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Originally Posted by MountainView
As both an aviation fan and active user of YOW (especially pre-pandemic) I am very hopeful and excited for what Porter may bring to our market.... but I think we need to relax our expectations at first.
I am not sure on their aircraft delivery schedule, but I would think they would start with "safe" markets. Especially in the beginning to get crew trained. I would say to look for YOW-YHZ on their jet planes at first, even potentially YUL/YYZ-YHZ.
After that, I think they expand and stay in Canada first. Porter exec's have always been saying that their customers have been wanting Western Canadian destinations for a while now. So I would look for them to expand to YYC and YVR (maybe YEG & YWG) first before they do anything in the mid-west and western coast of the USA.
Also, the Florida routes would make sense for them to fly from YYZ as there is plenty of O&D on those routes. They can operate without connections from their other hubs.
I think when Porter says that YYZ will be a hub... it might operate more standalone compared to what their plans might be in YOW, YUL and YHZ. Pearson can support O&D to Western Canada and other destinations. Perhaps they might fly a daily jet from YOW/YUL/YHZ to YYZ to connect to the bank, but I don't think their plan would be to send people from YYZ to YOW/YUL for any connection bank.
YOW and YUL could be used as a connection point from destinations that serve the dash-8. Think, YTZ, YQM, YFC, YHZ to YOW to connect on a jet plane to YYC/YVR/YWG (in the short term).
What I think will be an interesting aspect to all of this that I haven't seen brought up much is if Porter will be willing or have an appetite to fly some of their dash-8's on US routes to YOW. Something like BOS and EWR to connect to a western Canadian bank. There would also be some O&D on these routes as AC hasn't brought back BOS yet.
Overall, I think this is wonderful news for our airport and I hope YOW can capitalize on it and make it work. I think destinations like LAX, SFO, PHX, DEN are all 2+ years away though. Perhaps... one of them might come next summer or this winter... but we will see!
And my thoughts on the YYZ and YTZ bases for Porter... I think they will be operated separately... no bus service. I think if someone wants to fly to YYC from YTZ, they will connect in YOW/YUL... and this will be by choice not to drive/park/deal with the business of Pearson.
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Yup at first they're no doubt only going to have somewhere between 2 and 6 E95s when the jet ops launch. An early indicator is if they start selling connections through YOW. Indeed for YTZ-anywhere out of Dash 8 range, they'll sell connections at YOW & YUL, just like AC already does for YTZ, even for backtracking for those that want to walk/subway to/from downtown Toronto vs dealing with to/from YYZ.
I would think that they're going to only add 1 or 2 cities out west to start and then probably 1 or 2 Florida for the winter. That's where converting one of the daily YHZ-YOW frequencies to a jet makes sense for some initial connections.
It'll be exciting times ahead for PD and where they'll go from here.
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