community of interest divisions were minimized. The 2021 Congressional
Plan divided 11 counties solely to equalize population. VTDs were split only when necessary
to balance population or keep municipalities whole, and a total of 24 VTDs were split. And
there are districts wholly within Mecklenburg and Wake Counties, the only two counties of
sufficient population to contain a whole Congressional district. Only two municipalities were
split in the entire State, and community consideration was considered to keep cities and
106. The Committee concluded that no racial or political data was used in drawing
the map. Member residence was considered. LDTX78 Senate Tr. 12:6-7; 12:12-16 (Nov. 1,
2021). Senator Daniel stated that, due to the political geography of the state—with
Democrats congregated in the urban areas—the only way to accomplish a roughly equal
36
Republican-Democratic split is with a partisan gerrymander in favor of Democrats. LDTX78
Senate Tr. 18:11–21 (Nov. 1, 2021). Indeed, the largest counties had to be split to satisfy one-
person, one-vote standards. See, e.g., LDTX78 Senate Tr. 24:13–17 (Nov. 1, 2021).
107. One Senator noted that when metropolitan areas are split (as many have to be
because of the population size), the metropolitan areas get more representatives in Congress
who are able to advocate for the municipality as a whole. LDTX78 Senate Tr. 33:21–34:12
(Nov. 1, 2021). The online portal received over 4,000 comments between when they opened
108. The legislative record shows that stated goals achieved by the 2021 Senate
a. SD1 was created out of county groupings in the northeastern corner of the State
that would need to be comprised of 8 or 10 counties. The district includes 4 of the
5 “Finger Counties” together and combines them with the Northern Outer Banks,
a suggestion made by persons at public hearings. About 70% of the counties and
81% of the population are in the Norfolk media market, with the others in the
Greenville and Raleigh market. This district does not split VTDs or municipalities
within the counties, as it comprises only whole counties. LDTX80 Senate Tr. 3:8–
4:5 (Nov. 2, 2021); Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
b. SD2 follows the Roanoke River from Warren County to Albemarle Sound in
Washington County. This comprises many of the counties on the Sound, including
Chowan County, Hyde County, and Pamlico County. Five of the eight included
counties are in the Greenville media market, with the others split between the
Raleigh and Norfolk media markets. Two-third of the population of the district is
within the Greenville media market. This district does not split VTDs or
municipalities within the counties, as it is comprised only of whole counties.
LDTX80 Senate Tr. 4:7–24 (Nov. 2, 2021).
c. SD3 was created by the base county grouping map. It includes Beaufort, Craven,
and Lenoir Counties. This district does not split VTDs or municipalities within the
counties, as it is comprised only of whole counties. LDTX80 Senate Tr. 4:25–5:4
(Nov. 2, 2021).
d. SD4 was created by the base county grouping map. It includes Green, Wayne, and
Wilson Counties. This district does not split VTDs or municipalities within the
37
counties, as it is comprised only of whole counties. LDTX80 Senate Tr. 5:5–9 (Nov.
2, 2021).
e. SD5 was created by the base county grouping map. It includes Edgecombe and Pitt
Counties. This district does not split VTDs or municipalities within the counties,
as it is comprised only of whole counties. LDTX80 Senate Tr. 5:11–15 (Nov. 2,
2021).
g. SD7 contains the majority of New Hanover County in the southeast corner of the
State. Because New Hanover County’s population was slightly larger than the
maximum allowable population in a single district, the Committee carved out
three precincts and included them in SD7. These three precincts were selected to
keep all municipalities in New Hanover County whole and to keep as much
population as possible in SD7. SD7 contains no split VTDs or municipalities.
LDTX80 Senate Tr. 5:21–6:13 (Nov. 2, 2021).
i. SD9 and SD12 comprise a two district, seven county cluster created by the base
county groupings in the southeastern part of the State. SD9 contains all of Bladen,
Jones, Duplin, and Pender Counties, as well as the majority of Sampson County.
SD12 contains a small portion of Sampson County, as well as all of Harnett and
Lee Counties. The Committee endeavored to keep as much of Sampson County as
possible in SD9. The Committee considered moving a single precinct from northern
Sampson County into SD12, but that would have split two municipalities and
placed more Sampson County residents in SD12 than the chosen route: splitting
two precincts, but leaving Spivey’s Corner intact in SD9 and Plainview whole in
SD12. Both SD9 and SD12 contain two split VTDs, but no split municipalities.
LDTX80 Senate Tr. 6:21–7:24 (Nov. 2, 2021).
k. SD11 was created by the base county grouping map. It includes Franklin, Nash,
and Vance Counties. This district does not split VTDs or municipalities within the
counties, as it is comprised only of whole counties. LDTX80 Senate Tr. 8:5–8 (Nov.
2, 2021).
l. SD13, SD14, SD15, SD16, SD17, and SD18 were created out of the two-county
grouping of Granville and Wake Counties. The Committee attempted to keep
municipalities whole, while splitting as few precincts as possible. Some VTDs had
to be split, however, to comply with one-person, one-vote standards. Raleigh had
38
to be split between multiple districts; 98% of Raleigh is within 3 Senate districts,
though. Further, Cary and Apex were unable to be contained within a single
district due to their populations and geographic constraints. All other
municipalities (Fuquay-Varina, Holly Springs, Garner, Knightdale, Morrisville,
Rolesville, Wake Forest, Wendell, and Zebulon) were kept whole. All in all, 10
VTDS were split to keep the municipalities whole and to balance out population.
LDTX80 Senate Tr. 8:10–9:13 (Nov. 2, 2021), Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
m. SD19 and SD21 were created out of Cumberland and Moore Counites. SD19 is
contained entirely within Cumberland County and was drawn to encompass as
much of Fayetteville as possible, although Fayetteville has an irregular shape and
many satellite annexations; indeed, it shares some precincts with other
municipalities, such as Hope Mills. Ultimately, the Committee was unable to keep
all of Fayetteville together but created a district that includes 88% of Fayetteville’s
population and includes nearly 15% of the population of Hope Mills. The district
has no split VTDs. SD21 includes all of Moore County and remainder of
Cumberland County, including the remainder of Fayetteville and Hope Mills’
population. LDTX80 Senate Tr. 12:11–13:11 (Nov. 2, 2021), Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
n. SD20 and SD22 were created out of Chatham and Durham Counties. SD20
includes all of Chatham County, most of incorporated Durham County—including
the portions of Chapel Hill in Durham County—and several peripheral Durham
City precincts. The bulk of Durham City (70% of its population), which is too large
39
to comprise its own Senate District, is within SD22. No VTDs were split in either
district. LDTX80 Senate Tr. 13:12–14:7 (Nov. 2, 2021).
o. SD23 was created by the base county grouping map. It includes Caswell, Orange,
and Person Counties. This district does not split VTDs or municipalities within
the counties, as it is comprised only of whole counties. LDTX80 Senate Tr. 14:9–
13 (Nov. 2, 2021).
p. SD24 was created by the base county grouping map. It includes Hoke, Robinson,
and Scotland Counties. This district does not split VTDs or municipalities within
the counties, as it is comprised only of whole counties. LDTX80 Senate Tr. 14:15–
15:8 (Nov. 2, 2021).
q. SD25, SD29, SD34, and SD35 were created out of a seven-county grouping in the
center of the State, including Alamance, Randolph, Cabarrus, Anson,
Montgomery, Richmond, and Union Counties. Due to population disparities,
Randolph, Cabarrus, and Union Counties were split between districts; the
remainder were left whole. LDTX80, Senate Tr. 14:22–15:7 (Nov. 2, 2021).
r. SD26, SD27, and SD28 are comprised of Guilford and Rockingham Counties. Each
contains part of Greensboro, which is itself too large to comprise its own district.
SD26 contains all of Rockingham County, as well as some unincorporated portions
of Guilford County and some of Greensboro’s bedroom communities. While it does
not contain any Greensboro precincts, it includes 4% of the city’s population. SD26
contains one VTD split, to keep the entire population of Kernersville in the district.
SD27 includes southern parts of Greensboro, as well as High Point. SD28 contains
the northern portion (about 2/3) of Greensboro and the majority (68%) of its
population. LDTX80, Senate Tr. 17:20–19:4 (Nov. 2, 2021).
s. SD30 was created by the base county grouping map. It includes Davie and
Davidson Counties. This district does not split VTDs or municipalities within the
40
counties, as it is comprised only of whole counties. LDTX80, Senate Tr. 19:5–19:9
(Nov. 2, 2021).
t. SD31 and SD32 are comprised of Stokes and Forsyth Counties. The Committee
paired Forsyth with Stokes County, rather than with Yadkin County, because this
pairing led to more compact districts and minimized municipality splitting;
Germantown and King span the Stokes/Forsyth county line. SD31 includes all of
Stokes County as well as suburban municipalities on the outskirts of Winston-
Salem, such as Bethania, Clemons, Germantown, Kernersville, King, Lewis, Rural
Hall, Tobaccoville, and Walkertown. Given that Winston-Salem is too large for one
district, SD31 also contains 16% of the city’s population. SD32 contains the vast
majority of the population of Winston-Salem (84%). Neither district contains split
VTDs. LDTX80, Senate Tr. 19:11–21:4 (Nov. 2, 2021). Stokes County could be kept
whole, so it was. Winston Salem is too populous to be a district by itself. Trial Tr.
01/05/2022.
u. SD33 was created by the base county grouping map. It includes Rowan and Stanly
Counties. This district does not split VTDs or municipalities within the counties,
as it is comprised only of whole counties. LDTX80, Senate Tr. 21:19–21:24 (Nov.
2, 2021).
v. SD36 is made up of Alexander, Surry, and Yadkin Counties and is the remainder
of the grouping stemming from the combination of Stokes and Forsyth counties.
This district does not split VTDs or municipalities within the counties, as it is
comprised only of whole counties. LDTX80, Senate Tr. 21:5–21:18 (Nov. 2, 2021).
w. SD37, SD38, SD39, SD40, SD41, and SD42 were created out of the two-county
grouping of Iredell and Mecklenburg Counties. Naturally, Charlotte—the largest
city in the State—is split between 5 of these Mecklenburg-based districts. Senate
Tr. 21:25–22:4 (Nov. 2, 2021).
41
of Charlotte’s population resides in the district. The district contains no
split VTDs. LDTX80, Senate Tr. 24:5–24:13 (Nov. 2, 2021).
e. SD41 includes south Charlotte, Matthews, and Mint Hill, as well as some
unincorporated territory. 18% of Charlotte’s population is in this district,
comprising about 71% of the district’s population. The district contains no
split VTDs. LDTX80, Senate Tr. 24:14–24:25 (Nov. 2, 2021). This district
encompasses Matthews and Mint Hill. Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
f. SD42 includes portions of Uptown Charlotte, south Charlotte, and east
Charlotte. No other portions of Mecklenburg County are included. 25% of
Charlotte’s population lives in this district no split VTDs. LDTX80, Senate
Tr. 25:1–25:18 (Nov. 2, 2021).
x. SD43 and SD44 include Gaston, Cleveland, and Lincoln Counties. SD43 contains
most of Gaston County, although 5 VTDs (in Cherryville, Landers Chapel, and
Tryon) were placed in SD44 to even out population. SD44 includes these VTDs, as
well as all of Lincoln and Cleveland Counties. LDTX80, Senate Tr. 25:19–26:6
(Nov. 2, 2021).
y. SD45, SD47, and SD50 are drawn from a grouping of 17 western North Carolina
counties. Given the counties’ geographic locations and populations, two of the 17
counties (Caldwell and Haywood) were required to be split. SD45 includes all of
Catawba County, as well as the southeast portion of Caldwell County. SD47
contains the remainder of Caldwell County, including Lenoir. (Two VTDs were
split between SD45 and SD47 to keep Lenoir whole.) SD47 also contains portions
of Haywood County, including Canton, and all of Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Madison,
Mitchell, Watauga, and Yancey Counties. SD50 includes the remainder of
Haywood County, and all of Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Jackson, Macon, Swain, and
Transylvania Counties. SD50 contains no split precincts or municipalities.
LDTX80, Senate Tr. 27:3–28:18 (Nov. 2, 2021).
aa. There were two options for how the Buncombe grouping could be formed. They
opted for the one that formed Burke County, McDowell County, and Buncombe
County together because it was the more compact version. The committee
determined that Burke and McDowell counties could be kept whole, so they were.
SD49 was drawn to include the precincts that make up Asheville. Trial Tr.
01/05/2022.
bb. SD48 includes the whole of Henderson, Polk, and Rutherford Counties. LDTX80,
Senate Tr. 26:7–26:12 (Nov. 2, 2021).
42
109. Ultimately, two amendments were accepted in the Senate Committee: (1) An
(SD26, SD27, and SD28). Senator Hise testified that this amendment was presented at the
behest of Senator Robinson, a Democratic member from Guilford, who, under the version
presented by the chairs, was double-bunked with Senator Garrett. Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
During debate, Senator Robinson attested in Committee that she understood the amendment
complied with the VRA and considered it a fair draw. Id.; LDTX80, Senate Tr. 104:3–105:4
(Nov. 2, 2021). (2) An amendment offered by Senator Marcus changing the Durham/Chatham
County grouping (SD20 and SD22). Senator Murdock, a Democratic member from Durham,
attested in Committee that she understood the amendment complied with the VRA and
110. The Committee concluded that the 2021 Senate Plan complies with the
adopted criteria. The Committee determined that the Senate map successfully balances the
racial and political data, and minimizing the division of municipalities and VTDs. LDTX80,
111. The legislative record shows that stated goals achieved by the 2021 House Plan
a. The mapmakers made every effort to keep previous districts intact. LDTX76,
House Tr. 9:12–15 (Nov. 1, 2021).
b. Rural areas lost immense population in the 2010s and, therefore, changes were
necessary. For instance, House District 23 previously included only Edgecombe
and Martin Counties. But Bertie County had to be added to meet population
requirements. LDTX76, House Tr. 8:14–23 (Nov. 1, 2021).
c. The House Committee Chair endeavored to keep counties whole whenever it was
possible. For instance, although Chatham, Lee, and Polk Counties could have been
split, they were not. LDTX76, House Tr. 9:20–10:4 (Nov. 1, 2021).
43
d. The Chair also sought to minimize the splitting of VTDs. While the 2011 map had
hundreds of split VTDs, the proposed map had only 6 VTD splits. LDTX76, House
Tr. 10:5–11 (Nov. 1, 2021).
e. The Chair honored municipal boundaries and made every effort to keep
municipalities whole. To the extent splits were necessary, the majority of them
were in areas with little to no population. LDTX76, House Tr. 10:12–19 (Nov. 1,
2021).
f. Every district in the map proposed by the Chair is contiguous. LDTX76, House Tr.
10:20–21 (Nov. 1, 2021).
g. The bare minimum number of incumbents were “double-bunked” into the same
districts. LDTX76, House Tr. 10:22–10:25 (Nov. 1, 2021).
112. Goals for certain House districts in certain counties were as follows:
a. Because the Wake county grouping added two house districts during this
redistricting cycle, Representative Hall was unable to keep the districts similar to
the previous redistricting plan. Towns like Wake Forest, Rolesville, and Fuquay-
Varina were sought to be kept whole, with Raleigh in as few districts as possible.
Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
b. Because Mecklenburg County grouping added one House District and an attempt
was made to keep it similar to the previous redistricting plan for the county. Mint
Hill was unsplit and combined with Matthews because the two communities are
similar. Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
c. The Guilford County grouping added no seats, and a goal was to change the
districts as little as possible considering past litigation of districts in the county.
Only a few precincts were moved for population balancing. Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
d. Pitt County was previously paired with Lenoir, and therefore its configuration
could no longer be kept the same. An attempt was made to not split Greenville and
ECU. Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
e. In the Buncombe County grouping, Asheville had been divided up and a goal was
to keep Asheville entirely within two districts. Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
f. Districts in New Hanover County were intended to remain largely the same.
Wilmington is kept almost entirely within Districts 18 and 20. Trial Tr.
01/05/2022.
g. The goal for the Cumberland County grouping was to change the districts as little
as possible considering past litigation of districts in the county. A small number of
precincts were changed for population purposes. Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
44
h. The Forsyth County cluster districts are largely similar to the districts in the
previous map with the biggest difference being that the county is now paired with
Stokes county instead of Yadkin county. A goal was to not divide schools, including
Wake Forest University. Winston-Salem had to be split because of its population.
Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
redistricting. None of the innumerable alternative redistricting plans on the record before
this Court was presented to the General Assembly during the 2021 redistricting.
114. As shown above, although the redistricting process must start anew at the
beginning of each decade, and no prior maps were loaded onto the map-drawing machines for
legislators or other maps allowed into the room, Representative Hall sought to draw districts
as close as possible to districts used in the past and with potential litigation in mind.
Department of Political Science at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. PX482 at 2 ¶2.
Dr. Chen is also a Research Associate Professor at the Center for Political Studies of the
Institute for Social Research at the University of Michigan and a Research Associate at the
116. Dr. Chen has extensive experience in redistricting matters. PX482 at 2 ¶4.
Dr. Chen has published academic papers on legislative districting and political geography in
several political science journals, including The American Journal of Political Science and
The American Political Science Review, and Election Law Journal. Id. at 2 ¶3. His academic
systems (GIS) data, redistricting, racial politics, legislatures, and political geography. Id. He
also has expertise in the use of computer simulations of legislative districting and in
45
analyzing political geography, elections, and redistricting. Id. Dr. Chen has presented expert
117. Dr. Chen was qualified and accepted as an expert at trial in the fields of
118. Dr. Chen analyzed the partisan bias of the enacted congressional plan on a
statewide and district-by-district basis. PX482 at 3 ¶6. Dr. Chen did not analyze the state
legislative districts in the Enacted Plan. Based on his analysis, Dr. Chen concluded that
partisan intent predominated over the 2021 Adopted Criteria in drawing the adopted
congressional plan, and that the Republican advantage in the enacted plan cannot be
gerrymandering, and electoral bias, Dr. Chen has developed various computer simulation
programming techniques that allow him to produce a large number of nonpartisan districting
plans that adhere to traditional districting criteria using U.S. Census geographies as building
blocks. PX482 at 4 ¶7. Dr. Chen’s simulation process ignores all partisan and racial
considerations when drawing districts, and the computer simulations are instead
programmed to draw districting plans following various traditional districting goals, such as
equalizing population, avoiding county and Voting Tabulation District (VTD) splits, and
plans that closely adhere to these traditional districting criteria, Dr. Chen assesses an
enacted plan drawn by a state legislature and determines whether partisan goals motivated
the legislature to deviate from these traditional districting criteria. Id. Specifically, by
46
holding constant the application of nonpartisan, traditional districting criteria through the
simulations, he is able to determine whether the enacted plan could have been the product
120. Because Dr. Chen analyzed only the enacted congressional plan, findings based
upon his statewide, regional, and district-level analysis are made in more detail below.
in the field of political science since 2002 and is currently the Robert Lee Madison
University. PX425 at 1 (Cooper Rep.). Dr. Cooper was previously accepted as an expert in
122. Dr. Cooper was qualified and accepted as an expert at trial in the field of
political science with a specialty in the political geography and political history of North
123. Dr. Cooper analyzed the 2021 Congressional Plan the partisan effects of each
district’s boundaries.
population growth that came largely from the Democratic-leaning Triangle (Raleigh-
Durham-Chapel Hill) and the Charlotte metropolitan areas, the number of anticipated
Democratic seats under the enacted map actually decreases, with only three anticipated
Democratic seats, compared with the five seats that Democrats won in the 2020 election.
125. The 2021 Congressional Plan reduces the anticipated number of Democratic
Guilford, Mecklenburg, and Wake among three congressional districts each. PX425 at 3.
47
There was no population-based reason to divide each of these three Democratic-leaning
counties across three districts and in the congressional plan in effect for the 2020 election,
Guilford County fell entirely within one district, while Mecklenburg and Wake counties were
each divided into only two districts. PX425 at 3; Trial Tr. 01/03/2022.
126. Dr. Cooper produced a series of maps showing the congressional district
district boundaries in yellow, the county boundaries in black, and VTD boundaries in gray.
Dr. Cooper also used the combined, two-party vote differential in the results of the 2020
Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections to measure and display partisanship of
the VTDs on these maps. In each map, darker red shading indicates a larger Republican vote
margin in the VTD, darker blue shading indicates a larger Democratic vote margin in the
VTD, and lighter colors indicate VTDs that were closer to evenly split in Democratic and
Republican vote shares in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections.
PX425 at 15.
48
PX438 (Cooper Map 3)
127. The congressional district map is best understood as a single organism given
that the boundaries drawn for a particular congressional district in one part of the state will
necessarily affect the boundaries drawn for districts elsewhere in the state. PX425 at 15.
Trial Tr. 01/03/2022. Thus, the Court finds that the “cracking and packing” of Democratic
voters in Guilford, Mecklenburg, and Wake counties has “ripple effects throughout the map.”
PX425 at 15.
128. Dr. Cooper produced a map showing the state-wide congressional map with
red-and-blue shading of VTDs based on the two-party vote margin in the results of the 2020
49
PX439 (Cooper Map 4)
129. Dr. Cooper calculated the two-party vote margin in the results of the 2020
Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections for the districts in the 2021 Congressional
Plan in order to estimate the partisan lean of each district. By this measure, the Court finds
that the 2021 Congressional Plan will result in 10 Republican seats, 3 Democratic seats, and
1 competitive seat. PX425 at 20 & Table 1. Other measures of the partisan lean of each
district in the 2021 Congressional Plan, including the Cook Political Report’s Partisan Voter
Index (PVI) and the percentage of the electorate that voted for Donald Trump in the 2020
election, are consistent with the two-party vote margin in the results of the 2020 Secretary
incumbent will lose her seat. PX425 at 4. The 2021 Congressional Plan includes one district
50
“overwhelmingly favors” the Republican candidate based on the district’s partisan lean.
PX425 at 4.
131. The 2021 House and Senate Plans similarly benefit the Republican Party.
PX425 at 49. Although certain county groupings were mandated by the Stephenson county
grouping rule, Legislative Defendants retained discretion over certain county groupings
where there were alternate possibilities. Id. Specifically, Legislative Defendants chose from
between 16 potential different county grouping maps in the Senate and 8 different potential
county grouping maps in the House. Id. In addition, Legislative Defendants retained
discretion over where to draw the district boundaries within each grouping, with the
132. Legislative Defendants’ exercise of this discretion in the Senate and House
2021 Plans resulted in Senate and House district boundaries that enhanced the Republican
candidates’ partisan advantage, and this finding is consistent with a finding of partisan
intent.
133. Dr. Cooper also explained how partisan redistricting carried out across the
State has led to a substantial disconnect between the ideology and policy preferences of North
134. Findings based upon Dr. Cooper’s analysis of each district in the 2021
Congressional Plan and State Senate and House Plans are made below.
135. Jonathan Mattingly, Ph.D., is a North Carolina native, and the James B. Duke
Professor of Mathematics at Duke. PX629; PX630. Dr. Mattingly submitted a report for
Harper Plaintiffs that demonstrates the extent of partisan redistricting in each of the enacted
maps through longstanding statistical methods. PX629. Dr. Mattingly is an expert in applied
51
mathematics, probability, and statistical science. Dr. Mattingly developed his method of
gerrymandering. Id.; Trial Tr. 01/03/2022. The General Assembly, in fact, used Dr.
136. Dr. Mattingly has testified in two previous cases. In the federal partisan
gerrymandering case relating to North Carolina’s congressional districts and in the 2019
Common Cause case, in which the court found that “Dr. Mattingly’s simulated maps provide
a reliable and statistically accurate baseline against which to compare the 2017 Plans,” that
“[b]y comparing Dr. Mattingly’s simulated plans to the enacted plans, the Court can reliably
assess whether the characteristics and partisan outcomes under the enacted plans could
plausibly have resulted from a nonpartisan process,” and that Dr. Mattingly’s analysis allows
the court to “reliably assess whether the enacted plans reflect extreme partisan
137. Dr. Mattingly was qualified and accepted as an expert at trial in the fields of
138. Dr. Mattingly used the Metropolis-Hasting Markov Chain Monte Carlo
(“MCMC”) Algorithm to create a representative set, or “ensemble,” of 100,000 maps for the
state legislative districts and 80,000 maps for congressional districts as benchmarks against
which he could compare the enacted maps. PX629 at 10, 72; Trial Tr. 01/03/2022. The
algorithm produced maps that accorded with traditional districting criteria. Id. at 9, 72; Trial
Tr. 01/03/2022. Dr. Mattingly tuned his algorithm to ensure that the nonpartisan qualities
of the simulated maps were similar to the nonpartisan qualities of the enacted map with
respect to compactness and, for his primary ensembles, municipality splits. Id. Dr. Mattingly
52
also designed the algorithm to develop maps that respected the county clustering
requirement for state legislative maps under Stephenson I. Id. at 5–6. The algorithm did not
fairness. Id. at 2. The MCMC Algorithm that Dr. Mattingly employed ensured that the
collection of maps was a stable, random and representative sample from the distribution of
nonpartisan maps that adhere to the redistricting criteria. Id. at 72; Trial Tr. 01/03/2022.
139. For Congressional Districts, Dr. Mattingly ensured that the total population of
any district was within 1% of the ideal district population; he has verified in his prior work
that the small changes necessary to require perfect population balance, which would require
splitting VTDs, do not affect the results seen in an ensemble of maps where 1% population
deviation is permitted. Id. After generating the sample of maps, Dr. Mattingly used votes
from multiple prior North Carolina statewide elections reflecting a range of electoral
outcomes to compare the partisan performance and characteristics of the 2021 Congressional
140. The Court finds, based upon Dr. Mattingly’s analysis, that the Congressional
map is the product of intentional, pro-Republican partisan redistricting. PX629 at 75. The
enacted map sticks at 4 Democrats and 10 Republicans despite large shifts in the statewide
vote fraction across a wide variety of elections, in elections where no nonpartisan map would
elect as few as 4 Democrats and many would elect 7 or 8. PX629 at 75. The Congressional
map is “an extreme outlier” that is “highly non-responsive to the changing opinion of the
141. For State House and Senate Districts, after generating the sample of maps,
Dr. Mattingly used historical elections data to simulate how his nonpartisan maps would
perform under a variety of political climates. Id. at 10; Trial Tr. 01/03/2022. He considered
the following statewide election contest in the years 2016 and 2020: races for Governor,
53
Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General, United States Senate, Commissioner of Insurance,
142. The Court finds, based upon Dr. Mattingly’s analysis, that the State House and
Senate plans are extreme outliers that “systematically favor the Republican Party to an
extent which is rarely, if ever, seen in the non-partisan collection of maps.” PX629 at 2. The
Republican supermajorities in instances in which the majority or the vast majority of plans
in Dr. Mattingly’s ensemble would have broken it. Id. at 3, 10. The House map is also
especially anomalous under elections where a non-partisan map would almost always give
Democrats the majority in the House because the enacted map denied Democrats that
majority. Id. The probability that this partisan bias arose by chance, without an intentional
143. For the State House Districts, the enacted plan shows a systematic bias toward
the Republican party, favoring Republicans in every single one of the 16 elections he
considered. PX629 at 11. It is an outlier in its favoring of Republicans in the vast majority
of the elections used in Dr. Mattingly’s analysis. Id. The only three elections where the
enacted map is not an extreme outlier are in elections that have strong Republican vote
fractions (Treasurer 2020, Senate 2016, and Lieutenant Governor 2016) where the
144. The North Carolina House maps show that they are the product of an
scenarios. Id. at 10. Elections that under typical maps would produce a Democratic majority
in the North Carolina House give Republicans a majority under the enacted maps. Id.
Likewise, maps that would normally produce a Republican majority under nonpartisan maps
54
produce a Republican supermajority under the enacted maps. Id. Among every possible
election that Dr. Mattingly analyzed, the partisan results were more extreme than what
would be seen from nonpartisan maps. Id. at 11; Trial Tr. 01/03/2022. In every election
scenario, Republicans won more individual seats that they statistically should under
145. The 2021 House Plan’s partisan bias creates firewalls protecting the
Republican supermajority and majority in the House, and this effect is particularly robust
when the Republicans are likely to lose the supermajority: the enacted plan sticks at 48
Democratic seats or fewer, even in situations where virtually all of the plans in the
nonpartisan ensemble would elect 49 Democratic seats or more. Id. at 11; PX633 (Mattingly
Figure 5.1.1).
146. For the State Senate Districts, the results are the same: the enacted plan is an
outlier or an extreme outlier in elections where Democrats win a vote share between 47.5%
and 50.5%. PX629 at 21. This range is significant because many North Carolina elections
have this vote fraction, and this is the range where the non-partisan ensemble shows that
Republicans lose the super-majority. Id. But the enacted map in multiple elections used in
Dr. Mattingly’s analysis sticks at less than 21 Democratic seats, preserving a Democratic
supermajority. Notably, the enacted map never favors the Democratic party in comparison
to the non-partisan ensemble in a single one of the 16 elections that Dr. Mattingly considered.
147. Dr. Mattingly demonstrated the supermajority firewall by plotting the results
of the statewide elections using the enacted Senate plan and his nonpartisan simulations in
Figure 5.2.1, which is similar to Figure 5.1.1 for the House. PX629 at 22; PX643.
148. Although the effect is not as significant as in the House, the enacted plan elects
fewer Democrats in each election than the majority or vast majority of plans in the non-
partisan ensemble. Id. And in particular, the Senate plan sticks at 20 Democratic seats
55
across a variety of elections in which the overwhelming majority of non-partisan plans hit 21
149. Dr. Mattingly also performed an analysis to determine the extent of “cracking”
and “packing” in the enacted maps. Id. at 12. In maps that are cracked and packed, it is
expect to see that the concentrations of Democratic voters are outliers as compared to
150. For the Congressional maps, Dr. Mattingly ordered the fourteen districts in
the congressional plan in his ensemble of nonpartisan plans from lowest to highest based on
the Democratic vote fraction in each district, using statewide elections. PX629 at 75, Fig.
151. The Court finds that cracking Democrats from the more competitive districts
and packing them into the most heavily Republican and heavily Democratic districts is the
key signature of intentional partisan redistricting and it is responsible for the enacted
shown in his charts. Id. at 75-76; Trial Tr. 01/03/2022. Across his 80,000 simulated
nonpartisan plans, not a single one had the same or more Democratic voters packed into the
three most Democratic districts – i.e., the districts Democrats would win no matter what – in
comparison to the enacted plan. Id. And not a single one had the same or more Republican
voters in the next seven districts – i.e., the competitive districts – in comparison to the
enacted plan. Id. That was true across every single statewide election in 2016 and 2020. Id.
152. For the House, the enacted maps, as compared to the sample maps, there is an
overconcentration of Democratic voters in the least Democratic districts and in the most
Democratic districts. Id. at 16; PX637. The Court finds that the districts with the highest
concentration of Democrats have far more Democratic voters than expected in nonpartisan
56
maps, and threshold districts have far fewer Democratic voters than expected in nonpartisan
153. In the middle districts—between the 60th most Democratic seat and the 80th
most Democratic seat—the Democratic vote fraction in the enacted plan is far below the boxes
representing the nonpartisan plans. PX629 at 16. These are the seats that determine the
supermajority line and the majority line (if Republicans win the 61st seat, they win the
majority, and if they win the 72nd most Democratic seat, they win the supermajority). The
Court finds that the systematic depletion of Democratic votes in those districts signals
packing, does not exist in the non-partisan ensemble, and is responsible for the map’s
partisan outlier behavior. Id. Those Democrat votes are instead placed in the 90th to 105th
most Democratic district, where they are wasted because those seats are already comfortably
Democratic. Id.
154. For the Senate, the same structure appears where virtually all of the seats in
the middle range that determines majority and supermajority control have abnormally few
important indicator of partisan intent, the Court finds that even if a districting plan is the
in a wave election under the intentionally partisan maps. Trial Tr. 01/03/2022.
156. Dr. Mattingly also conducted a secondary analysis for each chamber in which
he only considered plans that preserved the same or fewer incumbents than the enacted
plans. The Court finds that this did not affect his results and that “a desire to prevent the
pairing of incumbents cannot explain the extreme outlier behavior of the enacted plan.”
57
157. Finally, Dr. Mattingly observed that the enacted Senate plan appeared to split
very few municipalities in comparison to what was possible under a nonpartisan ensemble,
while the enacted House plan split many more municipalities. PX629 at 10. He explored
why the House and Senate plans would have treated municipality splits differently by
creating two entirely new ensembles for the House and Senate – in the House, he created a
new ensemble that prioritized preserving municipalities (as opposed to matching the enacted
plan’s preservation of municipalities), and in the Senate, he created an ensemble that did not
158. Dr. Mattingly concluded that the choice to preserve municipalities in the
Senate but not in the House appeared to have been a partisan choice. He compared the
partisan properties of the new ensembles to his original ensembles and found that, for the
Senate plan, relaxing the requirement to preserve municipalities leads to an ensemble that
is more favorable to the Democrats, meaning that the enacted plan would be an extreme
outlier in more situations. Compare Figure 5.2.7 with Figure 5.2.1. Put differently,
prioritizing municipality preservation in the Senate plan appears to enable more maps that
favor Republicans. By contrast, for the House plan, where the enacted map does not prioritize
preserving municipalities, he found that his new ensemble prioritizing municipalities would
not have favored the Republican party in comparison. PX629 at 10. The Court finds that the
mapmakers focused on municipalities in the state legislature only when doing so advantaged
Republicans.
159. The partisan bias that Dr. Mattingly identified by comparing the enacted plans
to his nonpartisan ensemble of plans could not be explained by political geography or natural
packing. PX629 at 3. Moreover, Dr. Mattingly’s analysis did not rest on any assumption
58
(iv) Harper Plaintiffs’ Expert Dr. Wesley Pegden
probability. PX523 at 1 (Pegden Report). Dr. Pegden has published numerous papers on
discrete mathematics and probability in high-impact, peer-reviewed journals, and has been
awarded multiple prestigious grants, fellowships, and awards. Id.; PX524 (Pegden CV). He
before Dr. Pegden had ever served as an expert in redistricting litigation, he published a
journal. PX523 n.1. This article provides a new way to demonstrate that a given object is an
162. Dr. Pegden was qualified and accepted as an expert at trial in probability. Trial
Tr. 01/03/2022.
163. Dr. Pegden explained that there are three ways to show that a given object is
an outlier. One of these forms of outlier analysis, developed by Dr. Pegden and his co-authors,
begins with the object in question, uses a Markov chain to make a series of small, random
changes to the object, and then compares the objects generated by making the small changes
to the original object. PX628 at 1. Dr. Pegden’s article illustrates this methodology using a
redistricting plan. Id. at 3-5. The article demonstrates that, by using an existing plan as a
starting point and then making small random changes to the district boundaries, one can
prove the extent to which the existing plan is an outlier compared to all possible maps
59
meeting certain criteria. Id. Dr. Pegden’s article proves mathematical theorems showing
that this approach can establish a redistricting plan’s outlier status in a way that is
was filed or the 2021 Plans were enacted—Dr. Pegden and three co-authors (including Dr.
Significance in Markov Chain Tests” in the journal Statistics and Public Policy.
164. In this case, Dr. Pegden used his form of outlier analysis to evaluate whether
and to what extent the 2021 Plans were drawn with the intentional and extreme use of
partisan considerations. To do so, using a computer program, Dr. Pegden began with the
enacted plans, made a sequence of small random changes to the maps while respecting
certain nonpartisan constraints, and then evaluated the partisan characteristics of the
165. Dr. Pegden’s analysis proceeded in several steps. He began with the enacted
map. His computer program then randomly selected a geographic unit on the boundary line
between two districts and attempted to move or “swap” the unit from the district it is in into
the neighboring district. PX523 at 8-9. Dr. Pegden’s method uses two different geographic
units, VTDs and geounits. PX523 at 8. For the congressional plan, Dr. Pegden’s primary
analysis used VTDs, not geounits. Id. But to verify that the choice between VTDs and
geounits did not affect his results, he also repeated his analyses using geounits, which allows
for the splitting of VTDs. Id. at 8, 46. Created by a computer program, geounits are compact
collections of census blocks that lie entirely within one VTD and one district, containing on
average 1000 people. There are roughly four geounits per VTD. Id. at 8.
166. When attempting to swap a randomly selected VTD or geounit from one district
to another, Dr. Pegden allowed the swap to occur only if certain constraints were satisfied.
PX523 at 7 (Pegden Report). These constraints were based on the 2021 Adopted Criteria and
60
included: contiguity, compact districts, county preservation, municipal preservation, VTD
167. Dr. Pegden applied these constraints in a “conservative” way, to “avoid second-
guessing the mapmakers’ choices in how they implemented the districting criteria.” PX523
at 7. For example, his algorithm generated a comparison map only if it included an equal or
lesser number of county splits, municipal splits, and VTD splits as the enacted plan. Id. His
comparison maps could not double-bunk any incumbents that were not double-bunked in the
enacted plan. Id. For compactness, comparison maps needed to have a Polsby-Popper score
within a 5% margin of the enacted plan. And for population deviation, comparison maps
needed to have district populations within 2% of the ideal district population. Id.
168. Dr. Pegden ran several “robustness checks” to ensure that implementing the
criteria differently would not affect the results of his analysis. PX523 at 39-47. For
Id. at 41. For compactness, he re-ran his analysis allowing for 0% difference between the
compactness of generated maps and the enacted map, and also allowing for a 10% difference.
Id. at 42-43. He also used a different measure of compactness altogether to ensure that using
the Polsby-Popper measure was not affecting his results. Id. at 44. For district population,
Dr. Pegden re-ran his analysis with a 1% threshold for population deviation and a 0.5%
deviation (the latter of which allowed for VTD splits). Id. at 10, 45-46. He also ran a version
of his analysis using, as his baseline map, a version of the enacted map that split no VTDs.
Id. at 10, 47. None of these changes affected Dr. Pegden’s conclusion that the congressional
map is an extreme partisan outlier and is more carefully crafted to ensure Republican
61
169. Because of this conservative implementation of the enacted criteria, Dr.
Pegden’s algorithm does not seek to generate maps better than the enacted plan in terms of
their adherence to non-partisan criteria like compactness. PX523 at 7. Rather, Dr. Pegden’s
approach accepts the decisions the map-maker made and asks whether, “even if we accept
that the mapmakers have made appropriate choices with respect to nonpartisan criteria such
so on, does their plan nevertheless stand out with respect to its partisan qualities?” Id.
170. Once Dr. Pegden’s algorithm made a swap satisfying his constraints, his
algorithm evaluated the partisan characteristics of the comparison map that resulted from
the swap. PX523 at 5, 9-10. For his main analysis, Dr. Pegden used data from the 2020
Attorney General race to analyze the congressional plan. Id. at 39. Dr. Pegden also re-ran
his analysis using three additional elections—the 2020 Presidential election, the 2020
Lieutenant Governor election, and the 2020 Governor election. Id. at 39-40. Using these
different historical elections did not alter Dr. Pegden’s conclusions. Id.
171. To evaluate the partisan characteristics of each comparison map, Dr. Pegden’s
algorithm calculates the number of seats Democratic candidates would win, on average, if a
random uniform swing were repeatedly applied to the historical voting data being used.
PX523 at 9-10. This metric captures how a given comparison map would perform over a
range of electoral environments centered around the base election being used (i.e., the 2020
172. Dr. Pegden’s algorithm repeats the foregoing steps billions or trillions of times.
The algorithm begins with the enacted map, makes a small random change complying with
certain constraints, and uses historical voting data to evaluate the partisan characteristics
of the resulting map. PX523 at 5. The algorithm then repeats those steps, each time using
the comparison map generated by the previous change as the starting point. Id. By repeating
62
this process many times, Dr. Pegden’s algorithm generates a large number of comparison
maps in sequence, each map differing from the previous map only by one small random
change. Id. at 5, 8.
173. Each sequence of billions or trillions of small changes in Dr. Pegden’s analysis
is one “run.” PX523 at 5. For the congressional plan, a run consisted of approximately one
trillion small changes. Id. His algorithm performs multiple runs for each map being
analyzed, with each run beginning with the enacted plan as the starting point. Id.
174. The comparison maps generated by Dr. Pegden’s algorithm are not intended to
provide a baseline for what neutral, nonpartisan maps of the North Carolina House or Senate
should look like. PX523 at 7, 10. Instead, Dr. Pegden’s comparison maps are intended to be
similar to the enacted map in question with respect their relevant nonpartisan
characteristics, in order to assess how carefully created the enacted plan is to maximize
partisan advantage. Id. Thus, when Dr. Pegden reports the number of Democratic seats
expected under a particular set of generated maps, that does not necessarily reflect the
number of Democratic seats that would be expected under a representative set of neutral,
nonpartisan districting maps. Id. at 10. Nor does Dr. Pegden’s method “evaluate the fairness
of a districting by whether it produces a ‘small’ or ‘large number of seats for one party.” Id.
The number of Democratic seats expected “is merely a metric used to compare one map to
another”—i.e., to determine whether “the enacted map is [an] extreme outlier with respect to
how optimized for partisanship it is compared to the set of alternative comparison districts
175. As explained in further detail below, Dr. Pegden found, and the Court so finds,
that the enacted congressional plan is more favorable to Republicans than 99.9999% of the
comparison maps his algorithm generated by making small random changes to the enacted
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plans. Id. at 13. And based on these results, Dr. Pegden’s theorems prove, and the Court so
finds, that the enacted congressional map is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than
at least 99.9999% of all possible maps of North Carolina satisfying the nonpartisan
176. The Court finds that even without using applying the mathematical theories
developed in his academic papers, Dr. Pegden’s first-level analysis provides evidence that the
2021 congressional plan was “drawn to optimize partisan advantage in the enacted plan.”
PX523 at 5. In every run, the enacted congressional plan was in the most partisan 0.000031%
of the approximately one trillion maps generated making tiny random changes to the
district’s boundaries. PX523 at 13. “[I]f the districting had not been drawn to carefully
optimize its partisan bias, we would expect naturally that making small random changes to
the districting would not have such a dramatic and consistent partisan effect.” Id. at 5. And
the Court also finds that Dr. Pegden’s second-level analysis provides mathematically precise
calculations of how carefully crafted the plan is—that is, how precisely the district boundaries
align with partisan voting patterns so as to advantage Republicans—when compared not just
to the comparison maps generated in each run of his algorithm, but to all possible maps of
177. Dr. Pegden conducted analyses of the 2021 House and Senate maps using the
same method underlying his analysis of the congressional map. PX523 at 14-15. The Court
finds, as did Dr. Pegden, that the House and Senate maps are partisan outliers in their
partisan bias and the degree to which they are optimized for partisan advantage. Id.
178. While Dr. Pegden’s overall method for analyzing the House and Senate maps
was the same as for the congressional map, he made certain changes to his criteria to account
for differences in how state legislative maps are drawn in North Carolina. In particular, his
comparison house and Senate maps used the same county clustering as used in the enacted
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maps. PX523 at 7. And his House and Senate comparison maps needed to have district
populations within 5% of the ideal district population—the same threshold that the General
Assembly permitted in the 2021 Adopted Criteria. Id.; see PX34. All other criteria—
and incumbency protection—were the same as for the congressional analysis. PX523 at 7.
And Dr. Pegden performed similar robustness checks to ensure that changes to these criteria
(for example, using a different compactness threshold) did not affect his results, which they
179. For some county groupings, because of Dr. Pegden’s conservative application
of his constraints, it was impossible for his algorithm to find a swap that satisfied all of the
constraints. PX523 at 8. When this occurred, Dr. Pegden ran a modification of his algorithm
180. Although Dr. Pegden found that the House and Senate maps are extreme
partisan outliers on a statewide basis, his primarily analysis was inconclusive as to four
PX523 at 33. For these clusters, Dr. Pegden also re-ran his analysis using a different partisan
metric—the “wave threshold”—to determine whether they may have been drawn to achieve
“other conceivable partisan goals” besides merely maximizing Republican seat count, “such
wave threshold metric captures, for a given map, the smallest uniform swing in election
results that would be required to give the Democrats an additional seat. Id. Put differently,
this metric captures how large of a Democratic wave election the cluster could withstand
without losing any Republican seats. Id. For multiple of these groupings discussed further
below, the Court finds that the enacted map was an extreme outlier in the degree to which
65
Democratic election performance would need to increase to produce an additional Democratic
181. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden shows in his first-level analysis, that—in every
run—the enacted House map was more favorable to Republicans than 99.99999% of the
comparison maps generated by his algorithm making small random changes to the district
boundaries. PX523 at 14. The Court also finds that the enacted Senate map was more
182. As with the congressional plan, Dr. Pegden’s second-level analysis provides
mathematically precise calculations of how carefully crafted the 2021 House and Senate
maps are—that is, how precisely the district boundaries align with partisan voting patterns
in each run of his algorithm, but to all possible maps of North Carolina that satisfy his
constraints. For the enacted House map, the Court finds that the enacted map is more
carefully crafted for Republican partisan advantage than at least 99.9999% of all possible
maps of North Carolina satisfying his constraints. PX523 at 14. The Court also finds that
the enacted Senate map is more carefully crafted for Republican partisan advantage than at
least 99.9% of all possible maps of North Carolina satisfying Dr. Pegden’s constraints. Id. at
15.
PX523 at 4. Dr. Pegden’s algorithm compares the enacted map to other maps of North
Carolina, with the very same political geography. And Dr. Pegden’s theorems do not depend
66
(v) NCLCV Plaintiffs’ Expert Dr. Moon Duchin
184. Dr. Duchin holds a Ph.D. and an M.S. in Mathematics from the University of
Chicago as well as an A.B. in Mathematics and Women’s Studies from Harvard University.
She is a Professor of Mathematics and a Senior Fellow in the Jonathan M. Tisch College of
185. Dr. Duchin’s general research areas are geometry, topology, dynamics, and
applications of mathematics and computing to the study of elections and voting. Her
redistricting-related work has been published in venues such as the Election Law Journal,
Political Analysis, Foundations of Data Science, the Notices of the American Mathematical
Society, Statistics and Public Policy, the Virginia Policy Review, the Harvard Data Science
Review, Foundations of Responsible Computing, and the Yale Law Journal Forum. Id.
186. Dr. Duchin was qualified and accepted as an expert at trial in the field of
187. Dr. Duchin’s analysis seeks to address how a certain quantitative share of the
which is where “an electoral climate with a roughly 50-50 split in partisan preference should
of Majority Rule, which is where “a party or group with more than half of the votes should be
able to secure more than half of the seats.” Close-Votes-Close-Seats is essentially a corollary
(or byproduct) of Majority Rule; it is not practicable to design a map that always attains these
properties. Id.
188. Dr. Duchin has previously analyzed the impacts of political geography in
Massachusetts and found that even though Republicans tended to typically get over one-third
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of the statewide vote, it was impossible to draw a single Congressional district with a
Republican majority. Id. In North Carolina, however, Dr. Duchin’s analysis shows, and the
Court so finds, that the political geography of North Carolina today does not lead only to a
district map with partisan advantage given to one political party. Id. at 4-5.
189. The Enacted Plans behave as though they are built to resiliently safeguard
electoral advantage for Republican candidates. Applying a standard technique in the field,
Dr. Duchin overlayed each plan onto historical voting patterns from all 52 partisan elections
since 2012 in order to show how the Enacted Plans would have performed in actual North
190. The results reveal a partisan skew in close elections. PX150 at 4. For instance,
the 2020 vote for Chief Justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court resulted in a virtual tie,
with the Republican candidate winning by 401 votes. PX150 at 6. The Enacted Plans would
have converted that near tie at the ballot box into a resounding Republican victory in seat
share across the board: Republicans would have won 10 (71%) of North Carolina’s
congressional districts, 28 (56%) of North Carolina’s Senate districts, and 68 (57%) of North
Carolina’s House districts. PX150 at 6 (line labeled JS120). Nor is that election unusual.
191. Under this analysis, the Court finds that in every single one of the 52 elections
decided within a 6-point margin, the Enacted Plans give Republicans an outright majority in
the state’s congressional delegation, the State House, and the State Senate. PX150 at 5-6.
This is true even when Democrats win statewide by clear margins. For example, under this
analysis, in the 2020 gubernatorial race, although voters in that election preferred the
Democratic candidate by 4.6 percentage points, the Enacted Plans translate that preference
into a Republican 10-4 (71%) majority in the state’s congressional delegation, a 27-23 (54%)
majority in the state Senate, and a 62-58 (52%) majority in the state House—all when voters
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192. The Enacted Plans resiliently safeguard electoral advantage for Republican
candidates. PX150 at 5. This skewed result is not an inevitable feature of North Carolina’s
political geography.
193. The result of Dr. Duchin’s “overlay” analysis for the Enacted Congressional
Plan is clear: The plan is designed in a way that safeguards Republican majorities in any
plausible election outcome, including those where Democrats win more votes by clear
margins. The Enacted Congressional Plan will almost always yield 10 Republican seats and
4 Democratic seats. PX150 at 6. This includes Democratic victories as well as close elections.
PX150 at 6.
194. The below figure demonstrates the bias the Enacted Congressional Plan
creates across all 52 elections that Dr. Duchin studies by comparing Democratic vote share
(on the x-axis) with Democratic seat share (on the y-axis) for every election. PX150 at 7. A
map that responds to voters’ preferences would roughly track one of the diagonal lines
crossing at the “(50, 50)” point, where a 50% vote share generates a 50% seat share. Along
those lines, as either party wins more votes, it wins more seats. And if either party wins a
majority of votes, it wins a majority of seats. But as the figure shows, the Enacted
Congressional Plan (red dots) does not come near the diagonal lines or pass anywhere close
69
PX153 (Figure 2: Vote Shares and Seat Shares in Enacted & NCLCV Congressional Maps)
195. This shows that, under the Enacted Congressional Plan, more Democratic
votes usually do not mean more Democratic seats, reflected in the flat red line near the
bottom of the figure. Indeed, the bulk of the red dots are stuck on that line, where Democrats
carry only 4 of 14 districts. And in each of the 12 statewide contests where the Democratic
candidate won by less than seven percentage points, the winner carried only 4 or 5 of the 14
districts (these are the red dots in the lower-right quadrant, where more than half the votes
generated less than half the seats for Democratic candidates). Under the Enacted
Congressional Plan, a clear majority of Democratic votes does not translate into a majority
of seats. The Court finds that the Enacted Congressional Plan achieves these results by the
familiar means of “packing” and “cracking” Democratic voters across the state, as further
described below.
196. The Enacted Senate Plan effectuates the same sort of partisan advantage as
the Enacted Congressional Plan. The Enacted Senate Plan consistently creates Republican
majorities and precludes Democrats from winning a majority in the Senate even when
Democrats win more votes. Even in an essentially tied election or a close Democratic victory,
the Enacted Senate Plan gives Republicans a Senate majority, and sometimes even a veto-
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proof 30-seat majority. PX150 at 6. And that result holds even when Democrats win by larger
margins. Id.
197. The below figure demonstrates the bias in the Enacted Senate Plan across all
52 recent partisan elections by comparing Democratic vote share (on the x-axis) with
Democratic seat share (on the y-axis) across the 52 elections that Dr. Duchin used to analyze
the plan. PX150 at 7. A map that responds to voters’ preferences would roughly track one of
the diagonal lines crossing at the “(50, 50)” point, where a 50% vote share generates a 50%
seat share. As with the Enacted Congressional Plan, the Enacted Senate Plan (red dots) does
not come near the diagonal lines or pass anywhere close to the (50, 50) point. Instead, the
Enacted Plan falls well below all of the lines on the y-axis and crosses the x-axis far to the
right of the midpoint, showing a plan that consistently denies Democrats majorities even
PX153 (Figure 2: Vote Shares and Seat Shares in Enacted & NCLCV Senate Maps)
198. As with the Enacted Congressional Plan, the Court finds that the Enacted
Senate Plan achieves its partisan goals by packing Democratic voters into a small number of
Senate districts and then cracking the remaining Democratic voters by splitting them across
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199. Similarly, the Enacted House Plan is also designed to systematically prevent
Democrats from gaining a tie or a majority in the House. In close elections, the Enacted
House Plan always gives Republicans a substantial House majority. That Republican
majority is resilient and persists even when voters clearly express a preference for
200. The below figure plots Democratic vote share against Democratic seats across
all 52 recent partisan elections studied by Dr. Duchin. Again, the Enacted House Plan (red
dots) does not pass anywhere close to the (50, 50) point. Instead, the Enacted Plan falls well
below the block trendlines on the y-axis and crosses the x-axis far to the right of the midpoint,
PX153 (Figure 2: Vote Shares and Seat Shares in Enacted & NCLCV House Maps)
201. As with the Enacted Congressional Plan and the Enacted Senate Plan, the
Court finds that the Enacted House Plan achieves this resilient pro-Republican bias by the
familiar mechanisms of packing and cracking Democratic voters, as further described below.
72
(vi) Plaintiff Common Cause’s Expert Dr. Daniel
Magleby
courtesy appointment in the Department of Economics and is the director of the Center for
203. Dr. Magleby was qualified and accepted as an expert at trial in the fields of
political geography and legislative and congressional elections, mathematical modeling and
set of unbiased maps against which he compared the enacted House, Senate, and
districts and to draw maps that were contiguous and roughly equal in population. Id. Dr.
Magleby then used this algorithm to develop a set of between 20,000 and 100,000 maps, from
which he took a random sample of 1,000 maps that roughly met the North Carolina
205. Dr. Magleby then aggregated statewide votes from statewide races between
2016 and 2020 to the voting district level in order to determine typical partisan performance
in North Carolina state elections (a “seats carried” analysis). Id. at 8, 9. In order to match up
the vote share to the newly enacted districts, Dr. Magleby determined which simulated
district a precinct would fall in and assigned that precinct’s vote count to the hypothetical
district. Id. at 7. If the precinct fell in more than one simulated district, Dr. Magleby assigned
to the sample district the proportion of the votes as determined by the precinct’s population
73
206. The Court finds, as Dr. Magleby found, that the level of partisan bias in seats
in the House maps went far beyond expected based on the neutral political geography of
207. In the neutral maps drawn using the Adopted Criteria for drawing maps, Dr.
Magleby’s analysis found that Democrats most commonly won 52 seats in the North Carolina
House of Representatives. Id. at 13. In the enacted map, on the other hand, Democrats won
only 48 seats. Id. at 13. Out of 1,000 possible maps that the algorithm drew, only one map
resulted in Democrats winning as few as 48 seats. Id. at 13. That amounts to a 0.1% chance
that Democrats would win as few as 48 seats absent partisan bias under his analysis.
208. Because an analysis of “seats carried” is not sufficient to identify all partisan
redistricting, Dr. Magleby also used median-mean calculations to measure the extent of
treated from Republican voters and how durable that gerrymander is. Id. at 9. To calculate
the median-mean difference, Dr. Magleby first calculated the average Democratic vote share
in the House districts. Id. at 9–10. He then found the median Democratic vote share by lining
up the enacted House districts from least Democratic to most Democratic and identifying the
districts that fell in the middle. Id. at 10. In a nonpartisan map, a low median-mean
209. The Court finds, as Dr. Magleby found, that the median-mean bias in the
enacted maps was far more extreme than expected in nonpartisan maps. The nonpartisan
House maps that Dr. Magleby drew most commonly had a median-mean difference in the
Democratic vote share of between 0.0225 and -0.025. Id. at 15. The lowest median-mean
difference in the generated maps was -0.034, and the highest was -0.005. Id. The enacted
maps have a median-mean difference in Democratic vote share of -0.04. Id. No randomly
74
generated map had such an extreme median-mean share—meaning that in his analysis, he
saw no simulated map that was as extreme and durable in terms of partisan advantage. Id.
University and faculty fellow at the Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy in
Provo, Utah. He received his PhD in political science from Princeton University in 2014 with
emphases in American politics and quantitative methods and statistical analyses. Dr. Barber
and research design. LDTX107 at 6. Dr. Barber’s research uses advanced statistical methods
for the analysis of quantitative data, oftentimes in the context of election- and voting-related
topics, and his research has been published numerous times in peer-reviewed journals.
LDTX107 at 7.
211. Dr. Barber was qualified and accepted as an expert at trial in the areas of
political geography, partisanship statistical analysis, and redistricting. Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
212. Dr. Barber analyzed the Enacted Plans, as well as NCLCV Plaintiffs’
Optimized Maps, in the context of the partisan gerrymandering claims brought by Plaintiffs
challenging the North Carolina Senate and North Carolina House of Representatives
Districts. LDTX107 at 5.
simulation algorithm to generate 50,000 simulated district maps in each county grouping in
which there are multiple districts in both the North Carolina House of Representatives and
the North Carolina Senate. LDTX107 at 5. In Dr. Barber’s simulations, the model generates
plans that adhere to the restrictions included in the North Carolina Constitution as well as
the Stephenson criteria of roughly equal population, adherence to county cluster boundaries,
75
minimization of county traversals within clusters, and geographic compactness. LDTX107 at
22-23. Only after the simulated district plans are complete is the partisan lean of each district
in each plan computed by utilizing two-party election results from eleven statewide elections
from the past ten years; these results are disaggregated to the level of the VTD and then
reassembled at the district level to compute the proportion of votes. LDTX107 at 23-24.
214. Dr. Barber’s method is not without limitations. Because it is impossible for a
idiosyncratic and district-specific—differences between the range of his simulated plans and
the 2021 Plans may be the result of non-partisan goals the algorithm failed to account for,
rather than of partisan goals. In Dr. Barber’s opinion, there is no way, then, to be sure that
differences in partisan effects from simulated plans versus legislatively enacted plans result
from partisan intent rather than from non-partisan goals the algorithm was not programmed
to achieve. This means that the simulation method can be indicative on the question of
partisan intent, but not necessarily dispositive, and under Dr. Barber’s analysis, it is
plausible that the 2021 Plans were prepared without partisan data or considerations.
districts generated by the plan falls outside the middle 50% of simulation results, which he
falling outside the middle 95% or 90% of the comparison distribution. LDTX107 at 29. In the
House of Representatives, one county grouping is a partisan outlier under this analysis, and
in the Senate, two county groupings are partisan outliers under this analysis. LDTX107 at
5; id. at 157 (Guilford House grouping); id. at 227 (Granville and Wake Senate grouping); id.
216. Supporting Dr. Barber’s finding of limited partisan outliers is the spatial
distribution of voters throughout the state, which can have an impact on the partisan
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outcomes of elections when a state is, by necessity, divided into a number of legislative
districts. This is largely the case because Democratic-leaning voters tend to cluster in dense,
urban areas while Republican-leaning voters tend to be more equally distributed across the
remainder of the state. This pattern holds true in North Carolina. LDTX107 at 10-13.
217. As a result of the spatial distribution of voters throughout the state, under Dr.
Barber’s analysis there are many more VTDs with efficient Republican majorities than there
are VTDs with efficient Democratic majorities. LDTX107 at 14. And therefore, Dr. Barber
concludes the advantage between the expected Republican seat share in the state legislature
compared to the statewide Republican vote share in the recent past is more due to geography
218. Dr. Taylor is a tenured professor of political science at North Carolina State
University and has taught at NC State since receiving his Ph.D. from the University of
the Department of Political Science from 2006 to 2010, and served as President of the North
219. Dr. Taylor has written four books and published extensively in political science
journals, including authoring twenty-eight peer-reviewed articles and other published work.
His work utilizes a diverse array of methodologies, including different statistical techniques,
and has included research on redistricting and North Carolina politics. Id.
220. Dr. Taylor was qualified and accepted as an expert at trial in the areas of
political science, political history of North Carolina, and its constitutional provisions, and the
comparative laws and Constitutions in other states and jurisdictions. Trial Tr. 01/04/2022.
77
221. Dr. Taylor analyzed the Enacted Plans deploying his knowledge of North
Carolina political history and legislative politics, comparative politics, and American national
and the 2021 redistricting was a transparent and participatory process in comparison to
North Carolina’s past redistricting and that by legislative bodies in other states. TR
01/04/2022.
223. Complaints about unfair district lines as removed from the concepts of free
elections, equal protection, and free speech and assembly are different than how those ideas
have historically been understood by political scientists. LDTX108 15–25. A free election is
not generally understood by political scientists to be one without burdens on the right to vote
(since basic regulatory frameworks necessarily place some burden on that right), and a given
districting system is not generally understood as essential to the meaning of free elections
(since even free elections have limited options in all events). Id. at 21–22.
long as “[e]ach person has one vote to elect one legislator who has one vote in the legislature,”
and departures even from that ideal are tolerated (as in the case of non-citizens, who are
counted towards the baseline of district population even though they are not permitted to
vote). Id. at 23. In political science, equal outcomes are not generally accepted as a necessary
facet of equal elections, administering such a rule would seem to be unworkable, and voting
is not a feature of party participation but of individual participation as a citizen. Id. In this
respect, it makes no sense to refer to citizens as having cast “wasted” votes; it is the parties,
not voters, who are properly viewed as wasting votes.” Id. at 24.
78
225. Similarly, purportedly “fair” redistricting plans are not understood in the
political-science field as germane to free speech, which can occur regardless of the shapes and
problematic, and beyond the consensus of political scientists. See id. at 25–32. Measuring an
alleged gerrymander as one that “produce[s] outcomes in which the share of the legislative
body’s seats won by a party is not proportionate with its share of the aggregate statewide
vote and/or . . . produce too many districts where there is little meaningful competition” runs
into the problem that “proportionality was not an objective of the designers of our electoral
system.” Id. at 27. Further, the goals of proportionality and competitiveness are often
commanding consensus because they are all deficient in one or more respects. Id. at 29–38.
Those methods tied to a measure of vote totals and seat totals are too tied into proportionality
to present a meaningful notion of fairness, especially given that avoiding this problem would
require gerrymandering in favor of the party complaining of unfairness. Id. at 34–37. Many
measures of fairness are too subjective to be of use to political scientists. See id. at 38. All
measures require judgment calls like choice of metrics and elections data for measuring
partisan effect, which is a fluid concept that changes year to year. Id. at 37.
228. The Democratic Party’s message is successful only in limited geographic areas,
LDTX108 at 38–41, so any partisan “effect” the Democratic Party or its supporters complain
of could be understood as the natural and probable consequences of neutral factors that
cannot be considered unfair or adverse as a factual matter. There has been a significant
change in North Carolina’s political geography over the past thirty years. Id. at 39-40.
79
Whereas Democrats formerly did well in rural areas, especially in the eastern part of the
state, and Republicans were competitive in urban and suburban areas, that is no longer true.
“The transformation is not the result of redistricting.” Id. at 40. Instead, it is a function of
slow social and economic forces, changes in the state’s citizenry, and party ideology. Id. at 40-
41.
at The Ohio State University. His coursework for his Ph.D. and M.A.S. included, among other
receive his Ph.D. in May of 2021. His dissertation focuses on applications of spatial statistics
to political questions. LDTX106 at 1-2. Mr. Trende is a Senior Elections Analyst with
RealClearPolitics, where he’s been since January of 2009 after practicing law for 8 years. He
is also a Visiting Scholar at the American Enterprise Institute and has authored or co-
authored books analyzing demographic and political trends as well as the dynamics behind
elections. He has spoken on these topics as well and has taught classes on American Politics
and the Mass Media, Political Participation and Voting Behavior. Id. at 2. He sits on the
advisory panel for the “States of Change: Demographics and Democracy” project, sponsored
by the Hewlett Foundation. The project looks at trends among eligible voters and the overall
230. Mr. Trende has authored expert reports in 15 voting rights cases and currently
serves as one of two special masters appointed by the Supreme Court of Virginia to redraw
districts that will elect the commonwealth’s representatives to the House of Delegates, state
80
231. Mr. Trende was qualified and accepted as an expert at trial in the areas of
political science, redistricting, drawing redistricting maps and analyzing redistricting maps.
232. Mr. Trende created images by examining the Complaints filed by the plaintiffs
in this action. He examined whether the districts were challenged as either partisan
downloaded the enacted plans from the legislative redistricting website and used R, a
statistical programming tool, to color-code the districts by plaintiff group, based upon who
challenged which districts. Id. In Exhibit 2 to his affidavit, Mr. Trende submitted 8 maps
identifying the districts challenged by each Plaintiff group in these consolidated cases. Id. He
also created color-coded maps showing each county in North Carolina, noting the number of
counties in which a majority of voters voted for the Republican presidential candidate in the
past decade (between 70 and 76 counties) and whether the Republican candidate performed
B. District-by-District Analysis
233. Plaintiffs’ experts analyzed specific county groupings in the enacted Senate
plan. Plaintiffs’ experts concluded that partisan redistricting and bias in these groupings
was responsible for the partisan bias that they found in their statewide analysis of the
enacted Senate plan. The results of the analysis conducted by Legislative Defendants’ expert
81
a. Granville-Wake Senate County Grouping
Senate District 14 (“SD14”), Senate District 15 (“SD15”), Senate District 16 (“SD16”), Senate
District 17 (“SD17”), and Senate District 18 (“SD18”). SD13 is comprised of Granville County
and portions of Wake County. SD14, SD15, SD16, SD17, and SD18 are comprised of portions
of only Wake County. Plaintiffs challenge these Senate Districts as the product of unlawful
partisan gerrymanders.
235. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this Senate county grouping. Individual Harper
Plaintiff Rebecca Harper resides in SD17. Individual Harper Plaintiff John Anthony Balla
Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV challenges every Senate District in this county grouping.
Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenges every Senate District in this county
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236. The district lines in this cluster pack Democratic-leaning VTDs into Senate
Districts 14, 15, 16, and 18, in order to make Senate District 13, in the north, and Senate
District 17, in the south, as competitive as possible for Republican candidates. Senate District
13 pairs all of “purple” Granville County with the Republican-leaning VTDs on the northern
and northeastern portions of Wake County, avoiding the Democratic-leaning VTDs in North
Raleigh. Some of the Democratic-leaning VTDs in North Raleigh are packed into Senate
District 18, leading to a “horn-shaped section” of that district that borders Senate District 13.
PX425 at 50.
237. Raleigh is divided into all of the districts in this cluster, with most of Raleigh’s
few Republican-leaning VTDs included in Senate District 13, in the north. PX425 at 50;
PX455.
83
238. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
and independently establish that the Granville-Wake county grouping is an intentional, pro-
239. Dr. Mattingly analyzed individual county groupings by plotting the Democratic
vote fraction in each district in the grouping, ordered from least to most Democratic. See
PX629 at 29. He conducted this analysis for the enacted plan (represented by a black line in
his county-grouping-level figures) and for his ensemble of nonpartisan plans (represented by
the blue histograms), using 12 prior statewide elections in 2020 and 2016. PX629 at 38;
PX654. If the black line representing the enacted plan is above the dotted black line at 50%,
the Democrats win that district under the enacted plan. Id. If all or the bulk of the blue
histogram representing the ensemble is above the dotted black line at 50%, the Democrats
would expect to win that district under the ensemble. Id. Dr. Mattingly labeled the historical
election whose statewide vote counts he was using at the top of each plot. Black lines that
are at the bottom of the corresponding blue histogram represent districts that Democrats
have been cracked out of, because the enacted plan has many fewer Democrats than would
be expected in the nonpartisan plans; black lines that are at the top of the corresponding blue
histogram represent districts that Democrats have been packed into. Id.
84
PX663 (Mattingly Figure 6.2.4)
241. The Court finds that Democrats were cracked out of the two most Republican
districts (District 17 and 13) and packed into the most Democratic districts (Districts 14, 15,
16, and 18). PX629 at 57; PX663. (Page 57 of Dr. Mattingly’s report concerning Granville-
Wake contains a typo that he identified at his deposition: he states that Districts 17 and 18
are cracked, when he meant (and the Figure shows) that districts 17 and 13 are packed. He
correctly states that “districts 14, 15, 16, and 18” are in fact packed.) The effect is that the
Republicans win two out of six districts under the enacted plan in several elections where
they never would under the nonpartisan ensemble, such as the Lieutenant Governor 2020 or
Senate 2020 election. PX629 at 57; PX663. Dr. Mattingly quantified the cracking of
Democrats: Across every election he considered, none of the approximately 40,000 plans in
85
his ensemble had as low a fraction of Democrats in the two most Republican districts in the
242. District 13 and District 17 favor Republicans in nearly all elections in Dr.
243. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Granville-Wake
his first-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that the enacted plan’s version of this grouping is
more favorable to Republicans than 99.999989% of the maps that his algorithm encountered
by making small changes to the district boundaries. In his second-level analysis, Dr. Pegden
found that this grouping is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than at least
99.999969% of all possible districting of this county grouping that satisfy the criteria Dr.
244. Drawing the districts in this manner also reduced compactness: The average
Polsby-Popper score of Districts 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, and 18 is 0.31. PX150 at 15. Drawing
more compact districts in Wake and Granville Counties would have generated more
Dr. Barber refers to as “solidly Democratic” and found to be a partisan outlier, see LDTX107
at 221, the enacted map is a partisan outlier under 10 of the 11 elections Dr. Barber analyzed.
Under seven of those 11 elections, Democrats win fewer seats under the enacted map that
246. The Court finds the districts in the Granville-Wake Senate county grouping,
SD13, SD14, SD15, SD16, SD17, and SD18, to be the result of intentional, pro-Republican
partisan redistricting.
86
b. Cumberland-Moore Senate County Grouping
and Senate District 21 (“SD21”). SD19 is comprised of portions of Cumberland County. SD21
is comprised of Moore County and portions of Cumberland County. Plaintiffs challenge these
248. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this Senate county grouping. Individual Harper
Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenges both Senate Districts in this county
grouping.
249. The district lines pack Democratic voters in and around Fayetteville into
Senate District 19, leaving Senate District 21 as a Republican-leaning district. PX425 at 59;
87
250. The district lines split the cities of Fayetteville and Hope Mills across both
districts in the cluster, PX460, but the most Democratic-leaning VTDs in those cities are
packed into Senate District 19. PX425 at 59; PX459; Trial Tr. 01/03/2022.
251. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
88
PX665 (Mattingly Figure 6.2.10)
253. The Court finds that Democrats were cracked out of the most Republican
district and packed into the most Democratic district to make the map maximally
nonresponsive, even though this does not affect the number of seats won in the particular 12
254. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Cumberland-Moore
his first-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that the enacted plan’s version of this grouping is
more favorable to Republicans than 99.9999949% of the maps that his algorithm encountered
by making small changes to the district boundaries. In his second-level analysis, Dr. Pegden
found that this grouping is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than at least
89
99.999984% of all possible districtings of this county grouping that satisfy the criteria Dr.
elections that Legislative Defendants’ expert Dr. Barber considered, Democrats win one seat
under the enacted map and in 77% of Dr. Barber’s simulations, LDTX107 at 184, even
though, under one election, Democrats would have won two seats under 93% of Dr. Barber’s
256. The Court finds the districts in the Cumberland-Moore Senate county
redistricting.
(“SD26”), Senate District 27 (“SD27”), and Senate District 28 (“SD28”). SD26 is comprised of
Rockingham County and portions of Guilford County. SD27 and SD28 are comprised of
portions of only Guilford County. Plaintiffs challenge these Senate Districts as the product
90
PX456 (Cooper Map 21)
258. Harper Plaintiffs and Individual NCLCV Plaintiffs challenge this Senate
county grouping. Individual NCLCV Plaintiffs Dandrielle Lewis and Talia Fernos and
Individual Harper Plaintiffs David Dwight Brown, Joshua Perry Brown and Donald M.
MacKinnon reside in SD27. Individual Harper Plaintiff Lily Nicole Quick resides in SD28.
No Individual Plaintiff resides in SD26. Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV challenges all three
Senate Districts in this county grouping. Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenges
259. Guilford County, which includes Greensboro and High Point, is among the
most Democratic counties in North Carolina, while Rockingham leans toward the
Republicans. The district lines pack Democratic voters into Senate Districts 27 and 28,
allowing for a “safe Republican” Senate District 26 to wrap around those other districts in a
91
“C-shape” that connects the northern and southern boundaries of this cluster. House District
26 extends from Rockingham County into the Republican-leaning VTDs in western Guilford
County on one side, and into southern Guilford County on the other, avoiding the most
260. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
262. The Court finds that the three districts in the Guilford-Rockingham grouping
are constructed to pack an exceptional number of Democrats in the most Democratic district
92
(District 28) to crack Democrats out of the most Republican district (District 26). PX629 at
63. The effect is to ensure a Republican victory in the district 26, when in some elections in
the nonpartisan ensemble that district would go to the Democratic Party. PX629 at 63. None
of the plans in Dr. Mattingly’s nonpartisan ensemble had fewer Democrats in the most
Republican district than the enacted plan – in other words, zero of the plans in his
263. In the 2020 presidential election, 61% of Senate District 27’s major-party
voters voted for President Biden. In Senate District 28, that figure was 76%. PX201 “SL-
173” AO28:AO29. By wasting these surplus Democratic votes, the Enacted Senate Plan
ensures that Senate District 26 will reliably vote for Republican candidates: In the same
race, only 37% of District 26’s major-party voters cast their ballots for President Biden.
264. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Guilford-Rockingham
his first-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that the enacted plan’s version of this grouping is
more favorable to Republicans than 99.999957% of the maps that his algorithm encountered
by making small changes to the district boundaries. In his second-level analysis, Dr. Pegden
found that this grouping is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than at least
99.99987% of all possible districtings of this county grouping that satisfy the criteria Dr.
265. This grouping’s formation departs from traditional redistricting principles and
reduces the compactness of these districts: The average Polsby-Popper score of the three
93
266. In the Guilford-Rockingham Senate cluster, which Legislative Defendants’
expert Dr. Barber refers to as “solidly Democratic,” the enacted map is in alignment with Dr.
Barber’s simulations by creating two Democratic leaning districts. LDTX107 at 209, 215.
267. The Court finds the districts in the Guilford-Rockingham Senate county
grouping, SD26, SD27, and SD28, to be the result of intentional, pro-Republican partisan
redistricting.
268. The Forsyth-Stokes County Grouping contains Senate District 31 (“SD31”) and
Senate District 32 (“SD32”). SD31 is comprised of Stokes County and portions of Forsyth
County. SD32 is comprised of portions of only Forsyth County. Plaintiffs challenge these
269. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this Senate county grouping. Individual Harper
Plaintiff Chenita Barber Johnson reside in SD32. No Individual Plaintiff resides in SD31.
Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV challenges both Senate Districts in this county grouping.
94
270. Legislative Defendants decided to pair Forsyth County with Stokes County in
this cluster, rather than pairing Forsyth County with Yadkin County, to the west; since
Yadkin County has a lower Republican vote advantage than Stokes County, Legislative
Defendants’ choice of pairing provided them with a better counter-weight to the heavily-
271. Within the chosen cluster, Legislative Defendants packed the Democratic
VTDs in Winston-Salem into Senate District 32, leaving Senate District 31 to wrap around
three sides of the city and remain safely Republican. PX425 at 62-63; PX461.
Cooper’s red-blue map (PX461) and his map showing the municipal boundaries within this
cluster (PX462) illustrates how Senate District 31 captures the more Republican VTDs on
273. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
and independently establish that the Forsyth-Stokes county grouping is an intentional, pro-
95
274. Figure 6.2.7 shows Dr. Mattingly’s analysis of this grouping.
275. The Court finds that, even though this does not affect the number of seats won
in the particular elections that Dr. Mattingly considered, the two districts in Forsyth-Stokes
maximize the number of Democrats in the most Democratic district and the number of
Republicans in the most Republican district in a way that is almost never seen in the enacted
276. The Enacted Plan concentrates Forsyth County’s Democratic voters into one
district—District 32—where Democratic candidates will win elections by more than 30-point
margins. PX201 “SL-173” B33:BA33. District 32’s design foreordains electoral outcomes in
96
Senate District 31, which is safely Republican and never once elects a Democrat in any of the
277. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Forsyth-Stokes Senate
first-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that the enacted plan’s version of this grouping is more
favorable to Republicans than 99.9983% of the maps that his algorithm encountered by
making small changes to the district boundaries. In his second-level analysis, Dr. Pegden
found that this grouping is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than at least 99.9947%
of all possible districtings of this county grouping that satisfy the criteria Dr. Pegden used.
PX523 at 29.
278. The Republican advantage in District 31 was the product of both a clustering
decision and a drawing decision. District 32 is drawn to “pack” all of Winston-Salem’s most
Democratic areas into one district, but Districts 31 and 32 clearly could have been configured
grouping, 100% of Dr. Barber’s simulations, like the enacted maps, produce one Democratic
leaning district. LDTX107 at 244. Under each of the 11 elections that Legislative Defendants’
expert Dr. Barber considered, Democrats win one seat under the enacted map, even though,
under two of those elections, Democrats would have won two seats under 94% and 98% of Dr.
280. The Court finds the districts in the Forsyth-Stokes Senate county grouping,
97
e. Iredell-Mecklenburg Senate County Grouping
(“SD40”), Senate District 41 (“SD41”), and Senate District 42 (“SD42”). SD37 is comprised of
Iredell County and portions of Mecklenburg County. SD38, SD39, SD40, SD41, and SD42 are
comprised of portions of only Mecklenburg County. Plaintiffs challenge these Senate Districts
282. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this Senate county grouping. Individual Harper
Plaintiff Virginia Walters Brien resides in SD40. Individual Harper Plaintiff Barbara Proffitt
Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV and Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenge all
98
283. Mecklenburg County is the second most populous county in North Carolina
and a Democratic stronghold. Every member of the current state legislative delegation from
Mecklenburg County is a Democrat, as are all nine of its county commissioners. Democratic
candidates also received the plurality of votes in every 2020 county-wide contest in
Mecklenburg County. Yet Legislative Defendants drew district lines to create four “safe
Democratic” seats, one “safe Republican” seat, and a “toss-up” seat. PX425 at 55.
284. The district lines pack Democratic voters into Senate Districts 38, 39, 40, and
VTD and almost all Republican-leaning VTDs in Mecklenburg County are included in either
Senate District 37, a “safely Republican” seat, or Senate District 41, a “toss-up” seat. PX425
at 55-56.
incumbent Republican in the same district, effectively eliminating the incumbent Democrat.
The Democratic incumbent whose residence Legislative Defendants included in the safely
Republican Senate District 37 lives approximately one mile from the Democratic-leaning
286. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
99
PX662 (Mattingly Figure 6.2.1)
288. The Court finds that Democrats were cracked out of the second most
Republican district (District 41), and packed into SD40 and, to a lesser extent, SD39 (the two
most Democratic districts). PX629 at 55; Figure 6.2.1. The effect is that the Republicans win
two out of six districts under the enacted plan in many elections where the majority or vast
majority of plans in the ensemble would elect only one Republican. PX629 at 55. One
example is the President 2016 election. Dr. Mattingly quantified the cracking of Democrats:
Across every election he considered, none of the approximately 80,000 plans in his ensemble
had as low a fraction of Democrats in the two most Republican districts as in the enacted
plan. Id.
100
289. The Enacted Senate Plan’s packing of Democratic voters in Mecklenburg
County, thereby converting District 41 from a swing district into a district that will usually
elect Republican candidates, results in a far lower average compactness score of 0.33, PX150
290. Dr. Pegden’s findings show that the Iredell-Mecklenburg Senate county
analysis, Dr. Pegden found that the enacted plan’s version of this grouping is more favorable
to Republicans than 99.998% of the maps that his algorithm encountered by making small
changes to the district boundaries. In his second-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that this
grouping is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than at least 99.9943% of all possible
districtings of this county grouping that satisfy the criteria Dr. Pegden used. PX523 at 32.
expert Dr. Barber found to be a partisan outlier, see LDTX107 at 229, under two of the 11
elections Dr. Barber considered, Democrats win four seats under the enacted map, even
though Democrats would have won 5 seats under 93% and 95% of Dr. Barber’s simulations,
292. The Court finds the districts in the Iredell-Mecklenburg Senate county
grouping, SD37, SD38, SD39, SD40, SD41, and SD42, to be the result of intentional, pro-
101
f. Northeastern Senate County Grouping
293. The Northeastern County Grouping contains Senate District 1 (“SD1”) and
Senate District 2 (“SD2”). SD1 is comprised of Bertie County, Camden County, Currituck
County, Dare County, Gates County, Hertford County, Northampton County, Pasquotank
County, Perquimans County, and Tyrrell County. SD2 is comprised of Carteret County,
Chowan County, Halifax County, Hyde County, Martin County, Pamlico County, Warren
County, Washington County. Plaintiffs challenge these Senate Districts as the product of
294. Harper Plaintiffs and Individual NCLCV Plaintiffs challenge this Senate
county grouping. Individual Harper Plaintiff Laureen Flood resides in SD1. Individual
NCLCV Plaintiffs Edna Scott, Roberta Scott, Yvette Roberts, Dr. Cosmos George, Jereann
King Johnson, Yarbrough Williams, Jr., and Reverend Dr. Deloris L. Jerman reside in SD2.
Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV and Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenge both
102
295. Legislative Defendants had two potential county grouping options to choose
from for the Northeastern counties when drawing the 2021 Senate Plan. The size of the
counties in each potential cluster is such that each cluster option is large enough for one
at 65. The alternative county cluster groupings, which Legislative Defendants chose against,
would have included Carteret, Chowan, Dare, Hyde, Pamlico, Pasquotank, Perquimans, and
Washington counties in one district and Bertie, Camden, Currituck, Gates, Halifax, Hertford,
Martin, Northampton, Tyrrell, and Warren counties in a second district. PX425 at 65; PX464.
103
297. The alternative county cluster groupings that Legislative Defendants chose
against would have created one district on the northern state border that included many of
the more racially diverse counties in the state and that would favor the Democrats, and
another district to the south that would favor Republicans. Such an arrangement would have
been more representative of the counties included in these clusters, most of which include a
large number of competitive VTDs (shown in light, non-colored shading in Dr. Cooper’s
298. The Court finds, as Dr. Mattingly also showed, that their choice significantly
advantaged the Republican Party. PX629 at 65. In the alternative cluster choice that the
General Assembly rejected, Democrats would have won one seat under the results in every
single 2016 and 2020 statewide election. In the cluster choice that the General Assembly
rejected, the Republicans win both seats under the results in every single 2016 and 2020
299. The enacted district configuration has 24 county traversals. District 2’s Polsby-
Popper compactness score is just 0.11, and the average score of both districts is 0.16. PX150
at 15.
300. The Court finds the districts in the Northeastern Senate county grouping, SD1
(“SD46”) and Senate District 49 (“SD49”). SD46 is comprised of Burke County, McDowell
County, and portions of Buncombe County. SD49 is comprised of portions of only Buncombe
County. Plaintiffs challenge these Senate Districts as the product of unlawful partisan
gerrymanders.
104
PX458 (Cooper Map 23)
302. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this Senate county grouping. Individual Harper
Plaintiff Mark S. Peters resides in SD46. Individual Harper Plaintiff Ann Butzner resides in
SD49. Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV challenges both Senate Districts in this county
grouping.
cluster and the adjacent cluster to the south. Rather than pair Buncombe County with
Defendants grouped Buncombe County with Burke and McDowell counties, to the east.
Burke and McDowell counties include a greater number of heavily-Republican VTDs than
does Henderson County, allowing for Legislative Defendants to neutralize the Democratic
stronghold in and around Asheville to a greater extent than under the alternate potential
grouping.
105
304. Within this county grouping, the mapmakers maximized Republican
advantage by drawing one lopsidedly Democratic district (District 49), leaving the remaining
district (District 46) reliably Republican. Notably, District 46 never elects a Democrat in
305. The Court finds that Legislative Defendants’ chosen county grouping allowed
them to draw a map that packed Democratic voters in Senate District 49, leaving Senate
306. Grouping Henderson County with Polk and Rutherford counties in the
bordering cluster to the south also allowed for Legislative Defendants to create a single-
district cluster there that heavily favors the Republican candidate. PX425 at 57.
307. Dr. Barber’s analysis reflects that in 100% of his simulations, as with the
enacted map, there is one Democratic district in this “very slightly Democratic” grouping,
LDTX107 at 235, and 100% of his simulations produce 1 Democratic leaning district like the
enacted maps under all 11 elections used in his analysis. Id. at 239.
308. The Court finds the districts in the Buncombe-Burke-McDowell Senate county
redistricting.
309. Plaintiffs’ experts analyzed specific county groupings in the enacted House
plan. Plaintiffs’ experts concluded that partisan redistricting and bias in these groupings
were responsible for the partisan bias that they found in their statewide analysis of the
enacted House plan. The results of the analysis conducted by Legislative Defendants’ expert
106
a. Guilford House County Grouping
310. The Guilford House County Grouping contains House District 57 (“HD57”),
House District 58 (“HD58”), House District 59 (“HD59”), House District 60 (“HD60”), House
District 61 (“HD61”), and House District 62 (“HD62”). All six House Districts are comprised
of portions of only Guilford County. Plaintiffs challenge these House Districts as the product
311. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this House county grouping. Individual Harper
Plaintiff David Dwight Brown resides in HD58. Individual Harper Plaintiff Lily Nicole Quick
resides in HD59. Individual Harper Plaintiff Joshua Perry Brown resides in HD60.
Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenges every House District in this county
107
grouping. Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV challenges only HD59 and HD62 in this county
grouping.
Districts 57, 58, 60, and 61, allowing House Districts 59 and 62 to be artificially favorable to
313. A comparison of Dr. Cooper’s red-blue map (PX470) and his map showing the
municipal boundaries within this cluster (PX471) illustrates how the district boundaries split
Greensboro and High Point in a way that ensures the most Democratic-leaning VTDs in those
municipalities are kept out of House Districts 59 and 62. PX425 at 76.
314. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
and independently establish that the Guilford county grouping is an intentional, pro-
108
PX653 (Mattingly Figure 6.1.10)
316. The Court finds that Democrats were again cracked out of the two least
Democratic (i.e., most-Republican) districts in this grouping (Districts 59 and 62) and packed
into heavily Democratic districts (Districts 57, 58, 60, and 61). PX629 at 36; PX653. The
effect is that the Republicans regularly win two out of six seats in this cluster even in
situations where the Democrats would win all six in the majority or vast majority of plans in
the nonpartisan ensemble. This is seen in the Senate 2020, President 2020, and Attorney
General 2020 races, among others. PX653. Dr. Mattingly quantified the cracking and
packing of Democrats in the Guilford cluster: over all of the elections considered and all of
the around 80,000 plans in the ensemble, none of the plans have a higher Democratic fraction
in the four most Democratic districts or a lower Democratic fraction in the two most
109
Republican districts, in comparison to the enacted plan. PX629 at 36. In other words, this
grouping shows more cracking and packing of Democrats than every single plan in the
sample, and District 59 did so only once. PX201 “SL-175” B60:BA60, B53:BA63.
318. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Guilford House county
analysis, Dr. Pegden found that the enacted plan’s version of this grouping is more favorable
to Republicans than 99.99997% of the maps that his algorithm encountered by making small
changes to the district boundaries. In his second-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that this
grouping is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than at least 99.99991% of all possible
districtings of this county grouping that satisfy the criteria Dr. Pegden used. PX523 at 19.
319. The Enacted Plan for this grouping has an average Polsby-Popper score of 0.30.
PX150 at 16.
Dr. Barber himself labeled a “partisan outlier,” see LDTX107 at 5 (“the Guilford County
partisan outlier under each of the 11 elections he considered. Under nine of those 11
elections, the enacted map produces fewer Democratic districts than 93-100% of his
simulations. Id. at 158. Under four of those nine elections, the enacted map produces four
Democratic districts when 100% of his simulations produce a greater number, and under
three more of the nine elections, the enacted map produces four or five Democratic districts
110
321. The Court finds the districts in the Guilford House county grouping, HD57,
HD58, HD59, HD60, HD61, and HD62, to be the result of intentional, pro-Republican
partisan redistricting.
322. The Buncombe House County Grouping contains House District 114
(“HD114”), House District 115 (“HD115”), and House District 116 (“HD116”). All three House
Districts are comprised of portions of only Buncombe County. Plaintiffs challenge these
323. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this House county grouping. Individual Harper
Plaintiff Mark S. Peters and Ann Butzner reside in HD115. No Individual Plaintiff resides
in HD114 or HD 116. Organizational Plaintiffs NCLCV and Common Cause challenge the
111
324. Buncombe County is an overwhelmingly Democratic county and has been
trending more Democratic each year. PX425 at 79. All three House Districts in Buncombe
325. Legislative Defendants shifted the district lines where they meet in Asheville
to pack as many Democratic voters as possible into House District 114, thereby creating a
Republican-leaning district in House District 116. Prior to the enactment of these lines in
the 2021 House Plan, the district in the western part of Buncombe County that is now House
326. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
and independently establish that the Buncombe county grouping is the result of intentional,
327. Figure 6.1.13 shows Dr. Mattingly’s analysis of the Buncombe House county
grouping:
112
PX654 (Mattingly Figure 6.1.13)
328. The Court finds that Democrats were packed into the most Democratic leaning
district in this grouping (114) and cracked out of the most Republican district (116). PX629
at 38; PX654. In the enacted plan, there is a huge jump in Democratic vote share between
the least Democratic district and the middle Democratic district. Id. This jump means that
elections in the grouping will be nonresponsive to the votes cast and, as the figure above
shows, cost Democrats a seat in multiple electoral environments, because the black line for
District 116 often falls below the 50% line in elections where the majority or overwhelming
majority of the blue histogram rises above it (for example, the Governor 2020, President 2020,
and Senate 2020 race, among other examples). See PX629 at 38; PX654.
113
329. Dr. Mattingly mathematically quantified the cracking and packing across all
the 2020 and 2016 statewide elections he considered. Specifically, Dr. Mattingly calculated
the average Democratic vote share in the two least Democratic districts and the average
Democratic vote share in the three most Democratic districts, for both the enacted plans and
his ensemble plans. PX629 at 16. He found that, across every election, at most 1.2% of the
plans in the nonpartisan ensemble had the same or fewer Democrats in the least Democratic
district as the enacted plan (District 116). PX629 at 38. The Court finds that this signifies
cracking of Democrats to enable Republicans to win a district they would not win under the
nonpartisan ensemble.
330. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Buncombe House
first-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that the enacted plan’s version of this grouping is more
favorable to Republicans than 99.979% of the maps that his algorithm encountered by
making small changes to the district boundaries. In his second-level analysis, Dr. Pegden
found that this grouping is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than at least 99.938%
of all possible districtings of this county grouping that satisfy the criteria Dr. Pegden used.
PX523 at 16.
331. HD116 is the least compact district in the entire Enacted House Plan and is
designed such that it never elects a Democrat in the entire set of 52 elections compiled by Dr.
332. In the Buncombe House county grouping, under each of the 11 elections that
Legislative Defendants’ expert Dr. Barber considered, Democrats win two seats under the
enacted map, even though, under 10 of those 11 elections, Democrats would have won three
districts in the majority of Dr. Barber’s simulations, including in 98% of the simulations
114
333. The Court finds the districts in the Buncombe House county grouping, HD114,
(“HD99”), House District 100 (“HD100”), House District 101 (“HD101”), House District 102
(“HD102”), House District 103 (“HD103”), House District 104 (“HD104”), House District 105
(“HD105”), House District 106 (“HD106”), House District 107 (“HD107”), and House District
112 (“HD112”). All thirteen House Districts are comprised of portions of only Mecklenburg
County. Plaintiffs challenge these House Districts as the product of unlawful partisan
gerrymanders.
335. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this House county grouping. Individual NCLCV
Plaintiff Timothy Chartier resides in HD98. Individual Harper Plaintiff Mary Elizabeth Voss
resides in HD101. Individual Harper Plaintiff Virginia Walters Brien resides in HD102.
115
Individual Harper Plaintiff Barbara Proffitt resides in HD103. No Individual Plaintiff resides
in HD88, HD92, HD99, HD100, HD104, HD105, HD106, HD107, or HD112. Organizational
Plaintiff NCLCV challenges HD98 and HD103 in this county grouping. Organizational
Plaintiff Common Cause challenges the House Districts in this county grouping.
House Districts 92, 99, 100, 101, 102, 106, 107, and 112, leaving every Republican-leaning
VTD in House Districts 88, 103, 104, and 105. House District 98, in the north, and House
District 103, in the south, are carved out of the pockets of Republican-leaning VTDs in the
338. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
and independently establish that the Mecklenburg county grouping is the result of
116
PX650 (Mattingly Figure 6.1.1)
340. The Court finds that Democrats were again cracked out of the two least
Democratic (i.e., most-Republican) districts in this grouping (Districts 98 and 103), and
packed into heavily Democratic districts (Districts 100, 112, 92, and 88). PX629 at 29; PX650.
The effect is to make those districts competitive, or to turn them into Republican seats, when
in the majority of the nonpartisan plans those two seats safely elect Democrats. PX629 at
29. An example is the Attorney General 2020 election. Dr. Mattingly quantified the cracking
and packing of Democrats in the Mecklenburg cluster: across every election he considered,
the percentage of maps in the ensemble which have more Democrats packed into the most
Democratic districts than the enacted plan is always less than 0.11%. PX629 at 29.
117
341. Although the County is one of the most Democratic in North Carolina, the
Enacted House Map carves out at least two districts that Republicans will ordinarily win.
342. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Mecklenburg House
first-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that the enacted plan’s version of this grouping is more
favorable to Republicans than 98.3% of the maps that his algorithm encountered by making
small changes to the district boundaries. In his second-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that
this grouping is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than at least 95.0% of all possible
districtings of this county grouping that satisfy the criteria Dr. Pegden used. PX523 at 20.
343. In the Mecklenburg House county grouping, under 4 of the 11 elections that
Legislative Defendants’ expert Dr. Barber considered, Republicans outperform the majority
of Dr. Barber’s simulations, but Democrats never outperform a majority of the simulations.
Under the 2020 Attorney General election, Democrats win 11 seats under the enacted map,
even though Democrats would have won 12 seats under 91% of Dr. Barber’s simulations.
LDTX107 at 168.
344. The Court finds the districts in the Mecklenburg House county grouping,
HD88, HD92, HD98, HD99, HD100, HD101, HD102, HD103, HD104, HD105, HD106,
345. The Pitt House County Grouping contains House District 8 (“HD8”) and House
District 9 (“HD9”). HD8 and HD9 are comprised of portions of only Pitt County. Harper
Plaintiffs and NCLCV Plaintiffs challenge these House Districts as the product of unlawful
partisan gerrymanders.
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PX473 (Cooper Map 38)
346. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this House county grouping. Individual Harper
Plaintiff Amy Clare Oseroff resides in HD8, and Individual Harper Plaintiff Donald Rumph
resides in HD9. Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV challenges only HD9 in this county
grouping.
347. The two House districts in Pitt County are both currently represented by
Democrats and Pitt County gave 55% of its vote share to President Joe Biden in the 2020
election, making it the 19th most Democratic county in the state according to that metric.
PX425 at 81. But by splitting Greenville “at a particularly consequential location,” the
Legislative Defendants packed the most heavily Democratic VTDs together in House District
8, allowing for House District 9 to lean towards the Republican candidate. Id.
348. The split of Greenville, see PX474, cannot be explained with reference to
will take classes in House District 9, while living in residence halls that are located in House
119
PX474 (Cooper Map 39)
349. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
and independently establish that the Pitt county grouping is an intentional, pro-Republican
partisan redistricting.
120
PX655 (Mattingly Figure 6.1.16)
351. The Court finds that Democrats were packed into the most Democratic district
in Pitt County (District 8) and cracked out of the most Republican district (District 9). PX629
at 40; PX655. The effect is that the Republicans regularly win one of the two seats in
situations where in the nonpartisan ensemble plans would not, including in the Attorney
General 2020, Governor 2020, and Secretary of State 2020 elections. Dr. Mattingly
quantified the cracking and packing of Democrats in Pitt County: over all of the elections
considered, the percentage of plans in the non-partisan ensemble that have more Democrats
in District 8 than the enacted plan fluctuates between 1.1% and 5.3%. PX629 at 40.
352. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Pitt House county
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analysis, Dr. Pegden found that the enacted plan’s version of this grouping is more favorable
to Republicans than 96.3% of the maps that his algorithm encountered by making small
changes to the district boundaries. In his second-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that this
grouping is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than at least 89.1% of all possible
districtings of this county grouping that satisfy the criteria Dr. Pegden used. PX523 at 21.
353. In Dr. Barber’s analysis, in 91% of his simulations there is one Democratic
leaning district and in the remaining 9% of the simulations there are two Democratic leaning
districts. Although the current seats in this county grouping are both held by Democrats, the
Enacted Map aligns with the outcome of his simulations and now creates only one Democratic
354. The Court finds the districts in the Pitt House county grouping, HD8 and HD9,
(“HD2”), House District 29 (“HD29”), House District 30 (“HD30”), and House District 31
(“HD31”). HD2 is comprised of Person County and portions of Durham County. HD29, HD30,
and HD31 are comprised of portions of only Durham County. Harper Plaintiffs challenge
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PX475 (Cooper Map 40)
356. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this House county grouping. Individual Harper
Plaintiff Sondra Stein resides in HD2. No Individual Plaintiff resides in HD29, HD30, or
HD31. No Organizational Plaintiff challenges the House Districts in this county grouping.
357. Durham County is the most Democratic county in North Carolina, having
given 81.6% of its two-party vote share to President Biden in the 2020 election and having
at 84. But the enacted district lines create an artificially competitive district in this cluster,
HD2, by joining the more competitive VTDs in eastern and northern Durham County with
358. Although the City of Durham is split across all four House districts in this
county grouping, a comparison of Dr. Cooper’s red-blue map (PX475), and his map showing
the municipal boundaries within this cluster (PX476), indicates that Legislative Defendants
packed the most Democratic portions of the City of Durham into House Districts 29, 30, and
31.
123
PX476 (Cooper Map 41)
359. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
and independently establish that the Durham-Person county grouping is an intentional, pro-
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PX657 (Mattingly Figure 6.1.22)
361. The Court finds that Democrats were again cracked out of the most Republican
district in the Durham-Person grouping. PX629 at 44; PX657. The nonpartisan ensemble
shows that there are typically three highly Democratic districts and one more moderately
Democratic district. Id. But in the enacted plan, the Democrats are cracked out of the
moderately Democratic district, such that in Republican wave elections, the Republicans gain
that seat even though they rarely would under the nonpartisan ensemble. In particular, in
the Lieutenant Governor 2016 and Commissioner of Agriculture 2020 elections, where the
Democrats only get around 46% of the statewide vote fraction, this cracking would be enough
to deny a seat to the Democrats even though they would win the seat in a nonpartisan map.
Not a single map in the non-partisan ensemble across any of the elections Dr. Mattingly
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considered showed a smaller fraction of Democrats in the most Republican district than the
enacted plan. PX629 at 44. In other words, this cluster shows more cracking of Democrats
362. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Durham-Person
his first-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that the enacted plan’s version of this grouping is
more favorable to Republicans than 99.932% of the maps that his algorithm encountered by
making small changes to the district boundaries. In his second-level analysis, Dr. Pegden
found that this grouping is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than at least 99.79%
of all possible districtings of this county grouping that satisfy the criteria Dr. Pegden used.
PX523 at 25.
363. In the Durham-Person House county grouping, under each of the 11 elections
that Legislative Defendants’ expert Dr. Barber considered, Democrats win four seats under
100% of Dr. Barber’s simulations, but under two of those elections (2016 Senate and 2016 Lt.
Governor), Democrats win only three seats under the enacted map—an outcome never once
encountered in the 37,800 simulations for this cluster generated by Dr. Barber’s algorithm.
LDTX107 at 131.
364. The Court finds the districts in the Durham-Person House county grouping,
HD2, HD29, HD30, and HD31, to be the result of intentional, pro-Republican partisan
redistricting.
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f. Forsyth-Stokes House County Grouping
(“HD75”), and House District 91 (“HD91”). HD71, HD72, HD74, and HD75 are comprised of
portions of only Forsyth County. HD91 is comprised of Stokes County and portions of Forsyth
County. Harper Plaintiffs and Plaintiff Common Cause challenge these House Districts as
366. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this House county grouping. Individual Harper
Plaintiff Chenita Barber Johnson resides in HD72. No Individual Plaintiff resides in HD71,
HD74, HD75, or HD91. Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenges the House
74, 75, and 91 by packing the Democratic voters in and around Winston-Salem into House
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368. While the district boundaries in this grouping split Winston-Salem across all
five districts, the district boundaries pack most Democratic voters in Winston-Salem into
369. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
and independently establish that the Forsyth-Stokes county grouping is an intentional, pro-
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PX652 (Mattingly Figure 6.1.7)
371. The Court finds that Democrats were again cracked out of the three least
Democratic (i.e., most-Republican) districts in this grouping and packed into heavily
Democratic districts (Districts 72 and 71). PX629 at 34; PX652. The effect is that the
Republicans regularly win three out of five seats in this cluster even in situations where the
Democrats would win three in the vast majority of plans in the nonpartisan ensemble. This
is seen in the Senate 2020, President 2020, President 2016, and Attorney General 2020 races,
among others. PX629 at 34. Dr. Mattingly quantified the cracking and packing of Democrats
in the Forsyth-Stokes cluster: across every election he considered, less than 0.02% of the
plans in the ensemble have a lower Democratic fraction in the three most Republican districts
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372. To preserve District 74’s Republican lean, District 91—which is heavily
Republican and at no risk of electing a Democrat—cuts into Winston Salem to pick up those
Democratic precincts that cannot be incorporated into Districts 71 and 72. The result is a
district line that cuts to the core of Winston-Salem and preserves Republican advantage in
District 74. PX201 “SL-175” B75:BA75, B80:BA80. This configuration comes at a cost of
compactness; the Enacted House Plan in Forsyth and Stokes Counties has an average Polsby-
373. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Forsyth-Stokes House
first-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that the enacted plan’s version of this grouping is more
favorable to Republicans than 99.912% of the maps that his algorithm encountered by
making small changes to the district boundaries. In his second-level analysis, Dr. Pegden
found that this grouping is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than at least 99.73%
of all possible districtings of this county grouping that satisfy the criteria Dr. Pegden used.
PX523 at 18.
374. In the Forsyth-Stokes House cluster, the enacted map is a partisan outlier
under three of the elections that Legislative Defendants’ expert Dr. Barber considered.
Under the 2020 President election, Democrats win only two seats, even though they would
have won three seats under 50% of Dr. Barber’s simulations and four seats under 35% of the
simulations—a two-seat shift. Under eight of the 11 elections, the enacted map produces
fewer Democratic seats than a majority of Dr. Barber’s simulations—a metric Dr. Barber
375. The Court finds the districts in the Forsyth-Stokes House county grouping,
HD71, HD72, HD74, HD75, and HD91, to be the result of intentional, pro-Republican
partisan redistricting.
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g. Wake House County Grouping
376. The Wake House County Grouping contains House District 11 (“HD11”), House
District 21 (“HD21”), House District 33 (“HD33”), House District 34 (“HD34”), House District
(“HD41”), House District 49 (“HD49”), and House District 66 (“HD66”). All thirteen House
Districts are comprised of portions of only Wake County. Plaintiffs challenge these House
Districts, with the exception of HD66, as the product of unlawful partisan gerrymanders.
377. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this House county grouping. Individual Harper
Plaintiff Rebecca Harper resides in HD21. Individual Harper Plaintiff John Anthony Balla
resides in HD40. No Individual Plaintiff resides in HD11, HD33, HD34, HD35, HD36, HD37,
HD38, HD39, HD41, or HD49. Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV challenges HD35, HD37, and
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HD38 in this county grouping. Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenges HD35 in
378. Wake County includes Raleigh and 11 other municipalities. The county is
strongly Democratic, LDTX107 at 169, and there are no Republicans on the county
commission, PX425 at 70. The district boundaries in this grouping pack Democrats into as
few districts as possible, leaving House Districts 11, 33, 36, 38, 41, and 49 without any
Republican-leaning VTDs, House Districts 34 and 66 with only one Republican-leaning VTD,
and House District 40 with only two Republican-leaning VTDs. Packing the majority of
Democratic voters within these districts allows House Districts 35, to the north, and 37, to
379. House District 66 includes a “spike” that juts north to include a Democratic-
leaning VTD on its boundary, effectively keeping the Democratic voters in that VTD “fenced
off” from the House District 35, where they would otherwise make the election more favorable
380. To the extent that Legislative Defendants argue that preserving municipal
boundaries was a governing criterion, the district lines in this cluster split a number of cities,
including Raleigh (split across 10 of the 12 districts), Cary, Garner, Fuquay-Varina, Apex,
132
PX467 (Cooper Map 32)
381. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
and independently establish that the Wake county grouping is the result of intentional, pro-
133
PX651 (Mattingly Figure 6.1.4)
383. The Court finds that Democrats were cracked out of the two least Democratic
(i.e., most-Republican) districts in this grouping (Districts 37 and 35) and packed into heavily
Democratic districts. PX629 at 32; PX651. The effect is to swing the two most Republican
districts into play in elections where they would not be under the ensemble. For example, in
the Attorney General 2020 election, Republicans win two districts under the enacted plan
and Democrats win 11 even though Democrats would always win 12 under the ensemble and
often win all 13. Dr. Mattingly quantified the cracking of Democrats out of those two most
Republican districts: across every election he considered, the number of maps in the ensemble
which have a lower Democratic vote fraction in the two most Republican districts than they
do in the enacted plan is less than 0.42%, except for the Commissioner of Agriculture 2020
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election, where it is 1.2%. That is, the enacted plan is in the most extreme 0.42% percent of
384. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Wake House county
analysis, Dr. Pegden found that the enacted plan’s version of this grouping is more favorable
to Republicans than 99.27% of the maps that his algorithm encountered by making small
changes to the district boundaries. In his second-level analysis, Dr. Pegden found that this
grouping is more carefully crafted to favor Republicans than at least 97.8% of all possible
districtings of this county grouping that satisfy the criteria Dr. Pegden used. PX523 at 22.
385. In the Wake House county grouping, the enacted map is a partisan outlier
under four of the elections that Legislative Defendants’ expert Dr. Barber considered. Under
three of those elections, the enacted map produces fewer Democratic districts than 90-98% of
Dr. Barber’s simulations, and under the fourth election, the enacted map produces fewer
386. The Court finds the challenged districts in the Wake House county grouping,
HD11, HD21, HD33, HD34, HD35, HD36, HD37, HD38, HD39, HD40, HD41, and HD49, to
387. The Cumberland House County Grouping contains House District 42 (“HD42”),
House District 43 (“HD43”), House District 44 (“HD44”), and House District 45 (“HD45”).
Each of these four House Districts are comprised of portions of only Cumberland County. The
Organizational Plaintiffs challenge these House Districts as the product of unlawful partisan
gerrymanders.
388. No Individual NCLCV Plaintiff resides in any House District within this
county grouping. Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenges every House District in
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this county grouping. Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV challenges only HD43 and HD45 in
advantage in this grouping. It does so by packing Democrats into two Districts 42 and 44.
PX201 “SL-175” AO43, AO45. The result of this packing is that Districts 43 and 45 favor
Republicans. 50.5% of District 43’s major-party voters voted for President Trump in the 2020
election; the same figure in District 45 was 50.8%. PX201 “SL175” AO44, AO46. This result
came at the cost of lowering the average compactness score of the four districts to 0.34. PX150
at 16.
PX181 (Figure 31: Enacted House Districts 42, 43, 44 & 45)
390. Harper Plaintiffs do not challenge the districts in this county grouping;
however, Harper Plaintiffs' experts, as part of their overall analysis in these consolidated
136
PX478 (Cooper Map 43)
391. Cumberland County is a “heavily Democratic county” that provided 58% of its
two-party vote share to Joe Biden in 2020 and that has not provided a plurality of votes to a
drew district lines that created two competitive districts, House District 43 in the east and
House District 45 in the south, by packing the most heavily Democratic VTDs in Fayetteville
393. Fayetteville is split among all four districts in this county House District 43
includes almost all of the few Republican-leaning VTDs within Fayetteville, while House
District 45 includes Republican-leaning and more competitive VTDs in the south of the city.
PX425 at 89-90; TR 01/03/2022. These district lines allowed House District 43 to be more
favorable than it otherwise would be for the first-term incumbent Republican candidate in
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394. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
and independently establish that the Cumberland county grouping is an intentional, pro-
396. The Court finds that Cumberland County is a partisan outlier. Democrats
have been cracked out of the second most Republican district (District 43), which normally is
comfortably Democratic, but under the enacted plan frequently produces a Republican seat.
For each of the elections considered, the number of plans in the ensemble with smaller
fraction of Democrats in the second most Republican district is typically around 1% with, for
a few elections, the percentage reaching as high as 7% or as low as 0.4%. PX629 at 48; PX659.
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397. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Cumberland House
Pegden’s first-level analysis determined that the enacted plan’s version of the Cumberland
county grouping is more favorable to Republicans than 83.5% of maps that his algorithm
encountered by making small changes to the district boundaries. PX523 at 27. This result
was not an unusual enough result to enable a statistically significant second-level analysis.
Id. But Dr. Pegden’s “wave threshold” analysis found the Cumberland county grouping to be
a partisan outlier. Id. at 36. As explained, the wave threshold metric captures, for a given
map, the smallest uniform swing in election results that would be required to give the
Democrats an additional seat. Using this alternative analysis allowed Dr. Pegden to assess
whether this grouping may have been drawn to achieve “other conceivable partisan goals”
besides merely maximizing Republican seat count, “such as facilitating the re-election of
particular representatives in particular districts.” Id. at 33. Dr. Pegden concluded, and the
Court finds, that the enacted plan’s version of this county grouping had a wave threshold
more favorable to Republicans than 99.59% of maps that his algorithm encountered by
398. In the Cumberland House county grouping, under six of the individual
elections Legislative Defendants’ expert Dr. Barber considered, Democrats win two seats
under the enacted map. While Dr. Barber notes that in these cases the enacted plans create
one, or occasionally two, competitive districts that could be heavily contested, in each case
Democrats would have won more than two seats in 100% of Dr. Barber’s simulations.
LDTX107 at 116.
399. The Court finds the districts in the Cumberland House county grouping, HD42,
redistricting.
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i. Brunswick-New Hanover House County Grouping
400. The Brunswick-New Hanover House County Grouping contains House District
17 (“HD17”), House District 18 (“HD18”), House District 19 (“HD19”), and House District 20
portions of Brunswick and New Hanover Counties. HD18 and HD20 are comprised of portions
of only New Hanover County. NCLCV Plaintiffs challenge this county grouping as the
402. The Enacted House Plan creates three Republican districts in this cluster:
House Districts 17, 19, and 20. PX425 at 96; PX201 “SL175” B18:BA21.
PX181 (Figure 26: Enacted House Districts 17, 18, 19 & 20)
140
403. Harper Plaintiffs do not challenge the districts in this county grouping;
however, Harper Plaintiffs' experts, as part of their overall analysis in these consolidated
404. This grouping is located in the southeastern corner of the state and includes
the heavily Democratic City of Wilmington. The district lines pack Democratic voters in and
around Wilmington into House District 18, allowing the other three districts, particularly
House District 20, to lean more heavily towards the Republican candidate. PX425 at 95.
House District 19 includes a Democratic-leaning VTD south of Wilmington, which has the
effect of keeping those Democratic voters out of House District 20, keeping that district safer
405. The simulations of Drs. Mattingly and Pegden confirm Dr. Cooper’s analysis
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PX661 (Mattingly Figure 6.1.34)
407. The Court finds that Democrats were again packed and cracked in the
Brunswick-New Hanover cluster. PX629 at 52; PX661. In particular, they are packed into
the most Democratic district (District 18) and cracked out of the middle-most Republican
districts. PX661. This enables Republicans to safely win three out of four districts, even in
situations where Democrats would almost always win two seats under the nonpartisan
ensemble. PX629 at 42. Examples of this are in the Attorney General 2020, State Auditor
2020, and Secretary of State 2020 elections. Over each of the elections considered, the
fraction of plans in the nonpartisan ensemble where there are fewer Democratic votes in the
second and third most Republican districts than in the enacted plan is always less than 0.5%
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and often much smaller. PX629 at 52. In other words, the enacted plan cracks more
Democrats in those districts than all but 0.5% of plans in the nonpartisan ensemble.
408. The Court finds, as Dr. Pegden’s findings show, that the Brunswick-New
redistricting. Dr. Pegden’s first-level analysis determined that the enacted plan’s version of
the Brunswick-New Hanover county grouping is more favorable to Republicans than 89.4%
of maps that his algorithm encountered by making small changes to the district boundaries.
PX523 at 24. This result was not an unusual enough result to enable a statistically
significant second-level analysis. Id. But Dr. Pegden’s “wave threshold” analysis found this
county grouping to be a partisan outlier. Id. at 34. Dr. Pegden concluded, and the Court
finds, that the enacted plan’s version of the Brunswick-New Hanover county grouping had a
wave threshold more favorable to Republicans than 99.72% of maps that his algorithm
encountered by making small changes to the district boundaries. Id. In particular, for the
enacted map, Democratic performance could increase by 10.1 percentage points in every
district, yet Democrats still would capture only two of the four seats. Id.
one Democratic leaning district in this Republican leaning county cluster. Under Dr. Barber’s
analysis, the enacted plans are in alignment with his simulations in creating one Democratic
410. The Court finds the districts in the Brunswick-New Hanover House county
grouping, HD17, HD18, HD19, and HD20, to be the result of intentional, pro-Republican
partisan redistricting.
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j. Duplin-Wayne House County Grouping
411. The Duplin-Wayne House County Grouping contains House District 4 (“HD4”)
and House District 10 (“HD10”). HD4 is comprised of Duplin County and portions of Wayne
County. HD10 is comprised of portions of only Wayne County. Plaintiffs challenge these
412. Harper Plaintiffs and NCLCV Plaintiffs challenge this House county grouping.
Individual Harper Plaintiffs Bobby Jones and Kristiann Herring reside in HD10. No
Individual Plaintiff resides in HD4. Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV challenges both House
413. The district boundary that runs through Wayne County ensures that this
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PX656 (Mattingly Figure 6.1.19)
415. Dr. Mattingly’s analysis did not find that Duplin-Wayne was an outlier,
because the black bars representing the enacted plan fall within the middle of the blue
416. Dr. Pegden was unable to generate any comparison districtings of this House
county grouping due do his conservative methodology. PX523 at 17; see id. at 11. The fact
that his algorithm cannot generate comparison maps does not say one way or the other
whether the enacted map of this grouping is the result of intentional, pro-Republican
417. Under Legislative Defendants’ expert Dr. Barber’s analysis, this county
grouping is moderately Republican and, after discarding simulations for containing more
145
county traversals or being less compact, zero simulated maps remained for Dr. Barber to
analyze. After retaining 2,704 of his simulated maps that have the highest compactness
score, the enacted maps match his simulated maps in producing no Democratic leaning
districts in this county grouping for all 11 elections. LDTX107 at 58, 63.
418. The Court finds the districts in the Duplin-Wayne House county grouping,
HD4 and HD10, to not be the result of intentional, pro-Republican partisan redistricting.
(“HD14”), House District 15 (“HD15”), and House District 16 (“HD16”). HD14 and HD15 are
each comprised of portions of only Onslow County. HD16 is comprised of Pender County and
portions of Onslow County. NCLCV Plaintiffs challenge this county grouping as the product
421. Although one of the districts in this cluster—District 15—could have centered
around Jacksonville, Legislative Defendants instead split the Jacksonville area’s Democrats
between two districts—House Districts 14 and 15—in order to create three heavily
Republican districts that prevent Onslow County’s Democratic voters from having any
meaningful say in elections. PX201 “SL-175” B15:BA16. This, again, came at the cost of
compactness: the average compactness score for Districts 14, 15, and 16 is 0.30. PX150 at
16.
422. The Court finds the districts in the Onslow-Pender House county grouping,
HD4 and HD10, to not be the result of intentional, pro-Republican partisan redistricting.
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3. North Carolina Congressional Districts
423. The analysis and conclusions of Plaintiffs’ experts establishes that the 2021
baseline for comparison to the enacted Congressional plan. Even though these experts
employed different methodologies, each expert found that the enacted plan is an outlier that
could only have resulted from an intentional effort to secure Republican advantage.
Plaintiffs’ expert Dr. Christopher Cooper explained how this intentional, pro-Republican
partisan redistricting was carried out in each of the 14 congressional districts and has led to
a substantial disconnect between the ideology and policy preferences of North Carolina’s
citizenry and their representatives in the General Assembly. The Court agrees with the
findings of each of these experts and finds that the 2021 Congressional Plan is an intentional,
expert witness opined that it was not the product of an intentional partisan redistricting.
425. In his simulation set, Dr. Chen programmed his algorithm to follow the
PX482 at 5 ¶8; PX34. This is the same method Dr. Chen employed in Common Cause v.
Lewis, 2019 WL 4569584, and Harper v. Lewis, No. 19 CVS 012667 (N.C. Super. 2019).
PX482 at 5 ¶8.
147
426. Specifically, Dr. Chen programmed the computer algorithm to create 1,000
independent simulated plans adhering to the following seven districting criteria mandated
by the 2021 Adopted Criteria: (1) population equality (2) contiguity, (3) minimizing county
splits and (4) minimizing VTD splits and prioritizing the other traditional redistricting
principles set forth in the Adopted Criteria of (5) compactness, (6) avoiding incumbent
pairings, and (7) avoiding splitting municipalities. PX482 at 6-9 ¶11; PX34.
427. The Court finds that Dr. Chen’s computer algorithm properly adhered to the
Adopted Criteria, as well as traditional redistricting principles. The Court further finds that
Dr. Chen’s interpretation and application of the Adopted Criteria is fully consistent with
General Assembly’s requirements and guidance. The Court further finds that Dr. Chen’s
application of these criteria is consistent with generally accepted redistricting principles and
practice.
428. First, Dr. Chen compared the number of counties that the simulated and
enacted congressional plans split. The enacted congressional plan splits 14 counties. PX482
at 11-12 ¶17; PX484. Dr. Chen concluded this was one more split than necessary. Id. at 12-
13 ¶17-18. From this, Dr. Chen concluded that the enacted congressional plan does not
comply with the Adopted Criteria’s rule against unnecessary division of counties. Id. at 13
¶18. Dr. Chen also found that counties were only split multiple times in 1.8% of his
simulations, and that within that small percentage Mecklenburg, Wake, and Guilford were
429. The Court finds that the enacted congressional plan fails to follow and
subordinates the Adopted Criteria’s requirement that counties be split only for reasons of
population equality or for the protection of incumbents. The Court finds that the enacted
congressional plan splits more counties than is necessary. The Court also finds that the
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enacted congressional plan unnecessarily splits three heavily Democratic counties—
430. Dr. Chen also compared the number of VTDs split in the enacted congressional
plan to his 1,000 simulations. Dr. Chen found that, in comparison to his simulations, the
enacted congressional plan contains 25 VTD splits, almost double the number of VTDs that
are necessary to split to maintain population equality. PX482 at 15 ¶21-22. From this, Dr.
Chen concluded that the enacted congressional plan violates the Adopted Criteria’s
requirement that VTDs “should be split only when necessary.” Id. at 15 ¶23; PX486.
431. The Court finds that the enacted congressional plan fails to follow, and
VTDs. The Court finds that the enacted congressional plan splits more VTDs than is
necessary.
432. Dr. Chen found that the enacted congressional plan is also less compact than
almost all of his 1,000 simulations. Dr. Chen employed the measures of compactness set
forth in the Adopted Criteria, known as Reock and Polsby-Popper scores. PX482 at 17 ¶24.
PX34. For both measures, a higher score indicates that a plan’s districts are more compact.
433. Dr. Chen found that, as measured by Polsby-Popper scores, the enacted
congressional plan is far less compact than all 1,000 simulated congressional plans. PX482
at 17 ¶26. He further found, as measured by Reock scores, the enacted congressional plan is
far less compact than almost all 1,000 simulated congressional plans. Id. at 18 ¶27. From
this, Dr. Chen concluded that the enacted congressional plan is significantly less compact
than would have been expected from a districting process adhering to the Adopted Criteria.
149
434. The Court finds that the enacted congressional plan fails to follow, and
subordinates, the Adopted Criteria’s requirement to draw compact districts. The Court finds
that the enacted congressional districts are less compact than they would be under a map-
drawing process that adhered to the Adopted Criteria and prioritized the traditional
congressional plan, Dr. Chen used census block-level election results from recent statewide
elections in North Carolina. PX482 at 21 ¶¶31-32. For his analysis, Dr. Chen used the
following ten elections: 2016 US President, 2016 US Senator, 2016 Governor, 2016
Lieutenant Governor, 2016 Attorney General, 2020 US President, 2020 US Senator, 2020
Governor, 2020 Lieutenant Governor, and 2020 Attorney General. Id. at 21 ¶31. Dr. Chen
aggregated the results of these elections into a single composite, referred to as the “Statewide
436. Dr. Chen analyzed these elections because they are the same state and federal
offices whose election results were used by the General Assembly during its 2017 legislative
redistricting process, and the 2017 redistricting process was the most recent one in which the
leadership of the General Assembly’s redistricting committees publicly announced how the
General Assembly would evaluate the partisanship of its own districting plans. PX482 at 21
¶31. Additionally, past voting history in federal and statewide elections is a strong predictor
437. By overlaying these past election results onto the enacted congressional plan,
Dr. Chen calculated the Republican share of the votes cast from within each district in the
enacted congressional plan and in each simulated plan. PX482 at 20 ¶28. Based on these
150
calculations, Dr. Chen directly compared the partisanship of the enacted congressional plan
and the simulated plans. Id. Dr. Chen used these comparisons to determine whether the
partisanship of individual enacted districts and the partisan distribution of seats in the
enacted congressional plan could reasonably have arisen from a districting process adhering
to the Adopted Criteria and its explicit prohibition on partisan considerations. Id.
438. The Court finds that the use of statewide elections by Plaintiffs’ experts to
439. To measure the partisanship of his simulated districts and the enacted
districts, Dr. Chen obtained precinct-level results for the elections in the ten elections in the
Statewide Election Composite and aggregated the census block-level results to the district
level. PX482 at 21 ¶32. In other words, using the census blocks that would comprise a
particular district in a given simulation and the actual election results from those census
blocks, Dr. Chen calculated the percentage total two-party votes in that simulated district
for Republican candidates in the 2016-2020 statewide election contests. Id. at 21-22 ¶32-33.
440. Figure 4 in Dr. Chen’s report compares the partisan distribution of districts in
the enacted congressional plan to the partisan distribution of districts in the 1,000 computer-
simulated plans:
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PX488 (Chen Figure 4)
441. In Figure 4, the enacted congressional plan’s districts are ordered from the
most to the least-Republican district, as measured by Republican vote share using the
Statewide Election Composite. PX482 at 23 ¶35; PX488. The red stars mark enacted
districts and are labeled with district numbers, while the gray dots represent the
corresponding 1,000 simulated districts. In other words, each row compares one district from
vote share. Id. at 23-24 ¶35. The two percentages in parentheses in the right margin of this
152
Figure report the percentage of these 1,000 simulated districts that are less Republican than,
and more Republican than, the enacted congressional plan’s district. Id. at 26 ¶36.
442. The Court finds, as the bottom row of Figure 4 illustrates, the most-Democratic
district in the enacted congressional plan (CD-9) is more heavily Democratic than 100% of
¶37; PX488. Every single one of the computer-simulated counterpart districts would have
been more politically moderate than CD-9 in terms of partisanship: CD-9 exhibits a
Republican vote share of 27.2%, while all 1,000 of the most-Democratic districts in the
computer-simulated plans would have exhibited a higher Republican vote share and would
therefore have been more politically moderate. Id. at 26 ¶36. Based on this, Dr. Chen
concluded, and the Court so finds, that CD-9 packs together Democratic voters to a greater
extent than the most-Democratic district in 100% of the computer-simulated plans. Id. Dr.
Chen therefore concluded that CD-9 is an extreme partisan outlier when compared to its
1,000 computer-simulated counterparts, using a standard threshold test of 95% for statistical
significance. Id. Dr. Chen uses the standard threshold test of 95% for statistical significance
443. The Court finds that the same pattern observed for CD-9, exists for CD-6.
PX482 at 26-27 ¶38; PX488. Again, CD-6 is more heavily Democratic than 100% of the
plans. Id. Again, every single one of its computer-simulated counterpart districts would have
been more politically moderate than CD-6 in terms of partisanship: CD-6 exhibits a
Republican vote share of 27.5%, while 100% of the second-most-Democratic districts in the
computer-simulated plans would have exhibited a higher Republican vote share and would
therefore have been more politically moderate. Chen Id. The Court finds, like CD-9, CD-6
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district in 100% of the computer-simulated plans. Id. at 27 ¶38. From these results, Dr.
Chen identified CD-6 as an extreme partisan outlier when compared to its 1,000 computer-
simulated counterparts, using a standard threshold test of 95% for statistical significance.
Id.
444. The Court finds that CD-5, the next most Democratic district in the enacted
congressional plan, similarly contains more Democratic voters than over 95% of its
445. The Court finds that the same partisan skew exists for the two most-
Republican districts in the enacted congressional plan. As the top row of Figure 4 illustrates,
and the Court so finds, the most-Republican district in the enacted congressional plan (CD-
10) is less heavily Republican and more heavily Democratic than 100% of the most-
Republican districts in each of the 1,000 computer-simulated plans. PX482 at 27 ¶39; PX488.
446. The Court finds that a similar pattern appears in the second-to-top row of
Figure 4, which illustrates that the second most-Republican district in the enacted
congressional plan (CD-13) is less heavily Republican and more heavily Democratic than
Id.
447. The Court finds that the two most Republican districts (CD-10 and CD-13) and
the three most Democratic districts (CD-9, CD-6, and CD-5), which include more Democratic
voters than virtually all of their counterpart districts in the 1,000 computer-simulated plans,
draw Democratic voters out of the more moderate districts in the enacted congressional plan.
PX482 at 27 ¶40. Having fewer Democratic voters in these more moderate districts enhances
448. The Court finds that the middle six rows in Figure 4 confirm this effect. These
rows compare the partisanship of districts in the fifth, sixth, seventh, eighth, ninth, and
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tenth-most Republican districts (CD-1, 3, 4, 11, 12, and 14) within the enacted congressional
plan and the 1,000 computer-simulated plans. For all six districts, the enacted congressional
plan district is a partisan outlier; the enacted congressional plan’s district is more heavily
Republican than over 95% of its counterpart districts in the 1,000 computer-simulated plans,
with three being more heavily Republican than 100% of their counterpart districts. PX482
at 28 ¶41; PX488
449. These six enacted congressional plan districts, CD-1, 3, 4, 11, 12, and 14, are
more heavily Republican than nearly all of their counterpart computer-simulated plan
districts because the five most partisan-extreme districts in the enacted congressional plan,
CD-5, 6, 9, 10, and 13, are more heavily Democratic than nearly all of their counterpart
450. Based on these findings, Dr. Chen identified the enacted congressional plan’s
six most moderate districts, CD-1, 3, 4, 11, 12, and 14 as partisan statistical outliers. PX482
at 28-29 ¶¶42-43. Each of these six districts has a Republican vote share that is higher than
over 95% of the computer-simulated districts. Id. He also concluded that the four most
extreme districts in the enacted congressional plan in terms of partisanship, CD-6, 9, 10, and
13, are partisan statistical outliers. Id. Each of these four districts has a Republican vote
share that is lower than at least 99.7% of the computer-simulated districts. Id. CD-5 likewise
is a partisan statistical outlier, containing more Democratic voters than 95.9% of the
computer-simulated districts. PX482 at Figure 4. Dr. Chen thus concluded that overall,
eleven individual districts in the enacted congressional plan are extreme statistical outliers,
exhibiting partisan characteristics that are rarely or never observed in the computer-
451. The Court finds that the enacted congressional plan contains 11 districts, CD-
1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, and 14, that are partisan outliers, which cannot be explained by
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adherence to the Adopted Criteria. The Court finds that these enacted congressional districts
have partisan compositions that would not have arisen under a map-drawing process that
adhered to the Adopted Criteria. The Court finds this to be evidence that the enacted
districts in each of the computer-simulated plans. PX482 at 30 ¶46. Specifically, the enacted
congressional plan’s ten most-Republican districts all have Republican vote shares within
the narrow range of 52.9% to 61.2%. Id. at 29 ¶45. Dr. Chen refers to these districts as “Mid-
Range Republican Districts,” meaning they favor Republican candidates within this narrow
range. Id.
453. The creation of ten Mid-Range Republican Districts is an outcome that never
occurs in the computer-simulated plans and is therefore an extreme statistical outlier. PX482
at 30 ¶46. Instead, virtually all of the simulated plans contain from two to six Mid-Range
Republican Districts, with the most common outcome among the simulations being four such
districts. Id. Based on this, Dr. Chen concluded that the enacted congressional plan is an
Districts, and that the enacted congressional plan did so to an extreme degree far beyond any
of the 1,000 simulated plans created using a partisan-blind computer algorithm that follows
Districts necessarily results in fewer competitive districts. PX482 at 30 ¶47. The enacted
congressional plan contains zero districts in which the Republican vote share is within 5% of
the Democratic vote share. Id. Dr. Chen labels districts within this range as “Competitive
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using the Statewide Election Composite. Id. at 30 ¶48. Only about 5% of the 1,000 simulated
plans fail to have a single Competitive District, and the vast majority of the computer-
simulated plans contain two or more such districts. Id.; see PX490.
evidence that the enacted congressional plan was designed specifically to ensure that
Republicans can efficiently and consistently win at least ten congressional seats and that
Democrats are packed into the remaining districts. The frequency of Mid-Range Republican
and Competitive Districts in the enacted congressional plan would not have occurred under
a map-drawing process that adhered to the Adopted Criteria, and the Court finds this to be
evidence that the enacted congressional plan was intentionally designed to give Republicans
a partisan advantage.
456. Dr. Chen also analyzed the number of total Republican-favoring districts in
the enacted congressional plan, which are defined as a district having greater than 50%
Republican vote share as measured using the Statewide Election Composite. PX482 at 32
¶50; Figure 7. While the enacted congressional plan has 10 Republican districts, only 3% of
districts created by the plan, the enacted congressional plan is a statistical outlier when
compared to the 1,000 computer-simulated plans. Id. at 32 ¶51. The enacted congressional
plan creates the maximum number of Republican districts that ever occurs in any computer-
simulated plan, and more Republican districts than 97% of the computer-simulated plans,
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which were drawn using a non-partisan districting process adhering to the Adopted Criteria.
458. Dr. Chen also measured the number of Republican districts that would exist
under his simulated plans and the enacted congressional plan under a variety of electoral
environments. PX482 at 34 ¶54; id. at 86-95; PX513-522 (Figures B1-B10). The ten
individual elections in the Statewide Election Composite showed a range of different electoral
outcomes, ranging from a Republican vote share of 47.7% to 53.3%. Id. at 86-95, PX513-522.
Across this range of electoral environments, the enacted congressional plan always creates a
10-4 distribution of seats in favor of Republican candidates. Id. at 34 ¶54. Based on this, the
conditions. Id.
459. Dr. Chen’s analysis of the enacted congressional plan under various electoral
outcomes is evidence that the enacted congressional plan was designed specifically to ensure
that Democrats cannot win more than four congressional seats under any reasonably
enacted congressional plan would be lower under a map-drawing process that adhered to the
Adopted Criteria. The Court finds this to be evidence that the enacted congressional plan
460. Dr. Chen also examined the enacted congressional plan as compared to the
simulated plans under a variety of methods redistricting scholars commonly use to compare
461. First, Dr. Chen examined the enacted congressional plan’s mean-median
difference and compared it to the simulated plans. PX482 at 36 ¶59. A plan’s mean-median
difference is calculated as the mean district-level Republican vote share, minus the median
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462. The mean-median difference analysis confirms that the enacted congressional
plan creates an extreme partisan outcome that cannot be explained by North Carolina’s
463. Second, Dr. Chen analyzed another commonly used measure of a districting
plan’s partisan bias called the efficiency gap. PX482 at 39 ¶62. The efficiency gap provides
a measure of the degree to which more Democratic or Republican votes are wasted across an
entire districting plan. Id. at 40 ¶63. The efficiency gap is calculated using the total sum of
surplus votes in districts a party won and lost votes in districts where that party lost. Id. at
39-40 ¶62. Dr. Chen found that the enacted congressional plan exhibits an efficiency gap of
19.5%, indicating that the plan results in far more wasted Democratic votes than wasted
464. The efficiency gap analysis confirms that the enacted congressional plan
creates an extreme partisan outcome that cannot be explained by North Carolina’s political
465. Third, Dr. Chen analyzed another commonly used measure of a districting
plan’s partisan bias called the lopsided margins test. PX482 at 43 ¶67. The basic premise of
the lopsided margins measure is that a partisan-motivated map-drawer may attempt to pack
the opposing party’s voters into a small number of extreme districts that are won by a
lopsided margin. Id. Dr. Chen compared the enacted congressional plan’s lopsided margins
measure with the computer simulated plans and found that the simulated plans all have a
smaller lopsided margins measure than the enacted congressional plan. PX482 at 44 ¶70;
PX494.
simulated plans on the lopsided margins measure, and the enacted congressional plan’s
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packing of Democrats into Democratic-favoring districts was not simply the result of North
Carolina’s political geography, combined with adherence to the Adopted Criteria. Id. at ¶71.
467. Fourth, Dr. Chen analyzed another common measure of partisan bias in a
districting plan based on the concept of partisan symmetry. PX482 at 46 ¶72. This analysis,
which Dr. Chen calls “partisan symmetry based on uniform swing,” examines what share of
seats a party would win under the enacted congressional plan in a hypothetical tied election.
Id.
468. Based on the results of this analysis, the enacted congressional plan creates a
durable Republican majority for North Carolina’s congressional delegation, such that even
when Democrats win 50% of the statewide vote, Republicans will still be favored in 10 out of
14 (71.4%) of the congressional districts, while Democrats will only be favored in 4 out of the
469. Based on Dr. Chen’s overall statewide conclusions based on his computer
simulations, the Court adopts these conclusions and finds that the enacted congressional
plan subordinates the Adopted Criteria and traditional redistricting criteria for partisan
advantage.
470. In addition to the above statewide analyses, Dr. Chen also examined the extent
to which partisan bias affected the map-drawing process within specific cities and regions of
the state. PX482 at 50 ¶79. Dr. Chen found, and the Court so finds, that the enacted
congressional plan’s districts in each region examined exhibit political bias when compared
471. Dr. Chen first examined the Piedmont Triad area. The enacted congressional
plan splits Guilford County into three different districts: CD-7, 10, and 11. PX482 at 50 ¶80.
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These three fragments of Guilford County voted solidly Democratic in recent statewide
elections but were each combined with more Republican areas in surrounding counties across
the Piedmont Triad area. Id. This splitting results in CD-7, 10, and 11 being safely
Republican, each with a Republican vote share between 55.9% and 61.2%. Id.
472. The enacted congressional plan cracked Democratic voters in the region to a
greater extent than virtually all of the computer-simulated plans. PX482 at 50 ¶81 - 54 ¶81.
The enacted congressional plan achieved this result by creating districts that are
significantly less compact than virtually all of the Guilford County districts in the computer-
simulated plans. Id.; see PX496. The vast majority (75.6%) of simulated plans did not split
Guilford County a single time, and if the County was split, it was usually split only once.
PX497.
473. The Court finds that the three-way splitting of Guilford County and resulting
creation of three safe Republican districts in the Piedmont Triad area could not have resulted
naturally from the region’s political geography or the districting principles required by the
Adopted Criteria.
474. Dr. Chen next conducted similar analyses of the districts in the Research
Triangle. PX482 at 56 ¶ 88; PX498. In this area of the state, the enacted congressional plan’s
Raleigh-based district (CD-5) and Durham-based district (CD-6) are more heavily packed
with Democrats than almost 100% of the simulated districts containing Raleigh and Durham.
Id. CD-5 and CD-6 are also less geographically compact than nearly 100% of the computer-
475. Because the enacted congressional plan packs Democratic voters into CD-5 and
CD-6, the surrounding districts are more safely Republican than they would have been in the
absence of such packing. PX482 at 56 ¶ 90; PX499. CD-7 is a partisan outlier that was
enabled by the packing of Democratic voters in CD-5 (Raleigh) and CD-6 (Durham). Id.
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476. The Court finds that the enacted congressional plan packs Democrats in its
drawing of CD-5 and CD-6, and this could not have resulted naturally from the region’s
477. Finally, Dr. Chen examined Mecklenburg County. PX482 at 60 ¶91; PX500.
The enacted congressional plan’s CD-9 is more heavily Democratic than 100% of the
simulated plans’ districts containing the most of Charlotte. Id. As a result, the surrounding
Mecklenburg County and CD-8 in Eastern Mecklenburg County, are more safely Republican
than their geographic counterparts in all of the computer-simulated plans. PX482 at 60 ¶92-
93.
478. Based on this data, the enacted congressional plan packed Democrats in
Mecklenburg County to an extent greater than what naturally occurs as a result of the area’s
479. The Court finds that the enacted congressional plans created a Charlotte
district that is more heavily Democratic than what could be expected from a partisan-blind
map-drawing process, and this could not have resulted naturally from the region’s political
480. The Court finds that the packing and cracking of Democrats in the Piedmont
Triad Area, the Research Triangle Area, and Mecklenburg County could not have resulted
naturally from the region’s political geography or the districting principles required by the
Adopted Criteria. The enacted congressional map was therefore designed in order to
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(iv) Effect of Political Geography
Republican vote share in suburban and rural districts, where for example, Democratic voters
are clustered in urban areas because of the common districting principle of drawing
geographically compact districts. Id. at 63 ¶95. But Dr. Chen programmed a computer
algorithm that drew simulated plans using North Carolina’s unique political geography. Id
63, ¶96. As Dr. Chen, explained “the entire premise of conducting districting simulations is
to fully account for North Carolina’s unique political geography, its political subdivision
boundaries, and its districting criteria, as mandated by the Adopted Criteria.” Id. Thus, the
simulation analysis allowed Dr. Chen to identify how much of the electoral bias in the enacted
congressional plan is caused by North Carolina’s political geography and how much is caused
by the map-drawer’s intentional efforts to favor one political party over the other. Id. at 63-
64 ¶97.
482. The Court finds that the enacted congressional plan’s partisan bias goes
beyond any “natural” level of electoral bias caused by North Carolina’s political geography or
the political composition of the state’s voters, Id. at 64 ¶98, and this additional level of
partisan bias in the enacted congressional plan can be directly attributed to the map-drawer’s
follows:
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b. Individual Congressional Districts
Chowan County, Craven County, Currituck County, Dare County, Gates County, Hyde
County, Jones County, Lenoir County, Pamlico County, Pasquotank County, Perquimans
County, Tyrrell County, portions of Onslow County, and portions of Pitt County. Harper
gerrymanders.
485. Individual Harper Plaintiffs Amy Clare Oseroff and Donald Rumph reside in
486. CD1 is in the northeastern corner of the state and includes part of the former
CD1 and CD3. PX425 at 21. As Dr. Cooper’s reported and his map illustrates, Legislative
Defendants included the Democratic-leaning areas of Pitt County within CD1, allowing for a
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PX440 (Cooper Map 5)
487. CD1 is likely to elect a Republican candidate based on a calculation of the two-
party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in the
VTDs that are included within CD1, as well as other measures. PX425 at 21.
488. The Court finds this congressional district, CD1, to be the result of intentional,
Franklin County, Granville County, Greene County, Halifax County, Hertford County,
Martin County, Nash County, Northampton County, Person County, Vance County, Warren
County, Washington County, Wilson County, portions of Pitt County, and portions of Wayne
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County. Plaintiffs challenge this congressional district as the product of unlawful partisan
gerrymanders.
490. Individual Harper Plaintiffs Laureen Flood, Bobby Jones, and Kristiann
Herring reside in and challenge CD2. Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenges
CD2 as well.
491. CD2 stretches from Albemarle Sound, in the east, to the Raleigh-Durham-
Chapel Hill metropolitan area and includes Caswell County, northeast of Greensboro, to the
west. Washington County and Caswell County have never been paired together in a
congressional map in North Carolina’s history, no matter which political party was in charge.
492. CD2 includes the “core” of former CD1, as well as portions of the former CD4
and CD13. While the former CD1 previously included Pitt County, home to East Carolina
University in Greenville, CD2 does not include Pitt County. PX425 at 21-23.
166
PX441 (Cooper Map 6)
493. CD2 is now a “competitive” district based on a calculation of the two-party vote
differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in the VTDs that
are included within CD2, as well as other measures. PX425 at 23. CD2 is “the lone
competitive district in the state of North Carolina under the Enacted Maps.” Trial Tr.
01/03/2022.
494. Most of the area that comprises CD2 is represented by Democrat G.K.
serving member of North Carolina’s congressional delegation, announced that he will not
seek re-election after the 2021 Congressional Plan was enacted. PX425 at 23.
495. The Court finds this congressional district, CD2, to be the result of intentional,
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(iii) Congressional District No. 3 (“CD3”)
Duplin County, New Hanover County, Pender County, portions of Onslow County, and
portions of Robeson County. Plaintiffs challenge this congressional district as the product of
497. Individual Harper Plaintiff Eileen Stephens resides in and challenges CD3.
498. CD3 combines portions of the Sandhills, on its western boundary, with the
coastal enclave in and around Wilmington and a piece of Onslow County, in the east. CD3
includes portions of three former districts: CD3, CD7, and CD9. PX425 at 25.
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499. CD3 is likely to elect a Republican candidate based on a calculation of the two-
party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in the
VTDs that are included within CD3, as well as other measures. PX425 at 25.
500. The Court finds this congressional district, CD3, to be the result of intentional,
portions of Harnett County, and portions of Wayne County. Plaintiffs challenge this
502. Individual NCLCV Plaintiff Reverend Reginald Wells and Individual Harper
Plaintiffs Gettys Cohen, Jr. and Sarah Taber reside in and challenge CD4. Organizational
Plaintiff NCLCV and Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenge CD4 as well.
503. CD4 contains portions of the Sandhills, including Cumberland and Johnston
counties along with parts of Harnett and Wayne counties. CD4’s boundaries thereby combine
the Democratic-leaning areas in Fayetteville with Republican-leaning areas that were in the
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PX443 (Cooper Map 8)
two-party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in
the VTDs that are included within CD4, as well as other measures. PX425 at 27.
505. The Court finds this congressional district, CD4, to be the result of intentional,
506. CD5 is comprised of portions of only Wake County. Plaintiffs challenge this
507. Individual Harper Plaintiff John Anthony Balla resides in and challenge CD5.
Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV and Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenge CD5
as well.
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508. CD5 sits entirely within Wake County and is one of the three districts that
includes a part of that county. Trial Tr. 01/03/2022. It is made up of portions of former CD2
and CD4 and packs the Democratic voters in these heavily-Democratic areas into one district,
increasing the probability that Republican candidates will win in the adjacent districts.
PX425 at 29.
509. CD5 is likely to elect a Democratic candidate based on a calculation of the two-
party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in the
VTDs that are included within CD5, as well as other measures. PX425 at 29.
510. The Court finds this congressional district, CD5, to be the result of intentional,
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(vi) Congressional District No. 6 (“CD6”)
511. CD6 is comprised of Durham County, Orange County, and portions of Wake
County. Plaintiffs challenge this congressional district as the product of unlawful partisan
gerrymanders.
512. Individual NCLCV Plaintiffs Henry M. Michaux, Jr. and Katherine Newhall
and Individual Harper Plaintiffs Rebecca Harper and Sondra Stein reside in and challenge
513. CD6 is another district including parts of Wake County and combines portions
514. CD6 is a really good example of packing Democratic voters across multiple
counties and adds a greater proportion of Democratic voters into a single district than any
district from the former congressional plan, increasing the probability that Republicans can
172
win in the adjacent districts. There are only four marginally Republican-leaning VTDs in
515. CD6 is likely to elect a Democratic candidate based on his calculation of the
two-party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in
the VTDs that are included within CD6, as well as other measures. PX425 at 31.
516. The Court finds this congressional district, CD6, to be the result of intentional,
County, portions of Guilford County, portions of Harnett County, Lee County, Randolph
County, and portions of Wake County. Plaintiffs challenge this congressional district as the
518. Individual Harper Plaintiffs Lily Nicole Quick and Ron Osborne reside in and
519. CD7, one of three districts to include parts of Guilford county. is made up of
portions of former CD2, CD4, CD6, and CD13. The boundaries of CD7 split Guilford and
Wake counties but do not include the most Democratic-leaning VTDs in those counties within
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PX446 (Cooper Map 11)
520. CD7 leans heavily towards the Republican Party and is going to be a
Republican district as a result of how this district is drawn alongside CD6. Trial Tr.
01/03/2022. CD7 is likely to elect a Republican candidate based on a calculation of the two-
party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in the
VTDs that are included within CD7, as well as other measures. PX425 at 33.
while carefully avoiding concentrations of Democratic voters, the result is a district that will
reliably elect Republicans to office; in Dr. Duchin’s analysis of 52 elections, District 7 never
County, District 7 is less compact. District 7 has a Polsby-Popper compactness score of only
0.20 (on a scale of 0 to 1, where 1 is the most compact). PX150 at 14. It was not necessary to
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523. The Court finds this congressional district, CD7, to be the result of intentional,
County, Montgomery County, Moore County, Richmond County, portions of Robeson County,
Scotland County, Stanly County, and Union County. Plaintiffs challenge this congressional
525. Individual Harper Plaintiff Barbara Proffitt resides in and challenges CD8.
Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV and Organizational Plaintiff Common Cause challenge CD8
as well.
526. CD8 includes portions of the Sandhills, stretching from the eastern side of
Mecklenburg County, in the west, to include Hoke and Scotland counties, in the east. It is
one of three districts to contain portions of Mecklenburg County and is made up of portions
of former CD8, CD9, and CD12. CD8’s western boundary splits Mecklenburg County in such
a way that the most Democratic-leaning VTDs within that county fall outside of CD8. PX425
at 35.
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PX447 (Cooper Map 12)
527. CD8 is likely to elect a Republican candidate based on his calculation of the
two-party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in
the VTDs that are included within CD8, as well as other measures. PX425 at 35.
528. The Court finds this congressional district, CD8, to be the result of intentional,
530. Individual Harper Plaintiff Virginia Walters Brien resides in and challenges
531. CD9, one of three districts to contain portions of Mecklenburg County, sits
wholly within Mecklenburg County and includes portions of the former CD9 and CD12. CD9
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packs the most-Democratic VTDs in Mecklenburg County within one district, while most
Republican-leaning and competitive VTDs are placed outside its boundaries, in CD13 to the
west and CD8 to the east, allowing those districts to be more favorable to Republican
532. CD9 is likely to elect a Democratic candidate based on his calculation of the
two-party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in
the VTDs that are included within CD9, as well as other measures. PX425 at 37.
Mecklenburg County need not have been fractured three times, and District 9 need not have
been “packed.”
533. The Court finds this congressional district, CD9, to be the result of intentional,
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(x) Congressional District No. 10 (“CD10”)
County, portions of Guilford County, portions of Iredell County, and Rowan County. Plaintiffs
535. Individual Harper Plaintiffs Shawn Rush, Joshua Perry Brown, and Donald
536. CD10, one of three districts to contain portions of Guilford County, combines
portions of former CD6, CD9, CD10, and CD13. PX425 at 39. CD10 includes heavily-
Democratic VTDs in High Point, within Guilford County, as well as Democratic-leaning VTDs
in Salisbury, Kannapolis, and Concord, in Rowan and Cabarrus counties. Id. at 40. But CD10
separates the Democratic voters in those areas from other pockets of Democratic voters just
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537. While North Carolina’s Piedmont Triad (High Point, Winston-Salem, and
Greensboro) was previously kept together in one district (former CD6), the Piedmont Triad—
and the Democratic voters there—are split across three districts, CD10, CD11, and CD12.
PX425 at 39.
Davidson County and then turns 90 degrees to the south, bringing within its bounds
539. The former CD6 is represented by Democrat Kathy Manning, who is now
PX425 at 4.
two-party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in
the VTDs that are included within CD10, as well as other measures. PX425 at 39.
541. Because of the way in which the Enacted Plan divides the county’s Democratic
voters, Districts 7, 10, and 11 do not elect a Democrat in a single one of the 52 elections Dr.
Duchin studied. PX201 “SL-174” A8:BA9, A11:BA11. Just as with Mecklenburg and Wake
Counties, there was no need to trisect Guilford County into CD7, CD10, and CD11 in this
manner.
542. The Court finds this congressional district, CD10, to be the result of
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(xi) Congressional District No. 11 (“CD11”)
Caldwell County, portions of Guilford County, Rockingham County, Stokes County, Surry
County, portions of Watauga County, and Wilkes County. Plaintiffs challenge this
544. Individual NCLCV Plaintiffs Dandrielle Lewis and Talia Fernos and
Individual Harper Plaintiff David Dwight Brown reside in and challenge CD11.
CD11 as well.
545. CD11, one of three districts to contain portions of Guilford County, is made up
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546. Caldwell County, in the west, and Rockingham, in the east, have never shared
CD11—particularly the “high country” areas in Watauga and Ashe counties and Greensboro,
in the Piedmont—sit in different media markets, with different area codes. PX425 at 41;
Republican district,” thereby ensuring that Greensboro voters will not be represented by a
548. District 11’s boundaries, by bending to avoid Forsyth County and stretching
far west through Republican-majority counties all the way to the Tennessee border, result in
549. The portion of CD11 that includes the residence of Republican incumbent
Virginia Fox is a tiny sliver of Watauga County that is connected to Caldwell County by a
narrow passage of land that is roughly three miles wide and requires a traverse of the Daniel
Boone Scout Trail. PX425 at 41-42. This inclusion leads to a double bunking with a
Republican and incumbent Democrat in another current district together in a new district
that leans heavily towards the Republican Party. Trial Tr. 01/03/2022.
two-party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in
the VTDs that are included within CD11, as well as other measures. PX425 at 41.
551. The Court finds this congressional district, CD11, to be the result of
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(xii) Congressional District No. 12 (“CD12”)
County, Lincoln County, and Yadkin County. Plaintiffs challenge this congressional district
553. Individual Harper Plaintiff Chenita Barber Johnson resides in and challenges
554. CD12 stretches from Lincoln County, in the southwest, through Catawba,
Iredell, Yadkin, and Forsyth counties, in the northeast. PX425 at 43. CD12’s boundaries
in High Point (in CD10), combining Winston-Salem with Republican-leaning VTDs further
south. PX425 at 44. Republican incumbent Patrick McHenry currently resides in the
southeast corner of CD12, on the other end of the district from Winston-Salem. PX425 at 43.
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555. CD12 is likely to elect a Republican candidate based on a calculation of the
two-party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in
the VTDs that are included within CD12, as well as other measures. PX425 at 43.
556. The Court finds this congressional district, CD12, to be the result of
McDowell County, portions of Mecklenburg County, Polk County, and Rutherford County.
gerrymanders.
558. Individual NCLCV Plaintiff Timothy Chartier and Individual Harper Plaintiff
Mary Elizabeth Voss reside in and challenge CD13. Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV and
559. CD13, one of three districts to include portions of Mecklenburg County, is made
up of portions of former CD5, CD10, CD11, and CD12. Id. Until the 2021 Congressional Plan,
Polk County and Mecklenburg County have never been included in the same congressional
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PX452 (Cooper Map 17)
two-party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in
the VTDs that are included within CD13, as well as other measures. PX425 at 45.
561. The Court finds this congressional district, CD13, to be the result of
Clay County, Graham County, Haywood County, Henderson County, Jackson County, Macon
County, Madison County, Mitchell County, Swain County, Transylvania County, portions of
Watauga County, and Yancey County. Harper Plaintiffs challenge this congressional district
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563. Individual Harper Plaintiffs Richard R. Crews, Mark S. Peters, Kathleen
Barnes, and Ann Butzner reside in and challenge CD14. Organizational Plaintiff NCLCV
564. CD14 sits in the southwestern corner of the state and includes most of the
former CD11, as well as part of Watauga County, to the northeast. PX425 at 47. The former
CD11 also included “Republican strongholds” of Polk and McDowell counties, as well as part
of Rutherford County, which are now placed in CD13. Id. Watauga County has not been in
the same congressional district with the southwestern end of the state since 1871, before
two-party vote differential in the 2020 Secretary of Labor and Attorney General elections in
the VTDs that are included within CD14, as well as other measures. PX425 at 47.
566. The Court finds this congressional district, CD14, to be the result of
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C. Elections are Decided by any Number of Factors
567. All of Plaintiff’s statistical experts, except Dr. Pegden, used as a baseline or
point of comparison nonpartisan maps to determine whether the Enacted Maps are partisan
“outliers.” Even Plaintiffs would have to concede that under Stephenson, the General
Assembly is at least, to some degree, allowed to draw districts for partisan advantage. The
experts’ analysis does not inform the Court of how far the Enacted Maps are from what is
permissible partisan advantage. Accordingly, these analyses do not inform the Court of how
much of an outlier the Enacted Maps are from what is actually permissible.
568. Many of the opinions of the experts at trial were informed by either the vote
share of a party on a single or aggregated statewide race or races. These statewide races
include presidential and gubernatorial races as well as Attorney General, Judicial and
Council of State races. These statewide races have one thing in common, that is, the elected
positions have very little in common with the legislative and congressional races except that
they all occur in North Carolina. The function and responsibilities of our legislature and our
members of congress differ from these statewide and national offices. Also, these races do not
take into account the individual needs and issues that are important to each of the 170
legislative districts and 14 congressional districts at issue. They also treat the candidates as
inanimate objects in that they do not consider the personality or qualifications of each
candidate, any political baggage each candidate may carry, as well as a host of other
considerations that voters use to select a candidate. Moreover, these opinions assume that
voters will vote along party lines. Testimony of the experts that by considering many
statewide races across a significant period of time somehow washes these considerations out
is not persuasive. In effect, they believe the computer can take the human element out of
the human. That is a process we doubt they can do and hope will never happen.
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569. Notwithstanding these doubts, we conclude based upon a careful review of all
of the evidence that the Enacted Maps are a result of intentional, pro-Republican partisan
redistricting.
1. Direct Evidence
570. There is no express language showing discriminatory intent within the text of
571. The Adopted Criteria expressly proscribed the use of data identifying the race
while also requiring each redistricting committee to draw districts that comply with the
572. There also is no evidence that the Enacted Plans were evaluated based on
racial considerations after the respective congressional, Senate, and House plans were
selected and prior to enactment. Defendants Expert Dr. Lewis stated that he was only asked
to do the RPV study after he was retained on November 12, 2021. Trial Tr. 01/05/2022.
2. Circumstantial Evidence
573. The General Assembly’s intentional racial gerrymandering has been subject to
574. First, in Dickson v. Rucho, 367 N.C. 542 (2014), the plaintiffs challenged North
Carolina’s redistricting plans for the North Carolina Senate, House of Representatives, and
575. The three-judge panel that heard the challenges concluded that 26 of the
challenged districts were predominately motivated by race, and thus were subject to strict
187
scrutiny and determined that these districts were intended by the General Assembly to be
“VRA districts” that necessarily required the drafters to classify residents by race. Id. at 551.
The Supreme Court of North Carolina determined that the consideration of race to the degree
necessary to comply with Section 2 of the VRA does not rise to the level of a “predominate
motive,” though this was not fatal to the order, Id. at 522, because of the three-judge panel’s
determination that compliance with Section 2 and Section 5 of the VRA are compelling state
576. The Supreme Court of the United States reviewed this decision, vacated the
judgment, and remanded the case for further consideration in light of Alabama Legislative
Black Caucus v. Alabama, 135 S. Ct. 1257 (2015). See Dickson v. Rucho, 368 N.C. 481, 484
(2015). The Supreme Court of North Carolina, again, affirmed the ruling of the three-judge
panel, determining that the trial court did the appropriate district-by-district analysis
577. Second, in Covington v. North Carolina, 316 F.R.D. 176 (M.D.N.C. 2016), the
racial gerrymanders. The court determined that race was the predominate factor motivating
the drawing of all the challenged districts, based on the redistricting committee’s criteria of
creating “VRA districts” that reach a 50%-plus-one BVAP threshold first, Id. at 130-31, and
that the defendants had not shown that their use of race was reasonably necessary to remedy
a violation of Section 2 of the VRA because they had not demonstrated that any of the districts
challenged were based on evidence that the majority votes sufficiently as a bloc, pursuant to
Thornburg v. Gingles, 478 U.S. 30, 51 (1986). 316 F.RD. at 124. The court ordered new maps
be drawn. Id.
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b. Plaintiff Common Cause’s Expert James Leloudis, II
578. Dr. James Leloudis, a professor of history at the University of North Carolina
at Chapel Hill, submitted an expert report and was accepted as an expert during trial for
Plaintiff Common Cause in the areas of North Carolina history, politics, race relations, and
579. Dr. Leloudis received his B.A. and Ph.D. from the University of North Carolina
at Chapel Hill, and M.A. from Northwestern University. PX1486 (Leloudis Report) p. 4.
580. Dr. Leloudis’ primary expertise is in the history of the United States, with
specialization in the history of race, politics, labor, and reform in the 19th and 20th century
American South. Id. Dr. Leloudis conducted qualitative research on the history of race, voting
rights, voter suppression, and redistricting in North Carolina, from the end of the Civil War
to the present. He examined the historical context for recent attempts to limit minority
citizens’ voting rights and ability to elect candidates of their choice. PX1486 (Leloudis Report)
p. 5.
581. North Carolina has had a long and cyclical history of suppressing minority
political participation. Over the last century and a half, there have been numerous instances
where white conservatives have employed a variety of measures to limit the rights of racial
582. Dr. Leloudis found that although Republicans may claim that the redistricting
process was conducted race-blind, accepting this contention “asks us to believe that history
has ended and that in a society deeply scarred by slavery and Jim Crow, race no longer
matters; and that politicians vying for public office in the racially polarized America of the
21st century lack an intimate knowledge of where people live and how they vote.” PX1486
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B. Racial Vote Dilution
583. As noted above, the process in creating the Enacted Plans deviated from past
584. Dr. Moon Duchin, as noted above, submitted an expert report on behalf of
NCLCV Plaintiffs. PX150. During trial, Dr. Duchin was accepted as an expert witness.
585. Dr. Duchin used well-recognized ecological inference statistical tools to assess
racial voting trends in North Carolina and to determine if racial vote polarization persists
today. Id. at 11. She designated 8 elections (4 generals and 4 primaries)—by prioritizing more
recent elections that had a Black candidate on the ballot, that was polarized, and close
enough to produce variation at the district level—to determine the opportunity to elect
586. Dr. Duchin found that there is a consistent pattern of polarization in statewide
general elections. More specifically, the Enacted Congressional districts had two effective
districts for Black voters while the NCLCV map had four effective districts. The Enacted
Senate map had eight effective districts while the NCLCV map had 12 effective districts. The
Enacted House districts were effective for Black voters in 24 districts, while the NCLCV map
587. During trial, however, Dr. Duchin was asked about conducting a Gingles
analysis, to which Dr. Duchin stated she did do Gingles two and three, by doing an RPV
analysis, but didn’t do Gingles one. Trial Tr. 01/04/2022. When asked whether a district-by-
district analysis was conducted, Dr. Duchin stated that the EI is run on the statewide basis,
but it makes inferences about every precinct’s preferences. Trial Tr. 01/04/2022.
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b. Plaintiff Common Cause’s Expert Jonathan Mattingly
588. In his addendum report, Dr. Mattingly examined the correlation between the
fraction of the black voting age population and the partisan makeup of (i) the North Eastern
cluster choices in the North Carolina State Senate, and (ii) the districts within the Duplin-
Wayne county cluster in the North Carolina State House. PX1485 (Mattingly Addendum) at
1.
589. The enacted plan splits the Black voters roughly in half between the two
districts, whereas the other potential clustering would have concentrated Black voters into
one of the two districts. PX1485 (Mattingly Addendum) at 2. Additionally, the enacted plan
leads to two stable Republican districts when measured across a range of historic voting
patterns. Id. In contract, the alternate clustering would have allowed the district with the
larger BVAP (42.33% BVAP) to reliably elect a Democratic candidate. Id. Thus, the chosen
cluster is the choice that favors the Republican Party and significantly fractures Black voters
590. In examining the Duplin-Wayne cluster, Dr. Mattingly used the 2020 Governor
race and plotted the relationship between the BVAP and the vote fraction in the ensemble
maps he created and the exacted plan. PX1485 (Mattingly Addendum) at 2. Using this
analysis, it is possible to draw districts with significantly higher BVAPs and raising the
BVAP would likely raise the Democratic vote fraction. Id. Trial Tr. 01/04/2022.
591. Dr. Jeffery B. Lewis, a Professor of Political Science at UCLA, received a B.A.
in Political Science and Economics from Wesleyan University. He received a Ph.D. in Political
Science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. LDTX109 at 1-2 (Lewis Rep.).
making inferences about preferences and behavior from the analysis of voting patterns in the
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mass public and in legislatures. Id. at 2. He submitted an expert report and was accepted as
593. Dr. Lewis presented summaries of the results of North Carolina general and
Democratic primary election contests held in 2014, 2016, 2018, and 2020. He considered how
each contest would have turned out if only the votes of those residing in each current and in
each enacted State House, State Senate, and Congressional district had been counted. This
allowed for the consideration of the voting strength of Black voters in each existing and
594. For each of the reconstituted elections in each district, Dr. Lewis used weighted
ecological regression (ER) to estimate the degree of Black voter cohesion and non-Black voter
available for the analysis or Black share of voters was too small. Id. at 3. He evaluated 420
individual contests including over 190 that included a Black candidate. Id. at 5-6. He then
used and relaxed, without endorsing, Dr. Duchin’s definition of effective Black districts
(greater than 75% Black preferred win rate in races with minority candidates combined with
595. Using Dr. Duchin’s definition of effective Black districts against Dr. Lewis’s
data set and comparing it with more relaxed requirements of this definition, the Court finds
that in no district, enacted or in 2020, does it appear that a majority of BVAP is needed for
that district to regularly generate majority support for minority-preferred candidates in the
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2. A District-by-District Analysis of Racial Vote Dilution Is Not
Necessary
596. Plaintiffs failed to set forth racial polarization data supporting a district-by-
597. Race was not the predominant, overriding factor in drawing the districts in the
Enacted Plans.
598. The General Assembly did not subordinate traditional race-neutral districting
principles, including compactness, contiguity, and respect for political subdivisions to racial
considerations.
599. The Senate Districts in which counties were divided in their formation are as
follows: 7, 8, 9, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 20, 21, 22, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 31, 32, 34, 35, 37, 38,
39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 49, and 50. S.L. 2021-173.
600. Across all fifty Senate Districts, eighty-five (85) counties were kept whole and
fifteen (15) counties were divided in the formation of a Senate District. S.L. 2021-173.
601. In the Senate District County Groupings, there are a total of 97 county
boundary traversals (i.e., the number of times a district crosses between adjacent counties
602. The House Districts in which counties were divided in their formation comprise
107 total House Districts, with the following House Districts being the only districts
comprised solely of whole counties: 5, 12, 22, 23, 27, 48, 65, 67, 86, 97, 118, 119, and 120. S.L.
2021-175.
603. Across all 120 House Districts, sixty-three (63) counties were kept whole and
thirty-seven (37) counties were divided in the formation of a House District. S.L. 2021-175.
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604. In the House District County Groupings, there are a total of 69 county
605. The number of persons in each state legislative district must be within plus or
minus 5% of the ideal district population and, as determined under the most recent federal
decennial census, this is a population of 86,995 in the House and 208,788 in the Senate.
606. NCLCV Plaintiffs present the sole challenge under the Whole County
Provisions of the North Carolina Constitution, N.C. Const. art. II, §§ 3(3) and 5(3), and
challenge Senate Districts 1, 2, 43, 44, 47, 50, 46, 49, and 48, and House Districts 1 and 79
Provisions.
607. The North Carolina Constitution requires that State House and Senate
districts comply with a series of requirements adopted to implement the Constitution’s Whole
608. In several regions, multiple county groupings were possible under our
Supreme Court’s interpretation of the Whole County Provisions. In such instances, groupings
were chosen from the range of legally possible groupings, as identified in the Duke Academic
Paper.
609. NCLCV Plaintiffs do not bring a VRA claim, and there is on the record before
the Court no evidence that majority-minority districts under Section 2 of the VRA are
required anywhere in North Carolina, such that a deviation from these chosen county
610. The face of S.L. 2021-173 shows, and NCLCV Plaintiffs do not offer evidence
to the contrary, that SD1, SD2, and SD 48 do not traverse county lines and are, therefore,
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611. Within each remaining county grouping containing a district challenged under
the Whole County Provisions, the district line’s traversal of a county line occurs because of
the need to comply with the equal-population rule required by law and memorialized in the
Adopted Criteria.
2, 4, 6, 11, and 13. PX206-211. As shown by the Individual NCLCV Plaintiffs residing in these
Congressional Districts, these districts are the result of partisan packing or cracking, and
there is a plausible alternative that would not create the same partisan composition of the
613. Individual NCLCV Plaintiffs reside in North Carolina Senate Districts 2, 12,
20, 27, and 37. PX206-211. As shown by the Individual NCLCV Plaintiffs residing in these
Senate Districts, these districts are the result of partisan packing or cracking, and there is a
plausible alternative that would not create the same partisan composition of the districts
that are the result of partisan packing or cracking. Furthermore, some are located in counties
that have been divided in the formation of the Senate Districts and which further contribute
Representatives Districts 6, 27, 29, 58 and 98. PX206-211. As shown by the Individual
NCLCV Plaintiffs residing in these House Districts, these districts are the result of partisan
packing or cracking, and there is a plausible alternative that would not create the same
partisan composition of the districts that are the result of partisan packing or cracking.
Furthermore, some are located in counties that have been divided in the formation of the
House Districts and which further contribute to the resulting partisan packing and cracking.
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B. Individual Harper Plaintiffs
Congressional Districts, these districts are the result of partisan packing or cracking, and
there is a plausible alternative that would not create the same partisan composition of the
616. Individual Harper Plaintiffs reside in North Carolina Senate Districts 1, 18,
19, 27, 32, 40, 41, 46, and 49. PX400, 405, 407, 408, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 416, and 418. As
shown by the Individual Harper Plaintiffs residing in these Senate Districts, these districts
are the result of partisan packing or cracking, and there is a plausible alternative that would
not create the same partisan composition of the districts that are the result of partisan
packing or cracking.
10, 21, 40, 58, 59, 60, 62, 72, 101, 102, 103, and 115. PX400, 402, 405, 407, 408, 410, 411, 412,
414, 416, 418, 419, 420, 421, 422, 423, and 424. As shown by the Individual Harper Plaintiffs
residing in these House Districts, these districts are the result of partisan packing or
cracking, and there is a plausible alternative that would not create the same partisan
composition of the districts that are the result of partisan packing or cracking.
organization whose mission is to protect the health and quality of life for all North
Carolinians, by fighting to build a better world with clean air, clean water, clean energy, and
a safe climate, all protected by a just an equitable democracy.” NCLCV Compl. ¶ 11; PX203
¶ 3. NCLCV attempts to complete this mission by helping to “elect legislators and statewide
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candidates who share it’s values,” and working “to hold elected official accountable for their
619. Plaintiff NCLCV has members who reside in every challenged North Carolina
Congressional, North Carolina Senate, and North Carolina House of Representatives district.
PX203 ¶ 5.
620. Plaintiff NCLCV’s interests it seeks to protect in this litigation are its ability
to effectively advocate for candidates who will protect the environment, its ability to build a
pro-environment majority, and its ability to hold legislators accountable, which is frustrated
by the predetermining of elections they allege will occur under the Enacted Plans. NCLCV
621. The partisan composition of the North Carolina Congressional, North Carolina
Senate, and North Carolina House of Representatives Districts significantly affect NCLCV’s
ability to fulfill its mission and purpose because pro-environment candidates will often be
unable to win individual elections and will certainly not be able to win individual elections.
Additionally, when incumbent legislators know their seats and their majorities are safe
regardless of their votes on legislation, NCLCV cannot fulfil its mission of “[i]nstill[ing] fear
into NC’s elected leaders of the consequences of taking anti-environment actions.” PX203 ¶
6. Additionally, when potential pro-environment candidates do not believe they can win, they
are less likely to run for office. Id. at ¶ 7. Lastly, it will diminish the effectiveness of NCLCV’s
limited funds and resources and so will require the expenditure of more resources while at
622. Plaintiff NCLCV’s interests it seeks to protect in this litigation on behalf of its
members are the ability of its members’ efforts to address environmental harms. NCLCV
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623. Neither the claims asserted, nor the relief requested, by Plaintiff NCLCV
D. Common Cause
nonpartisan democracy organization with over 1.5 million members and local organizations
in 30 states, including North Carolina.” Common Cause Compl. ¶ 17; PX1480 ¶ 2. Common
Cause is “dedicated to fair elections and making government at all levels more
representative, open, and responsive to the interests of ordinary people.” Id; PX1480 ¶ 5. The
organization attempts to meet this goal by assisting voters in navigating the elections
process, providing resources for voters to determine their districts and their polling locations,
and mobilizing voters to engage in political advocacy. Common Cause also advocates for
challenged North Carolina Congressional, North Carolina Senate, and North Carolina House
litigation are its ability to engage with voters because Common Cause alleges the Enacted
Plans will diminish the voices of these voters, its ability to direct its resources effectively, and
it will be forced to divert these resources toward “combatting the ill effects of unlawful
redistricting,” and its ability to increase voter engagement and holding government officials
Compl. ¶ 17; PX1480 ¶ 7. Common Cause also seeks to protect its interest in advocating for
627. The partisan composition of the North Carolina Congressional, North Carolina
Senate, and North Carolina House of Representatives Districts significantly affect Common
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Cause’s ability to fulfill its mission and purpose because it frustrates Common Cause’s
insulating elected officials from the democratic process and, in turn, voters are much less
likely to contact their representatives, vote in elections, or engage in the democratic process.
PX1480 ¶ 7.
litigation on behalf of its members are the members’, registered as Democrats, right to have
representation in the State Legislature in compliance with the North Carolina Constitution,
629. Neither the claims asserted, nor the relief requested, by Plaintiff Common
630. Individual NCLCV Plaintiffs have shown that they are Black registered voters.
PX206, 207, 208, 209, and 211. Organizational Plaintiffs NCLCV and Common Cause have
shown that some of its members are Black registered voters. PX203 ¶ 14, PX205; PX1480 ¶
10.
631. However, none of these plaintiffs have shown that the redistricting plan that
affects their Congressional, State Senate, or State House district was the product of
632. Additionally, the NCLCV plaintiffs have not shown that the Congressional,
State Senate, and State House redistricting plans provide one racial group with less
opportunity than other members of the electorate to nominate and elect members of their
choice.
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CONCLUSIONS OF LAW
I. Standing
A. General Principles
1. The North Carolina Constitution provides: “All courts shall be open; every
person, for an injury done him in this lands, goods, person, or reputations shall have remedy
by due course of law; and right and justice shall be administered without favor, denial, or
delay.” N.C. CONST. art. I, § 18. This provision should be read to guarantee standing where
a legal right arising under the North Carolina Constitution has been infringed. Comm. to
Elect Forest v. Employees PAC, 2021-NCSC-6, ¶ 81, 376 N.C. 558 (“Elect Forest”).
controversy’ requirement of Article III of the United States Constitution, our State’s standing
jurisprudence is broader than federal law.” Davis v. New Zion Baptist Church, 811 S.E.2d
725, 727 (N.C. Ct. App. 2018) (quotation marks omitted); accord Goldston v. State, 361 N.C.
26, 35, 637 S.E.2d 876, 882 (2006) (“While federal standing doctrine can be instructive as to
general principles. . . and for comparative analysis, the nuts and bolts of North Carolina
3. The “gist of the question of standing” is whether the party seeking relief has
“alleged such a personal stake in the outcome of the controversy as to assure that concrete
adverseness which sharpens the presentation of issues upon which the court so largely
depends for illumination of difficult constitutional questions.” Goldston, 361 N.C. at 30, 637
S.E.2d at 879 (quoting Stanley v. Dep’t of Conservation & Dev., 284 N.C. 15, 28, 199 S.E.2d
641, 650 (1973)). “[T]he ‘concrete adverseness’ rationale undergirding our standing doctrine
omitted).
200
4. An action, such as the case at bar, arising under the Declaratory Judgment Act
does require that the plaintiff make a showing of direct injury. Id. at ¶ 61. This is because
“only one with a genuine grievance, one personally injured by a statute, can be trusted to
battle the issue.” Id. at ¶ 64 (quoting Stanley, 284 N.C. at 28). “The ‘direct injury’ required in
this context could be, but is not necessarily limited to, ‘deprivation of a constitutionally
guaranteed personal right or an invasion of his property rights.’” Id. at ¶ 82 (quoting State ex
rel. Summerell v. Carolina-Virginia Racing Ass’n, 239 N.C. 591, 594, 80 S.E.2d 638, 640
(1954)); see also Piedmont Canteen Services, Inc. v. Johnson, 256 N.C. 155, 166, 123 S.E.2d
582, 589 (1962) (holding only persons “who have been injuriously affected . . . in their persons,
5. “An association may have standing to in its own right to seek judicial relief
from injury to itself and to vindicate whatever rights and immunities the association itself
may enjoy.” River Birch Assoc. v. Raleigh, 326 N.C. 100, 129, 388 S.E.2d 538, 555 (1990)
(quoting Warth v. Seldin, 422 U.S. 490, 511, 95 S. Ct. 2197, 2211 (1975)).
6. A plaintiff association may also assert that it has standing to sue on behalf of
its members. See River Birch Assocs. v. City of Raleigh, 326 N.C. 100, 130, 388 S.E.2d 538,
555 (1990); Shearon Farms Townhome Owners Ass’n v. Shearon Farms Dev., LLC, 847 S.E.2d
229, 235 (N.C. Ct. App. 2020). Under North Carolina law, an organization has standing to
bring suit on behalf of its members if: “(a) its members would otherwise have standing to sue
in their own right; (b) the interests it seeks to protect are germane to the organization’s
purpose; and (c) neither the claim asserted nor the relief requested requires the participation
of individual members in the lawsuit.” River Birch Assocs., 326 N.C. at 129-30, 3388 S.E.2d
at 555. An associational plaintiff need not show that all of its members would have standing
to sue in their own right when seeking declaratory or injunctive relief; rather, it is sufficient
201
if any “one” member would have individual standing. Id.; see also State Employees Ass’n of
N.C., Inc. v. State, 357 N.C. 239, 580 S.E.2d 693 (2003) (reversing lower court decision that
B. Plaintiffs’ Standing
7. As recognized by the Supreme Court of the United States, the right to vote is
individual and unique to each person. Any “interest in the composition of ‘the legislature as
a whole’” is “not an individual legal interest. See Gill v. Whitford, 138 S. Ct. 1916, 1932 (2018).
As such, in federal court, a voter is only injured by specific concerns with that voter’s districts
and has standing to challenge the districts in which the voter lives. Id. The “hope of achieving
a Democratic [or Republican] majority in the legislature” is not a particularized harm. Id. at
a similar composition would result “under any plausible circumstance.” Id. at 1924.
8. The Supreme Court of the United States has previously held that individual
voters have standing under the federal Constitution to challenge only their own districts on
gerrymandering grounds, Gill, 138 S. Ct. at 1930-31; however, in light of the different,
prudential standing principles in our State, see Comm. to Elect Forest, 376 N.C. at 563, and
because the unique manner in North Carolina in which one state legislative district is drawn
in a county grouping necessarily is tied to the drawing of some, and possibly all, of the other
districts within that same grouping, a challenge to the entire county grouping by an
individual plaintiff constitutes the necessary “personal stake in the outcome of the
controversy” for a plaintiff to have standing to challenge all districts within a county
grouping. Goldston, 361 N.C. at 30, 637 S.E.2d at 879; see Erfer v. Commonwealth, 794 A.2d
325, 330 (Pa. 2002) (recognizing that a “reapportionment plan acts as an interlocking jigsaw
puzzle, each piece reliant upon its neighbors to establish a picture of the whole” and that an
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critique of the plan beyond the borders of his district”), abrogated on other grounds by League
9. Individual private citizens and voters of a county have standing to sue to seek
redress from an alleged violation of N.C. Const. art II, §§ 3 and 5. See Pender County v.
Bartlett, 361 N.C. 491, 497 (2007); see also Pender County v. Bartlett, 04-CVS-0696, slip op.
the product of impermissible extreme partisan gerrymandering reside either in the district
challenged or, in the case of the state legislative districts, the county grouping containing a
challenged district.
11. For those reasons, the Individual NCLCV Plaintiffs challenging a district
12. The organizational Plaintiffs each seek to vindicate rights enjoyed by the
13. Similarly, the organizational Plaintiffs each have members who would
otherwise have standing to sue in their own right, the interests each seeks to protect are
germane to the organization’s purpose, and neither the claim asserted nor the relief
14. However, as discussed below, Plaintiffs have not stated any cognizable claim
for partisan gerrymandering under the various provisions of the North Carolina
15. “Courts never anticipate a question of constitutional law before the necessity
of deciding it arises.” Chemical Co. v. Turner, 190 N.C. 471, 130 S.E.2d 154 (1925). “They will
not listen to an objection made to the constitutionality of an ordinance by a party whose rights
it does not affect and who therefore as no interest in defeating it.” State v. Trantham, 230
203
N.C. 641, 644, 33 S.E.2d 198 (1949). In the equal protection context, “[i]t is not sufficient to
show discrimination. It must appear that the alleged discriminatory provisions operate to
hurt the [plaintiff] or adversely affect his rights or put him to a disadvantage.” Id. “He who
seeks to raise the question as to the validity of a discriminatory statute has no standing for
that purpose unless he belongs to the class which is discriminated against.” Id. See also
Munger v. State, 2002 N.C. App. 404, 410-11 (2010) (using the same standard in the context
of taxpayer standing).
16. NCLCV Plaintiffs and Plaintiff Common Cause assert claims of intentional
racial discrimination and racial vote dilution under the North Carolina Constitution. Because
this Court finds there to be no factual basis underlying these asserted claims, there is a lack
right. Accordingly, these Plaintiffs do not have standing for these claims.
17. Similarly, Plaintiff Common Cause lacks standing for its claim requesting a
declaratory judgment from this Court directing the legislative process to be undertaken in
redistricting.
18. These consolidated cases raise important constitutional issues in which we are
19. The function of the judiciary is to faithfully interpret the law through judicial
review and determine whether it is compliant with the constitution. State ex. Rel. McCrory
v. Berger, 368 N.C. 633, 635, 781 S.E.2d 248, 250 (2016) citing N.C. Const. art. IV, § 1; Bayard
v. Singleton, 1 N.C. 5, 6-7, 3 N.C. 42, 1 Martin 48 (1787). While Bayard and Marbury v.
Madison, 5 U.S. 137, 1 Cranch 137, 177, 2 L.Ed 60 (1803), establish the right of the court to
say what the law is, “sometimes, however, ‘the law is that the judicial department has no
204
business entertaining the claim of unlawfulness – because the question is entrusted to one of
the political branches or involves no judicially enforceable rights.’” Rucho v. Common Cause,
____ U.S. ___, 139 S. Ct. 2484, 2494 (2019) (citing Vieth v. Jubelirer, 541 U.S. 267, 277 (2004)).
20. The political power in this State has always been invested in and derived from
its citizens. N.C. Const. of 1776, Decl. of Rights § 2; N.C. Const. of 1868 art. I, § 2; N.C.
Const. of 1971, art. I, § 3. Likewise, the sole and exclusive right to regulate the government
of this State has always been vested in its citizens. N.C. Const. of 1776, Decl. of Rights § 2;
21. “The will of the people as expressed in the Constitution is the supreme law of
the land.” State v. Emery, 224 N.C. 581, 583, 31 S.E.2d 858, 860 (1944) (citing Warrenton v.
Warren County, 215 N.C. 342, 2 S.E.2d 463 (1939)). “The Constitution is a restriction of
powers and those powers not surrendered are reserved to the people to be exercised through
their representatives in the General Assembly; therefore, so long as an act is not forbidden,
the wisdom and expediency of the enactment is a legislative, not a judicial, decision.” Wayne
County Citizens Ass’n for Better Tax Control v. Wayne County Nd of Comm’rs, 328 N.C. 24,
29, 399 S.E.2d 311, 315 (1991)(citing In re Housing Bonds, 307 N.C. 52, 57, 296 S.E.2d 281,
284 (1982)). “[T]he power of the people, through their elected representatives in the General
provisions.” Stephenson v. Bartlett, 355 NC 354, 390, 562 S.E.2d 377, 402 (2002) (Orr, J.
dissenting).
22. It is not the function of the judiciary to express the will of the people or to right
perceived wrongs allowed by laws that public sentiment deems unwise or ill-advised.
Blankenship v. Bartlett, 363 N.C. 518, 523. 681 S.E.2d 759, 763 (2009) (citing Chisom v.
Roemer, 501 U.S. 380, 400 (1991) (”Judges are ‘often called upon to disregard, or even to defy,
205
popular sentiment,’ creating a ‘fundamental tension between the ideal character of the
judicial office and the real world of electoral politics’”)); People ex rel Von Bokkelen v. Canady,
73 N.C. 198, 221 (1875) (”Whether [an act of the General Assembly] is wise or unwise, the
Court can give no opinion. Our province is to expound the Constitution and laws as they are
represents the people is a task that is not to be taken lightly. There is a strong presumption
that enactments of the General Assembly are constitutional. Town of Spruce Pine v. Avery
County, 346 N.C. 787, 792, 488 S.E.2d 144, 147 (1997). Despite the presumption of the
constitutionality of an enactment of the legislature, “[i]t is well settled in this State that the
courts have the power, and it is their duty in proper cases, to declare an act of the General
Assembly unconstitutional—but it must be plainly and clearly the case. If there is any
reasonable doubt, it will be resolved in favor of the lawful exercise of their powers by the
representatives of the people.” City of Asheville v. State, 369 N.C. 80, 87-88, 794 S.E.2d 759,
766 (2016) (quoting Glenn v. Bd. of Educ., 210 N.C. 525, 529-30, 187 S.E. 781, 784 (1936));
State ex rel. Martin v. Preston, 325 N.C. 438, 449, 385 S.E.2d 473, 478 (1989). “An act of the
General Assembly will be declared unconstitutional only when ‘it [is] plainly and clearly the
case,’ . . . and its unconstitutionality must be demonstrated beyond a reasonable doubt.” Town
of Boone v. State, 369 N.C. 126, 130, 794 S.E.2d 710, 714 (2016).
24. Plaintiffs request that this Court strike down the Enacted Maps is based upon
the following clauses of the North Carolina Constitution: (1) Free Elections Clause; (2) Equal
Protections Clause; (3) Freedom of Speech Clause; and (4) Freedom of Assembly Clause.
206
25. In Stephenson, a case cited and relied upon by the Plaintiffs, the North
Carolina Supreme Court explained the framework of the analysis this Court must use in
861 (1944):
to the old law, the mischief and the remedy.” Perry, 237 N.C. at 444, 75 S.E.2d at 514 (1953).
207
The “court should look to the history, general spirit of the times, and the prior and the then
existing law in respect of the subject matter of the constitutional provision under
consideration, to determine the extent and nature of the remedy sought to be provided.” Id.
The circumstances and conditions which existed at the time of the enactment of the
If the provisions of [an Article of the State Constitution] are obsolete or ill-
adapted to existing conditions, this Court is without power to devise a remedy.
However liberally we may be inclined to interpret the fundamental law, we
should offend every canon of construction and transgress the limitations of our
jurisdiction to review decisions upon matters of law or legal inference if we
undertook to extend the function of the Court to a judicial amendment of the
Constitution.
Stephenson, 355 at 410-411, 562 S.E.2d at 414 (Orr, J. dissenting) citing Elliott v. State Bd.
of Equalization, 203 N.C. 749, 756, 166 S.E. 918, 922 (1932).
construction that have existed in the jurisprudence of this state for at least 150 years. The
Court is not excused or relieved from this analytical framework because we disagree with the
30. Trial judges admonish jurors on an almost daily basis that it is “absolutely
necessary that you understand and apply the law as [we] give it to you, not as you think the
laws is, or as you might like it to be.” (N.C. Pattern Jury Instruction Civil 101.5; Criminal
101.5). It is our duty to apply the law as to the construction of the Constitution as set forth
above. It is not our prerogative to deviate from this long-established analytical framework.
31. To date, no appellate court in North Carolina has examined the specific
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Plaintiffs, in support of their position that extreme partisan gerrymandering is
N.C. Gen. Stat. § 1-267.1(a): Common Cause v. Lewis, Wake County File No. 18CVS 14001
and its Judgment dated September 3, 2019; and (b) Harper v. Hall, Wake County, File No.
19 CVS 12667 (“Harper I”) and the Order on Injunctive Relief entered in that matter on
October 28, 2019. In Common Cause, a prior three judge-panel, empaneled in 2010 pursuant
to N.C. Gen. Stat. § 1-267.1(a), declared the legislative maps enacted in 2017 unconstitutional
32. While instructive and persuasive, the court’s legal analysis and conclusions in
33. In reaching a decision, it is necessary for the Court to examine the history of
the geographic areas from which legislators have been elected and the legislative body that
was responsible for creating those districts and any limitations placed upon the same. In
addition, it is necessary to review the history of the four constitutional provisions Plaintiffs
A. Historical Background
34. North Carolinians have been electing individuals to representative bodies for
approximately 350 years. The original 1663 Charter of Carolina from Charles II to the eight
Lord Proprietors of Carolina and the 1665 Charter of Carolina gave the Lord Proprietors
power to enact laws and constitutions with the “advice, assent and approbation of the
freemen of the said province . . . or of their delegates.” Charter granted by Charles, II, King
209
of England to the Lords Propreitors of Carolina, March 24, 1663, The Colonial Records of
North Carolina, Ed. William Sanders, Vol. 1 Raleigh, N.C. P.M. Hale, Printer to the State,
1886, 20-23 at 23, Documenting the South 2007, 2007 University Library, The University of
referred to as C.R.)
35. In 1665 the Concessions and Agreements of the Lord Proprietors of the
Province of Carolina were published. C.R. 1:75-93. The Concessions and Agreements provided
for the election of freemen representatives to a General Assembly. The freemen were to be
elected from certain political subdivisions within each county, with the election occurring
Constitutions of Carolina (C.R. 1:187-206) which divided the province of Carolina into
counties each of which consisted of four precincts. (C.R.1:80, Item Three) There were four
precincts in each county. A parliament, consisting in part of freeholders elected from each
precinct, was created and was required to meet every two years. (C.R. 1:99, Item 71).
Elections for freeholder representatives were to be held on September 1 every two years.
37. In 1729 the Lord Proprietors sold their interest in the province of Carolina to
the Crown and North Carolina became an official English Colony. See Charles Lee Raper,
NORTH CAROLINA, A STUDY IN ENGLISH COLONIAL GOVERNMENT, P 1-2 (1904). See also, C.R.
3:32-47
38. The Royal Governor, who was appointed by the Crown by way of a commission
(see, C.R. 3:68) and given authority or directives from the Crown by way of instructions (see,
210
C.R.3:93), was “the supreme ruler in [North Carolina] and responsible to the crown for all of
his acts, and not to the people whose affairs he was to administer.” Charles S. Cooke, THE
GOVERNOR, COUNSEL AND ASSEMBLY IN ROYAL NORTH CARLINA, Vol. 12, No. 1 The James
Sprunt Historical Publications, (J.G. DeRoulhac Hamilton, Henry McGilbert Wagstaff, Eds.)
39. Pursuant to the letters and instructions to each governor, North Carolina was
upper house, which included the Royal Governor’s Council, and the lower house, also called
40. The Council was comprised of a set number of individuals recommended by the
Royal Governor and appointed by the Crown and were largely under the control of the Royal
Governor. Cooke at 16-17. The Council was essentially an executive body that advised the
Royal Governor. In the absence or death of the governor, the president of the Council became
the acting governor. Finally, the Council, as the upper house of the legislature, had the
ability to hold up legislation by giving its consent to the same. Raper at 75, Cooke at 19-20.
“[T]he governor and council were practically a unit in their point of view and in their attempt
to maintain the rights and interest of the Crown.” Cooke at 40, see also, Raper at 71.
41. The authority for the existence of a lower house was set forth in commissions
given to each Royal Governor. See C.R. 3:66 Raper at 85. The lower house “stood not merely
for the representative principle in government but also for distinctly local interests.” Cooke
at 23. The House of Burgesses consisted of freeman elected from each county and certain
towns.
42. Beginning in 1774 there were five extralegal provincial congresses that met in
North Carolina culminating in the Fifth Provincial Congress that drafted North Carolina’s
First Constitution in 1776 (1776 Constitution). During the First Provincial Congress the
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concept of voting by counties and towns was established as the best method of deciding any
differences that would arise during the deliberations of the Provincial Congresses. The
membership of the Provincial Congresses mirrored closely the membership of the House of
Burgesses.
43. The 1776 Constitution8 drafted and approved by the Fifth Provincial Congress
IV. That the Senate and House of Commons, assembled for the purpose of
legislation, shall be denominated, The General Assembly.
44. In 1789, and as part of the constitutional convention in North Carolina that
was called for the purpose of ratifying the new U.S. Constitution, the 1776 Constitution was
8 The 1776 Constitution was not presented to the people for ratification.
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Sanders, Amendments to the Constitutions of North Carolina, 1776-1996, 1 (1997)
45. While not expressly provided for in the 1776 Constitution, the power to create
counties and draw their boundaries was necessarily vested in the people of this State,
through their elected representatives. See, Wayne County Citizens Ass’n for Better Tax
46. In 1835 a Constitutional Convention met in Raleigh for the purpose of, again,
amending the 1776 Constitution. The convention was a result of “dissatisfaction with the
Our Constitutions”)(the document available to the Court was not dated and did not include
page numbers).
47. As a result of the 1835 Constitutional Convention, the 1776 Constitution was
amended, in part, to provide one senator per district to be laid out by the General Assembly
based upon public taxes paid by each county into the Treasury of the State. The amendment
also prohibited a county from being divided in the creation of a Senate district. 1776
Constitution, amend. of 1835, art. I, § 1.9 The provision that a county not be divided in the
9 Due to the public interest in this case and the facts that the prior Constitutions of
North Carolina and amendments thereto may not be readily or easily accessible to the public,
the Court has elected to provide the relevant text of the same in footnotes.
Article 1 of the N.C. Const. of 1776 amend. of 1835 provide in relevant part:
§ 1. The Senate of this State shall consist of fifty Representatives, biennially chosen by
ballot, and to be elected by districts; which districts shall be laid off by the General
213
48. The 1835 amendments also provided for 120 seats in the House of Commons,
each county being guaranteed one seat with the remaining seats being distributed among the
counties according to their population. 1776 Constitution, amend. of 1835, art. I, § 2. The
Constitutions, 1.
Assembly, at its first session after the year one thousand eight hundred and forty-one;
and afterwards, at its first session after the year one thousand eight hundred and fifty-
one; and then every twenty years thereafter, in proportion to the public taxes paid into
the Treasury of the State, by the citizens thereof; and the average of the public taxes
paid by each county into the Treasury of the State, for the five years preceding the
laying off of the districts, shall be considered as its proportion of the public taxes, and
constitute the basis of apportionment: Provided, That no county shall be divided in the
formation of a Senatorial district. And when there are one or more counties having an
excess of taxation above the ratio to form a Senatorial district, adjoining a county or
counties deficient in such ratio, the excess or excesses aforesaid shall be added to the
taxation of the county or counties deficient, and if, with such addition, the county or
counties receiving it, shall have the requisite ratio, such county and counties each,
shall constitute a Senatorial district.
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49. The 1835 Amendments also provided, for the first time, for the popular election
50. In 1868, a constitutional convention was called at the initiative of the Federal
Government in order to provide for a constitution that would allow North Carolina to rejoin
the Union after the Civil War. While Article I largely became what had previously been
known as the Declaration of Rights, Article II now set forth those provisions related to the
Legislature.
51. Under the 1868 Constitution, the number of and apportionment of members of
the newly renamed House of Representative remained relatively the same as set forth in the
1776 Constitution, amend. of 1835, art. I, § 2. However, apportionment of the Senate was
now based upon population. The Whole County Provision remained and for the first time
Senate districts drawn by the General Assembly were required to be contiguous, and once
drawn could not be redrawn until the next statewide “enumeration” or census. 1868
Constitution, art. II, § 5. As the census was required every 10 years, the provision against
redrawing districts until the next census has become known as the Mid-Decade Provision.10
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6. Amendments to the North Carolina Constitution of 1868
52. In 1962, the voters of this State ratified a proposed Constitutional Amendment
Speaker of the House the authority of apportionment. 1868 Constitution, amend. of 1962, art.
II, § 5.11 The apportionment of the members of the Senate remained unchanged.
enumeration taken as aforesaid, or by order of Congress, that each Senate district shall
contain, as nearly as may be, an equal number of inhabitants, excluding aliens and
Indians not taxed, and shall remain unaltered until the return of another enumeration,
and shall at all times consist of contiguous territory; and no county shall be divided in
the formation of a Senate district, unless such county shall be equitably entitled to two
or more Senators.
Sec. 6. The House of Representatives shall be composed of one hundred and twenty
Representatives, biennially chosen by ballot, to be elected by the counties respectively,
according to their population, and each county shall have at least one Representative
in the House of Representatives, although it may not contain the requisite ratio of
representation. This apportionment shall be made by the General Assembly at the
respective times and periods when the districts for the Senate are hereinbefore
directed to be laid off.
Sec. 7. In making the apportionment in the House of Representatives, the ratio of
representation should be ascertained by dividing the amount of the population of the
State, exclusive of that comprehended within those counties which do not severally
contain the one hundred and twentieth part of the population of the State, by the
number of Representatives, less the number assigned to such counties; and in
ascertaining the number of the population of the State, aliens and Indians not taxed,
shall not be included. To each county containing the said ratio and not twice the said
ratio, there shall be assigned one representative; to each county containing twice but
not three times the said ratio, there shall be assigned two representatives, and so on
progressively, and then the remaining representatives shall be assigned severally to
the counties having the largest fractions.
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53. In 1968, the voters of this State ratified a proposed Constitutional Amendment
which amended the apportionment of members in both the Senate and House. 1868
Constitution, amend. of 1968, art. II, §§ 4-512: In the Senate the provisions remained almost
the same with certain exclusions from the population omitted. 1868 Constitution, amend. of
1968, art. II, §§ 4-5. The 1968 Amendment had the greatest impact on the apportionment of
seats in the House of Representatives. While keeping the membership of the House at 120
General Assembly, and shall become effective at the next election for members of the
General Assembly.
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members, representatives were no longer apportioned by county, but instead by districts to
be drawn by the General Assembly with apportionment based upon equal population. In
addition, districts had to be contiguous, were subject to the While County Provision and Mid-
Decade Provision. N.C. Const. of 1868, amend. of 1968, art. II, §§ 4-5.
54. In March, 1968, the North Carolina State Constitution Study Commission
(“Study Commission”) was “created by the North Carolina State Bar and North Carolina Bar
Moore . . . to give consideration to the question of whether there is need for either rewriting
Commission, p. iii (December 16, 1968) (hereinafter referred to as “Report of Study Comm’n”).
The Study Commission made recommendations to change certain language in the 1868
Constitution. Changes to the 1868 Constitution were made in two ways: to the body of the
constitution itself in the form of a “proposed constitution; and proposed amendments to the
“proposed constitution” once it had been ratified. The changes to be effected in the “proposed
contained in the “proposed constitution” were not calculated “to bring about any fundamental
change in the power of state and local government or the distribution of that power.” Report
of Study Comm’n at 10. Any substantive change reflected in the “proposed constitution itself
amendments. Id. Those proposed changes that were significant in magnitude or in which
citizens of the State would strongly differ were recommended to be voted on through separate
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55. In 1971, a new constitution was ratified by the voters of this state. The 1971
Constitution did not modify Article II of the 1868 Constitution as it pertains to apportionment
56. Table 1 below reflects a summary of the progression of how districts for state
legislative seats were to be created and the requirements, if any, for those districts from 1776
to the present.
TABLE 1
Senate
Year Method for creating districts
1776 One senator per county
1835 50 districts with one senator per district to be laid out by General Assembly,
apportionment based on the amount of public taxes paid into the Treasury;
includes a whole-county provision
1868 50 districts with one senator per district to be laid out by General Assembly,
apportionment based on equal population; includes mid-decade provision, a
contiguous territory provision, and whole-county provision (with only exception
being if a county’s population was large enough, then the county was entitled
to two senators)
1968 50 districts with one senator per district to be laid out by the General
Assembly, apportionment based on equal population; includes mid-decade
provision, a contiguous territory provision, and whole-county provision
1971 Only slight grammatical changes to 1968 amendment
House of Representatives (initially referred to as House of Commons)
Year Method for creating districts
1776 Two representatives per county with six towns receiving an additional
representative
1835 120 representatives elected by the counties and each county must have at least
one representative, apportionment based on population
1868 120 representatives elected by the counties and each county must have at least
one representative, apportionment based on population
1962 Apportionment now made by the Speaker of the House of Representatives
1968 120 representatives now elected in districts with one representative per
district to be laid out by General Assembly, apportionment based on equal
population; includes mid-decade provision, a contiguous territory provision,
and whole-county provision
1971 Only slight grammatical changes to 1968 amendment
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8. The Governor’s Power to Veto Acts of the General Assembly
57. As noted above, neither the 1776 Constitution, the 1868 Constitution, nor the
1971 Constitution as originally enacted, gave the Governor veto power over acts of the
legislature.
the proposed constitution that provided such substantial changes that they believed the
voters should have a chance to act upon them individually. Report Of Study Comm’n at 11-
12. One proposed amendment would have granted the Governor the right to veto legislation
passed by the General Assembly. Id. at 10, 102. In its commentary to the proposed
amendment giving the Governor veto power, the Study Comm’n stated, “[i]t is intended to
add to the legislative process one participant who is responsible to a state wide constituency,
and who is in a position to consider the impact of a bill on the state as a whole and in the
light of considerations perhaps not known to the majority of the General Assembly.” Id. at
104 While the General Assembly, at that time, proposed 5 amendments to the Constitution,
it did not submit the proposed amendment giving the Governor the power to veto acts passed
59. Finally, in 1995, the General Assembly placed a proposed amendment to the
1971 Constitution on the ballot in the 1996 general election to provide the Governor the power
to veto ordinary statewide legislation enacted by the General Assembly. N.C. Sess. Laws.
1995, Chapter 5. The act placing the proposed amendment on the ballot was passed by a
House of Representatives controlled by the Republican Party and a Senate controlled by the
Democratic Party. This amendment was ratified on November 5, 1996, by a vote of 1,652,294
excepted from the Governor’s veto power, as proposed by the General Assembly and approved
by the people of this State, was the authority of the Governor to veto legislative or
220
congressional redistricting maps enacted by the General Assembly. 1971 Constitution,
60. Over the last twenty years numerous bills have been submitted to the
bipartisan or nonpartisan redistricting. Each party has had the ability to pass redistricting
reform, yet each party has failed to take advantage of these opportunities.
61. While Congress has the ability to regulate districting with respect to
congressional maps, it has largely left the redistricting of congressional districts to the state
legislatures or other bodies. League of Latin Am. Citizens v. Perry, 548 U.S. 399, 414 (2006)
(citations omitted). Despite having this ability and the repeated public outcry concerning
partisan gerrymandering, Congress has not taken any action to address the problem. The
lack of will to address the problem is not limited to a single political party as the Republicans
had an opportunity to address the issue between 2017 and 2018 when they controlled both
houses of Congress as well as the Presidency. Likewise, with the results of the 2020 census
2021 to address the issue as it has control over both chambers of Congress as well as the
Presidency. Congress’ inaction has left the Equal Protection Clauses in both our State and
Federal Constitution as they relate to racial gerrymandering, the Voting Rights Act of 1965,
and the one person one vote requirement set forth in Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S. 186 (1962) and
Reynolds v. Sims, 377 U.S. 533 (1964) as the only constraints placed on our General Assembly
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B. The Constitutional Provisions Plaintiffs Claim Have Been Violated
62. The 1776 Constitution provided that “[t]he election of members, to serve as
representatives, ought to be free.” N.C. Const. of 1776, Decl. of Rights §, IV. This has become
known as the Free Elections Clause. With the ratification of the 1868 Constitution, the Free
Elections Clause was restated as “[a]ll elections ought to be free.” 1868 Const. art. I, § 10.
Finally, the Free Elections Clause was again amended as part of the 1971 Constitution and
now states “[a]ll Elections shall be free.” “[O]ught was changed to shall throughout the
Declaration of Rights to make clear the rights are commands.” Report of Study Comm’n at
74-75). The change to the Free Elections Clause was not meant as a substantive change that
was intended to “bring about a fundamental change” to the power of the General Assembly.
Id.
63. The Equal Protection Clause came into existence as part of the ratification of
the 1971 Constitution and provided “[n]o person shall be denied equal protection of the laws,
nor shall any person be subjected to discrimination because of race, color, religion or national
origin.” 1971 Const. art. I, § 19. The addition of the Equal Protection Clause, while a
substantive change, was not meant to “bring about a fundamental change” to the power of
64. Like the Equal Protection Clause, the Free Speech Clause was added to the
Freedom of the Press Clause as part of the 1971 Constitution and now reads “freedom of
speech and of the press are two of the great bulwarks of liberty and therefore shall never be
restrained, but every person shall be held responsible for their abuse.” 1971 Const. art. I, §
14. The addition of the Free Speech Clause, while a substantive change, was not meant to
222
“bring about a fundamental change” to the power of the General Assembly. Report of Study
Comm’n at 10.
65. The Freedom of Assembly Clause first appeared in the Declaration of Rights
set forth in the 1776 Constitution and provided that “the people have a right to assemble
together, to consult for their common good, to instruct their Representatives, and to apply to
the Legislature, for redress of grievances.” 1776 Const. Decl. of Rights XVII. The Freedom
of Assembly Clause was modified by the 1868 Constitution by deleting the first word of the
clause “that.” 1868 Const. art. I, § 26. Amendments were again made to the Freedom of
Assembly Clause with the ratification of the 1971 Constitution which now reads “The people
have a right to assemble together to consult for their common good, to instruct their
representatives, and to apply to the General Assembly for redress of grievances; but secret
political societies are dangerous to the liberties of a free people and shall not be tolerated.”
1971 Const. art. I, § 12. The change to the Freedom of Assembly Clause was not meant as a
substantive change, nor was it meant to “bring about a fundamental change” to the power of
66. Under our State Constitution, redistricting of Senate and House Districts is
left to the General Assembly. As stated above, the drawing of congressional maps has been
left to the discretion of state legislative bodies. League of Latin Am. Citizens v. Perry, 548
U.S. 399, 414 (2006) (citations omitted). In that redistricting is left to legislative bodies,
bodies which are inherently political in nature, the United State Supreme Court has
indicated that a State may engage in “constitutional political gerrymandering.” Rucho, ___
U.S. ___, 139 S. Ct. at 2947. Likewise, the North Carolina Supreme Court has stated:
223
[t]he General Assembly may consider partisan advantage and incumbency
protection in the application of its discretionary redistricting decisions, see
Gaffney v. Cummings, 412 U.S. 735, 37 L. Ed. 2d 298, 93 S. Ct. 2321 (1973),
but it must do so in conformity with the State Constitution. To hold otherwise
would abrogate the constitutional limitations or “objective constraints” that
the people of North Carolina have imposed on legislative redistricting and
reapportionment in the State Constitution.
Stephenson I, 355 N.C.at 371-372, 562 S.E.2d at 390.
67. Indeed, redistricting “inevitably has and is intended to have substantial
consequences” as it is part of the American political process. Rucho, ____ U.S. at ___, 139 S.
Ct. at 2497. While the United States Supreme Court has attempted to address partisan
present political questions beyond the reach of the federal courts. Federal
judges have no license to reallocate political power between the two major
political parties, with no plausible grant of authority in the [Federal]
Constitution, and no legal standards to limit and direct their decisions.
of the federal courts, the U.S. Supreme Court noted that “[t]he States . . . are actively
addressing the issue on a number of fronts,” and “[p]rovisions in state statutes and state
constitutions can provide standards and guidance for state courts to apply.” Id. at 2507.
69. In Rucho, the U.S. Supreme Court pointed to examples of how the States are
specifically addressing the issue and how statutes and constitutions can provide standards
and guidance for the state courts to apply. In Florida, the Fair Districts Amendment to the
Florida Constitution was adopted in 2010 and specifically provides that in creating
congressional or legislative districts “[n]o apportionment plan or district shall be drawn with
the intent to favor or disfavor a political party or an incumbent . . . .” Fla. Const. Art. III, §§
20-21. In Michigan, the state constitution was amended in 2018 to provide for an
independent citizens redistricting commission. Mich. Const. Art. IV, §6. Missouri has added
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language to its constitution that requires that “[d]istricts be drawn in a manner that achieves
both partisan fairness, and secondarily, competitiveness. . . .” Mo. Const. Art. III, § 3(b)(5).
Other states identified by the Supreme Court, Iowa and Delaware, have elected to address
the issue through their state statutes. All of the states identified and the manner in which
they are addressing the problem have one thing in common: the problem was addressed by
70. While the Free Elections Clause has been part of our constitutional
jurisprudence since the 1776 Constitution, there are very few reported decisions that
construe the clause. In Clark v. Meyland, 261 N.C. 140, 136 S.E.2d 168 (1964), the plaintiff,
a registered Democrat sought to change his party affiliation to that of a Republican in order
to vote in the next Republican primary. Id. at 141, 136 S.E.2d at 169. At the time, the then
existing N.C.G.S. § 106-50, required a person changing their party affiliation to take an oath
in which they agreed to support the nominees to their new party in all elections until such
time as they change their party again. Id. The Court found that the provision of the oath
requiring the plaintiff to vote for the candidate of his new party operated as a “deterrant [sic]
to his exercising a free choice among available candidates at the election ---even by casting a
write-in ballot.” Id. at 142-143, 136 S.E.2d at 170. The Court found this to be violative of the
71. In Swaringen v. Poplin, 211 N.C. 700, 191 S.E. 746 (1937) the Supreme Court
found that an allegation of fraud in an election was contrary to the Free Elections Clause and
thus could serve as a basis to try title to an office through the quo warranto procedure. Id.
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72. In Obie v. North Carolina State Board of Elections, 762 F. Supp. 119 (E.D.N.C.
1991), the United States District Court for the Eastern District of North Carolina found that
a requirement that an unaffiliated voter obtain the signature of 10% of the registered voters
in the district in which they were running for office impeded the ability to gain access to the
ballot and thus, among other things, violated the Free Elections Clause. Id. at 121.
73. None of the aforementioned cases deal with redistricting for partisan
advantage. However, as noted above, “[t]he General Assembly may consider partisan
decisions, but it must do so in conformity with the State Constitution.” Stephenson, 355
74. The Court must now seek to construe the Free Elections Clause as well as the
redistricting provisions of the North Carolina Constitution within the analytical framework
dictated by our Supreme Court, as set forth above and in light of the language of Stephenson.
75. The Free Elections Clause was first set forth as part of the North Carolina
Declaration of Rights which was specifically incorporated as part of the 1776 Constitution.
N.C. Const. of 1776, § XLIV. The Free Elections clause plainly and simply provided “[t]he
election of members, to serve as representatives, ought to be free.” N.C. Const. of 1776, Decl.
of Rights, § IV. “The word ‘free’ originally derives by way of Section 3 of the Virginia
Declaration of Rights13, and from the English Bill of Rights (1689)14.” John V. Orth, The North
Carolina State Constitution: A Reference Guide, 56 (1993). ‘The meaning is plain: free from
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76. In addition to the clear meaning of the words found in our Free Elections
Clause, we are directed to also consider the circumstances and conditions which existed at
the time of the enactment of the same. Perry, at 447, 75 S.E.2d at 516.
77. As Plaintiffs correctly point out, the words as originally used in the English
Bill of Rights (1869) were crafted in response to abuses and interference by the Crown in
elections for members of parliament which included changing the electorate in different areas
to achieve electoral advantage. J.R. Jones, The Revolution of 1688 in England, 148 (1972).
However, that is where the Plaintiffs’ analysis ends. Examining the North Carolina Free
78. At the time of the Glorious Revolution, King James II embarked on a campaign
to pack Parliament with members sympathetic to him in an attempt to have laws that
penalized Catholics and criminalized the practice of Catholicism repealed.15 After failing in
his attempt to pack parliament, King James II was ultimately overthrown and fled England,
paving the way for King William and Queen Mary to rule together. As a condition of King
William and Queen Mary’s assumption of the throne, they were required to sign the English
Declaration of Rights which resulted in limiting the powers of the Crown and an increase in
79. The Glorious Revolution and the resulting English Bill of Rights were the
beginning of a constitutional monarchy. While the English Bill of Rights, in part, sought to
address the Crown’s interference with the affairs of Parliament, there is no indication that
the English Free Election Clause was directed at anyone but the Crown, much less a
restriction on the power of Parliament. In fact, the opposite seems true. The English Bill of
Rights reflected a shift in power from the Crown, who generally acted to protect its own
15 In 1669, and prior to his ascension to the throne, King James, II converted to Catholicism.
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interest, to the House of Commons in Parliament, whose members were elected by the people.
Because the English Bill of Rights did not abolish the monarchy, provisions were necessary
to provide protection to the elected members of parliament from interference by the Crown.
80. By the time the Virginia Declaration of Rights and the North Carolina
Declaration of Rights and Constitution were passed, the Glorious Revolution had been over
for almost a century. It is safe to say that none of the drafters of the 1776 Constitution were
alive during the Glorious Revolution or the establishment of the English Bill of Rights and
their experiences and concerns did not arise from direct interactions with the Crown, but
instead from direct interactions with the Royal Governors and their Council who represented
the interests of the Crown. Moreover, the Royal Governors were representatives of a
constitutional monarch, unlike the monarchs who claimed the throne through divine right
81. Under colonial rule, the North Carolina Royal Governor had veto power, as no
law could be passed without his consent. While his instructions did not allow him to
determine the manner of electing members to the House of Burgesses or set the number of
members, they did allow him to dissolve the House of Burgesses. Raper at 35. The
instructions to the Royal Governor also allowed him to issue charters of incorporation for
82. No doubt there were tensions between the House of Burgesses and the
Governor from 1729 to 1776. In 1746, in an effort to give equal representation to each county,
as the newer counties were given fewer representatives in the House of Burgesses, the Royal
Governor moved the legislature to Wilmington where representatives of the larger counties
would not travel, giving the smaller counties effective control of the lower house. As a result,
the legislature passed legislation giving each county two representatives in the assembly.
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This remained in effect until 1754 when the legislation was repealed by the Crown. Raper
90-91.
83. Disputes also arose as to whether the Governor could require counties and
towns to obtain charters of incorporation prior to being able to elect representative to the
legislature. As this was specifically allowed in his instructions from the Crown, the colonists
84. At times, the House of Burgesses refused to seat new members from counties
created by the Governor. The dispute was not necessarily that the Governor did not have the
authority, but the House believed they had a role in the process in the creation of counties.
Raper at 89-90.
85. The House of Burgesses fought the Royal Governor over the right to establish
a quorum for the legislature to act - the governor desiring a smaller number, feeling they
86. The House of Burgesses and Governor also had disputes regarding land, quit-
rents and the form of payment thereof, (Cooke at 35, Raper at 191-193), the nomination of
public treasurers, (Raper at 205), the appointment of agents to England, (Raper at 26), and
87. The most serious disputes between the Royal Governor and the House of
Burgesses arose over fiscal matters, the courts and appointment of judges. Raper at 208-209;
Cooke at 38.
88. At the time of the adoption of the 1776 Constitution, North Carolina was:
much more democratic than many of her sister states, such as Virginia and
Maryland. There was an absence of any landed aristocracy as found in Virginia
and the absence of any large ports had hindered the development on an
influential commercial class. Lastly, the Church of England with its
aristocratic tendencies, was weaker in North Carolina that in her sister
colonies directly north and south.
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Ketcham at 216.
89. Upon the adoption of the 1776 Constitution, the Royal Governor, who
represented and protected the interest of the Crown, was replaced by a Governor chosen by
the General Assembly. N.C. Const. of 1776, § XV. Unlike Parliament, who after the passage
of the Declaration of English Rights continued to have to deal with the Crown as part of the
constitutional monarchy, North Carolinians and their General Assembly were no longer
subservient to parliament, the Crown, or its representatives: the Royal Governor and his
Council.
90. The circumstances under which the English Free Election Clause was written
were far different than those which caused the same language to be used in the 1776
Constitution.
91. It was the experience of the people of the State of North Carolina that was the
most important source for the creation of the 1776 Constitution. Ketcham at 230. By far, the
greatest change in the structure of North Carolina's government, other than elimination of
the parliament and the Crown, was the vast reduction in the powers of the Governor and the
substantial increase in the powers of the General Assembly. These changes were made to
make “the governor that figurehead in law which in fact the colonial legislature had long
sought to make him.” Id. Turning the Governor into a figurehead was a result of the
experience of the colonists with “the overbearing colonial governors who presided over North
Carolina.” John V. Orth, North Carolina Constitutional History, 70 North Carolina Law
92. Any argument that the Free Elections Clause placed limits on the authority of
the General Assembly to apportion seats flies in the face of the overwhelming authority given
to the General Assembly in the 1776 Constitution. First, apportionment was by county and
town. As past disputes between the Royal Governor and the House of Burgesses dealt
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primarily with what role the lower house had in creation of counties, that dispute was
eliminated with the severance of ties with the Monarch and the Royal Governor. The General
Assembly, and only the General Assembly, had the right to create counties.
93. In addition to having authority to create counties and towns, the legislature
had the exclusive power to: (1) elect the Governor (N.C. Const. of 1776, § XV); (2) appoint the
Attorney General; (3) appoint Judges of the Supreme Court of Law and Equity and Judges of
Admiralty (id. at § XIII); (4) appoint the general and field officers of the militia (id. at § XIV);
(5) elect the council of State (id. at. XVI); (6) appoint a treasurer or treasurers of the State
(id. at §. XXII); (7) appoint the Secretary of State (id. at § XXXIII); and (8) recommend the
appointment of Justice of the Peace to the Governor who shall commission them accordingly.
(id. at § XXXIII). Moreover, unlike the Royal Governor, the Governor of the State of North
Carolina was not given the power to veto acts of the legislature. The lack of veto and the
sweeping powers granted to the legislature caused the governor’s “executive authority to be
hemmed in on every side.” John v. Orth, Constitutional History of North Carolina, 70 North
Carolina Law Review, 1759, 1764 (Sept 1, 1992). Much like the English Bill of Rights, the
94. The drafters of the 1776 Constitution discussed how to place a check on
legislative excess. See, C.R. 10:498-99, Letter from Samuel Johnston to James Iredell dated
April 20, 1776. Their solution was simple and direct: have elections often.
95. The check on any excesses of the legislature was embodied in Section XX of the
Declaration of Rights of the 1776 Constitution which states “[t]hat for redress of grievances
and for amending and strengthening the laws, elections ought to be often held.” Further
solidifying the check on legislative excesses was the requirement that Senators and
Representatives be elected annually. N.C. Const. of 1776, arts. II & III. “Annual elections
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ensured accountability” to the people of North Carolina. The North Carolina State
96. While the legislature did not specifically draw districts from 1776 to 1835, they
did create counties. In 1776 there were approximately 35 counties in North Carolina and by
1835 that number exceeded 60. There were no constitutional checks on the legislature’s
ability to create counties, the basis of representation during that time, nor is there any
evidence of the need for any constraints on that authority. As the General Assembly was
given the authority to lay out Senate districts in 1835, objective constraints were placed on
the General Assembly starting with a Whole County Provision. N.C. Const. of 1776, amended
1835, art. I, §1. Over time, additional objective constitutional constraints have been placed
on the General Assembly so as today there are four objective constraints delineated in the
North Carolina Constitution: (1) apportionment of the district by population such that the
representative or senators in each district shall represent, as nearly as may be, an equal
number of inhabitants; (2) A contiguity requirement; (3) a Whole County Provision; and (4)
97. Further evidence that the North Carolina Free Elections Clause was not
how the framers of the English Bill of Rights and Virginia Declaration of Rights understood
how the provisions applied at the time they were enacted and immediately thereafter.
98. Before, during and after the Glorious Revolution, and the signing of the
English Bill of Rights, there existed in England what were known as Rotten Boroughs. These
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were Boroughs where there were very few residents but that elected the same number of
The County of York, which contains nearly a million of souls, sends two county
members; and so does the county of Rutland, which contains not an hundredth
part of that number. The old town of Sarum, which contains not three houses,
sends two members; and the town of Manchester, which contains upwards of
sixty thousand souls, is not admitted to send any.
Thomas Paine, The Rights of Man, Part, the First, Being an Answer to Mr. Burke’s Attack
100. Old Sarum was once the site of a cathedral and a fort, but when the cathedral
moved, the population dwindled. Despite this, it continued to send two members to
parliament. This allowed whoever controlled the land to elect the members. Old Sarum was
just one of many Rotten Boroughs and it and others existed as such before, at the time of and
ensuring their son or a person of their choosing would have the power of a member of
Parliament. https://www.historylearningsite.co.uk/british-electoral-history-since-
102. Despite the Free Elections Clause in the English Bill of Rights, the Rotten
Boroughs were allowed to continue to exist until the Reform Act of 1832.17 At the time of the
passage of the reform Act of 1832 more than 140 parliamentary seats out of a total of 658 or
21%of members of parliament came from Rotten Boroughs. Of those Rotten Boroughs, 50
17 Parliament.uk/about/living-
heritage/evolutionofparliament/reformacts/overview/reformactof 1832/
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103. Given the existence of these Rotten Boroughs at the time of the signing of the
English Bill of Rights, and their continued unopposed use of the same until 1832, it is
doubtful that such boroughs maintained by or for members of parliament were subject to the
104. North Carolina’s Free Election Clause is modeled and taken from a similar
clause in the Virginia Declaration of Rights written by George Mason and approved by the
Fourth Virginia Convention in 1775. Members of the convention who approved the Virginia
During the very first congressional elections, George Washington and his
Federalist allies accused Patrick Henry of trying to gerrymander Virginia’s
districts against their candidates—in particular James Madison, who
ultimately prevailed over fellow future President James Monroe. Hunter, The
First Gerrymander? 9 Early Am. Studies 792-794, 811 (2011). See 5 Writings
of Thomas Jefferson 71 (P. Ford ed. 1895) (Letter to W. Short (Feb. 9, 1789))
(“Henry has so modelled the districts for representatives as to tack Orange
[county] to counties where he himself has great influence that Madison may
not be elected into the lower federal house”).
106. What is telling is that Patrick Henry, who was responsible in part for the Free
gerrymander districts to the detriment of James Madison, who was also responsible in part
for the Free Elections Clause in the Virginia Declaration of Rights. If the Virginia Free
Elections Clause applied to partisan gerrymandering, two of the men responsible for the
clause did not seem to think it applied. It did not stop Patrick Henry from his actions, nor
did Madison or his supporters assert the Free Election Clause to stop Patrick Henry. If the
two men who were responsible or approving the clause did not think it applied to partisan
gerrymandering, this Court is certainly hesitant to do so. In fact, it was not until 2020 that
Virginia addressed the issue of partisan gerrymandering, not by judicial fiat, but buy a
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constitutional amendment providing for a bipartisan districting commission. Va. Const. of
1971, amend. 2020, art. II, § 6-A. The Virginia General Assembly also passed legislation
setting standards and criteria for redistricting. One of these standards specifically prohibits
maps “when considered on a statewide basis from unduly favoring or disfavoring a political
107. Given the history and factors described above, this Court concludes that the
Free Elections Clause does not operate as a restraint on the General Assembly’s ability to
108. In determining whether the Equal Protection Clause and Free Speech Clause
to examine the intent of the framers and citizens who adopted it. Sneed, 299 N.C. at 613,
264 S.E.2d at 110. This necessarily entails an examination of “history, general spirit of the
times, and the prior and the then existing law in respect of the subject matter of the
constitutional provision under consideration” Perry, 237 N.C. at 444, 75 S.E.2d at 514.
109. The Equal Protection Clause was incorporated into our State constitution in
1971 as part of the Law of the Land Clause. N.C. Const. of 1971, art. I, § 19. The Free Speech
Clause was incorporated into our State constitution in 1971 as part of Free Press Clause.
N.C. Const. of 1971, art. I, § 14. Prior to the adoption of the “proposed constitution” in 1971,
no version of an Equal Protection Clause or Free Speech Clause was found in any of our
State’s prior Constitutions. See N.C. Const. of 1776, as amended; N.C. Const. of 1868 as
amended. At the time the Equal Protection Clause and Free Speech Clause were added to
the State Constitution, the North Carolina legislature had been dominated by the Democratic
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Party since the end of Reconstruction, a period of over 90 years representing 45 legislative
elections.
110. In 1967, and just three years prior to the addition of the Equal Protection
Clause and Free Speech Clause to the State Constitution, the Legislature placed on the ballot
for ratification a constitutional amendment setting forth the objective constraints placed on
the legislature in the drawing of legislative districts. 1967 Sess. Laws ch. 640. This
Const. of 1868, amend. 1968, art. II, §§ 4 & 6. The objective constraints listed in the amended
Article II of the 1868 Constitution are the only objective constraints that the framers of the
North Carolina Constitution and amendments thereto saw fit to place on the legislature in
drawing legislative maps. Id. The constraints are overall consistent with the progression of
constraints placed upon the legislature in the two prior constitutions. See Table 1.
111. Plaintiffs would have this Court infer that it was the intent of the framers of
the 1971 Constitution, by including the Equal Protection Clause and Free Speech Clause in
the State Constitution, to limit the legislature’s ability to redistrict for partisan advantage to
some degree. As previously stated, the addition of the Equal Protection Clause and Free
Speech Clause, while a substantive change, was not meant to “bring about a fundamental
change” to the power of the General Assembly. Rept. of Study Comm’n at 10. If the framers
did intend to limit the partisan advantage that could be obtained through redistricting, “it is
reasonable to presume it would have been declared in direct terms and not be left as a matter
of inference.” Sneed, 299 N.C. at 616, 264 S.E.2d at 112. We will not “assume that, whatever
the intent of the framers, the citizens intended by their adoption at the polls of the 1970
constitutional changes” that the Equal Protection Clause and Free Speech Clause impose
new restrictions on the political process of redistricting. See Id; Perry v. Stancil, 237 N.C.
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442, 447, 75 S.E.2d 512, 516 (1953) (“In the absence of an express provision to that effect, we
should be slow in adopting the conclusion that it was the intention of the framers of the
Constitution to enact so radical a change in the law; because if such was the intention, it is
reasonable to presume it would have been declared in direct terms and not left to a matter of
inference.”)
112. Perhaps most probative of the intent of the framers and citizens of 1971 was
the refusal of the legislature, as the representative of the people, to accept the
Statewide basis by the majority of the voters of this State, the power of the veto as a check
113. Plaintiffs also ask this Court to strike down the enacted maps as
114. As an initial matter, this Court notes that the United States declined to strike
the partisan gerrymandered maps in Rucho as unconstitutional under the Equal Protection
Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment of the United States Constitution. ___ U.S. at ___, 139
S.Ct. at 2504. It is true that in some instances greater protection has been afforded to citizens
of North Carolina under our State Constitution than under the Federal Constitution.
However, those occasions are rare. Stephenson, 355 N.C. at 397-98, 398 S.E.2d at 406-07
115. It is also true that our Courts have found on several occasions that certain
circumstances involving elections or the right to vote may give rise to equal protection claims
under our state Constitution. In Common Cause, the court relied upon Stephenson,
Blankenship v. Bartlett, 363 N.C. 518, 681 S.E.2d 759 (2007), and Northampton County
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Drainage District No. One v. Bailey, 326 N.C. 742, 392 S.E.2d 352 (1990), to justify application
of the equal protection clause to strike down the 2017 redistricting plan as unconstitutional
116. In Stephenson, the North Carolina Supreme Court held that “[t]he
classification of voters into both single-member and multi-member districts within plaintiffs'
proposed remedial plans necessarily implicates the fundamental right to vote on equal terms
. . . .” Stephenson, 355 N.C. at 378, 562 S.E.2d at 393-94. The Court went on to reason that
117. In Blankenship, the Court held that the Equal Protection Clause was
implicated and that the legislature’s actions were examined with heightened scrutiny when
judicial districts created by the General Assembly represented a great disparity of residents
to judge when one such district had five times the voting power of another district.
district could assess members for maintenance or improvements in the district. 326 N.C. at
745-46, 392 S.E.2d at 355. The commissioners were appointed by the Northampton County
Clerk of Court. Id. Because the drainage district encompassed land in Hertford County, the
landowners within the Hertford County district were unable to vote for the Clerk of Court of
Northampton County. Id. This gave Northampton County members voting rights that
member in Hertford County lacked. Id. The North Carolina Supreme Court found that this
deprived the Hertford County residents of Equal Protection under the law. 326 N.C. at 747,
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119. Blankenship and Stephenson are cases dealing with the ratio between the
voters in a district and the elected representatives in that district. Northampton deals with
the right to vote on equal terms with other members of the voting district.
for partisan advantage, Plaintiffs are not denied the right to vote, nor are they in a district
where they have less voting power than those in other districts. Plaintiffs are not part of a
suspect class. Plaintiffs cite no appellate case where a person’s membership in a political
party is a suspect classification. The opposite seems to be true. See Libertarian Party of
North Carolina v. State, 365 N.C. 41, 51, 707 S.E.2d 199, 206 (2011). To find as such would
subject any person affected by a political decision of the state to heightened scrutiny.
121. It is true that there is a fundamental right to vote. However, if “no individual
Latin Am. Citizens v. Perry, 548 U.S. 399, 504, 126 S. Ct. 2594, 2659 (2006) (Roberts, C.J.,
concurring in part, concurring in the judgment in part, and dissenting in part) (citing
Shaw v. Hunt, 517 U.S. 899, 917, and n. 9, 116 S. Ct. 1894, 135 L. Ed. 2d 207 (1996) (Shaw
II); id., at 947, 116 S. Ct. 1894, 135 L. Ed. 2d 207 (Stevens, J., dissenting)), then an individual
voter would not be entitled to be included in a district that is more likely to elect a candidate
123. Redistricting and the political considerations that are part of that process do
not impinge on the right to vote. Nothing about redistricting affects a person’s right to cast
a vote. Any impingement is limited and distant and as such is subject to a rational basis
review. “Under the rationality standard of review, ‘[s]tate legislatures are presumed to have
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acted within their constitutional power despite the fact that, in practice, their laws result in
some inequality.’” See Beech Mountain v. County of Watauga, 324 N.C. 409, 414, 378 S.E.2d
780, 783 (1989) (citations omitted). The Court finds that the plans are amply supported by a
rational basis and thus do not violate the Equal Protection Clause.
124. As stated above, the incorporation of the Free Speech Clause into the 1971
Constitution was not intended to bring about a fundamental change to the power of the
General Assembly.
125. Our appellate courts have interpreted the rights to free speech in alignment
with cases interpreting the First Amendment to the United States Constitution. State v.
Petersilie, 334 N.C. 169, 184, 432 S.E.2d 832, 841 (1993); State v. Shackelford, 264 N.C. App.
542, 552, 825 S.E.2d 689, 696 (2019); Feltman v. City of Wilson, 283 N.C. App. 246, 252, 767
S.E.2d 615, 620 (2014). The United States Supreme Court addressed the issue of whether
partisan gerrymandering impinged upon free speech and other rights protected by the First
Amendment to the United States Constitution. Their analysis was direct and to the point:
“To begin, there are no restrictions on speech, association, or any other First Amendment
activities in the districting plans at issue. The plaintiffs are free to engage in those activities
no matter what the effect of a plan may be on their district.” Rucho, 139 S. Ct. at 2504. The
same is true with the enacted plans. Plaintiffs are free to engage in speech no matter what
126. Plaintiffs’ claims based upon the Free Speech Clause fail.
127. The 1971 Constitution, art. I, § 14 provides: “The people have a right to
assemble together to consult for their common good, to instruct their representatives, and to
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apply to the General Assembly for redress of grievances; but secret political societies are
dangerous to the liberties of a free people and shall not be tolerated.” With the exception of
the provision relating to the “right to instruct,” the language of the Freedom of Assembly
Clause closely resembles the language in the First Amendment to the United States
Constitution which guarantees, in part, the right of the people “to assemble and petition the
(citations omitted) Libertarian Party, 365 NC. at 48, 707 S.E.2d at 204. See Feltman, 238
N.C. App. at 253, 767 S.E.2d at 620 (recognizing that “[t]he right to freedom of assembly is
similar to the right of freedom of association embodied within the federal constitution” and
analyzing a claim based upon freedom of assembly in light of federal case law).
129. Given our appellate courts’ adoption of the United States Supreme Court’s
associational rights analysis and other federal precedent, we find no reason not to adopt the
United States Supreme Court’s analysis and findings on the effect of redistricting plans to
the right of assembly and petition as set forth in Rucho, 139 S.Ct. at 2504. Plaintiffs remain
free to engage in their associational rights and rights to petition no matter what effect the
130. There is absolutely no evidence that the Plaintiffs’ right to instruction was
violated during the redistricting process or that the Enacted Maps somehow inhibit the right
to instruct.
131. Plaintiffs’ claims based upon the Right of Assembly Clause fail.
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132. As the North Carolina Supreme Court has stated:
imposed on legislative redistricting are found in Article II, Sections 3 and 5 of the 1971
Constitution and not in the Free Elections, Equal Protection, Freedom of Speech or Freedom
134. Therefore, the Court concludes that our Constitution does address limitations
decisions and Plaintiffs' claims on the basis of “extreme partisan advantage” fail.
135. In North Carolina, our Supreme Court has had an opportunity on a number of
justiciable controversy. In those instances, the Supreme Court has found that they were
political questions and thus non-justiciable. See e.g., Howell v. Howell, 151 N.C. 575, 66 S.E.
S.R. Co. v. Washington County, 154 N.C. 333, 335-36, 70 S.E. 634, 635 (1911) (holding the
General Assembly’s authority to “declare and establish what it deemed the true boundary
between . . . counties . . . is a political question, and the power to so declare is vested in the
General Assembly.”); see also Carolina-Virginia Coastal Highway v. Coastal Tpk. Auth., 237
N.C. 52, 62, 74 S.E.2d 310, 317 (1953) (“[T]he power to create or establish municipal
corporations . . . is a political function which rests solely in the legislative branch of the
242
government.”); State ex. Rel. Tillett v. Mustain, 243 N.C. 564, 569, 91 S.E.2d 696, 699 (1956)
(“The power to create and dissolve municipal corporations, being political in character, is
exclusively a legislative function.”); Texfi Indus., Inc. v. City of Fayetteville, 301 N.C. 1, 7, 269
S.E.2d 142, 147 (1980) (“Annexation by a municipal corporation is a political question which
136. In Hoke County Bd. of Educ. v. State, 358 N.C. 605, 599 S.E.2d 365 (2004), in
adopting the United States Supreme Court’s definition on what constitutes a nonjusticiable
claim, the North Carolina Supreme Court held that “any trial court rulings that infringed on
the legislative prerogative of establishing school-age eligibility were in error.” Id. at 639, 599
the United States Supreme Court has defined issues as nonjusticiable when
either of the following circumstances are evident: (1) when the Constitution
commits an issue, as here, to one branch of government; or (2) when
satisfactory and manageable criteria or standards do not exist for judicial
determination of the issue.
Id. (citing Baker v. Carr, 369 U.S. 186, 210, 7 L. Ed. 2d 663, 682, 82 S. Ct. 691 (1962)).
137. The constitutional provisions relevant to the issue before the Court establish
that redistricting is in the exclusive province of the legislature. N.C. Const. of 1971, amend
1996, art. II §§ 3, 5, and 20. Moreover, redistricting of congressional districts is largely left
to the legislatures of the individual states. League of Latin Am. Citizens v. Perry, 548 U.S.
judicial determination of the issue, the United States Supreme Court’s analysis in Rucho is
243
139. As the role apportionment plays is critical and a traditional part of American
politics, “[a]ny standard for resolving such claims must be grounded in a ‘limited and precise
140. This Court has not been asked to eliminate all partisan gerrymandering, only
“extreme” partisan gerrymandering. In short, we are asked to decide how much partisanship
because “[w]ith uncertain limits [we] – even when proceeding with the best intentions –
would risk assuming political, not legal, responsibility for a process that often produces ill
will and distrust.” Id. (citing Vieth, v. Jubelirer, 541 U.S. 267, 307 (2004)).
141. “Partisan gerrymandering claims rest on an instinct that groups with a certain
level of political support should enjoy a commensurate level of political power and influence.
. . . But such a claim is based on a ‘norm that does not exist’ in our electoral system—
'statewide elections for representatives along party lines.’” Id. at 2499. (citations omitted.)
142. In order to avoid repeating the entirety of Rucho, it is safe to say that all of the
arguments as to justiciability in the present case were made before the United States
Supreme Court in Rucho and after an exhaustive analysis, the United States Supreme Court
determined that:
244
Id. at 2506-07
This is no different than what our Supreme Court was asked to determine in Dickson v.
Rucho, 367 N.C. 542, 766 S.E.2d 238 (2014). In that case, the North Carolina Supreme Court
stated:
Finally, plaintiffs argue that the enacted plans violate the “Good of the Whole”
clause found in Article I, Section 2 of the Constitution of North Carolina. We
do not doubt that plaintiffs' proffered maps represent their good faith
understanding of a plan that they believe best for our State as a whole.
However, the maps enacted by the duly elected General Assembly also
represent an equally legitimate understanding of legislative districts that will
function for the good of the whole. Because plaintiffs' argument is not based
upon a justiciable standard, and because acts of the General Assembly enjoy
“a strong presumption of constitutionality,” Pope v. Easley, 354 N.C. 544, 546,
556 S.E.2d 265, 267 (2001) (per curiam) (citation omitted), plaintiffs’ claims
fail.
Id. at 575, 766 S.E.2d at 260, vacated and remained on other grounds Dickson v. Rucho, ___
144. Utilizing the test for determining whether a claim is nonjusticiable as adopted
in Hoke County Bd. Of Education, and following the extensive analysis of the nonjusticiability
of partisan gerrymandering claims in Rucho, this Court determines that satisfactory and
manageable criteria or standards do not exist for judicial determination of the issue and thus
the partisan gerrymandering claims present a political issue beyond our reach.
145. We agree with the United States Supreme Court that excessive partisanship
in districting leads to results that are incompatible with democratic principles. Rucho, 139
S.Ct, at 2504. Furthermore, it has the potential to violate “the core principle of republican
government . . . that the voters should choose their representatives, not the other way
around.” Ariz. State Legislature v. Ariz. Indep. Redistricting Comm’n, 567 U.S. 787, 824, 135
S. Ct. 2652, 2658 (2015). Also, it can represent “an abuse of power that, at its core, evinces a
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fundamental distrust of voters, serving the self-interest of the political parties at the expense
of the public good.” LULAC v. Perry, 548 U.S. 399, 456, 126 S.Ct. 2594, 2631 (2006) (Stevens,
unwanted attention, ridicule and derision. As this Court mentioned at the hearing on
Plaintiffs' Motions for Preliminary Injunction, the Supreme Court in Stephenson pointed out:
147. Over 19 years have elapse since Stephenson was decided. The political party
drawing North Carolina’s legislative maps has changed, yet the ridicule has continued. See,
“Gerrymandering Puts Partisanship in Overdrive; Can California Slow It” Gerald F. Seib,
https://www.wsj.com/articles/gerrymandering-puts-partisanship-in-overdrive-can-california-
148. This Court neither condones the enacted maps nor their anticipated potential
results. Despite our disdain for having to deal with issues that potentially lead to results
incompatible with democratic principles and subject our State to ridicule, this Court must
remind itself that these maps are the result of a democratic process.
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149. The drafters of the 1776 Constitution were elected from eligible males to the
Fifth Provincial Congress who were responsible for drafting and approving the 1776
Constitution. Beginning with the 1835 Amendments to the 1776 Constitution, every
proposed change since then relating to the drawing of legislative districts was proposed by
elected representatives of the people of this State and ratified by the eligible voters. This
democratic process left redistricting solely in the province of the legislature subject to only
150. The decision of the voters of this State to approve an amendment to the
Constitution giving the Governor the right to veto acts of the General Assembly, which
excepted the right to veto redistricting maps, by an almost 3-1 margin, put out of reach any
control over redistricting by a person elected by the majority of the citizens of this State.
151. The Enacted Maps comply with the objective constraints contained in the
North Carolina Constitution of 1971, art. II, §§ 3 & 5., and were thereafter approved by a
majority of the elected members of the General Assembly, all of whom were elected pursuant
to maps that had previously been determined constitutional by the courts of North Carolina.
152. The people of this State enacted this political process and specifically declined
to place any checks on their representatives, other than the objective constraints set forth in
the North Carolina Constitution of 1971, art. II, §§ 3 & 5. Some of these people, perhaps even
a majority, now ask this Court to undo what they have allowed to be done through the
democratic processes of this State. To do so would require us to act outside the bounds of our
constitutional authority.
one of the purest political questions which the legislature alone is allowed to answer. Were
we as a Court to insert ourselves in the manner requested, we would be usurping the political
power and prerogatives of an equal branch of government. Once we embark on that slippery
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slope, there would be no corner of legislative or executive power that we could not reach.
Indeed, under Plaintiffs’ rationale, we could require the Governor to ensure that the partisan
makeup of his political appointees matched or closely resembled the percentage of votes that
154. We are aware of the effects of partisan gerrymandering. This Court is not
without power remedy some of those effects. If partisan gerrymandering dilutes the vote of
minorities, remedies under Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act are available. However, either
for strategic reasons or a lack of evidence, Plaintiffs have repeatedly informed the Court that
they are not pursing a Voting Rights Act claim, but rather, are only pursuing a State
Constitutional claim for racial gerrymandering. This is true despite the fact that it
potentially would be easier to prove a violation of the Voting Rights Act, as one only need
calculation of the number of seats a party is expected to win in any given election. Seats that
are deemed outliers based upon certain calculations are the result of “extreme partisan
gerrymandering.”
156. In a scenario where a party is expected to win 65 seats and the legislatively
approved extreme partisan gerrymandered maps would result in a win of 75 seats, those
seats in excess of 65 would be outliers and under plaintiffs’ theories, are the product of
extreme partisan gerrymandering. The Court would be required to order the mapmakers to
redraw the maps so that they are consistent with the number of seats a party would expect
to win. Given that the party could reach the 65 seat projection through the use of allowable
partisan gerrymandering, some of the voters in the 65 permitted districts would suffer the
same effects from partisan gerrymandering that the voters in the 10 excessively
gerrymandered districts would have suffered had the maps not been withdrawn. To accept
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the Plaintiffs’ arguments that the maps are unconstitutional on the theories advanced would
necessarily mean that no partisan gerrymandering is allowed as no voter should suffer from
the effects of the same. This is contrary to the established precedent of the United States
Supreme Court and the North Carolina Supreme Court. Rucho, 139 S. Ct. at 2504;
157. NCLCV Plaintiffs and Plaintiff Common Cause have asserted a claim that the
Enacted Plans unnecessarily dilute the voting strength of Black North Carolinians and
Protection Clause of the North Carolina Constitution. The Court concludes that based upon
the record before the Court, Plaintiffs have failed to prove the merit of their claim.
158. Under North Carolina’s Equal Protection Clause, North Carolina’s citizens—
elections on an equal basis with other citizens in the jurisdiction.’” White v. Pate, 308 N.C.
759, 768, 304 S.E.2d 199, 205 (1983). In particular, North Carolina’s minority voters have a
power” and “substantially equal legislative representation” are violated when a redistricting
plan deprives minority voters of “a fair number of districts in which their votes can be
effective,” measured based on “the minority’s rough proportion of the relevant population.”
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160. An act of the General Assembly can violate North Carolina’s Equal Protection
Clause if discriminatory purpose was “a motivating factor.” Holmes v. Moore, 270 N.C. App.
7, 16, 840 S.E.2d 244, 254 (quoting N.C. State Conference of NAACP v. McCrory, 831 F.3d
204, 220-21 (4th Cir. 2016)); see also Stephenson I, 355 N.C. at 377, 562 S.E.2d at 393 (quoting
White, 308 N.C. at 766, 304 S.E.2d at 204) (strict scrutiny is triggered under North Carolina’s
Equal Protection Clause when it creates a “classification” that “operates to the peculiar
factor can be “inferred from the totality of the relevant facts, including the fact, if it is true,
that the law bears more heavily on one race than another.” Holmes, 270 N.C. App. at 17. To
determine whether this is true, the court may weigh the law’s historical background, the
sequence of events leading up to the law, departures from normal procedure, legislative
161. The Supreme Court has observed that “courts must exercise extraordinary
caution in adjudicating claims that a State has drawn district lines on the basis of race.”
Dickson v. Rucho, 368 N.C. 481, 506, 781 S.E.2d 404, 423 (2015), cert. granted, judgment
Second, the Supreme Court has recognized the importance of the states' own
traditional districting principles, holding that states can adhere to them
without being subject to strict scrutiny so long as those principles are not
subordinated to race.
Finally, the Supreme Court has accepted that some degree of deference is due
in light of the difficulties facing state legislatures when reconciling conflicting
legal responsibilities.
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162. North Carolina’s Equal Protection Clause is treated the same as the Equal
Protection Clause of the United States Constitution. “No person shall be denied the equal
protection of the laws; nor shall any person be subjected to discrimination by the State
163. “[A] finding that race was the predominant motive in drawing a district does
not automatically render that district unconstitutional. Nor does it signify that the
legislature acted in bad faith or with discriminatory intent in its redistricting.” Covington v.
N.C., 316 F.R.D. 117, 129 (2016). Further, a legislatures knowledge of racial demographics is
most certain, “but that sort of race consciousness does not lead inevitably to impermissible
race discrimination.” Id. (quoting Shaw v. Reno, 509 U.S. 630, 646 (1993)).
redistricting principles, [then the court is to] apply strict scrutiny,” and the government
defendants then “have the burden of show[ing] not only that [their] redistricting plan was in
pursuit of a compelling state interest, but also that [their] redistricting legislation is narrowly
tailored to achieve [that] compelling interest.” Id. (quoting Shaw v. Hunt, 517 U.S. 899, 908
165. A “discriminatory purpose may often be inferred from the totality of the
relevant facts,” even when no discriminatory purpose is “express or appear[s] on the face of
the statute.” Washington v. Davis, 426 U.S. 229, 241-42, 96 Ct. 2040, 2048 (1976).
166. The relevant framework for analyzing whether an official action was motivated
by discriminatory purpose is set forth in Village of Arlington Heights v. Metro. House. Dev.
Corp., 429 U.S. 252 (1977). Courts must undertake “a sensitive inquiry into such
circumstantial and direct evidence of intent as may be available.” Id. at 266; State v. Jackson,
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322 N.C. 251, 261, 318 S.E.2d 838, 843-44 (1988) (Frye, J., concurring). The Supreme Court
of the United States in Arlington Heights laid out a non-exhaustive list of factors for courts
to consider. Holmes v. Moore, 270 N.C. App. 7, 18 (2020). Those factors include: (1) the law’s
historical background, (2) the specific sequence of events leading to the law’s enactment,
including any departures from the normal procedural sequence, (3) the legislative history of
the decision, and (4) the impact of the law and whether it bears more heavily on one race
167. NCLCV Plaintiffs and Plaintiff Common Cause have failed to satisfy their
burden of establishing that race was the predominant motive behind the way in which the
168. First, Plaintiffs have failed to show a predominant racial motive through direct
evidence. The Adopted Criteria proscribed the use of racial considerations in the drawing of
the Enacted Plan, nor did the General Assembly consider race by, for instance, conducting a
racially polarized voting study on the selected plans prior to their enactment.
169. Plaintiffs have also failed to show a predominant racial motive through
circumstantial evidence. Though the testimony elicited from Plaintiff’s expert, Dr. Leloudis,
provided a contextual backdrop for the way redistricting maps have been drawn, litigated,
and accordingly struck down in the past, it is incumbent upon this Court to afford the
legislature a presumption of good faith. N.C. State Conference of the NAACP v. Raymond,
981 F.3d 295, 303 (4th Cir. 2020). “A legislature’s past acts do not condemn acts of a later
legislature, which we must presume acts in good faith.” Id. at 298 (citing Abbot v. Perez, 138
S. Ct. 2305, 2324 (2018)). Plaintiffs have failed to link past, impermissible race-based
redistricting to the current legislature and have failed to provide sufficient circumstantial
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170. Second, Plaintiffs have failed to establish that the General Assembly failed to
provide insufficient evidence that the instances in which traditional districting principles
were not adhered to was because of racial considerations. Instead, as discussed above, the
General Assembly consistently acted with an intent to redistrict for partisan advantage, and
nothing in the record shows that to be a pretext for underlying racial considerations.
171. Third, giving deference to the redistricting process as conducted by the General
Assembly, Plaintiffs have failed to make the requisite evidentiary showing that the General
Assembly sought to dilute the voting strength of Blacks based upon their race, or that Blacks
have less of an opportunity to vote for or nominate members of the electorate less than those
of another racial group. Plaintiffs have shown, and the Court agrees, that a substantial
number of Black voters are affiliated with the Democratic Party. What Plaintiffs have not
shown, however, is how the General Assembly targeted this group on the basis of race instead
of partisanship. Black voters who also happen to be Democrats have therefore been grouped
into the partisan intent of the General Assembly. There is nothing in the evidentiary record
before this Court showing that race and partisan gain were coincident goals predominating
172. Plaintiffs, for the same reasons, have failed to satisfy their burden of showing
that the General Assembly was motivated by discriminatory purpose with regard to violating
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B. Voter Dilution in Violation of the Free Elections Clause
173. NCLCV Plaintiffs’ claim that the Enacted Plan unnecessarily dilutes the
voting power of citizens on account of race in violation of the Free Elections Clause of Art. I,
174. Under North Carolina’s Free Elections Clause, “the object of all elections is to
ascertain, fairly and truthfully the will of the people.” Hill v. Skinner, 169 N.C. 405, 415, 86
175. As explained above, the Free Elections Clause has been interpreted narrowly,
and Courts have upheld violations of the Free Elections Clause infrequently. “The meaning
[of the word free] is plain: free from interference or intimidation.” John V. Orth, The North
Carolina State Constitution: A Reference Guide, 56 (1993). The Free Elections Clause is
176. Further, Plaintiffs failed to assert a claim under the Voting Rights Act of 1965
(“VRA”), and their application of the Gingles analysis, even if used in support of a VRA claim,
conducted an analysis and made findings concerning the “effective” districts for Black voters,
177. NCLCV Plaintiffs claim that certain state legislative districts violate the
Whole County Provision of the North Carolina Constitution. While the boundaries for these
districts, noted in the findings of fact, cross county lines, the Court concludes that the
counties grouped and then divided in the formation of the specific districts at issue for this
claim were the minimum necessary, and contained the minimum number of traversals and
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a way that it met the equalization of population requirements set forth in Stephenson v.
Bartlett, 355 N.C. 354, 383,84, 562 S.E.2d 377, 397 (2002).
178. The Court further concludes that the manner by which the counties at issue
for this specific claim were traversed was not unlawful because it was predominantly for
traditional and permissible redistricting principles, including for partisan advantage, which
179. Intervenor-Plaintiff Common Cause, in its First Claim for Relief requests that
Plaintiff and its members and the voters it serves are entitled to, and
Legislative Defendants have a duty to undertake, a redistricting process that
adheres to the requirements of Article II, Sections 3 and 5 of the North
Carolina Constitution as set forth in Stephenson v. Bartlett, including a
requirement to undertake the analysis of racial data necessary to ascertain
what districts are required by the VRA.
181. At the outset, the Court notes that in Stephenson v. Bartlett, 355 N.C. 354, 562
S.E.2d 377 (2002), the Supreme Court of North Carolina was asked to address whether the
legislative plans enacted in 2001 violated the Whole County Provision (WCP) of the State
Constitution. Id. 355 N.C. at 360, 520 S.E.2d at 383. The Supreme Court stated “the
255
expanded question before this Court, in light of the VRA, is whether the WCP is now entirely
unenforceable . . . or, alternatively, whether the WCP remains enforceable throughout the
State to the extent not preempted or otherwise superseded by federal law.” Id. at 369, 562
S.E.2d at 388.
182. The Court then embarked on an analysis to harmonize the WCP and VRA. The
Stephenson Court, in reconciling the VRA and WCP, required the formation of single-member
legislative districts to ensure compliance with the VRA according to the following criteria:
In forming new legislative districts, any deviation from the ideal population
for a legislative district shall be at or within plus or minus five percent for
purposes of compliance with federal "one-person, one-vote" requirements.
When two or more non-VRA legislative districts may be created within a single
county, which districts fall at or within plus or minus five percent deviation
from the ideal population consistent with "one-person, one-vote" requirements,
single- member non-VRA districts shall be formed within said county. Such
non-VRA districts shall be compact and shall not traverse the exterior
geographic boundary of any such county.
256
plus or minus five percent "one-person, one-vote" standard. Within any such
contiguous multi-county grouping, compact districts shall be formed,
consistent with the at or within plus or minus five percent standard, whose
boundary lines do not cross or traverse the "exterior" line of the multi-county
grouping; provided, however, that the resulting interior county lines created
by any such groupings may be crossed or traversed in the creation of districts
within said multi-county grouping but only to the extent necessary to comply
with the at or within plus or minus five percent "one-person, one-vote"
standard. The intent underlying the WCP must be enforced to the maximum
extent possible; thus, only the smallest number of counties necessary to comply
with the at or within plus or minus five percent "one- person, one-vote"
standard shall be combined, and communities of interest should be considered
in the formation of compact and contiguous electoral districts.
183. The requirement in Stephenson that districts required by the VRA be drawn
first was put in place to alleviate the conflict and tension between the WCP and VRA. There
is nothing in Stephenson that requires any particular analysis prior to making a decision as
to whether VRA districts are necessary. In this case, having just been involved in multiple
experience, that no VRA districts were required. FOF 41-50, 52, 72. The Legislative
Defendants were open to considering any VRA analysis submitted. While counsel for
Common Cause “raised concerns,” no VRA analysis was provided to Legislative Defendants
that contradicted the Legislative Defendant’s perception of the need, or lack thereof, for VRA
districts. Whether the decision to rely on prior experience rather than an expert analysis
was prudent or wise, that is not for the Court to decide and would impermissibly intrude on
the internal decision-making processes of the Legislature. The fact is, whether correct or not,
the Legislative Defendants made a decision that no VRA Districts are required.
184. What Plaintiff Common Cause asks of this Court is to impose a judicially-
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185. If the Legislative Defendants are incorrect that no VRA Districts are required,
Plaintiff Common Cause has an adequate remedy at law and that is to bring a claim under
Section 2 of the VRA. Plaintiff Common Cause has made it abundantly clear that it has not
made such a claim and have presented no evidence to support such as claim.
186. For the reasons stated above, the Court concludes, as a matter of law, that
DECREE
Having considered all of the evidence, the memoranda and arguments of counsel,
and the record proper, and based upon the foregoing Findings of Fact and Conclusions of
III. This Judgment fully and finally resolves all claims of all Plaintiffs raised in the
consolidated cases and Judgment is hereby entered in favor of Legislative Defendants,
and Plaintiffs Claims are hereby dismissed with prejudice.
IV. The candidate filing period for the 2022 primary and municipal elections is hereby set
and shall resume at 8:00 A.M. on Thursday, February 24, 2022 and shall continue
through and end at 12:00 noon on Friday, March 4, 2022.
SO ORDERED, this the 11th day of January, 2022.
258
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that a copy of the foregoing document was served on the persons
Burton Craige
Narendra K. Ghosh
Paul E. Smith
PATTERSON HARKAVY LLP
100 Europa Dr., Suite 420
bcraige@pathlaw.com
nghosh@pathlaw.com
psmith@pathlaw.com
Counsel for Harper Plaintiffs
Stephen D. Feldman
Adam K. Doerr
Erik R. Zimmerman
ROBINSON, BRADSHAW & HINSON, P.A.
434 Fayetteville Street, Suite 1600
Raleigh, NC 27601
sfeldman@robinsonbradshaw.com
adoerr@robinsonbradshaw.com
ezimmerman@robinsonbradshaw.com
Counsel for NCLCV Plaintiffs
Allison J. Riggs
Hilary H. Klein
Mitchell Brown
Katelin Kaiser
Jeffrey Loperfido
SOUTHERN COALITION FOR
SOCIAL JUSTICE
1415 W. Highway 54, Suite 101
Durham, NC 27707
allison@southerncoalition.org
hilaryhklein@scsj.org
mitchellbrown@scsj.org
katelin@scsj.org
jeffloperfido@scsj.org
Counsel for Common Cause Plaintiff-Intervenor
1
Phillip J. Strach
Thomas A. Farr
Alyssa M. Riggins
John E. Branch, III
NELSON MULLINS RILEY &
SCARBOROUGH LLP
4140 Parklake Avenue, Suite 200
Raleigh, NC 27612
Phillip.strach@nelsonmullins.com
Tom.farr@nelsonmullins.com
Alyssa.riggins@nelsonmullins.com
John.Branch@nelsonmullins.com
Counsel for Legislative Defendants
Terence Steed
Amar Majmundar
Stephanie A. Brennan
NORTH CAROLINA DEPARTMENT
OF JUSTICE
Post Office Box 629
Raleigh, NC 27602
tsteed@ncdoj.gov
amajmundar@ncdoj.gov
sbrennan@ncdoj.gov
Counsel for State Board Defendants
Service is made upon local counsel for all attorneys who have been granted pro hac vice
admission, with the same effect as if personally made on a foreign attorney within this state.